Group 1 - The core viewpoint is that Hong Kong Exchanges and Clearing Limited (HKEX) is showing a bullish trend, with a recent price increase and potential for further gains, particularly targeting a resistance level of 456 HKD [1][3]. - The stock price of HKEX reached 459.6 HKD, marking a 2.54% increase, surpassing the previously mentioned resistance level [1][3]. - Technical indicators suggest a strong upward trend, with the stock price above key moving averages, indicating a positive market sentiment [3][5]. Group 2 - Recent trading volumes in the Hong Kong market have been robust, with daily turnover exceeding 200 billion HKD, contributing positively to HKEX's performance [2]. - The influx of significant IPOs in the Hong Kong market is expected to benefit HKEX directly, enhancing its revenue potential [2]. - The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is at 63, indicating strong buying momentum without entering overbought territory, further supporting a bullish outlook [5]. Group 3 - Investors are advised to consider various structured products, including call warrants with leverage ratios of 12.3 and 11.6 times, which present lower holding costs compared to similar products [8]. - For bearish investors, options such as put warrants with leverage ratios of 8.7 and 8.6 times are available, providing hedging opportunities [8][11]. - Recent performance of leveraged products has shown significant returns, with some products achieving gains of 25% and 17%, outperforming the underlying stock's increase of 1.54% [5].

Core Viewpoint - Hong Kong Stock Exchange (HKEX) reported record-high revenues and profits in the first half of 2025, driven by increased trading activity in the stock market and derivatives [1][4]. Financial Performance - Total revenue for the first half of 2025 reached HKD 14.08 billion, a year-on-year increase of 32.5%, with Q2 revenue growing by 33.2% year-on-year and 5.3% quarter-on-quarter to HKD 7.22 billion [1]. - Net profit attributable to shareholders was HKD 8.52 billion, up 39.1% year-on-year, with Q2 net profit increasing by 40.8% year-on-year and 9.0% quarter-on-quarter to HKD 4.44 billion [1]. - EBITDA margin stood at 79%, reflecting a 6 percentage point increase year-on-year [1]. Revenue Breakdown - Trading fees, system usage fees, and settlement fees totaled HKD 8.06 billion, accounting for 57.3% of total revenue, with a year-on-year increase of 48.9% [2]. - Investment income netted HKD 2.88 billion, representing 20.4% of total revenue, with a year-on-year growth of 14.0% [2]. - Listing fee income was HKD 0.82 billion, making up 5.8% of total revenue, and increased by 12.6% year-on-year [2]. Market Activity - Average daily trading volume for stock securities reached HKD 222.8 billion, a half-year record, with a year-on-year increase of 122.1% [3]. - The derivatives market saw an average daily trading volume of HKD 17.4 billion, up 72.3% year-on-year [3]. - Northbound and southbound trading average daily transaction amounts were RMB 171.3 billion and HKD 111.0 billion, respectively, both achieving half-year highs [3]. New Listings - The number of new listings in Hong Kong reached 44 in the first half of 2025, a 46.7% increase year-on-year, raising a total of HKD 109.4 billion, which is a 716.4% increase [4]. - As of the end of Q2 2025, there were 207 listing applications pending, representing a 146.4% increase from the end of the previous year [4]. Investment Outlook - The company is viewed as a rare asset with balanced growth potential, maintaining a "buy" rating [4]. - The financial performance in the first half of 2025 has led to an upward revision of net profit forecasts for 2025-2027 [4].

