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商务部12月18日召开例行新闻发布会
Shang Wu Bu Wang Zhan· 2025-12-18 23:20
Group 1 - The Ministry of Commerce, along with six other departments, has issued an "Action Plan for Promoting High-Quality Development of Service Outsourcing," focusing on digitalization, enterprise cultivation, and infrastructure development [3][4]. - The plan emphasizes digital infrastructure construction and aims to upgrade from traditional service models to "industry empowerment + ecological services," promoting international data service businesses [3]. - It aims to cultivate competitive service outsourcing enterprises and enhance financial support for these companies, including the use of export credit insurance to help them expand into international markets [3][4]. Group 2 - Starting January 1, 2026, the Ministry of Commerce and the General Administration of Customs will implement export license management for certain steel products, marking the first such measure in 16 years [5]. - The primary goal is to strengthen monitoring and statistical analysis of steel product exports, ensuring quality control and compliance with international standards [5]. - Companies will be required to provide quality inspection certificates when applying for export licenses, encouraging a focus on product quality and innovation in the steel industry [5]. Group 3 - The recent meeting of the China-Morocco Economic and Trade Joint Committee highlighted strong bilateral trade growth, with trade expected to reach $9.04 billion in 2024, a new historical high [9][10]. - Investment cooperation is deepening, with 40 companies signing agreements to settle in the Tangier Technology City, showcasing the growing economic ties between the two nations [9]. - Future cooperation will focus on enhancing trade balance, expanding investments, and exploring new areas such as renewable energy and digital economy [10]. Group 4 - The Ministry of Commerce is engaged in negotiations with the EU regarding electric vehicle tariffs and minimum price schemes, emphasizing the need for dialogue to resolve differences [12]. - The Ministry has expressed concerns over the EU's increasing trade restrictions and investigations against Chinese companies, which could create barriers to fair competition [13][14]. - There is a call for the EU to adhere to the principles of mutual benefit and to create a fair and transparent business environment for Chinese enterprises operating in Europe [14].
美俄联手让欧洲“变天”,全新的世界格局,将中国彻底排除在外?
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-12-18 21:06
Group 1 - The notion of a "US-Russia alliance" is misleading, as the energy dynamics in Europe have shifted from a heavy reliance on Russian gas to a significant dependence on US liquefied natural gas (LNG), with US LNG now accounting for over half of Europe's supply [3][4] - The US is set to gain financially from this energy transition, with Europe expected to spend €100 billion on US gas over three years, while the price of US LNG is notably higher than other sources [4][6] - The relationship between the US and Russia in the context of the Ukraine conflict is characterized by a strategic maneuvering rather than a true alliance, with the US aiming to shift its focus from Europe to the Asia-Pacific region [3][9] Group 2 - The claim that China is being excluded from the new world order overlooks the reality of global interdependence, as China's exports to the EU grew by 8.9% in the first 11 months, and ASEAN has become China's largest trading partner [6][9] - Despite the US's attempts to isolate China, Russia's increasing cooperation with China in various sectors, including energy and technology, indicates a deepening partnership that counters US influence [6][9] - China's role in the global supply chain is significant, with its competitive edge in electric vehicles and lithium batteries showing robust growth, making it unlikely for any party to effectively exclude China from the global economy [7][9]
SpaceX上市预期升温之际 特斯拉的“马斯克溢价”备受关注
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-12-18 19:03
Core Viewpoint - Elon Musk is promoting a vision of autonomous vehicles, robotic assistants, and life on Mars, with Tesla stock being the only way for investors to bet on this vision [1][5] Group 1: Tesla Stock Performance - Tesla's stock rose nearly 3% on Thursday, reaching a record high for the year on Tuesday, with a four-week cumulative increase of over 20% [1][5] - Since hitting a low on April 8 due to market fears over Trump administration tariffs, Tesla's stock has surged nearly 120%, ranking among the top 20 performers in the S&P 500 [1][5] Group 2: Valuation Concerns - The stock's rise reflects Wall Street's confidence in Musk's AI ambitions, despite challenges in Tesla's core automotive business [5] - Tesla's price-to-earnings ratio is at 214 times projected earnings for the next 12 months, the second highest in the S&P 500, significantly higher than Palantir Technologies Inc.'s 178 times [5] - Analysts express skepticism about the sustainability of Tesla's valuation given slowing sales, declining profits, increased regulatory scrutiny, and reduced consumer spending on vehicles [9] Group 3: SpaceX IPO Impact - SpaceX is planning an internal share sale with a valuation of $800 billion, potentially becoming the highest-valued private company globally, with its IPO expected to be the largest in history [3][8] - Analysts suggest that SpaceX's IPO could exert downward pressure on Tesla's stock, as some investors hold Tesla shares primarily to bet on Musk's vision rather than the automotive business itself [8] - Conversely, there are views that SpaceX's IPO could enhance Tesla's appeal, as significant milestones in Musk's companies often boost investor confidence across his ventures [8]
