Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The company reported a stable revenue growth with a year-on-year increase of 1.6% in Q1 2025, but the net profit attributable to shareholders decreased by 12.0% year-on-year [7] - The gross margin has come under pressure, declining by 1.0 percentage points to 10.8% [7] - The company is expected to benefit from increased domestic investment in major water conservancy and hydropower infrastructure, as well as the continuous expansion of its new energy investment and operation business [7] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In Q1 2025, the company achieved total revenue of 142.736 billion yuan and a net profit of 2.636 billion yuan [7] - The operating cash flow showed a net outflow of 40.519 billion yuan, which is an increase in outflow compared to the previous year [7] - The asset-liability ratio stood at 79.6%, reflecting a slight increase of 1.4 percentage points year-on-year [7] Order Intake - New contracts signed in Q1 2025 amounted to 299.3 billion yuan, a decrease of 9.6% year-on-year [7] - The energy and water resource sectors showed strong performance, with new contracts in hydropower and wind power increasing by 20.2% and 67.3% respectively [7] Profit Forecast and Valuation - The forecast for net profit attributable to shareholders for 2025-2026 is 12.5 billion yuan and 13.2 billion yuan respectively, with a P/E ratio of 6.5 and 6.2 times [7] - The company is expected to maintain a "Buy" rating due to the formation of a second growth curve from its new energy investment and operation business [7]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The company continues to face pressure on revenue and profit, with a notable decline in domestic business, while overseas new contracts remain strong [7] - The report highlights that the company achieved a total revenue of 249.283 billion yuan in Q1 2025, a year-on-year decrease of 6.2%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 6.025 billion yuan, down 19.5% year-on-year [7] - The report anticipates that fiscal policy support and improvements in financing will gradually manifest in investment and physical volume, with expectations for increased infrastructure investment and policy support in key regions [7] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - For Q1 2025, the company reported a total revenue of 249.283 billion yuan, down 6.2% year-on-year, and a net profit of 6.025 billion yuan, down 19.5% year-on-year [7] - The gross margin remained stable at 8.5%, with a slight year-on-year decline of 0.1 percentage points [7] - The company’s financial expense ratio increased to 4.9%, primarily due to a rise in financial expenses [7] Business Segments - Revenue from various business segments in Q1 included: infrastructure construction (216.8 billion yuan, -8.0% YoY), design consulting (4.7 billion yuan, -2.2% YoY), equipment manufacturing (6.2 billion yuan, -5.8% YoY), real estate development (6.7 billion yuan, +59.5% YoY), and other businesses (14.9 billion yuan, +3.2% YoY) [7] - The report indicates that traditional infrastructure business is under pressure, but the share of higher-margin design consulting and real estate development has increased [7] Order Book and Future Outlook - The company signed new contracts worth 560.1 billion yuan in Q1, a decrease of 9.9% year-on-year, with significant contributions from overseas contracts [7] - The backlog of orders stood at 7,234.1 billion yuan at the end of Q1, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 16.0% [7] - The report projects net profits for 2025-2026 to be 28.0 billion yuan and 28.5 billion yuan respectively, with a new forecast for 2027 at 29.1 billion yuan [7]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The company's Q1 2025 earnings continue to be under pressure, with total revenue of 256.76 billion yuan, down 6.6% year-on-year, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 5.15 billion yuan, down 14.5% year-on-year [8] - Despite the revenue decline, cash flow has improved, with a net cash flow from operating activities of -38.95 billion yuan, which is a reduction in outflow by 7.65 billion yuan year-on-year [8] - New contract signings decreased by 10.5% year-on-year to 492.8 billion yuan, but the company saw significant growth in green and environmental contracts, which increased by 77.1% year-on-year [8] - The company is expected to benefit from increased fiscal policy support and improved financing conditions, which will gradually manifest in investment and physical volume [8] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - Q1 2025 total revenue was 256.76 billion yuan, down 