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国庆前后市场怎么走?日历效应如何?十大券商最新研判
Ge Long Hui· 2025-09-21 23:32
Market Overview - The market experienced fluctuations last week, with the Shanghai Composite Index falling by 1.30%, while sectors like power equipment, electronics, and communications continued to lead in gains, contrasting with stagnant performance in banking, non-banking, and food and beverage sectors [1] Broker Insights - Guotai Junan Securities believes that the recent market adjustment presents an opportunity, asserting that the Chinese stock market will not stagnate and is expected to reach new highs, driven by favorable conditions such as a stable short-term risk outlook and potential capital market reforms [1] - Guojin Securities indicates that a bull market may be in the making, with opportunities arising from the easing of liquidity constraints and a shift towards cyclical manufacturing sectors like non-ferrous metals, machinery, and chemicals [2] - Zheshang Securities suggests a period of consolidation for the Shanghai Composite Index, recommending a cautious approach to investment and a focus on sectors like hard technology and infrastructure [3] - Everbright Securities anticipates continued market fluctuations leading up to the National Day holiday, with a tendency for funds to secure profits amid uncertainties [4] - According to China Merchants Securities, historical patterns suggest that financing activities typically contract before the holiday and surge afterward, with a focus on sectors like solid-state batteries and AI [5] - Industrial rotation is emphasized by Industrial Securities, advocating for a diversified approach to investment to navigate market volatility [6][7] - CITIC Construction Investment highlights the clarity in future market trends following the Federal Reserve's interest rate cuts, with a focus on AI and domestic demand recovery [8] - Huaxia Securities maintains a positive long-term outlook despite short-term fluctuations, emphasizing the importance of sectors like AI and essential materials [9] - Galaxy Securities recommends four investment themes in the construction sector, focusing on urban renewal and digital transformation in construction [10]
大金融压盘?金融科技ETF(159851)收跌逾3%,资金越跌越买,背后有两大重要驱动!
Xin Lang Ji Jin· 2025-09-18 11:56
作为行情旗手,金融科技成为市场博弈的主要阵地,分析来看,资金越跌越买或有两大重要驱动。 周四(9月18日),A股午后"变脸"突发放量跳水,大金融压盘引发市场关注。兼具"金融+科技"属性的 金融科技板块下挫逾3%,成份股大面积飘绿。其中,大智慧尾盘逼近跌停,收盘仍大跌8.83%,银之 杰、指南针同样跌超8%,财富趋势、同花顺、东方财富、金证股份等多股跌超4%。 热门ETF方面,同类规模超百亿、流动性断层第一的金融科技ETF(159851)午后跌幅扩大,场内收跌 3.4%失守两根均线,全天小幅缩量成交16.83亿元。资金继续布局金融科技板块,159851单日再获净申 购2.77亿份,此前两日已累计吸金超6亿元。 东吴证券认为,伴随政策发力、经济企稳、券商数字化转型需求持续加速,金融科技市场逐步进入上行 通道。中短期来看,资本市场的活跃度仍然是最大的支撑因素,看好政策的持续性及政策落地效果。长 期来看,宏观环境的稳中向好,以及资本市场改革深化将推动证券科技及券商IT行业ROE中枢稳步抬 升,板块长期投资价值逐渐凸显。 多角度把握金融科技机会,建议重点关注金融科技ETF(159851)及其联接基金(A类013477、 ...
金融科技概念股早盘走弱,相关ETF跌超2%
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-09-18 02:25
Group 1 - Financial technology concept stocks weakened in early trading, with notable declines including Zhihui Compass and Yinzhijie dropping over 6%, Tonghuashun down over 4%, and Dongfang Caifu and Sifang Jichuang falling over 3% [1] - The ETF tracking the CSI Financial Technology Theme Index fell over 2% due to market influences [1] Group 2 - The CSI Financial Technology Theme Index selects listed companies involved in financial technology products and services to reflect the overall performance of securities in this sector [2] - Institutions have indicated that with policy support, a stable macro environment, and ongoing capital market reforms, the fundamentals of the financial industry are improving, which will gradually increase the revenue of financial IT companies [2] - Recent advancements in "revolutionary" stablecoins and the anticipation of significant financial policies being released are expected to create investment opportunities in the financial IT sector [2]
降息靴子如期落地,市场迎分歧?互联网金融下挫,银之杰领跌超7%,百亿金融科技ETF下探2%资金抢筹
Xin Lang Ji Jin· 2025-09-18 02:03
18日早盘,金融科技开盘下探,资金大举抢筹。中证金融科技主题指数下探2%,多只成份股飘绿。其 中,银之杰领跌超7%,指南针、大智慧跌超5%,同花顺、财富趋势、东方财富等多股跌超2%。同类规 模超百亿、流动性断层第一的金融科技ETF(159851)场内下探2%,资金实时净申购超3亿份。 | | 分财 多日 1分 5分 · | | | | | F9 盘前盘后 露加 九种 西班 工具 3 2 > | | | | | | | | 全融科技ETF | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 0.00 | | | | 159851 全肥料技ETF] 09:47 价 0.945 温家 -0.025[-2.58%] 均价 0.9. | | | | | F | | 0.945 -0.025 -2.58% | | | 4 COOR 75 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | SZSE CNY 9:47:45 交易中 | | | | ...
