Core Viewpoint - OR Royalties Inc. has successfully amended its revolving credit facility, increasing its total availability to $850 million and converting it to a U.S. dollar denominated facility, reflecting confidence in its long-term growth prospects [1][2][4]. Credit Facility Details - The amended Credit Facility provides access to $650 million with an additional uncommitted accordion of up to $200 million, totaling $850 million, compared to the previous maximum of C$550 million [2]. - Advances under the amended Credit Facility will incur interest at the Secured Overnight Financing Rate (SOFR) or Canadian Overnight Repo Rate Average (CORRA) plus 1.45% to 2.75% per annum, based on the Company's leverage ratio, consistent with the previous agreement [3]. - The Credit Facility has a term of four years, maturing on May 30, 2029 [3]. Management Commentary - The President & CEO of OR Royalties emphasized that the expansion of the Credit Facility highlights the strength of the asset portfolio and positions the company well for strategic growth opportunities [4]. - The company has achieved a positive net cash position due to robust operating cash flows and disciplined capital allocation, reinforcing its financial foundation [4]. Acquisition Update - OR Royalties holds 4,000,000 shares of MAC Copper, valued at $49.0 million under a binding acquisition agreement with Harmony Gold Mining Company, expected to strengthen OR Royalties' balance sheet upon closing [5]. Company Overview - OR Royalties Inc. is an intermediate precious metal royalty company with a North American portfolio of over 195 royalties, streams, and precious metal offtakes, including 21 producing assets, anchored by a significant net smelter return royalty on the Canadian Malartic Complex [6].

Specialist Sales APAC Specialist Sales 05 June 2025 China Financials: First national distressed developer reorganization, Wendy Liu argues China may be on the verge of 1998-1999 Japan-style beta rally (+80%), Focus on "Financial survivors" (China Equity Strategy: Link) • The Jinke case (holistic reorganization involving strategic investors not just bond restructuring) suggests a pickup in sector rationalization as a new way to tackle China's property oversupply… While Jinke Real Estate's court-approved debt ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a constructive outlook on IG Financials, suggesting they are a sweet spot relative to Corporates, while also indicating a cautious stance on Energy and Basics due to tariff vulnerabilities [2][11]. Core Insights - The baseline scenario anticipates gradually slowing global growth for H2'25, with spreads expected to remain rangebound due to healthy balance sheets and low default rates [2][3]. - The European private credit market is highlighted for its robust fundamentals and significant liquidity, which is expected to suppress hard defaults [2][15]. - The report emphasizes the importance of sector-specific dynamics, noting that IG Financials have shown resilience amid geopolitical risks, while sectors like Energy and Basics are more sensitive to tariff headlines [8][11]. Economic Data and Tariff Rulings - Recent economic data from the EU and US have surprised positively, challenging initial recessionary scenarios, with EU GDP projected to halve to 0.4% in 2025 under a downside scenario involving tariffs [3]. - The report suggests that spreads may peak in Q3'25 around 120/425bp but could tighten by year-end, supported by monetary policy and resilient fundamentals [3][4]. ECB Policy Outlook - The ECB is expected to cut rates by 25bp to 2.0% in June, with another cut anticipated in July, reflecting a prioritization of growth support amid trade tensions [4]. - The report indicates that the ECB may remain in a gradual easing mode due to legal complexities surrounding US tariffs, which could reduce immediate downside risks [4]. Spread Dynamics - In May, PMIs softened, yet manufacturing activity trended higher, supporting risk sentiment despite ongoing trade uncertainties [5]. - The report notes that spreads widened in an orderly fashion around tariff announcements, with limited panic selling observed [8]. Sector Analysis - The report identifies that IG Financials exhibited lower beta during spread widening, while IG Energy and HY Basics were the most sensitive to tariff headlines [8]. - In the Energy sector, firms with robust balance sheets are better positioned against global demand fragility, while those with higher leverage face more exposure [9]. Technicals and Market Dynamics - The report highlights a record-breaking month for IG Corps supply in May, driven by positive tariff news, which pushed spreads tighter [14][39]. - It anticipates that flows will remain orderly, targeting high-quality structures and issuers, reflecting a cautious investor appetite [14]. European Private Credit Outlook - The report notes that European private credit shows resilience with rising revenue and EBITDA, alongside improving interest coverage ratios [15]. - It suggests that ample dry powder is available to support liquidity and suppress hard defaults in the private credit space [15].