6.6% year-on-year, with a gross margin of 7.5%, a decrease of 0.3 percentage points year-on-year [8] - The net profit attributable to shareholders was 5.15 billion yuan, down 14.5% year-on-year, with a net profit margin of 2.01%, a decrease of 0.19 percentage points year-on-year [8] Cash Flow and Debt - Operating cash flow improved, with a net cash flow of -38.95 billion yuan, a reduction in outflow by 7.65 billion yuan year-on-year [8] - As of the end of Q1 2025, the company's interest-bearing debt was 541.1 billion yuan, an increase of 141.6 billion yuan year-on-year, with a debt-to-asset ratio of 77.6%, up 2.0 percentage points year-on-year [8] Order Book and Market Outlook - New contracts signed in Q1 2025 totaled 492.8 billion yuan, down 10.5% year-on-year, with significant growth in green and environmental contracts [8] - The company’s backlog of uncompleted contracts was 7.8613 trillion yuan, an increase of 12.5% year-on-year, indicating strong order visibility [8] Earnings Forecast - The company is expected to achieve net profits of 21.9 billion yuan in 2025, 22.4 billion yuan in 2026, and 22.9 billion yuan in 2027, with corresponding P/E ratios of 4.8, 4.7, and 4.6 times [8]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for China Railway Construction Corporation (601186) is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The report indicates that Q1 earnings continue to be under pressure, with a slight improvement in cash flow. The company reported a total revenue of 256.76 billion yuan in Q1 2025, down 6.6% year-on-year, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 5.15 billion yuan, down 14.5% year-on-year [8] - The report highlights that while revenue remains under pressure, the company has managed to control expenses effectively, leading to a slight decrease in expense ratios despite the revenue decline [8] - New contract signings in Q1 2025 decreased by 10.5% year-on-year, but there was notable growth in green environmental contracts, which increased by 77.1% year-on-year [8] - The report emphasizes that despite external economic pressures, the company is expected to benefit from increased fiscal policy support and a gradual recovery in infrastructure investment [8] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In Q1 2025, the company achieved a total revenue of 256.76 billion yuan, a decrease of 6.6% year-on-year, and a net profit of 5.15 billion yuan, down 14.5% year-on-year [8] - The gross profit margin for Q1 2025 was 7.5%, a decrease of 0.3 percentage points year-on-year [8] - The company’s cash flow from operating activities showed improvement, with a net cash outflow of 38.95 billion yuan, which was 7.65 billion yuan less than the previous year [8] Order Book and Contracts - New contracts signed in Q1 2025 totaled 492.8 billion yuan, down 10.5% year-on-year, with engineering contracts down 18.7% [8] - The report notes strong performance in the railway, mining, and power sectors, with new contracts in these areas increasing by 66.3%, 139.3%, and 29.2% respectively [8] - The total uncompleted contract amount as of the end of Q1 2025 was 7,861.3 billion yuan, an increase of 12.5% year-on-year, indicating a solid order backlog [8] Profit Forecast and Valuation - The report forecasts net profits attributable to shareholders for 2025-2027 to be 21.9 billion yuan, 22.4 billion yuan, and 22.9 billion yuan respectively, with corresponding P/E ratios of 4.8, 4.7, and 4.6 times [8] - The report maintains a "Buy" rating based on the expectation of recovery in valuation due to the company's position as a leading state-owned enterprise in infrastructure [8]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Accumulate" [6] Core Views - The company is benefiting from a significant increase in nuclear power engineering orders and revenue, with a year-on-year growth of 44% in new orders and 35% in revenue for 2024 [1] - The company achieved an operating revenue of 1135.41 billion yuan in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 3.80%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 20.64 billion yuan, a slight increase of 0.07% [1] - The company has signed new nuclear power orders worth 551.44 billion yuan in 2024, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 43.61%, indicating a sustained demand in the nuclear power sector [1][2] Summary by Sections Nuclear Power Engineering - In 2024, the company generated revenue of 322.12 billion yuan from nuclear power engineering, up 34.63% year-on-year, with a gross margin of 13.37% [2] - The company has a leading market share in the domestic nuclear power sector, with 32 nuclear power units under construction