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比布雷顿森林体系解体时还惨!特朗普“百日执政”创下尴尬新纪录
凤凰网财经· 2025-04-26 13:12
来源|凤凰网财经 特朗普或 创下 "尴尬"新纪录 。 据财联社报道, 自 1月20日特朗普重返白宫至4月25日,美元指数累计下跌近9% , 料将 创下 1973年尼克松时代以来美国总统任期前100天的 最大跌幅。这一表现与1973年 " 尼克松冲击 " 时期形成历史性呼应 ——彼时布雷顿森林体系崩溃引发全球抛售美元,而如今特朗普反复无常的关 税威胁、对美联储独立性的干预,以及对传统国际秩序根基的动摇,正重演"去美元化"浪潮。 瑞银、德银接连下调美元预期,押注贸易谈判转机;对冲基金美元净空头头寸达 100亿美元,创2024年来新高;部分投资者预期汽车关税豁免等政 策回旋可能。市场博弈下是衰退信号,还是政策倒逼策略? 数据显示,自尼克松第二任期开启至拜登执政前,美国总统任内前 100天美元平均回报率为0.9%,而特朗普的政策已使美元成为全球资本的"弃 儿"。欧元、瑞郎和日元兑美元汇率涨幅均超8%,黄金价格同步攀升,蒙特利尔银行指出:"美元作为储备货币的三大支柱——制度信任、自由贸 易和稳定外交政策正在瓦解。" 01 历史重现——布雷顿森林体系崩塌与美元"假死" 1971年8月15日,尼克松宣布美元与黄金脱钩,这场 ...
一季度广东GDP同比增长4.1%;澳门推出中小企业银行贷款利息补贴计划丨大湾区财经早参
Mei Ri Jing Ji Xin Wen· 2025-04-23 00:02
Group 1: Economic Performance in Guangdong - In the first quarter of 2025, Guangdong's GDP reached 33,525.51 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 4.1%, an increase of 0.6 percentage points compared to the previous year [1] - The primary industry added value was 934.45 billion yuan, growing by 3.3%; the secondary industry added value was 12,002.53 billion yuan, growing by 3.7%; and the tertiary industry added value was 20,588.53 billion yuan, growing by 4.3% [1] - The service sector emerged as the main growth engine, indicating a robust economic recovery [1] Group 2: Trade Performance in Shenzhen - In March 2025, Shenzhen's total import and export value reached 3,870.5 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 12.3%, outpacing the national growth rate by 6.3 percentage points [2] - Exports amounted to 2,185.3 billion yuan, growing by 8.8%, while imports were 1,685.2 billion yuan, growing by 17.2% [2] - The strong performance in trade reflects Shenzhen's internal growth momentum and resilience against risks [2] Group 3: Employment Situation in Hong Kong - The unemployment rate in Hong Kong for the first quarter of 2025 was 3.2%, unchanged from the previous period, with an underemployment rate of 1.1% [3] - Total employment reached 3.6927 million, a decrease of approximately 16,800 from the previous period, while the total labor force decreased by about 5,800 to 3.8155 million [3] - Economic growth in mainland China and government stimulus measures are expected to support labor demand despite external uncertainties [3] Group 4: Financial Support for SMEs in Macau - The Macau government launched a loan interest subsidy plan for small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs), effective from April 22, 2025, to April 22, 2026 [4] - Eligible SMEs can apply for interest subsidies on loans up to 5 million Macau patacas, with a maximum subsidy period of three years and an interest rate cap of 4% [4] - This initiative aims to reduce financing costs and alleviate cash flow pressures for SMEs, supporting their stable operations [4] Group 5: Stock Market Performance - On April 22, 2025, the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 9,870.05 points, down by 0.36% [5] - Notable gainers included Meichen Technology, with a price of 1.66 yuan and a rise of 20.29%, and Xincheng Technology, with a price of 16.66 yuan and a rise of 20.03% [6] - Significant decliners included *ST Jiyuan, with a price of 0.24 yuan and a drop of 20.00% [6]
“对等关税”冲击下,中国出海企业的应对之道
淡水泉投资· 2025-04-11 07:48
重要提示:本材料不构成任何形式的要约、承诺或其他法律文件,亦非任何投资、法律或财务等方面的专业建议。过往业绩不预示 未来表现。投资须谨慎。 特朗普政府于4月2日推出了新一轮关税措施,该政策方案的力度与覆盖范围显著超出了市场预期,进而 引发了全球金融市场的震荡。根据最新动态,美国对部分国家实行为期90天的"对等关税"缓冲期,并执 行10%的普遍性关税政策。尽管该措施的全面实施已被暂时推迟,但可以确定的是,此举将对国际贸易 格局与全球金融体系产生持久的影响。 02 第二,通过高关税提高外国商品的成本,降低其比较优势,促使制造业回流美国。 失衡的贸易平衡目标与制造业回流的困境 新一轮关税政策的短期冲击已引发市场动荡,但更值得关注的是美国通过关税试图达成的政策目标。 根据美国政府官员近期的一些公开发言整理来看,此次关税行动可能主要有两个目的。 第一,以极端施压手段实现美国定义下的贸易平衡,缩减贸易逆差。 其施压手段不仅包括普遍的"对等关税 " ,还涉及诸多非关税壁垒、增加进口美国商品等内容。以越南 为例,其在美国宣布关税措施后以 " 零关税 " 条件积极回应,然而,美国仍要求越南承诺取消知识产 权窃取、出口补贴、倾销 ...
上证健康产业指数报1065.07点,前十大权重包含巨星农牧等
Jin Rong Jie· 2025-04-01 08:03
Group 1 - The Shanghai Health Industry Index closed at 1065.07 points, with a 2.99% increase over the past month, a 0.09% decrease over the past three months, and a 0.09% decline year-to-date [1] - The index comprises the 50 largest listed companies in the healthcare, food safety, and environmental protection sectors on the Shanghai Stock Exchange, using equal weighting to reflect the overall performance of these companies [1] - The top ten weighted companies in the index include Fulongma (3.18%), Borui Pharmaceutical (2.57%), Daotong Technology (2.44%), WuXi AppTec (2.37%), Yifeng Pharmacy (2.21%), Hanlan Environment (2.21%), Bright Meat (2.20%), Longjing Environmental Protection (2.16%), Huitai Medical (2.16%), and Juxing Agriculture and Animal Husbandry (2.15%) [1] Group 2 - The index samples are adjusted every six months, with adjustments implemented on the next trading day after the second Friday of June and December, with a sample adjustment ratio generally not exceeding 20% [2] - Weight factors are adjusted along with the sample changes, and remain fixed until the next scheduled adjustment unless a special situation arises [2] - Companies that are delisted or undergo mergers, acquisitions, or splits are handled according to the calculation and maintenance guidelines [2]