Group 1 - Sensor Unlimited is part of the investing group Envision Early Retirement, which focuses on generating high income and growth with isolated risks through dynamic asset allocation [2] - The group offers two model portfolios: one for short-term survival/withdrawal and another for aggressive long-term growth, along with direct access for discussions, monthly updates, and tax discussions [2] - Sensor Unlimited has a PhD in financial economics and has spent the last decade covering the mortgage market, commercial market, and banking industry, with a focus on asset allocation and ETFs [3] Group 2 - The article emphasizes the importance of proven solutions in investment strategies to mitigate risks while aiming for high returns [2] - It highlights the role of quantitative modeling in understanding market dynamics and making informed investment decisions [3]

Core Viewpoint - BlackRock, Inc. is planning to cut 300 jobs, which represents over 1% of its workforce, as part of a strategy to realign resources following significant acquisitions and rising employee expenses [1][9] Group 1: Workforce Changes - The planned job cuts are the second round of reductions in 2025, following an earlier announcement in January to cut around 200 jobs [1][9] - BlackRock's employee count increased by more than 14% since 2023 due to acquisitions, including Global Infrastructure Partners and Preqin Ltd. [2][9] - Employee compensation and benefits expenses rose by 7% in the first quarter of 2025, prompting the need for workforce realignment [2][9] Group 2: Growth and Acquisitions - BlackRock is well-positioned for growth with a solid assets under management (AUM) balance, product diversification, and enhanced private market capabilities [3] - The company has committed over $25 billion for acquisitions to expand its reach in private-market assets and data [4] - The acquisition of Preqin for $3.2 billion is expected to provide highly recurring revenues, enhancing profitability and positioning BlackRock as a leader in private markets data [5] Group 3: Future Projections - The acquisition of HPS Investment Partners for $12 billion is projected to increase BlackRock's private markets fee-paying AUM and management fees by 40% and 35%, respectively [6] - The deal is expected to be modestly accretive to BlackRock's adjusted earnings per share in the first year post-close [6] Group 4: Market Performance - Year-to-date, BlackRock shares have declined by 3.9%, while the industry has seen a decline of 11% [8]

Core Viewpoint - Former U.S. Treasury Secretary Lawrence Summers warns that the "Big and Beautiful" plan promoted by the Trump administration is pushing the U.S. towards a fiscal cliff, potentially undermining the dollar's dominance and reshaping the global economic order [1][2] Group 1: Fiscal Implications - The Congressional Budget Office (CBO) estimates that the plan will add $2.4 trillion to the deficit over the next decade, but Summers' dynamic modeling suggests the actual debt increase could exceed $4 trillion when accounting for temporary tax measure extensions and interest effects [1] - Annual fiscal deficit rates are projected to exceed 7% of GDP, surpassing the dangerous threshold of 6% observed in recent years [1] Group 2: Contributing Factors - The aging population is expected to increase welfare spending significantly, with Social Security funds projected to be depleted by 2029 [1] - Government healthcare spending is growing at twice the rate of economic growth, potentially reaching 20% of GDP by 2025 [1] - Rising interest rates, with 30-year U.S. Treasury yields exceeding 5%, have led to debt servicing costs surpassing military expenditures [1] Group 3: Global Economic Concerns - As the largest debtor nation, the U.S. faces a monetary dilemma of maintaining the dollar's reserve status while issuing massive amounts of debt to cover deficits [2] - If U.S. debt surpasses $40 trillion, international confidence in the dollar may falter, leading to rapid selling of U.S. bonds by central banks [2] - The Trump economic team believes a 3.5% GDP growth rate combined with 10% tariff revenue can resolve the debt crisis, but models indicate that tariffs could raise core PCE inflation by 1.2 percentage points [2] Group 4: Policy Recommendations - Summers supports the proposal to eliminate the debt ceiling but emphasizes that restoring fiscal discipline requires tax reform, including closing loopholes for multinational corporations and implementing a digital services tax [2] - The upcoming Senate vote on the plan has prompted global central banks to initiate emergency measures, indicating the high stakes involved in maintaining dollar supremacy [2]