and a total of 96 units built [2] Industrial and Civil Engineering - The revenue from industrial and civil engineering was 693.19 billion yuan in 2024, down 7.73% year-on-year, but the gross margin improved to 9.84% [2] - New contracts in the renewable energy sector amounted to 285.68 billion yuan, representing an 11.71% increase and accounting for 26.38% of new contracts in industrial and civil engineering [2] Financial Performance - The company's gross margin for 2024 was 11.7%, an increase of 0.37 percentage points year-on-year, while the expense ratio was 7.12% [3] - The net profit margin for 2024 was 2.46%, a slight decrease of 0.09 percentage points year-on-year, with cash flow from operations showing a net outflow of 33.40 billion yuan [3] Financial Data and Valuation - The projected operating revenue for 2025 is 1209.14 billion yuan, with a growth rate of 6.49% [4] - The estimated net profit attributable to shareholders for 2025 is 23.16 billion yuan, reflecting a growth rate of 12.21% [4]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for China Electric Power Construction (601669.SH) is maintained at "Buy" [1][5][6] Core Views - The company reported a year-on-year revenue growth, with a strong performance in its renewable energy business. However, the net profit attributable to shareholders declined due to increased impairment provisions. The gross margin remained stable, and the company is focusing on building a second growth curve around renewable energy while solidifying its traditional infrastructure business [5][6][7]. Financial Performance Summary - In 2024, the company achieved a revenue of 634.55 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year increase of 4.05%. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 12.01 billion yuan, down 7.21% year-on-year. The gross margin and net margin were 13.19% and 2.50%, respectively, showing slight declines of 0.04 percentage points and 0.31 percentage points year-on-year [6][8]. - The company’s new signed orders totaled 12,706.91 billion yuan in 2024, an increase of 11.19% year-on-year. The energy and power sector saw significant growth, with orders increasing by 23.68% [7][8]. Profit Forecast - The profit forecasts for 2025 to 2027 are as follows: net profit attributable to shareholders is expected to be 14.13 billion yuan in 2025, 15.21 billion yuan in 2026, and 15.95 billion yuan in 2027. The earnings per share (EPS) are projected to be 0.82 yuan, 0.88 yuan, and 0.93 yuan for the respective years [5][8]. Valuation Metrics - The current price-to-earnings (P/E) ratios are projected to be 5.9, 5.5, and 5.2 for 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively. The price-to-book (P/B) ratio is expected to remain at 0.5 for the next three years [5][8]. Business Outlook - The company is expected to benefit from the ongoing development in the energy and power sector, with its renewable energy initiatives likely to contribute positively to future earnings growth. The traditional business is undergoing structural adjustments due to a shrinking scale [5][6][7].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for China Electric Power Construction (601669.SH) is maintained at "Buy" [5][6] Core Views - The company reported a year-on-year revenue growth, with a strong performance in its renewable energy business. However, the net profit attributable to shareholders decreased due to increased impairment provisions. The company is adjusting its business structure as traditional business scales down, focusing on renewable energy as a second growth curve. The forecast for net profit attributable to shareholders for 2025-2027 is adjusted to 141.3 billion, 152.1 billion, and 159.5 billion yuan respectively, with corresponding EPS of 0.82, 0.88, and 0.93 yuan [5][6][7] Financial Performance - In 2024, the company achieved a revenue of 634.55 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 4.05%. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 12.015 billion yuan, a decrease of 7.21%. The gross margin and net margin were 13.19% and 2.50%, respectively, showing slight declines compared to the previous year [6][8] - The company’s total assets reached 1,289.01 billion yuan by the end of 2024, with a debt-to-asset ratio of 78.93% and a current ratio of 0.88 [6][10] Order Growth - The company signed new contracts totaling 12,706.91 billion yuan in 2024, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 11.19%. The energy and power sector saw significant order growth of 23.68% [7][8] - The company secured renewable energy construction indicators of 26.12 million kilowatts, a 15% increase year-on-year, with installed capacity