Report Industry Investment Rating - The report does not explicitly mention the overall industry investment rating. However, some institutions have provided ratings for specific sectors: Goldman Sachs maintains an "overweight" stance on Chinese stocks, and Standard Chartered Bank maintains an "overweight" rating on Chinese stocks in its "2025 H2 Global Market Outlook" [36]. Core Viewpoints - The domestic futures market had a mixed performance overnight, with most contracts falling. International precious metals generally rose, while international oil prices slightly declined. The global economic and policy environment is complex, with various factors influencing different markets such as macro - policies, corporate operations, and international trade relations [3][4][5]. Summary by Directory Overnight Night - Market Trends - **Domestic Futures**: Most domestic futures main contracts fell. Soda ash dropped over 2%, and glass, coke, cotton, etc., dropped over 1%. Shanghai silver and caustic soda rose over 1% [3]. - **International Precious Metals**: COMEX gold futures rose 1.13% to $3516.1 per ounce, and COMEX silver futures rose 2.62% to $40.723 per ounce [4]. - **International Oil Prices**: WTI crude oil main contract fell 0.48% to $64.01 per barrel, and Brent crude oil main contract fell 0.28% to $67.48 per barrel [5]. - **London Base Metals**: All London base metals rose. LME zinc rose 1.19%, LME nickel rose 0.93%, etc. [5]. - **International Agricultural Products**: International agricultural product futures had mixed performances. US soybeans rose 0.45%, US corn rose 2.25%, etc. [7]. Important Information Macro Information - As of July 2025, there were 150 futures companies in China, with a trading volume of 10.99 billion lots and an operating income of 4.282 billion yuan in July [9]. - As of August 29, the Shanghai Export Containerized Freight Index dropped 29.7 points, and the China Export Containerized Freight Index dropped 1.6% [9]. - The NDRC will introduce policies to promote private investment and set minimum private investment participation ratios for major projects [9]. - From August 27 - 29, Chinese and US officials held talks on Sino - US economic and trade relations [9]. - In August, China's manufacturing PMI was 49.4%, up 0.1 percentage points from the previous month, and the non - manufacturing business activity index was 50.3%, up 0.2 percentage points [10][12]. - The Fed entered a "quiet period" before its September meeting [12]. Energy and Chemical Futures - From September 1, 2025, the maximum daily opening position for non - futures company members or clients in the caustic soda 2601 contract is 10,000 lots [14]. - Last week, PVC production enterprises' capacity utilization rate was 76.02%, down 1.59% month - on - month [14]. - In June, US crude oil production reached a record high, and LNG production increased by 12,000 barrels per day [14]. Metal Futures - Tin Industry Co., Ltd. will conduct a routine shutdown for equipment maintenance, expected to last no more than 45 days, with little impact on the annual production plan [16][17]. - Last week, copper inventory decreased by 1,950 tons, and aluminum inventory increased by 991 tons [18]. - The US Federal Circuit Court of Appeals ruled that most of Trump's global tariff measures were illegal [18]. Black - Series Futures - The blast furnace operating rate of 247 steel mills was 83.2%, down 0.16 percentage points from last week [20]. - The total inventory of imported iron ore in 45 ports was 137.6302 million tons, down 821,800 tons [20]. - Shanxi Coking Coal's subsidiary had a safety accident and stopped production, with an annual approved capacity of 4 million tons [21]. - This week, the total urban inventory was 8.8916 million tons, up 349,900 tons from last week [23]. - In August, the steel industry PMI was 49.8%, down 0.7 percentage points from the previous month [23]. - Colombia