Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Consolidated revenue for Q1 2025 was $334 million, a 2.2% increase compared to Q1 2024, aligning with guidance [22] - Loss from continuing operations was $55 million, and adjusted EBITDA for the quarter was $79 million, down 12.5% due to expected declines in airport rate abatements [22] - AFFO was negative $23 million, within expectations [22] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Americas segment revenue was $254 million, up 1.8%, driven by the MTA roadside billboard contract, with digital revenue up 6.4% [23] - Airports segment revenue was $80 million, up 4%, with a 20% increase in national sales, but a 16.4% decline in local sales [24] - Adjusted EBITDA for the Americas segment was $88 million, down 8%, while airports segment adjusted EBITDA was $14 million, down 25% [22][24] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company noted a recovery in San Francisco, which had been a significant headwind in 2023, and is expected to contribute positively in 2025 [10] - Increased interest from national advertisers was observed, with bookings up double digits so far this year [10] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focusing on becoming a U.S.-focused business, simplifying operations to reduce interest and corporate expenses [5][16] - Plans to continue reducing debt using proceeds from asset sales and cash on hand, with a focus on positive cash generation [10][12] - The management is optimistic about the future of out-of-home advertising in the U.S. and is actively exploring creative solutions to enhance leverage [15][16] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in the company's ability to gain media share despite macroeconomic uncertainties [30] - The company is not currently seeing cancellations or scaled-down campaigns, indicating a stable demand environment [11][12] - Guidance for full-year revenue and adjusted EBITDA remains confirmed, with an increase in AFFO guidance reflecting lower interest expenses [27][30] Other Important Information - The company has successfully eliminated approximately $35 million in annual corporate expenses and expects further reductions [10] - Strong liquidity position with $568 million at the end of the quarter, including cash and available revolver funds [26] Q&A Session Summary Question: Visibility into the back half of the year and corporate expense reductions - Management indicated good visibility into the year, with positive trends in various markets, including media and entertainment [39] - Opportunities for cost reductions will be explored comprehensively, including a zero-based budget approach [42] Question: Cancellation terms for advertisers and macroeconomic impact on guidance - Standard cancellation terms are a 60-day notice for printed ads, with digital terms varying [47] - The low end of guidance reflects current market conditions without assuming broader macroeconomic impacts [48] Question: Impact of digital assets on performance during downturns - Management noted that digital revenue has historically rebounded faster than print during downturns, providing some resilience [54] Question: Site lease expenses and margin cadence - Site lease expenses are expected to stabilize, with margins affected by the MTA contract ramp-up and seasonal trends in advertising [58] Question: Debt buyback flexibility and strategic opportunities - The company is focused on optimizing its capital structure for the best yield, with a reinvestment period allowing for strategic debt management [62] - Interest from potential counterparties for creative solutions has been encouraging, but specific opportunities are still under exploration [65]

北京时间4月28日分众传媒发布了2024年全年以及2025年一季度业绩。这次财报除了关注去年四季度、今年一季度（主要是Q1）的当期业绩表现之外，最大的关注 焦点就是若顺利（主要是监管审批）收购最"难缠"的竞对——新潮传媒之后，结合当下复杂的宏观环境，公司对未来的规划和增长预期会发生如何变化？ 核心要点如下： 1. 2024收官： 虽然机构调整后的预期不高，但第四季度收入显得更艰难一些，同比下滑7%。一季度收入同样略不及预期，足以体现去年底到今年初的环境恶劣。 2. Q1同样有压力： 对于一季度的"稳态"低增长，市场priced in了绝大部分。今年春节期间消费表现一般，年初以来的社零增速也是一个前低后高的缓慢爬升趋 势，因此对于一季度，市场未报太高期望。 3. 吃下新潮，利润率打开空间： 利润上四季度主要靠短期控费，以及非主业收益的预期差，最终净利润表现略微收回来了一些。不过，非主业的收益在海豚君看 来是要剔除不考虑的，单看核心经营利润，因为收入承压，还是弱于预期。 一季度核心经营利润并未miss太多，主要则得益于过去一年优化点位的战略下毛利率持续改善，梯媒毛利率、影院毛利率同比略有改善。此外就是费用严格控制 ...