Core Viewpoint - The Hong Kong Stock Exchange (HKEX) has achieved record-high profits in the first half of the year, driven by increased trading activity and the expansion of its services, presenting a historical opportunity for quality mainland enterprises to list in Hong Kong, which is expected to enhance HKEX's long-term profitability [1][3]. Summary by Relevant Sections Financial Performance - HKEX's revenue and net profit for the first half of 2025 are projected to be HKD 14.08 billion and HKD 8.52 billion, respectively, representing year-on-year increases of 32.5% and 39.1% [1]. - The trading-related income has significantly contributed to the company's performance, with trading fees and system usage fees increasing by 49% and 48% year-on-year, contributing 47% and 30% to revenue growth [2]. - The average daily turnover (ADT) in the Hong Kong cash market reached HKD 240.2 billion, a year-on-year increase of 118% [2]. Growth Drivers - The growth of HKEX is attributed to the expansion of the Hong Kong stock market and the broadening of its service boundaries, with an increasing number of quality mainland enterprises seeking to list in Hong Kong [3]. - The company's business model allows for long-term performance growth in line with the expansion of the Hong Kong stock market, with revenue stability around 1.2% of the total market capitalization since 2015 [3]. Market Outlook - The expectation of improved overseas liquidity and domestic economic stabilization policies is anticipated to further enhance trading and financing activities in the Hong Kong stock market, driving revenue growth beyond expectations [1]. - The ongoing internationalization of mainland enterprises and supportive external policies are expected to attract more quality companies to list in Hong Kong, thereby increasing the market's appeal [3].

Core Viewpoint - Global exchanges are extending trading hours to compete for liquidity and attract global capital, with Hong Kong Stock Exchange (HKEX) taking a cautious yet proactive approach to this trend [2][3][6]. Group 1: HKEX's Approach to Trading Hours - HKEX currently operates for 5.5 hours daily, which is longer than A-shares but shorter than major Western markets. The CEO emphasized the need for a careful and gradual approach to extending trading hours, citing significant market impacts and risk management concerns [3][7]. - Deloitte's report suggests that HKEX should gradually extend trading hours to 6 PM, eventually aiming for 24-hour trading to align with European markets and enhance liquidity [3][7]. - The CEO of HKEX highlighted the importance of stakeholder consultation and the potential risks associated with continuous trading, noting that current trading hours allow for error correction [6][7]. Group 2: A-shares Consideration - A-shares currently have the shortest trading time of 4 hours, which is less than that of major global exchanges. Experts argue that extending trading hours is essential for aligning with international standards and enhancing the attractiveness of Chinese assets [4][5][11]. - Suggestions for A-shares include a phased approach to extend trading hours, initially synchronizing with HKEX and later aligning with other major exchanges [5][11]. - The China Securities Regulatory Commission has indicated a willingness to explore extending trading hours for A-shares to better meet investor needs [10]. Group 3: Market Dynamics and Implications - The trend of extending trading hours is seen as a necessary evolution for global financial markets, with major exchanges like Nasdaq and NYSE planning significant extensions [6][8]. - Continuous trading could help smooth price fluctuations and attract more liquidity, benefiting different time zone investors and enhancing market competitiveness [8][9]. - However, there are concerns about the potential for lower trading volumes during night sessions and increased operational costs for brokers, though some believe it could lead to higher revenues for brokerage firms [9].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [1] Core Insights - The company achieved record high revenue and profit in the first half of 2025, with total revenue of 14.08 billion HKD, a year-on-year increase of 32.5% [5] - The increase in revenue was primarily driven by heightened trading activity in the Hong Kong stock market, with average daily trading volume rising by 117.6% to 240.2 billion HKD [5][7] - The report projects continued growth in the second half of 2025, supported by favorable market conditions and increased listings from mainland companies [8] Financial Performance Summary - Total revenue for the first half of 2025 was 14.08 billion HKD, with a net profit of 8.52 billion HKD, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 39.1% [5] - The EBITDA margin improved to 79%, up by 6 percentage points compared to the previous year [5] - The company’s investment income netted 2.88 billion HKD, a 14.0% increase year-on-year, benefiting from non-recurring foreign exchange gains [6] Market Activity Summary - The average daily trading volume for stock securities reached 222.8 billion HKD, marking a 122.1% increase year-on-year [7] - The derivatives market also saw significant growth, with average daily trading volume increasing by 72.3% [7] - The number of new listings in Hong Kong rose to 44 in the first half of 2025, a 46.7% increase year-on-year, with total funds raised amounting to 109.4 billion HKD [8] Earnings Forecast - The report revises the company's net profit forecasts for 2025-2027 to 17.3 billion, 18.5 billion, and 19.5 billion HKD respectively, reflecting an optimistic outlook based on current performance [8][9]