banned coal exports to Israel [23]. Agricultural Product Futures - As of August 29, the self - breeding and self - raising pig farming profit was 32.24 yuan per head, and the profit from purchasing piglets was a loss of 148.41 yuan per head [25]. - Zhengzhou Commodity Exchange revised the rules for fresh apple futures [25]. - India allocated 2.35 million tons of sugar for domestic sales in September 2025, the same as in 2024 [25]. - Indonesia set the reference price for CPO in September at $954.71 per ton, up from August [27]. - In the first half of August, Brazil's central - southern region had a 8.17% year - on - year increase in sugarcane crushing volume [27]. - The ISO expects the global sugar supply shortage in 2025/2026 to narrow significantly to 231,000 tons [28]. - Malaysia's palm oil exports from August 1 - 31 were 1.421486 million tons, up 10.2% from the previous month [29]. Financial Market Finance - Next week, 29 A - share stocks will face unlocking, with a total unlocking market value of 18.877 billion yuan, down 73.51% week - on - week [31]. - In H1 2025, Shanghai - listed companies' operating income was 24.68 trillion yuan, down 1.3% year - on - year, and net profit was 2.39 trillion yuan, up 1.1% [33]. - As of the end of August, the scale of Shanghai ETFs exceeded 3.7 trillion yuan, with a net inflow of over 350 billion yuan this year [33]. - As of June 30, 2025, the five A - share listed insurance companies' stock investment scale was nearly 1.8 trillion yuan, up 405.356 billion yuan from the end of 2024 [35]. - In August, A - shares continued to rise. Institutions expect the market to be volatile in September and focus on resource sectors, innovation drugs, etc. [36]. - Many foreign financial institutions are optimistic about the Chinese market. Hedge funds are net buyers of Chinese stocks [36]. - In the first eight months, the A - share market was strong, and the average return of active equity funds was 23.83% [36]. - Hesai Technology passed the Hong Kong Stock Exchange's hearing and plans to list in Hong Kong [37]. - Hefei Xinqi Microelectronics Equipment Co., Ltd. and Easy Health Group submitted IPO applications to the Hong Kong Stock Exchange [37]. Industry - Since August, nearly 20 small and medium - sized banks have lowered deposit interest rates [38]. - From January to August, the sales of TOP100 real estate enterprises were 2.32705 trillion yuan, down 13.3% year - on - year [40]. - In August, the inventory warning index for Chinese auto dealers was 57.0%, up 0.8 percentage points year - on - year [40]. - In 2025, China's total box office (including overseas) exceeded 40 billion yuan [40]. - The mother - fund market cooled significantly this year, with 33 new mother - funds established [41]. - Shanghai's leading commercial health insurance companies are developing new group insurance products [41]. Overseas - Trump's global tariff policy and the lawsuit to remove Fed Governor Cook are facing the US Supreme Court's final ruling [42]. - Japan and the US are discussing a package deal including tariff reduction and a $550 billion investment plan [44]. - ECB Governing Council member Rehn said inflation risks are "downward - biased" [44]. International Stock Market - Tata Capital will launch a $2 billion IPO in September [45]. Commodity - Malaysia's palm oil exports in August were 1.421486 million tons, up 10.22% month - on - month [46]. Bond - Yuzhou Group's overseas debt restructuring became effective, involving about $6.68 billion in debt, and is expected to reduce the repayment pressure by about $3.5 billion [47]. Foreign Exchange - In the past two weeks, the RMB has strengthened against the US dollar, driven by the weakening US dollar index and narrowing Sino - US interest rate differentials [49]. - The Canadian dollar has risen 4.68% against the US dollar this year, being the worst - performing G10 currency [50].

