2025 年 12 月 23 日 晨会速递 分析师点评 市场数据 行业研究 【建材】推动投资止跌回稳，着力扩大有效投资——建材、建筑及基建公募 REITs 半 月报（11 月 29 日-12 月 19 日）(买入) 基建投资下滑，个别细分领域保持较快增长。中央经济工作会议中提出推动投资止跌 回稳；"十五五"期间我国投资仍将保持一定增量，但将更加注重投资效益，重视项 目质量及项目落地，重大工程仍将是传统基建领域的重点。当前我们建议关注：新材 料方向：中国巨石，国恩股份，濮耐股份，科达制造，宏润建设（布局机器人业务）， 洁美科技。基建地产链方向：中国建筑、东方雨虹、海螺水泥。 【房地产】1-11 月百城宅地成交建面同比-15%，成交楼面均价同比+9%——土地市 场月度跟踪报告（2025 年 11 月）(增持) | | A 股市场 | | | --- | --- | --- | | | 收盘 | 涨跌% | | 上证综指 | 3917.36 | 0.69 | | 沪深 300 | 4611.62 | 0.95 | | 深证成指 | 13332.73 | 1.47 | | 中小板指 | 8083.6 | 1.60 | ...

特别申明： 本订阅号中所涉及的证券研究信息由光大证券研究所编写，仅面向光大证券专业投资者客 户，用作新媒体形势下研究信息和研究观点的沟通交流。非光大证券专业投资者客户，请勿 订阅、接收或使用本订阅号中的任何信息。本订阅号难以设置访问权限，若给您造成不便， 敬请谅解。光大证券研究所不会因关注、收到或阅读本订阅号推送内容而视相关人员为光大 证券的客户。 报告摘要 博泰车联是中国智能座舱解决方案的领先供应商 公司成立于2009年，前身为上海博泰悦臻电子设备制造有限公司，于2025年9月在香港联交所主板上市 （股票代码：2889）。2024年按出货量计，公司居中国乘用车智能座舱域控供应商第三（市占7.3%）； 2025年1-5月按出货量计，居中国新能源乘用车座舱域控市场第二（市占13.11%）。公司是国内少数可规 模化交付高通8155/8295、提供麒麟9610A+鸿蒙方案的资深全栈方案商，业务覆盖全国29家主流OEM客 户，包括一汽、东风、上汽等国内头部车企及保时捷等国际品牌，核心产品域控制器已服务长安阿维塔、 东风岚图等头部客户。公司2024年营收25.57亿元，其中智能座舱解决方案、网联服务收入占比分别为 95 ...

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the report is that Botai Carlink (02889) is a leading supplier of smart cockpit solutions in China, with potential to penetrate the overseas OEM supply chain through international clients like Porsche, creating a second growth curve for overseas revenue [1][5] - Botai Carlink was established in 2009 and is set to be listed on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange in September 2025. It ranks third in China's passenger car smart cockpit domain control suppliers with a market share of 7.3% in 2024, and second in the new energy passenger car cockpit domain control market with a market share of 13.11% in the first half of 2025 [2] - The smart cockpit industry in China is projected to grow from 129 billion yuan in 2024 to 299.5 billion yuan by 2029, with a CAGR of 18.4%, indicating significant growth potential and a shift towards high-end solutions [3] Group 2 - Botai Carlink's revenue structure is improving, with smart cockpit solutions accounting for 95.5% of revenue in 2024 and 95.7% in the first half of 2025, while network service revenue remains minimal [2] - The company is expected to achieve a gross profit of 301 million yuan in 2024, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 30.3%, driven by its three pillars: full-stack technology, product high-endization, and ecological collaboration [4] - Revenue forecasts for Botai Carlink are 3.584 billion yuan, 5.664 billion yuan, and 8.761 billion yuan for 2025 to 2027, representing year-on-year growth rates of 40%, 58%, and 55% respectively, with a projected PS valuation higher than the average of comparable companies [5]

2025年港股IPO市场迎来爆发式增长，募资规模登顶全球主要交易所的同时，上市排队企业数量也持续攀升，形成一定程度的"堰塞湖"现象。 最新数据统计显示，截至12月17日，处于港股IPO聆讯处理中阶段的企业多达298家，其中12月半个多月内新增28家，远超11月同期的 18家，排队企业增速明显，后续节奏变化备受市场关注。此外，从市场格局来看，年内港股IPO已完成102家上市，募资额达2724.76亿 港元，同比激增226.62%，创下四年以来新高。 港股IPO"堰塞湖"现象背后，是市场对热度与潜在风险的担忧，港股监管层已针对申报质量下滑发出联合关切，投行人手短缺、文件粗糙等问题引 发关注；而二级市场"抽血"担忧虽持续发酵，但卖方研究显示一二级市场弱正相关，短期压力难改长期产业赋能逻辑，港股在规模扩张与风险防控 的平衡中持续前行。 近300家企业排队港股IPO Wind数据统计显示，科技与创新驱动的行业主导上述拟上市项目中，软件服务与硬件设备占比最高，合计约35%；医药生物行业多达6 家企业，聚焦创新药、肿瘤治疗、自身免疫疾病等高壁垒赛道，政策支持与市场需求双重驱动。 消费者服务与日常消费零售占比约25%，传统消 ...