摩根士丹利邢自强:未来五年中国前沿行业将“再拔头筹”
Zhong Guo Xin Wen Wang· 2025-12-18 17:38
Core Viewpoint - The next five years will see China leading in advanced industries such as 6G networks, quantum technology, brain-computer integration, nuclear fusion, and next-generation biomanufacturing, driven by significant advantages in industrial capabilities, talent, and domestic market utilization [1][2] Group 1: Industrial Advantages - China has a first-mover advantage in electric vehicles, lithium batteries, next-generation smart cars, and future nuclear fusion technologies, attributed to three main advantages [1] - The first advantage is the industrial chain clustering capability, where regions like the Yangtze River Delta and Pearl River Delta can quickly access various components and engineers within a few dozen kilometers, a unique advantage not replicable by any other economy [1] - The second advantage is the talent reserve, with China producing a large number of graduates in artificial intelligence each year, providing a foundational talent pool for industrial and innovative development [1] Group 2: Market Utilization - The third advantage is the effective use of the domestic market, where most Chinese companies start locally, leveraging strong domestic demand to enhance product competitiveness before expanding internationally [1] - These three advantages are expected to continue to evolve and be leveraged during the 14th Five-Year Plan period [2]
事关稀土、钢铁出口!商务部密集发声
Shang Hai Zheng Quan Bao· 2025-12-18 14:55
Group 1: Steel Export License Management - The Ministry of Commerce has reintroduced export license management for steel products after 16 years, covering approximately 300 customs codes related to steel products [4] - The primary goal is to enhance monitoring and statistical analysis of steel product exports, ensuring product quality [4] - Companies must provide quality inspection certificates when applying for export licenses, promoting a focus on product quality and increased R&D investment [4] Group 2: Rare Earth Export Control - Since implementing export controls on rare earth items, Chinese authorities have communicated policies to exporters, with some meeting the basic requirements for general license applications [2][9] - A number of general license applications from Chinese exporters have been received and approved [9] Group 3: Service Outsourcing Development - The Ministry of Commerce, along with other departments, has launched an action plan to promote high-quality development in service outsourcing, emphasizing digital trade as a key component [8] - The action plan includes six initiatives focusing on digital infrastructure, innovation, enterprise cultivation, market expansion, industry standards, and talent development [8][11] - Key characteristics of the plan include digital leadership, strengthening competitive enterprises, and solidifying foundational infrastructure [11] Group 4: EU-China Electric Vehicle Negotiations - Ongoing negotiations between China and the EU regarding electric vehicle tariffs and minimum pricing are taking place, with China advocating for dialogue to resolve differences [5] - The Chinese side emphasizes the importance of mutual understanding and cooperation to create a stable market environment for both parties [5] Group 5: Opposition to EU Investigations - The Chinese side has expressed strong opposition to the European Commission's investigations into several Chinese companies under the Foreign Subsidies Regulation, calling for an end to what it perceives as unreasonable pressure on foreign investment [6] - China is closely monitoring the situation and will take necessary measures to protect the legitimate rights of its enterprises [6]
全球能源投资大转向,未来每年5.6万亿元将涌入这两大领域
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-12-18 11:26
Core Insights - The focus of energy investment is shifting from power generation to grid and energy storage, with global annual investments in grid upgrades and energy storage expected to exceed $800 billion (approximately 5.6 trillion RMB) by 2030, representing a significant increase of over 50% from current levels [1] Investment Trends - Global investment in solar photovoltaic power is projected to reach $554 billion in 2024, a 49% increase compared to 2022 [2] - Investment in electric vehicles is expected to be $763 billion, marking a 33% increase [2] - Battery storage investments are anticipated to grow by 73% to $54 billion in 2024, which is 11 times the average level from 2019-2020 [3] Energy Transition Characteristics - The energy transition is characterized by three main trends: 1. Divergence in transition paths influenced by political and economic factors, with the U.S. and EU showing contrasting approaches [6] 2. China emerging as a leader in green low-carbon development, with significant advancements in wind and solar capacity [6] 3. Electrification becoming a common pathway for global energy transition, with electricity demand projected to grow by 32% over the next decade [6] Future Energy Consumption - Global energy consumption growth is expected to slow, with a projected increase of 1.7% during the "15th Five-Year Plan" period, down 1.1 percentage points from the previous period [7] - China's non-fossil energy is predicted to become the dominant energy source, with its share of total power generation expected to reach 50% by 2035 and 91% by 2060 [7][8] Carbon Emissions Outlook - Global carbon emissions from energy combustion are projected to reach 36.1 billion tons by 2030, with a plateau phase expected [11] - China's energy-related carbon emissions are anticipated to stabilize around 1.06 billion tons, with a potential reduction of 10% from peak levels by 2035 [11] Hydrogen Energy Potential - The hydrogen industry is expected to play a significant role in achieving carbon neutrality, with green hydrogen demand projected to reach 1.2 million tons by 2030 [12] - By 2060, the hydrogen sector could contribute to a reduction of 600 million tons of carbon emissions, accounting for approximately 10% of China's carbon neutrality goals [12]
