【大河财立方消息】11月25日晚间，新亚强硅化学股份有限公司（证券简称：新亚强，证券代码：603155）公告，邯郸市国资委将成为公司的 实际控制人。当日，新亚强股价涨停。 公告显示，11月24日，新亚强控股股东、实际控制人之一初琳与邯郸市城欣股权投资基金合伙企业（有限合伙）（简称"城欣基金"）签署了股 份转让协议，约定初琳将其持有的9442.03万股新亚强股份转让给城欣基金。 城欣基金由邯郸市国资委旗下邯郸市城运融通控股有限公司作为有限合伙人，持有99%份额。 | | 是否发生变更 | 变更前姓名 | 変更后姓名/名称 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 控股股东 | 区是 □否 | 初环 | 邯郸市城欣股权投资基金合伙企 | | | | | 业(有限合伙) | | 实际控制人 | ☑畳 □否 | 初亚军、初琳 | 邯郸市人民政府国有资产监督管 | | | | | 理委员会 | | 变更方式(可多选) | 团协议转让 □司法划转/拍卖 | | □定向增发 | | | □破产重整引入重整投资人 | | | | | □行政划转或者变更 | | | | | □一致行动协议签署/解除/变更 | ...

11 月 25 日晚间，有机硅助剂龙头新亚强（证券代码： 603155 ）发布公告称，控股股东、 实际控制人之一 初 琳于 11 月 24 日与邯郸市城欣股权投资基金合伙企业（有限合伙）（以 下简称城欣基金）签署股份转让协议，约定初琳将其持有的 9442.03 万股股份 以 20.76 元 / 股的价格转让给城欣基金。 本次股份转让完成后，城欣基金将持有新亚强 29.90% 股份，成为新的控股股东，邯郸市国 资委将成为公司新任实际控制人。 【导读】新亚强拟易主邯郸市国资委，股价今日异动 中国基金报记者 夏天 值 得 注 意 的 是 ， 在 拟 易 主 公 告 发 布 前 ， 新 亚 强 股 价 已 提 前 " 抢 跑 " 。 1 1 月 2 5 日 ， 新 亚 强 股 价 高 开 高 走 ， 迅 速 封 涨 停 ， 最 新 市 值 报 5 6.9 0 亿 元 。 | | (V) | ע | | 603155 新亚强 | | | | 18.02 +1.64 | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | 10.01% ...

Core Viewpoint - The recent share transfer agreement between Chu Lin and Chengxin Fund marks a significant change in the control structure of Xinyaqiang, with the latter becoming the new controlling shareholder and the actual controller being the Handan State-owned Assets Supervision and Administration Commission [2][3]. Group 1: Share Transfer Details - Chu Lin transferred 94.42 million shares to Chengxin Fund, which now holds 29.90% of Xinyaqiang's total share capital [3]. - After the transfer, Chu Lin and her father, Chu Yajun, hold a combined 17.61% of the company's shares [3]. - The total consideration for the share transfer is 1.96 billion yuan, with a per-share price of 20.76 yuan, representing a 15% premium over the closing price of 18.02 yuan and a 26% premium over the previous day's closing price of 16.38 yuan [3]. Group 2: Company Background and Performance - Xinyaqiang primarily engages in the production of silicone fine chemicals, including functional additives and phenyl chlorosilane, serving strategic emerging industries such as new materials, pharmaceuticals, and renewable energy [5]. - The company reported a year-on-year decline of approximately 20% in both revenue and net profit for the first three quarters of the year, attributed to market demand adjustments and price declines [5]. Group 3: Future Outlook and Commitments - Both Chu Yajun and Chu Lin expressed that the transaction aims to integrate and leverage both parties' strengths to promote higher quality and sustainable development for the listed company [6]. - Chengxin Fund committed to not transferring control for seven years post-acquisition and aims to enhance the company's creditworthiness and risk resistance [3][6].