Core Viewpoint - UBS has raised its average daily trading volume forecasts for Hong Kong Exchanges and Clearing (HKEX) for the years 2025 to 2027, reflecting positive market data and institutional targets for the Hang Seng Index [1] Group 1: Trading Volume and Earnings Forecast - The average daily trading volume forecast for HKEX has been increased to HKD 230 billion, HKD 193 billion, and HKD 219 billion for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively [1] - Earnings per share estimates have been raised by 5%, 3%, and 2% to HKD 12.5, HKD 10.9, and HKD 11.8 for the same years [1] - The target price for HKEX has been adjusted from HKD 430 to HKD 464, while maintaining a "Neutral" rating [1] Group 2: Southbound Trading and Market Participation - The contribution of southbound trading to HKEX's overall average daily trading volume is expected to nearly double from approximately 16% in Q1 of last year to nearly 28% in the current third quarter [1] - Increased participation from a broader base of domestic investors, particularly retail investors, indicates further potential for growth in southbound trading [1] Group 3: Future Developments - HKEX is exploring the possibility of zero-day options, although the complexity of execution means that a specific timeline is still unclear [1] - The exchange believes that extending trading hours requires comprehensive consideration from various perspectives [1]

Core Viewpoint - Hong Kong Stock Exchange (HKEX) reported record-breaking revenue and net profit for the first half of 2025, with revenue reaching HKD 14.076 billion, a 33% year-on-year increase, and net profit attributable to shareholders at HKD 8.519 billion, up 39% [2] Group 1: Financial Performance - HKEX's main business revenue grew by 34% to HKD 12.954 billion, driven by record trading volumes in the spot and stock options markets, increased custody fees, and higher margin balances contributing to net investment income [2] - The average daily trading volume in the securities market surged to HKD 240.2 billion, a 118% increase year-on-year, influenced by favorable market conditions and increased participation from international and mainland investors [3] Group 2: Market Trends and Innovations - Northbound and Southbound trading under the Stock Connect programs reached historical highs, with the average daily turnover for the Stock Connect at RMB 171.3 billion, a 32% increase, and HKD 111 billion for Hong Kong Stock Connect, soaring 196% [3] - The Hong Kong ETF market also saw significant growth, with an average daily turnover of HKD 33.8 billion, up 184% from the previous year [3] Group 3: IPO Activity - The first half of the year saw 44 companies listed on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange, raising a total of HKD 109.4 billion, a staggering 716% increase year-on-year, marking the strongest performance since 2021 [6] - There are currently over 200 IPO applications being processed, more than double the 84 applications at the end of the previous year, indicating a robust pipeline for new listings [6][5] Group 4: Future Outlook - Despite global economic uncertainties, HKEX is expected to maintain its growth momentum, particularly with more innovative companies, especially in technology and biotechnology, choosing to list in Hong Kong [4] - Predictions suggest that if the Federal Reserve initiates interest rate cuts, liquidity in the Hong Kong market will improve, potentially leading to valuation recovery in sectors like technology and biomedicine [4] - HKEX has implemented reforms to attract specialized technology companies, which have already shown positive results in attracting new listings and enhancing market competitiveness [6][7]

陈翊庭接受媒体访问时提到，最近黑雨有三次在交易日发生。那三天不论是交易方面、后续的结算都没 有出现问题，每日成交做到2000亿港元以上。这是一个例子，可以说明进行结构优化，必须要很仔细研 究、做得仔细。 年初《财政预算案》提出改善"手数"制，港交所计划年底咨询市场意见，陈翊庭表示，这不是一个纯粹 在技术上、系统作提升就可以做到，交收、清算等各方各面都会有影响，因此不可以掉以轻心，运作上 要作出全盘考虑。 近日有意见提议港股延长至24小时交易、取消中午休市时段，以维持竞争力。港交所(00388)行政总裁 陈翊庭表示，明白有投资者期望更便捷、更快、无间断地参与市场，但正如研究恶劣天气如常交易，任 何关系到延长交易时段的建议都必须与持份者充分沟通，慎重及仔细研究细节。 ...