指南针炸裂新高,年内暴涨超160%!流动性牛市利好金融科技,159851获资金火爆增持超5亿份
Xin Lang Ji Jin· 2025-09-17 11:44
Group 1 - The financial technology sector is experiencing significant growth, with the China Securities Financial Technology Theme Index rising by 2% on September 17, 2023, and many constituent stocks seeing substantial gains, including a more than 9% increase in Zhinan Compass, which has surged over 160% year-to-date [1] - The Financial Technology ETF (159851) has shown strong performance, with a daily trading volume exceeding 1.7 billion yuan and a net subscription of 544 million units, indicating robust investor confidence in the sector [1][4] - A-shares are currently in a "liquidity bull market," with trading volumes consistently exceeding 1 trillion yuan for 81 consecutive trading days, and foreign and long-term institutional capital continuing to flow into the market [3] Group 2 - The financial technology market is entering an upward trajectory due to policy support, economic stabilization, and the accelerating demand for digital transformation among brokerages [4] - The active capital market is the primary support for the sector, with expectations for continued policy effectiveness and a favorable macroeconomic environment driving long-term investment value in the securities technology and brokerage IT industries [4] - The Financial Technology ETF (159851) has a scale exceeding 10 billion yuan, with an average daily trading volume of over 1.4 billion yuan in the past month, making it the leader in liquidity among similar ETFs [4]
实时净申购超1.7亿份!巨额资金密集加仓金融科技,159851场内放量涨超1%
Mei Ri Jing Ji Xin Wen· 2025-09-17 02:13
9月17日早盘,金融科技板块继续活跃,恒宝股份、同花顺、赢时胜等多股领涨超2%,同类规模超百 亿、流动性断层第一的金融科技ETF(159851)场内冲高超1%,盘中持续溢价,成交额快速突破3亿 元,资金实时净申购超1.7亿份。 金融科技为何连续活跃?总结来看,近期或有三大因素:1、两市成交额连续第44个交易日突破1.5万亿 元,高交投环境下(互联网)券商基本面修复趋势明确;2、AI赋能金融IT新的增长空间;3、受益于海 外降息预期,市场风险偏好提升。 配置上,东吴证券认为,当前金融科技板块基本面及估值均处于低位,具有显著的配置价值。伴随政策 发力、经济企稳、券商数字化转型需求持续加速,金融科技市场逐步进入上行通道。中短期来看,资本 市场的活跃度仍然是最大的支撑因素,我们看好政策的持续性及政策落地效果。长期来看,宏观环境的 稳中向好,以及资本市场改革深化将推动证券科技及券商IT行业ROE中枢稳步抬升,板块长期投资价值 逐渐凸显。 金融科技ETF(159851)及其联接基金(013477),标的指数全面覆盖了互联网券商、金融IT、跨境支 付、AI应用、华为鸿蒙等热门主题。截至9月15日,金融科技ETF(15985 ...
金融科技突然启动,什么信号?银之杰、指南针逼近前高,百亿金融科技ETF(159851)涨近2%大举吸金
Xin Lang Ji Jin· 2025-09-16 11:52
Core Viewpoint - The financial technology sector experienced a significant surge, with the China Securities Financial Technology Theme Index rising nearly 2%, driven by over 50 constituent stocks increasing in value [1][3]. Group 1: Market Performance - The financial technology sector saw notable stock performances, with Yinzhijie leading with a 7% increase, and Zhinancun rising over 6%, approaching previous highs [1]. - The Financial Technology ETF (159851) experienced a price increase of 1.93%, with a total trading volume of 875 million yuan and a net subscription of 11.4 million units on the same day [1][4]. Group 2: Factors Behind the Surge - The continuous high trading volume, exceeding 1.5 trillion yuan for 44 consecutive trading days, indicates a strong recovery trend for internet brokerages, with projected net profit growth of 70% for the third quarter [3]. - The integration of AI in financial services is creating new growth opportunities, enhancing product value and customer loyalty, with leading firms expected to maintain their competitive edge [3]. - Expectations of overseas interest rate cuts are improving market risk appetite, benefiting small-cap stocks, particularly in the financial technology sector, where over 42% of constituent stocks have a market capitalization below 10 billion yuan [3]. Group 3: Investment Recommendations - The financial technology sector is viewed as having significant allocation value due to its low current fundamentals and valuations, with expectations of a gradual upward trend supported by policy initiatives and economic stabilization [4]. - The Financial Technology ETF (159851) and its associated funds are recommended for investment, as they comprehensively cover popular themes such as internet brokerages, financial IT, cross-border payments, and AI applications [4].