Core Viewpoint - Zhaoxun Media (301102.SZ), known as the "first stock of high-speed rail media in China," reported a revenue of 670 million yuan in 2024, marking a year-on-year growth of 12.26%, with a net profit attributable to shareholders of 75.6343 million yuan [1] Group 1: High-Speed Rail Digital Media Business - The high-speed rail digital media network is a crucial foundation for Zhaoxun Media's first business curve and core advantage, characterized by its extensive coverage, depth, and quality [2] - The company has solidified its competitive edge, signing contracts with 529 railway passenger stations and operating 495 of them, with over 98.4% being high-speed rail stations, and managing 4,957 digital media screens [2] - Zhaoxun Media has made significant upgrades to major stations like Beijing South and Shenzhen North, enhancing its media offerings and creating impactful visual advertising spaces [2] Group 2: Outdoor Media Business Development - Zhaoxun Media's outdoor naked-eye 3D screen business has begun to take shape, with new installations in key urban commercial areas, including Shenzhen and other major cities [4] - The company has established a top-tier visual creative team and is exploring AI applications in digital content production, achieving notable advancements in digital image processing [4] - The outdoor media business is progressing smoothly, with completed projects enhancing customer engagement and overall profitability [4] Group 3: Market Trends and Economic Environment - The macroeconomic environment in China is stable, providing a conducive backdrop for the advertising and media industry, with advertising revenue surpassing 1.5 trillion yuan in 2024, a 17.9% increase from the previous year [6] - The integration of advertising with the real economy is expected to continue, with significant growth in various media advertising revenues, which exceeded 1 trillion yuan for the first time [6] - Zhaoxun Media's dual-core advertising model combining high-speed rail digital media and urban commercial screen media has gained recognition from numerous leading brands, indicating strong market demand [8]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [1] Core Views - The company plans to acquire 100% equity of New潮传媒 for an estimated value of 8.3 billion yuan, primarily through share issuance at a price of 5.68 yuan per share [4][8] - The acquisition is expected to optimize media resources, reduce costs, and enhance operational efficiency and profitability [8] - The outdoor advertising market in China is projected to grow from 85.2 billion yuan in 2024 to over 120.2 billion yuan by 2029, benefiting the company from urbanization trends [8] Financial Data and Profit Forecast - Total revenue is forecasted to be 12.63 billion yuan in 2024, 13.54 billion yuan in 2025, and 14.51 billion yuan in 2026, with year-on-year growth rates of 6.1%, 7.2%, and 7.2% respectively [6][10] - Net profit attributable to the parent company is expected to reach 5.34 billion yuan in 2024, 5.87 billion yuan in 2025, and 6.48 billion yuan in 2026, with growth rates of 10.6%, 10.0%, and 10.3% respectively [6][10] - The company's earnings per share are projected to be 0.37 yuan in 2024, 0.41 yuan in 2025, and 0.45 yuan in 2026 [6][10] - The report anticipates a price-to-earnings ratio of 19 for 2024, 18 for 2025, and 16 for 2026 [6][10]

文｜财经故事荟 2025年4月9日，分众以83亿元拟收购新潮。这场被业内称为"核弹级"的并购交易，也是全球最大的户外 媒体并购案，背后有太多的故事。 分众传媒为何要收购新潮？ 分众传媒董事长江南春曾多次表示不会收购新潮，因为收购新潮后，还会有更多的竞争对手出现，所以 一定要把新潮打死。但今天却花了83亿将新潮收入囊中，为什么？行业老大消灭竞争对手的一般规律 是：首先最好打死，打不死就买，买不了就投，投不了就会长期内卷。 今天分众传媒和新潮传媒的十年的竞争正好走到了第二阶段，打不死就卖掉。因为据了解新潮传媒2022 年营收19.40亿元，净亏损4.69亿元；2023年营收19.32亿元，净亏损2.79亿元；2024年收入超过20亿，公 司全面盈利6000多万，且账上还有20亿现金储备。 新潮传媒最近几年表现出了强大的发展势头，据说2025年盈利规模还将继续增加，如果不卖掉会对分众 造成了巨大的竞争压力。所以，对于分众而言，选择在此时收购新潮是一个好战略，一方面能够缓解来 自市场方面的竞争压力；另一方面能增加社区的媒体资源，扩大利润的增量资产。并购公告后分众的股 票涨停，说明资本市场对行业双巨头合并后，未来的发展 ...