Group 1 - UBS predicts that the contribution of southbound trading to the average daily trading volume of the Hong Kong Stock Exchange (HKEX) is expected to double from approximately 16% in Q1 of last year to nearly 28% in the third quarter of this year [1] - The increase in participation from domestic investors, particularly retail investors, indicates further potential for southbound trading growth [1] - HKEX is exploring the possibility of zero-day options, but the complexity of execution means that a specific timeline remains unclear [1] Group 2 - HKEX is considering the extension of trading hours, which requires comprehensive consideration from various perspectives [1] - Based on market data for Q3 and updated institutional targets for the Hang Seng Index, UBS has raised its average daily trading volume forecasts for HKEX for 2025 to 2027 to HKD 230 billion, HKD 193 billion, and HKD 219 billion respectively [1] - Earnings per share estimates have been increased by 5%, 3%, and 2% for the same years, reaching HKD 12.5, HKD 10.9, and HKD 11.8 respectively [1] Group 3 - UBS has raised its target price for HKEX from HKD 430 to HKD 464 while maintaining a "neutral" rating [1]

Report Industry Investment Ratings - Not mentioned in the provided content. Core Views of the Report - The stock market is expected to fluctuate. The recent rise in the stock market is mainly due to three logics: in the long - term, the market anticipates more fiscal policies to stimulate consumption and an increase in domestic inflation after the easing of Sino - US relations, with foreign capital flowing in and usually buying large - cap growth stocks; in the medium - term, the anti - involution trend and infrastructure investment on the demand side benefit upstream cyclical sectors; in the short - term, the capital market has relatively abundant liquidity due to RMB appreciation under a weak US dollar and improved corporate deposit and loan data [1]. - The bond market is expected to fluctuate. In the short term, the bond market is under pressure due to the recovery of risk appetite, but with no significant changes in the capital and fundamental aspects, there is no clear directional driver for the bond market [3]. Summary According to Relevant Catalogs Research Views Stock Index - On August 21, the A - share market closed down with oscillations. The Wind All - A index fell 0.13% with a trading volume of 2.46 trillion yuan. The CSI 1000 index dropped 0.71%, the CSI 500 index declined 0.36%, while the SSE 50 index rose 0.53% and the SSE 300 index increased 0.39%. Policies such as personal consumer loan interest subsidies and the implementation of the parenting subsidy program are expected to boost consumption and inflation. It is predicted that the central bank will purchase national debt to raise funds for the central government and introduce more inclusive fiscal support programs to stabilize and increase inflation [1]. Treasury Bonds - Treasury bond futures closed higher on August 21. The 30 - year, 10 - year, 5 - year, and 2 - year main contracts rose 0.34%, 0.07%, 0.06%, and 0.02% respectively. The central bank conducted 253 billion yuan of reverse repurchase operations, with a net investment of 124.3 billion yuan. The weighted average rates of DR001 and DR007 decreased by 7bp and 5bp to 1.46% and 1.51% respectively. The LPR in August remained unchanged, with the 1 - year LPR at 3.00% and the over - 5 - year LPR at 3.50% [3]. Daily Price Changes - For stock index futures on August 21, IH rose 0.50%, IF increased 0.29%, IC dropped 0.58%, and IM declined 1.01%. For stock indices, the SSE 50 rose 0.53%, the SSE 300 increased 0.39%, the CSI 500 fell 0.36%, and the CSI 1000 dropped 0.71%. For treasury bond futures, TS rose 0.03%, TF increased 0.08%, T rose 0.02%, and TL increased 0.05% [4]. Market News - At the HKEX's 2025 interim results meeting, some market participants suggested extending trading hours. The HKEX CEO's response was misinterpreted. The HKEX stated that it is committed to providing more convenience to investors and is open to relevant suggestions, but extending trading hours has a significant impact on the market and requires careful consideration and consultation with all market participants [5]. Chart Analysis Stock Index Futures - The report provides charts of the trends and basis of IH, IF, IM, and IC main contracts, including the closing prices of corresponding stock index futures and the basis trends over time [7][8][9][10]. Treasury Bond Futures - Charts show the trends of treasury bond futures main contracts, treasury bond spot yields, basis, inter - period spreads, cross - variety spreads, and capital interest rates [13][15][16][17]. Exchange Rates - The report includes charts of the central parity rates of the US dollar, euro against the RMB, forward exchange rates of the US dollar and euro against the RMB, the US dollar index, and exchange rates of the euro, pound, and yen against the US dollar [20][21][22][24][25].