金融科技ETF(159851)逆市冲高,银之杰领涨超5%!高交投环境下,关注强贝塔的金融科技标的
Xin Lang Ji Jin· 2025-09-16 06:39
Group 1 - Financial technology sector showed resilience with stocks like Yinzhijie rising over 5% and others like Ronglian Technology and Geling Shentong increasing by over 2% [1] - The financial technology ETF (159851) experienced a positive trend, with a real-time trading volume of nearly 400 million CNY, indicating strong market interest [1] - The trading volume in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets exceeded 1.5 trillion CNY for the 44th consecutive trading day, reflecting a robust trading environment [1][3] Group 2 - Dongwu Securities highlighted that the financial technology sector is currently at a low valuation, presenting significant investment opportunities as policies support economic stabilization and digital transformation in brokerage firms [3] - The financial technology ETF (159851) has surpassed 10 billion CNY in size, with an average daily trading volume of over 1.3 billion CNY in the past month, leading among similar ETFs in terms of scale and liquidity [3] - The ETF covers a wide range of themes including internet brokerages, financial IT, cross-border payments, and AI applications, making it a comprehensive investment vehicle [3]
2025年A股四季度投资策略:坚守主线,挑战新平台
Huaan Securities· 2025-09-15 11:57
Group 1 - The report emphasizes the importance of maintaining core investment themes while exploring new platforms in the A-share market for the fourth quarter of 2025 [2][4] - Key recommended sectors include rare earth permanent magnets, precious metals, military industry, financial IT, power equipment, and agricultural products [3] - The report anticipates a more abundant liquidity environment due to expected interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve and the upcoming "14th Five-Year Plan" proposals, which may enhance market expectations [4][10] Group 2 - Economic growth is projected to steadily decline, with GDP growth expected at 5.0% for 2025, and 4.6% for Q4 2025 [10][11] - Consumer retail sales are forecasted to grow by 3.8% for the year, with a significant slowdown in investment across various sectors, particularly in real estate, which is expected to decline by 14.3% [10][11] - The report highlights that while exports are expected to maintain a high level of activity, a slight decline in growth is anticipated in Q4 due to high base effects from the previous year [19][24] Group 3 - The report discusses the anticipated recovery of the RMB exchange rate, driven by the Federal Reserve's interest rate cuts, which may attract foreign capital inflows [42][61] - It notes that the central bank has a clear intention to guide the RMB towards appreciation, which is crucial for maintaining market liquidity [47][61] - The report also indicates that the RMB's appreciation could lead to increased foreign investment in domestic stocks, enhancing overall market liquidity [61][62]
AI金融概念股活跃,荣联科技午后涨停,斩获3天2板!AI重塑金融生态,关注金融科技板块投资机遇
Xin Lang Ji Jin· 2025-09-15 06:11
Group 1 - The financial technology sector is showing active performance, with AI computing power concept stocks like Ronglian Technology hitting the daily limit and gaining 2 boards in 3 days [1] - Other stocks such as Zhina Compass, Electric Science Digital, Wealth Trend, Tonghuashun, Runhe Software, and Dongfang Wealth also saw increases of over 1% [1] - The popular ETF, the 100 billion financial technology ETF (159851), experienced fluctuations in the market with a real-time transaction volume exceeding 600 million [1] Group 2 - According to a recent statement from Huabao Fund's index investment department, there is significant demand for AI talent in advertising, research, and finance sectors, making AI finance a good entry point for investment in the A-share software sector [1][3] - AI can enhance efficiency for financial institutions through applications like smart investment advisory and risk control, and the current market liquidity is high, supporting a positive performance trend in the internet finance/financial IT industry [1][3] - Dongwu Securities indicates that the financial technology sector is currently at a low point in terms of fundamentals and valuations, presenting significant allocation value [3] - The demand for digital transformation among brokerages is accelerating, and the financial technology market is gradually entering an upward trajectory [3] - The financial technology ETF (159851) and its linked funds are recommended for investment, as they cover a wide range of themes including internet brokerages, financial IT, cross-border payments, and AI applications [3]