Core Viewpoint - The acquisition of New潮传媒 by 分众传媒 for 8.3 billion yuan marks a significant consolidation in China's outdoor advertising industry, enhancing 分众传媒's media network, especially in lower-tier cities and community settings [1][2]. Group 1: Strategic Rationale - The acquisition is driven by three core strategic logics: significant resource complementarity, acceleration of digital transformation through technology synergy, and alignment with national policies to boost domestic demand [1][7]. - The merger will optimize media resource coverage and enhance the comprehensive competitiveness in client development and service [2][8]. Group 2: Market Expansion - The integration of New潮传媒's 740,000 community media terminals fills coverage gaps in non-core areas, creating a complete scene loop from high-end business buildings to community settings [1][3]. - The combined media network will allow advertisers to reach diverse consumer groups, from urban elites to community families, across first-tier cities and lower-tier markets [3][7]. Group 3: Technological Advancements - 分众传媒 is redefining brand growth logic by integrating offline scenarios with digital technology, aiming to become a "super hub" connecting brand exposure and consumer conversion [5][6]. - The company is leveraging AI technology to enhance service efficiency and create new industry solutions, significantly improving advertising strategy formulation and data analysis capabilities [6][8]. Group 4: National Strategy Alignment - The strategic integration aligns with the national directive to expand domestic demand and promote consumption, positioning 分众传媒 as a key infrastructure in the consumption upgrade wave [7][8]. - The company is actively pursuing a "downward and outward" strategy, expanding media resources in lower-tier cities while optimizing coverage in first and second-tier cities [7][8].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" and is maintained [9] Core Views - The company plans to acquire 100% equity of New Wave Media through a combination of issuing shares and cash payment, with an estimated value of 8.3 billion yuan, corresponding to a price-to-sales (PS) ratio of 4.3 times based on New Wave Media's revenue of 1.932 billion yuan in 2023 [2][5] - The acquisition is expected to create synergies by complementing the company's media network coverage, especially after the bankruptcy of the third-largest media company, Huayu Media, which enhances the company's bargaining power as a leading media player [2][11] - New Wave Media has shown steady revenue growth but has not yet achieved profitability, with revenues of 1.497 billion yuan, 1.932 billion yuan, and 1.940 billion yuan for the years 2022, 2023, and the first nine months of 2024, respectively [11] - The company is projected to achieve net profits of 5.3 billion yuan and 5.9 billion yuan for the years 2024 and 2025, with price-to-earnings (PE) ratios of 20 and 18 times, respectively, assuming no consideration of the New Wave acquisition [2][11] Summary by Sections Acquisition Details - The company intends to acquire New Wave Media for 8.3 billion yuan at a share price of 5.68 yuan, with a PS ratio of 4.3 based on projected revenues [2][5] Financial Performance - New Wave Media's revenues for 2022, 2023, and the first nine months of 2024 were 1.497 billion yuan, 1.932 billion yuan, and 1.940 billion yuan, respectively, while it reported losses of 467 million yuan, 273 million yuan, and 5 million yuan [11] Market Position - The acquisition is expected to enhance the company's market position as the leading media player, benefiting from improved competition dynamics and increased bargaining power [11]

Core Viewpoint - The acquisition of New潮传媒 by 分众传媒 for 8.3 billion yuan is a strategic move to expand its market presence and enhance its competitive position in the outdoor advertising industry, particularly in the elevator advertising segment [1] Strategic Motives and Transaction Logic - Business Complementarity: The merger combines 分众's focus on high-end office buildings and core business districts with 新潮's presence in lower-tier cities and communities, creating a comprehensive media network that enhances advertising reach [2] - Policy and Timing: The acquisition benefits from favorable regulatory conditions that encourage mergers and acquisitions, with 新潮's improving financial status reducing integration risks [3] - Transaction Structure: The deal's valuation has raised concerns, but the share payment structure aligns long-term interests of 新潮's shareholders with 分众's growth potential, suggesting significant profit increases post-merger [4] Industry Impact and Future Challenges - Market Share Increase: Post-acquisition, 分众's market share in outdoor advertising will rise to 17.2%, still below leading global competitors, indicating limited overall market impact but strengthening 分众's competitive edge [5] - Competitive Landscape: The elimination of 新潮 as a major competitor may alleviate pricing pressures, allowing 分众 to enhance its pricing power in the market [5] - Digital Integration: The integration of 新潮's digital capabilities into 分众's operations is expected to attract more small and medium-sized advertisers, leveraging AI for precise marketing strategies [5] - Long-term Growth: The success of this acquisition hinges on balancing scale advantages with technological empowerment, which is crucial for the high-quality development of the advertising industry in China [6]

每经编辑 万清澄 4月9日，分众传媒发布公告，披露公司拟发行股份及支付现金购买张继学、重庆京东海嘉电子商务有限公司、百度在线网络技术（北京）有限公司等50名交 易对方合计持有的新潮传媒100%的股份。本次交易完成后，新潮传媒将成为分众传媒的全资子公司。 分众传媒表示，近年来，国家层面及交易所出台多项政策，为上市公司并购创造了有利条件，在此背景下，公司积极响应号召，推动和新潮传媒的并购整 合。此次并购完成后，通过整合双方点位资源将进一步扩大媒体覆盖密度，尤其在低线城市和社区场景补足长尾市场，双方的资源整合将产生显著的协同效 应，从"重复投入"到"协同共生"。 引领户外广告行业高质量发展 分众传媒深耕行业多年，构建了国内最大的城市生活圈媒体网络，覆盖了城市主流消费人群的工作场景、生活场景、娱乐场景、消费场景。相较于分众传媒 的全面性覆盖，新潮传媒则将目标锁定在写字楼之外的中产社区，通过灵活动态的智能投放方式服务数量庞大的中小广告主，深耕下游长尾市场。 通过本次并购，一方面，上市公司媒体资源覆盖的密度和结构可得到进一步优化，线下品牌营销网络覆盖范围得到扩大，进而增强广告主客户开发和服务方 面的综合竞争力；另一方面， ...