Group 1 - UAB "Kvartalas" aimed to raise 5 million euros during the offering of the third tranche of bonds to finance the development of the "Sąvaržėlė" business centre in Vilnius, with the offering period shortened due to high demand, reaching 11.5 million euros in demand within three days [1][2] - The total nominal value of bonds issued in the third tranche was increased from 5 million euros to 10,131,700 euros, with a total of 30,131,700 euros in bonds issued across all tranches [2] - The bonds were publicly offered to retail and institutional investors in the Baltic States, with 181 investors participating, including 153 from Lithuania, 16 from Estonia, and 12 from Latvia [3] Group 2 - The nominal value of one bond is 100 euros, with a fixed annual interest of 8% paid every six months, and redemption scheduled for 19 December 2026, offered at a price corresponding to a 6.75% yield [4]

Market Overview & Investment Strategy - The podcast focuses on growth stocks, noting a potential breakout in the S&P 500 in the summer of 2025 following a trade war selloff [1] - Zacks' premium screens, which utilize the Zacks Rank, are highlighted as a tool for identifying promising growth stocks [3][4] - The podcast aims to explore growth stocks using Zacks' screening tools, offering insights into both basic and premium screening options [2][3] Featured Stocks & Analysis - **Apploving (AP)**: A technology platform in the advertising sector with a market cap of $136 billion, showing strong earnings growth and positive analyst revisions [22][37][43] - **Anglo Gold Ashanti (AU)**: A gold mining company with a market cap of $19.9 billion, benefiting from rising gold prices and showing significant earnings growth [23][49] - **Birkenstock (BIRK)**: A shoe manufacturer with a market cap of $10 billion, demonstrating strong sales and earnings growth despite potential tariff concerns [23][57] - **Cyber Arc Software (CYBR)**: A cyber security company with a market cap of $19.5 billion, experiencing robust growth in a booming industry [25][63] - **European Wax Center (EWCZ)**: A personal care franchise with a smaller market cap of $284 million, showing potential for growth and value combination [26][67] - **NB Bankore (NBBK)**: A regional bank with a market cap of $676 million, exhibiting growth in earnings and revenue, and considered undervalued with a low price-to-book ratio [28][73] Key Metrics & Financial Highlights - Apploving's sales are expected to grow by 243% in 2025, with earnings up by 852% [43] - Anglo Gold Ashanti's 2025 estimates show a 95% increase, driven by rising gold prices [50] - Birkenstock's PEG ratio is 11%, indicating reasonable growth at 28 times earnings [57] - Cyber Arc Software's earnings growth is projected at 170% for 2025, with sales also in double digits [63] - European Wax Center's forward PE is 84%, with a PEG of 46, indicating a value PEG [71] - NB Bankore has a price-to-book ratio of 094, suggesting it is undervalued [77]

4 June 2025 | 4:26PM EDT Macro at a Glance: Latest views and forecasts Download PDF | Download PowerPoint To subscribe to Macro at a Glance, visit the page and click "Follow." Changes to flag this week: n Raised our 2025 LME aluminum price forecast to $2,400/mt (from $2,300/mt) to reflect a less severe-than-expected hit to global activity from the trade war but lowered our 2026 price forecast to $2,230/mt (from $2,540/mt) to reflect likely softer balances further out. Watching n Globally, we expect real GDP ...

Core Insights - The investment strategy focuses on acquiring strong businesses when they are undervalued, emphasizing the importance of quality and price [1] - The portfolio has evolved through various industries, including technology, banking, and emerging markets, with a current emphasis on high-quality businesses and their competitive advantages [1] - The investment philosophy is influenced by notable investors and CEOs, highlighting the significance of learning from successful figures in the industry [1] Investment Strategy - The approach prioritizes large tech companies with extensive user bases and content libraries, recognizing the potential for cross-selling opportunities [1] - Valuation is conducted at the EBIT plus R&D level, reflecting the belief in the potential of certain R&D investments [1] - The investment performance from February 2019 to October 2024 shows an annual return of 11.4% CAGR, which is below the market's 15.18% CAGR, but there is confidence in future outperformance due to expanded knowledge [1] Portfolio Management - The strategy aims to minimize portfolio turnover, with a focus on holding existing companies rather than frequent trading [1] - The investment philosophy rejects traditional "Buy" and "Sell" recommendations, advocating for a "Strong Buy" threshold for exceptional businesses and categorizing others as "Strong Sell" to generate cash for new opportunities [1] - A "Hold" position may be initiated for great businesses if the pricing is not favorable, indicating a flexible approach to market conditions [1]