Group 1 - Alibaba's stock surged by 18%, indicating a vibrant market for Hong Kong stocks [1] - The investment strategy focuses on identifying companies with clear business logic and high quality, which increases the likelihood of long-term profitability in the Hong Kong market [1] - The experience with Tencent's stock highlights the volatility of the Hong Kong market, emphasizing the importance of patience and long-term holding [1] Group 2 - The Hong Kong market offers access to companies that are not available in the A-share market, such as Alibaba, Tencent, Meituan, JD.com, and HSBC [2] - Unique investment opportunities in the Hong Kong market include consumer stocks like Nongfu Spring and Pop Mart, as well as gaming stocks like Galaxy Entertainment and Sands [2] - The internationalization and market-oriented characteristics of the Hong Kong market create a dynamic financial ecosystem that fosters compelling business stories and wealth growth potential [2]

景顺亚太区全球市场策略师赵耀庭对《国际金融报》记者表示，美联储现在明显对就业数据的疲软更加担忧——美国7月非农就业人数仅增加了7.3万人， 而预期为11万人。虽然鲍威尔没有明确表示美联储将在9月降息，但他为降息设定了一个较低的门槛。 此外，当地时间8月29日，美国公布的最新通胀数据显示，美国7月核心个人消费支出价格指数同比上涨2.9%。数据公布后，交易员对美联储在9月政策会 议上降息25个基点的预期概率从85%进一步提高到87%，甚至有人预测全年可能降息一至两次。 降息预期升温推动金价上涨的逻辑机制在于：当市场预期美联储将降息时，美元指数通常会走弱，而黄金与美元通常呈现"跷跷板效应"。同时，降息会降 低持有黄金的机会成本。 国际金价近日持续上涨。 9月1日，国际现货黄金高开，盘中一度向上触及3471美元/盎司，为4月末以来新高。。 回顾整个8月，纽约商品交易所黄金期货主力合约价格累计涨幅超5%，创下今年4月以来的最佳单月表现。 美国银行分析师指出，有两个重要原因推高国际金价：一是美联储降息预期强化；二是近期美联储理事被免职风波削弱市场对美元资产信心。 先来看美联储降息预期。美联储主席鲍威尔8月22日在杰克逊霍 ...

Core Viewpoint - Yunfeng Financial (00376) has initiated a significant strategic move into the Web3 space by launching a carbon credit trading blockchain project in collaboration with the Macau International Carbon Emission Trading Exchange, aiming to enhance the global green asset market infrastructure [1] Group 1: Company Developments - Yunfeng Financial's stock rose over 5%, currently trading at 3.33 HKD with a transaction volume of 34.39 million HKD [1] - The company, along with Yunfeng Fund, is investing in a new Web3 carbon infrastructure through the Macau International Carbon Emission Trading Exchange, marking a pivotal transition towards Web3 [1] - The new platform aims to innovate and effectively supplement traditional carbon trading and green power certificate markets, showcasing Yunfeng Financial's commitment to responsible investment and ESG principles [1] Group 2: Industry Impact - The Carbon Trading Blockchain initiative is expected to create a credible and efficient new ecosystem for the carbon market, reflecting a broader trend towards integrating blockchain technology in environmental sustainability efforts [1] - The Macau International Carbon Emission Trading Exchange has already facilitated over 1 million tons of carbon credits and 200,000 green certificates, with clients including leading firms such as Brazil Forestry Group and Mitsubishi Electric [1]

据了解，该计划是由云锋金融和云锋基金联合投资的澳碳所正在打造的全新Web3碳基础设施的一部 分，该平台将成为传统碳交易市场和绿色电力证书市场的创新尝试和有效补充，技术端亦由云锋金融区 块链团队实现。计划体现了云锋金融迈向Web3领域的重要转型，以及云锋基金践行责任投资和ESG创 造长期价值。 澳碳所目前累计成交超100万吨碳信用、20万张绿证，交易客户包括巴西林业集团、国泰海通证券、三 菱电机、中建材绿色能源等领先企业。 智通财经APP获悉，云锋金融(00376)涨超5%，截至发稿，涨4.72%，报3.33港元，成交额3438.99万港 元。 消息面上，8月29日，云锋金融联合澳门国际碳排放权交易所(以下简称"澳碳所")宣布完成碳信用资产 交易数据全面上链，正式启动首个聚焦高质量碳信用的"碳链"(Carbon Trading BlockChain)计划。此举是 云锋金融和澳碳所在Web3领域的重要战略布局，旨在为全球绿色资产市场构建新一代基础设施，构建 可信高效的碳市场新生态。 ...

Group 1 - The beginning of Trump's second presidential term has positively impacted emerging market stocks, similar to his first term, but corporate earnings are under pressure due to trade and fiscal policies, potentially losing momentum [1] - The MSCI Emerging Markets Index has risen continuously from January to August this year, marking the third occurrence in 37 years, with the previous instances in 2017 and 1993 [1] - Despite a wealth increase of $4.3 trillion for investors this year, developing country companies are struggling to meet 2025 earnings expectations, having underperformed for 13 consecutive quarters [1][4] Group 2 - Concerns over tariff-related risks are leading to a cautious outlook on emerging market stocks, with expectations for earnings per share to decline again after a temporary pause in tariffs [2] - Initial expectations that Trump's tariffs would delay U.S. monetary easing and strengthen the dollar have been overturned, resulting in a favorable environment for emerging markets as funds flow out of the U.S. [4] - Nearly half of the companies in the MSCI Emerging Markets Index have failed to meet analyst profit expectations this year, with an average shortfall of nearly 8% [4] Group 3 - Following a 50% tariff on Indian exports, Indian stocks have become the most underweighted by investors, reflecting a significant shift in market sentiment [5] - Tata Motors reported a 63% decline in net profit, attributing the loss to U.S. tariffs, with additional costs estimated at $341 million [5] - Analysts have begun to lower future earnings forecasts, with the MSCI index's average expectation declining by about 1% over the past eight weeks, indicating a need for an 11.4% earnings growth in the next 12 months to meet current expectations [6]