国际机构密集上调增长预期 中国经济基本面被看好
Zhong Guo Xin Wen Wang· 2025-12-18 11:08
Group 1 - Multiple international institutions have raised their growth forecasts for China's economy, with the IMF increasing its 2025 growth prediction by 0.2 percentage points to 5% and the World Bank raising it by 0.4 percentage points [1] - Major investment banks like Goldman Sachs and Deutsche Bank have also adopted a positive outlook, with Goldman Sachs adjusting its 2025 growth forecast from 4.9% to 5.0% [1] - This upward revision occurs amidst a globally unstable economic environment, where the IMF projects a global growth rate of only 3.2% for 2025 [1] Group 2 - Resilience is a key theme highlighted by various institutions regarding China's economy, with the IMF noting significant resilience despite multiple shocks [2] - The World Bank states that China's economic performance has exceeded initial expectations for the year, particularly in exports [2] Group 3 - The resilience of China's economy is attributed to strong macroeconomic policies and the coordinated efforts of the "three drivers" of growth [3] - The Chinese government has prioritized expanding domestic demand, with policies like the trade-in program for consumer goods contributing to a recovery in consumer spending [3] - In the first three quarters, China's retail sales grew by 4.5% year-on-year, with final consumption contributing 53.5% to economic growth, an increase of 9 percentage points from the previous year [3] Group 4 - China's foreign trade remains robust, with a 4.0% year-on-year increase in total goods imports and exports in the first three quarters, and a 6.2% increase in trade with Belt and Road Initiative countries [3] - The World Bank emphasizes that the diversification of export markets is a crucial support for China's trade resilience [3] Group 5 - China's export competitiveness is no longer primarily reliant on price, as the country has established a strong presence in advanced industries such as electric vehicles and solar panels, allowing it to withstand moderate currency appreciation [4] - The Central Economic Work Conference has outlined a more proactive macroeconomic policy approach, emphasizing the importance of domestic demand and a strong domestic market for 2026 [4] Group 6 - The IMF's managing director expressed confidence in China's potential for stronger economic growth, projecting that China's contribution to global economic growth could remain around 30% in the coming years [6] - China's economic growth is seen as a stabilizing force for the global economy, benefiting not only its own development but also the broader world economy [6]
马斯克再批比尔·盖茨,指责其做空特斯拉致百亿潜在亏损
Huan Qiu Wang· 2025-12-18 09:20
【环球网科技综合报道】12月18日消息,据teslarati报道称,特斯拉首席执行官埃隆·马斯克近日再次公开批评微软联合创始人比尔·盖茨,重提后者曾做空特 斯拉股票一事,并估算若其至今未平仓,盖茨可能已面临超过100亿美元的账面亏损。 据马斯克披露,几年前盖茨曾在短信中向他承认,自己仍持有相当于特斯拉约1%股份的空头仓位。讽刺的是,盖茨当时联系马斯克的初衷是探讨慈善合作 的可能性。对此,马斯克表示无法认真对待这一提议,理由是盖茨"希望从唯一一家认真推动电动汽车发展的公司倒闭中获利"。 外媒称,马斯克与盖茨之间的紧张关系由来已久。近年来,两人在公共政策、科技发展方向及慈善理念等多个领域存在分歧。最近一次交锋发生在11月中 旬,当时马斯克就盖茨基金会抛售其所持65%微软股份一事作出回应。(青云) ...
中欧双方正在就电动汽车案开展磋商
Xin Hua She· 2025-12-18 09:16
新华社北京12月18日电(记者黄韬铭、谢希瑶)商务部新闻发言人何亚东18日说,中欧双方正在就电动 汽车案开展磋商。中方的原则和立场是一贯的,愿与欧方通过对话磋商妥善解决分歧,推进达成行业整 体解决方案。 ...
股价高度押注自动驾驶?分析师警告:特斯拉汽车业务每股仅值30美元
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-12-18 09:02
Core Viewpoint - Tesla's stock price is currently trading as if it is a future technology AI giant, driven by recent positive news regarding Robotaxi developments [1] Group 1: Stock Performance - Tesla's stock reached an all-time high of $1.63 trillion in market capitalization due to autonomous driving news [3] - However, the stock fell over 4% to close at $467.26, with a market cap of $1.55 trillion, despite a more than 4% increase over the past five trading days [4] Group 2: Business Valuation - According to William Blair's energy research head, Jed Dorsheimer, the core electric vehicle business is valued at only $30 to $40 per share, significantly downplayed in the overall market valuation [2][8] - Dorsheimer notes that the market is increasingly focused on Tesla's advancements in autonomous driving and energy sectors, with the autonomous driving business now accounting for over 70% of Tesla's total valuation [8] Group 3: Future Outlook and Challenges - The growth of Tesla's energy business is notable, potentially matching or exceeding the value of its automotive segment [9] - Dorsheimer expresses confidence in the long-term prospects of Tesla's energy business as a severely underestimated growth engine [10] - However, the company faces significant challenges, including increasing competition in the electric vehicle market and regulatory pressures, particularly regarding its Autopilot marketing claims [9]