Group 1 - The company, Zhenghai Magnetic Materials, focuses on the research and manufacturing of high-end rare earth permanent magnetic materials and components [2] - The company's products are widely applicable in high-end application fields related to "three energies," including new energy vehicles, wind power, energy-saving electrical appliances, and intelligent equipment [2] - Specific applications of the company's products include energy-saving elevators, humanoid robots, low-altitude flying vehicles, and smart consumer electronics like smartphones [2]

Market Overview - The A-share major indices showed mixed performance, with the Shanghai Composite Index up by 0.52% at 3628.53 points, while the Shenzhen Component Index fell by 0.06% and the ChiNext Index decreased by 0.71% [1] - The total trading volume in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets reached 110.22 billion yuan, a decrease of 43.6 billion yuan compared to the previous day, with over 2000 stocks rising [1] Sector Performance - The film and cinema sector experienced a significant rally, with stocks like Happiness Blue Ocean achieving five consecutive trading limits, and Jin Yi Film and Ciweng Media hitting the daily limit. The summer box office surpassed 5.5 billion yuan, with "Nanjing Photo Studio" grossing over 600 million yuan [1] - The overnight international oil price increased by over 3%, leading to a rise in oil and gas stocks, with Keli Co. and Tongyuan Petroleum both rising by over 5% [1] - The innovative drug sector maintained its momentum, with Dongcheng Pharmaceutical and Chenxin Pharmaceutical hitting the daily limit [1] - The financial sector saw a "de-involution" trend, with bank stocks generally rising, including Ping An Bank and Postal Savings Bank, both increasing by nearly 2% [1] Declining Sectors - The battery sector faced significant declines, with Xinyu Ren and Zhengye Technology both dropping by over 5% [1] - The diversified financial concept stocks fell, with Nanhua Futures decreasing by nearly 7% and Zhongyou Capital dropping by nearly 6% [1] - The rare earth permanent magnet concept stocks also saw widespread declines, with Shenghe Resources and Huahong Technology both falling by over 6% [1]

【免责声明】本文仅代表作者本人观点，与和讯网无关。和讯网站对文中陈述、观点判断保持中立，不对所包含内容 的准确性、可靠性或完整性提供任何明示或暗示的保证。请读者仅作参考，并请自行承担全部责任。邮箱： news_center@staff.hexun.com 格隆汇7月30日｜A股开盘，上证指数跌0.04%，深证成指跌0.23%，创业板指跌0.45%。盘面上，影视院 线概念继续活跃，幸福蓝海(300528)涨超14%，金逸影视(002905)涨停，暑期档总票房突破55亿元；煤 炭股高开，陕西黑猫(601015)、郑州煤电(600121)涨超2%，7月上中旬火电厂日均煤耗继续增加；稀土 永磁概念股普涨，方邦股份(688020)涨超6%，包钢股份(600010)涨超3%；乳业股调整，骑士乳业、西部 乳业跌超3%。(格隆汇) (责任编辑：宋政 HN002) ...

Market Overview - The A-share market opened with the Shanghai Composite Index down 0.04%, the Shenzhen Component Index down 0.23%, and the ChiNext Index down 0.45% [1] Industry Highlights - The film and cinema sector remained active, with Happiness Blue Sea rising over 14% and Jinyi Film hitting the daily limit, as the total box office for the summer season surpassed 5.5 billion [1] - Coal stocks opened high, with Shanxi Black Cat and Zhengzhou Coal Electricity both rising over 2%, as the average daily coal consumption in thermal power plants continued to increase in early to mid-July [1] - Rare earth permanent magnet stocks saw a broad increase, with Fangbang Co. rising over 6% and Baogang Co. rising over 3% [1] - The dairy industry experienced adjustments, with Knight Dairy and Western Dairy both falling over 3% [1]

来源：招商证券策略研究 本报告聚焦"反内卷"政策背景下行业产能出清的潜力与路径，通过梳理产能周期规律、复盘历史出清案例、分析当前行业财务信号，探讨哪些行业有望更 快实现低效产能退出。 核心观点 ⚑近年来，"过度内卷"频发，带来由点及面的连锁负面效应：企业层面陷入价格战导致盈利恶化、库存积压、现金流紧张；行业层面竞争失序，中小企业 加速出清、技术升级受阻，陷入低水平重复建设；宏观层面资源错配，产业链协同效率下降，抑制整体创新与高质量发展，反内卷政策背景下，多行业响 应抑制"内卷式"竞争。 ⚑实现"反内卷"与产能出清，需要价格机制、市场竞争机制与产业政策三大路径协同发力。价格机制通过市场化筛选淘汰高成本企业；竞争机制通过破产 清算与并购整合实现资源优化配置；产业政策则通过管控产能、标准约束和激励引导加速结构调整；推动行业向高质量、可持续发展转型。 ⚑复盘过去三轮周期的演绎逻辑，可以发现每一轮周期均呈现"扩张-内卷-出清-重构"的螺旋式演进，产能出清需要通过政策调控与市场机制的协同，推动 资源向高效领域集中。市场表现方面，政策或事件催化往往会形成短期的上涨行情，但重点行业持续的获得超额收益的阶段仍在基本面的改善时期 ...