KEY TAKEAWAYS 要点概述 The U.S. economy might be headed for a bout of '70s-style stagflation, but economists expect it to be far less severe this time around. 美国经济可能会走向一轮 70 年代式的滞胀，但经济学家预计这一次的严重程度要小得多。 However, economists expect this bout of inflation to be much less severe than the double-digit annual price increases that plagued household budgets in the 1970s. 然而，经济学家预计，这轮通货膨胀将远没有 1970 年代困扰家庭预算的两位数的年度物价上涨严重得多。 Get Ready For 'Stagflation Lite' 为"滞胀精简版"做好准备 On Friday, the government's Personal Consumption Expen ...

自由市场神话的崩塌与国家资本的崛起：中美金融博弈下的冰与火 2025年，世界金融格局经历了一场颠覆性的剧变。美国的"自由市场"神话在政府直接干预、强制"收割"科技巨头股权的操作中轰然倒塌，而中国的半导体 产业却在这一动荡时期逆势而上，资本市场表现抢眼，充分展现了两种截然不同的发展模式与国家战略。 美国政府在2025年8月的一系列"突破底线"的操作，令全球科技与金融界为之震动。先是点名要求英特尔CEO陈立武辞职，紧接着白宫发言人公开承认， 美国政府正与英特尔商谈一项涉及近10%股权的转让协议。这一"补贴换股权"的模式迅速蔓延，三星、台积电、美光等全球半导体巨头也相继被要求"转 让股份"。美国商务部长甚至公开表示，将97%收入依赖政府订单的公司纳入政府直接管理是理所应当的。 美国媒体用"鹰爪"来形容这一系列"收割"行为，一位华尔街资深分析师直言："这不是救市，这是直接收割。"历史上，即使在2000年互联网泡沫和2008年 金融危机时期，美国政府也仅是发放补贴，从未强制上市公司"交出股权"。如今，89亿美元的补贴换来英特尔9.9%的股份，使得政府摇身一变成为最大股 东，补贴的属性已从"鼓励"转变为"控制"。 202 ...

董事会认为，时瑞千禧通过提供其持牌服务，将促进传统金融市场(包括衍生品和大宗商品等时瑞金融 集团具备深厚专业经验的领域)与新兴数字资产类别之间的互联互通。通过在合规安全的生态系统中运 营受监管的高效平台，时瑞金融集团将以值得信赖的成熟金融服务提供者的定位，满足客户对专业化数 字资产接入日益增长的需求，进而对其现有交易及投资目标形成补充。 CWT INT'L(00521)公布，公司非全资附属公司兼时瑞金融集团(集团金融服务业务主体)成员Straits Millennium Pte Ltd(时瑞千禧)已根据《二零一九年支付服务法案》，于今年稍早获得新加坡金融管理局 (MAS)原则性批准后，正式取得主要支付机构(MPI)牌照，自2025年9月1日生效。该主要支付机构牌照 能使时瑞千禧得以提供跨境汇款服务及数字支付代币服务，促进数字支付代币与法定货币在金融市场中 的兑换。 ...

Group 1 - CWT INT'L's subsidiary Straits Millennium Pte Ltd has obtained a Major Payment Institution (MPI) license from the Monetary Authority of Singapore (MAS), effective from September 1, 2025 [1] - The MPI license allows Straits Millennium to provide cross-border remittance services and digital payment token services, facilitating the exchange of digital payment tokens with fiat currencies in the financial market [1] - The board believes that Straits Millennium's licensed services will enhance the connectivity between traditional financial markets and emerging digital asset classes, leveraging the group's expertise in derivatives and commodities [1] Group 2 - The operation of a regulated and efficient platform within a compliant ecosystem positions Straits Millennium as a trusted and mature financial service provider [1] - The company aims to meet the growing demand for specialized digital asset access among clients, complementing its existing trading and investment objectives [1]