Core Viewpoint - The company CheLink Tianxia is preparing for an IPO on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange, showcasing explosive growth in the smart cockpit domain, but faces significant challenges due to high losses and dependency on a limited customer and supplier base [1][3][10]. Financial Performance - CheLink Tianxia's revenue surged from 369 million RMB in 2022 to 2.656 billion RMB in 2024, marking an increase of over six times in three years [6][8]. - Despite the revenue growth, the company reported net losses of 514 million RMB, 201 million RMB, and 253 million RMB over the past three years, totaling nearly 1 billion RMB in losses [8]. - In the first half of 2023, net losses expanded to 262 million RMB, a 234% increase compared to the same period last year [8]. - The company's asset-liability ratio reached 198.3% by June 2025, indicating financial strain [8]. Business Model and Risks - CheLink Tianxia's customer concentration is high, with the top five customers accounting for over 95% of revenue, and 99.5% in 2023 [11][13]. - The largest customer contributed nearly 60% of revenue in 2023 and 2024, making the company vulnerable to fluctuations in their business [13]. - The company relies heavily on a single supplier for about 80% of its procurement, posing risks to cost control and supply chain stability [13][14]. - The product line is concentrated, with 100% of revenue coming from vehicle computing solutions until 2025, limiting diversification [14]. Market Potential - The global smart cockpit domain controller market is expected to grow at a compound annual growth rate of 49.9%, reaching 248 billion RMB by 2029 [16]. - Increased competition from major automotive manufacturers and technology giants poses a threat, as many are developing their own smart cockpit solutions [17]. IPO and Future Outlook - The IPO is seen as a crucial step for CheLink Tianxia to ensure sustainable development amid rising competition and scrutiny from regulatory bodies [18].

Core Viewpoint - The company, 博泰车联, has secured multiple significant orders from leading electric vehicle manufacturers, indicating strong market demand for its advanced smart cockpit solutions and solidifying its competitive position in the industry [2][6][19]. Group 1: Company Developments - 博泰车联 has received three major orders from top-tier electric vehicle manufacturers, enhancing its reputation and market competitiveness [2][3]. - The company recently completed its IPO in September, raising approximately 900 million HKD, which will support its growth and development initiatives [29]. - 应臻恺, the founder, emphasizes the importance of transforming new orders into revenue to ensure the company's survival in a competitive market [30]. Group 2: Product and Technology - 博泰车联's latest order involves providing cockpit products based on Qualcomm's 8397 platform, which offers advanced AI capabilities and superior computing performance [4][5]. - The company has shifted from basic central control screens to user experience-focused "emotional spaces," positioning smart cockpits as the command center of vehicles [7]. - The average price of high-end domain controllers is 2,951 RMB per unit, three times that of lower-end products, contributing significantly to revenue growth [16]. Group 3: Market Position and Financial Performance - 博泰车联 is the third-largest supplier of smart cockpit domain controller solutions in China, holding a 7.3% market share as of 2024 [19]. - The company's revenue for the first half of 2023 reached 1.086 billion RMB, reflecting a 26.2% year-on-year increase, although it reported a loss of 227.371 million RMB [18][21]. - The revenue from domain controllers is projected to grow from 674 million RMB in 2022 to 1.959 billion RMB in 2024, with a compound annual growth rate of 70.5% [18]. Group 4: Challenges and Strategic Focus - Despite recent successes, 博泰车联 faces challenges, including an expanded loss of 230 million RMB in the first half of 2023 and a slowdown in the growth rate of its core domain controller business [21][28]. - 应臻恺 highlights the necessity of maintaining strong relationships with both major manufacturers and chip suppliers to navigate the complexities of the global market [12]. - The company is increasing its investment in AI and technology development, with 1.1 billion RMB allocated for R&D in the first half of 2023, representing 10% of its revenue [27].