Group 1 - The report indicates a stable outlook for the market, with a strong emphasis on the performance of individual companies as earnings reports approach, leading to increased differentiation among sectors and stocks [2][4][33] - Key investment themes include a focus on high-growth technology sectors such as AI, robotics, and military technology, which are expected to outperform [7][34] - The report highlights the potential for structural policy changes from the Central Political Bureau, particularly in service consumption and real estate, which could provide additional support for the market [2][4][34] Group 2 - The economic fundamentals are under pressure, with exports maintaining a high level of activity while domestic demand, particularly in services and real estate, remains weak [3][17] - The report forecasts a year-on-year increase of approximately 5.1% in retail sales for July, with fixed asset investment expected to grow by 2.9%, indicating a mixed economic environment [3][17] - The liquidity in the market is described as reasonably ample, although credit growth is expected to slow seasonally, which may impact investment activities [29][30] Group 3 - The first investment theme focuses on high-elasticity growth technology, including AI, computing power, robotics, and military sectors, which are seen as the primary targets for investment [7][34] - The second theme emphasizes sectors with strong economic support or better-than-expected earnings, such as rare earth permanent magnets, precious metals, engineering machinery, motorcycles, and agricultural chemicals [7][34] - The third theme revolves around potential structural policy changes from the Central Political Bureau that could positively impact service consumption and real estate sectors [7][34]

Group 1 - The A-share rare earth permanent magnet sector experienced significant afternoon gains, with Yujing Co., Ltd. rising over 7% [1] - China Rare Earth and Zhenghai Magnetic Materials both increased by more than 6% [1] - Shenghe Resources and Shengxin Lithium Energy also saw upward movement in their stock prices [1]

Market Overview - The Hang Seng Index declined by 1.11% and the Hang Seng Tech Index fell by 1.69% during the trading session [1] - The total market turnover reached 1510.08 million HKD at midday [1] Sector Performance - Online education, film and television, lithium battery, and rare earth permanent magnet sectors experienced significant declines [1] - Conversely, the pharmaceutical outsourcing, logistics, chip, semiconductor, and domestic property sectors showed positive performance [1] Notable Stock Movements - Kuaishou (01024.HK), Bilibili (09626.HK), and Huayi Brothers (01060.HK) each dropped over 4% [1] - New Oriental (09901.HK) fell by more than 2% and BYD Company (01211.HK) also decreased by over 2% [1] - On the upside, Shun Tai Holdings (01335.HK) surged over 10%, Kanglong Chemical (03759.HK) rose more than 8%, WuXi Biologics (02269.HK) increased over 4%, Nongfu Spring (09633.HK) gained over 3%, and JD Logistics (02618.HK) was up over 2% [1]

Group 1: Impact of Raw Material Prices - The company employs a "cost-plus" pricing model, which means that short-term fluctuations in raw material prices may temporarily affect gross margins, but long-term stability can be maintained through gradual price adjustments [2][3] - The company has strong bargaining power in the supply chain due to its unique technological advantages and stable product quality, allowing for quick price adjustments for short-cycle orders [3] - The impact of raw material price fluctuations on profits has a certain lag, and the company continuously optimizes its cost structure through process innovation [3] Group 2: Barriers to Entry in the Rare Earth Permanent Magnet Industry - The company has deep expertise in the consumer electronics sector, having accumulated significant technical knowledge in magnetic application devices [3][4] - A complete industrial chain from production to assembly allows the company to maintain a sustainable cost advantage, with a well-integrated R&D team [3] - The company has established barriers through supplier certifications from well-known consumer electronics clients, making it difficult for competitors to penetrate the supply chain quickly [4] Group 3: Regulatory Impact and Market Trends - The rare earth export controls primarily target seven types of medium and heavy rare earths, with the company only partially affected as it has obtained necessary export licenses [4][5] - The company’s direct export volume is relatively small, mainly selling to domestic bonded zones, thus minimizing the impact of export regulations on its operations [5] - The demand for magnetic components in foldable smartphones is generally higher than in standard smartphones due to structural requirements, although specific usage varies by brand [5]

Group 1 - The current market is in a structural deepening phase driven by incremental capital, with a clear path of "policy catalysis - capital inflow - valuation repair" for sector rotation [1][3] - On July 24, the A-share market continued its strong trend, with major indices rising across the board; the ChiNext Index stood out with a 1.5% increase, indicating a sustained preference for growth-oriented companies [1] - The Shenzhen Component Index and the STAR 50 Index rose by 1.21% and 1.17% respectively, while the Shanghai Composite Index increased by 0.65% to 3605.73 points, marking its first time above the 3600-point threshold since January 2022 [1] Group 2 - In the A-share market, the leading sectors are driven by both policy catalysis and capital rotation; the Hainan Free Trade Zone concept surged due to the implementation of zero-tariff policies, with the proportion of zero-tariff items rising to 74% [2] - The rare earth and lithium sectors continued to perform strongly, supported by the global restructuring of the rare earth industry and the international certification of the "Nd-Huanghe Mine" by Chinese research teams, which provides new logic for resource value reassessment [2] - The beauty and personal care sector led the industry with a 3.1% increase, reflecting the combined effects of consumer upgrade demand and valuation repair strategies in oversold segments [2]