for wind and solar power also showing substantial growth [7][8] Earnings Forecast - The earnings forecast for 2025-2027 indicates a recovery in net profit, with expected growth rates of 17.6% in 2025 and 7.7% in 2026. The P/E ratios for the next three years are projected to be 5.9, 5.5, and 5.2 times, respectively [5][8][10]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [1][6] Core Views - The company achieved a revenue of 100.37 billion yuan in Q1, a year-on-year increase of 3.05%, with a net profit attributable to shareholders of 1.61 billion yuan, up 8.83% year-on-year, and a non-net profit of 1.39 billion yuan, reflecting a significant year-on-year increase of 24.03% [1] - The company continues to make progress in new business layouts, with the world's first 300 MW compressed air energy storage project achieving full capacity grid-connected power generation [1] - The company expects net profits attributable to shareholders to reach 8.79 billion yuan, 9.41 billion yuan, and 10.17 billion yuan for the years 2025 to 2027, respectively [1] Financial Performance - In Q1, the company signed new contracts worth 388.9 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 5.8%, with core business engineering construction contracts amounting to 364.05 billion yuan, up 15.5% year-on-year [2] - The gross profit margin for Q1 was 11.18%, an increase of 0.47 percentage points year-on-year, while the net profit margin was 2.60%, up 0.19 percentage points year-on-year [3] - The company reported a net cash flow from operating activities of -14.51 billion yuan, a decrease in outflow of 1.68 billion yuan compared to the same period last year [3] Business Segments - The new energy business continues to grow rapidly, with new contracts in traditional energy, new energy, integrated smart energy, urban construction, and comprehensive transportation showing year-on-year increases of 6.1%, 20%, 57.8%, and 96.7%, respectively [2] - The company’s domestic new contract amount reached 287.46 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 4.2%, while the overseas new contract amount was 101.44 billion yuan, up 10.5% year-on-year [2] Financial Data and Valuation - The company’s projected revenue for 2023 is 406.03 billion yuan, with a growth rate of 10.82%, and the projected net profit attributable to shareholders is 7.99 billion yuan, with a growth rate of 2.26% [5] - The company’s price-to-earnings ratio (P/E) is projected to decrease from 11.59 in 2023 to 9.10 in 2027, indicating an improving valuation [5]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [6] Core Views - Short-term profitability is under pressure, but overseas expansion opens new opportunities [6] - The company has a strong order backlog, which supports future revenue growth despite current performance challenges [8] Financial Performance - In Q1 2025, the company achieved revenue of 248.564 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 6.21%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 6.025 billion yuan, down 19.46% year-on-year [8] - The company’s gross margin for Q1 2025 was 8.46%, a decrease of 0.13 percentage points year-on-year [8] - The company’s total uncompleted contract amount reached 7.234 trillion yuan, an increase of 5.1% compared to the end of the previous year, indicating a solid order book [8] Business Segments - Revenue from infrastructure construction, design consulting, equipment manufacturing, and real estate development for 2024 was 216.796 billion, 4.670 billion, 6.246 billion, and 6.671 billion yuan respectively, with year-on-year changes of -7.99%, -2.21%, -5.77%, and +59.48% [8] - The company signed new contracts worth 560.1 billion yuan in Q1 2025, a year-on-year decrease of 9.9%, with domestic contracts down 13.6% and overseas contracts up 33.4% [8] Profitability and Valuation - The company’s projected net profit for 2025-2027 is 28.7 billion, 29.7 billion, and 30.9 billion yuan respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of +2.88%, +3.70%, and +3.94% [8] - The current price-to-earnings ratio (P/E) is projected to be 4.78, 4.61, and 4.43 for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively [8]

证券研究报告 建筑装饰 | 基础建设 非金融|公司点评报告 hyzqdatemark 2025 年 04 月 30 日 证券分析师 王彬鹏 SAC：S1350524090001 wangbinpeng@huayuanstock.com 戴铭余 SAC：S1350524060003 daimingyu@huayuanstock.com 郦悦轩 SAC：S1350524080001 liyuexuan@huayuanstock.com 唐志玮 tangzhiwei@huayuanstock.com 林高凡 lingaofan@huayuanstock.com | 基本数据 | 29 | | | | 2025 | 年 | 04 | | 日 | 月 | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 收盘价（元） | | | | | | | | 8.91 | | | | | 一 年 / 低 | | 最 | 高 | 内 | | | | 9.12/5.19 | | | 最 | | （元） | | | | | | | ...