Core Insights - The article emphasizes that by 2025, smart cockpits will transition from "function stacking" to "experience reconstruction," as user demands evolve from basic interactions to emotional companionship and multi-modal integration [3][11] - Industry data indicates that 85% of global vehicles equipped with L2+ and above smart driving will feature multi-screen interactions and voice assistants, with Gen Z users making up 42% of the market, driving the shift towards personalized and immersive experiences [3][11] Current Challenges in Smart Cockpits - The smart cockpit industry faces multiple challenges, including ecosystem fragmentation, data security issues, and impractical user experiences [5][11] - Over 30% of vehicles excessively collect user data, with only a few companies meeting high security standards, while 60% of users find features like in-car karaoke useless [5][11] - The integration of smart cockpits and smart driving is costly, with high maintenance costs for flexible screens and inconsistent software updates posing significant challenges [5][11] Industry Insights from Experts - Experts at the WNAT-CES 2025 conference discussed the fragmentation of hardware and software in smart cockpits, leading to high adaptation costs for content providers and a lack of differentiation in user experience [7][8] - The need for a unified standard and ecosystem expansion was highlighted as a significant challenge, with traditional mobile internet paths not necessarily applicable to the automotive sector [7][8] - The automotive industry is undergoing significant changes due to the influx of innovators from the consumer electronics sector, necessitating multiple transformations [9][23] User Experience and Demand - Current smart cockpits have achieved basic functionalities like multi-screen interaction and voice control, but there are still gaps in user experience, particularly in adapting to different user needs [31][32] - The balance between universal and targeted user needs remains a challenge, with different age groups requiring different interaction designs [31][32] Future Directions and Innovations - The integration of AI and multi-modal perception in smart cockpits is expected to significantly enhance user interaction, but it will also require substantial data processing capabilities [38][39] - The future of smart cockpits will likely involve a shift towards a platform-based approach, allowing for more efficient cost management and user experience improvements [47][63] - The industry is encouraged to focus on safety and compliance while innovating, ensuring that user data privacy and security are prioritized [49][50] Competitive Advantages in the Chinese Market - China's largest market and user base provide a significant advantage for innovation and iteration in the smart cockpit sector [56][58] - The collaborative environment in China allows for rapid testing and growth of various applications, fostering a culture of innovation [56][58]

Core Viewpoint - The company, Botai Che Lian (02889), has seen a nearly 7% increase in stock price due to recent project confirmations from major automotive manufacturers for overseas smart cockpit projects [1] Group 1: Company Developments - Botai Che Lian has received project confirmation notices, including one from a leading high-end new energy vehicle manufacturer, designating the company as the supplier for the cockpit domain controller for the 8295 platform [1] - The company has also received a series of project confirmation notices from a global leading automotive manufacturer, indicating that it will provide high-end integrated hardware and software solutions for smart cockpits in the global market [1] Group 2: Market Position and Strategy - Botai Che Lian is recognized as a leading supplier of smart cockpit solutions in China, and the recent influx of project confirmations suggests that its comprehensive smart solutions have established a solid competitive edge among international high-end automotive manufacturers [1] - The two confirmed projects are focused on overseas market development, marking a transition for the company from "technology going abroad" to "supply chain scaling abroad" [1]

Core Viewpoint - The recent announcements of project confirmations indicate that the company is solidifying its competitive position in the international high-end automotive market, marking a transition to a new phase of "technology export" and "supply chain scale export" [1] Company Developments - The company has seen a stock price increase of nearly 7%, currently trading at 189.1 HKD with a transaction volume of 15.3037 million HKD [1] - The company has received project confirmation notifications from a leading high-end new energy vehicle manufacturer, designating it as the supplier for the overseas integrated hardware and software cockpit domain controller for the 8295 platform [1] - Additionally, the company has received a series of project confirmations from a global leading automotive manufacturer, indicating it will provide high-end intelligent cockpit integrated core products and solutions in the global market [1] Industry Insights - The concentration of recent project confirmations suggests that the company's comprehensive intelligent solutions have established a strong competitive edge among international high-end automotive manufacturers [1] - Both confirmed projects are focused on overseas market development, highlighting the company's strategic shift towards international expansion [1]

Core Viewpoint - A significant wave of companies from Nanjing is pursuing IPOs in Hong Kong, contributing to a broader trend of increased overseas listings by Chinese firms in 2023, with 60 companies listed on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange and a financing share of 58.9% from the exchange [1][10]. Group 1: Nanjing Companies Going Public - Four companies from Nanjing successfully listed this year, including Jiangsu Aisidun Automation Co., which leads the industrial robot market with a 10.5% market share [2][4]. - Thirteen Nanjing enterprises have submitted applications to the Hong Kong Stock Exchange, indicating a strong interest in international capital markets [7][10]. Group 2: Innovative Pharmaceutical Companies - Nanjing's innovative pharmaceutical companies are particularly active, with Jiangsu Aisidun and Weili Zhibo both successfully listing on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange within a month [8][9]. - The Nanjing Jiangbei New Area has implemented supportive policies to facilitate the overseas listing of innovative drug companies, including a 1 billion yuan investment fund [10][11]. Group 3: Market Dynamics and Trends - The trend of Nanjing companies going public is driven by both the unique advantages of the Hong Kong market and the urgent financing needs of enterprises, particularly in emerging sectors like biomedicine and artificial intelligence [11][12]. - The Hong Kong Stock Exchange has optimized its listing system, providing broader capital access for companies at different development stages, which is attracting more firms to consider overseas listings [12].