Group 1: Oil and Chemical Industry Outlook - China Galaxy Securities forecasts Brent crude oil prices to range between $60-70 per barrel by 2026, with costs expected to stabilize [1] - The chemical industry is experiencing negative capital expenditure growth since 2024, with supply expected to contract due to the "anti-involution" trend and accelerated elimination of outdated overseas capacity [1] - The "14th Five-Year Plan" draft emphasizes expanding domestic demand, combined with the onset of the US interest rate cut cycle, which is expected to open up demand for chemical products [1] - A dual bottom in supply and demand is anticipated, with strong policy expectations catalyzing a potential cyclical upturn in the chemical industry by 2026, leading to a "Davis Double Play" from valuation recovery to earnings growth [1] Group 2: Specific Chemical Sector Recommendations - PTA industry is operating at low levels, with increasing calls for anti-involution; recommended companies include Hengli Petrochemical, Rongsheng Petrochemical, Xinfon Ming, and Tongkun [1] - Polyester filament capacity is becoming concentrated, with industry self-discipline enhancing cyclical elasticity; recommended companies include Xinfon Ming, Tongkun, and Hengyi Petrochemical [1] - The spandex industry is expected to see increased concentration; recommended companies include Huafeng Chemical and Xinxiang Chemical Fiber [1] - Global demand for pesticides is improving, with bottom-priced varieties likely to rebound; recommended companies include Yangnong Chemical, Runfeng Shares, Jiangshan Shares, Guangxin Shares, and Lier Chemical [1] - Organic silicon capacity expansion is nearing completion, with supply-demand dynamics expected to improve; recommended companies include Hesheng Silicon Industry, Xin'an Shares, and Dongyue Silicon Material [1] - The titanium dioxide industry is facing challenges and opportunities; recommended company is Longbai Group [1] - Refining capacity is being optimized, with a shift from oil to chemicals enhancing effective supply; recommended companies include Sinopec, PetroChina, Rongsheng Petrochemical, and Hengli Petrochemical [1] Group 3: Demand-Supported Chemical Sectors - Strong pricing power from suppliers is expected to sustain high demand for potash fertilizers; recommended companies include Yara International and Dongfang Iron Tower [2] - Phosphate supply and demand remain tight, benefiting resource-based companies; recommended companies include Batian Shares, Yuntianhua, Xingfa Group, and Chuanheng Shares [2] - Strict quota policies are expected to sustain high demand for refrigerants; recommended companies include Juhua Co., Sanmei Co., and Yonghe Co. [2] - Amino acids are expected to maintain their upward trend, with overseas capacity gradually exiting; recommended companies include New Hope Liuhe, Andisu, and Meihua Biological Technology [2] - The chlorinated sugar market is anticipated to see anti-involution, with significant potential for allulose; recommended companies include Jinhui Industrial, Bailong Chuangyuan, and Baolingbao Biology [2] - Vitamins are leading the current round of chemical price increases, entering the second phase; recommended companies include New Hope Liuhe and Zhejiang Medicine [2] - The EU's preliminary anti-dumping ruling is expected to reassess the value of overseas tires; recommended companies include Sailun Tire and Senqilin [2] - The civil explosives industry is developing steadily, with policy guidance likely accelerating industry consolidation; recommended companies include Guangdong Hongda, Yipuli, and Jiangnan Chemical [2] Group 4: New Materials and Technologies - Lightweight humanoid robots may benefit from PEEK as a key solution; recommended companies include Zhongyan Shares, Water Shares, and Guoen Shares [3] - AI is driving global demand for computing power, with electronic-grade PPO expected to grow; recommended companies include Shengquan Group and Dongcai Technology [3] - The domestic substitution of core chip materials, particularly photoresists, is accelerating; recommended companies include Wanrun Shares and Dinglong Shares [3]

广发聚丰混合A（270005）基金经理为苏文杰。 11月25日，东岳硅材涨5.94%，截至发稿，报13.73元/股，成交8.22亿元，换手率5.15%，总市值164.76 亿元。 资料显示，山东东岳有机硅材料股份有限公司位于山东省淄博市桓台县唐山镇工业路3799号，成立日期 2006年12月28日，上市日期2020年3月12日，公司主营业务涉及从事有机硅材料的研发、生产和销售。 主营业务收入构成为：107胶49.40%，硅油13.49%，110生胶12.11%，混炼胶5.46%，其他5.37%，气相 白炭黑4.32%，硅酮胶4.29%，其他(补充)2.18%，液体胶2.01%，中间体1.36%。 从东岳硅材十大流通股东角度 数据显示，广发基金旗下1只基金位居东岳硅材十大流通股东。广发聚丰混合A（270005）三季度增持 61.5万股，持有股数455.66万股，占流通股的比例为0.38%。根据测算，今日浮盈赚取约350.86万元。 广发聚丰混合A（270005）成立日期2005年12月23日，最新规模33.66亿。今年以来收益30.78%，同类 排名1994/8136；近一年收益26.74%，同类排名2653/ ...

高低切换周期板块机会展望 20251123 摘要 动力煤价格维持高位，电厂补库需求增加，全国及沿海库存上升，受益 于寒冬预期及用电量增长，煤价有望保持强势，火电企业在年底长协谈 判中占据优势。 国内建材需求萎缩，出海成重要策略。全球水泥需求虽有下滑，但剔除 中国市场后小幅增长，海外水泥价格远高于国内，华新水泥、西部水泥 等企业通过海外布局实现业绩增长。 消费建材企业如东方雨虹、北新建材通过海外并购加速扩张，整合供应 链和零售端优势，提升被收购标的竞争力，实现业务拓展和营收增长。 中国建材企业从产品出口转向品牌、渠道和本地化运营的深度出海模式， 借鉴海外龙头企业经验，提升全球竞争力，品牌力、渠道力和服务力是 关键。 有机硅行业协会减产挺价，价格上涨，行业底部拐点显现，上升弹性空 间巨大。下游新能源、电子电器及半导体需求增长迅速，供需平衡表有 望改善。 Q&A 公用事业及环保行业在近期市场表现如何？未来发展趋势如何？ 上周市场整体表现较弱，尤其是周五受到海外扰动的影响，导致国内市场预期 调整，公用环保板块表现不佳。然而，从防御角度来看，公用环保和煤炭方向 仍具有优势。尽管部分标的存在阶段性压力，但整体防御属性明显 ...

Summary of the Organic Silicon Industry Conference Industry Overview - The organic silicon industry is responding to weak demand by implementing a production cut of 30% as decided in the November meeting, aiming to raise DMC prices to 13,500-14,000 RMB/ton, although previous unsuccessful cuts may affect execution effectiveness [1][3][9] - The industry is experiencing increased costs due to rising electricity prices during the dry season, impacting the pricing strategy as downstream customers remain cautious about high quotes of 13,200 RMB/ton [1][6] Key Points and Arguments - **Production Cuts and Price Adjustments**: The industry plans to maintain a balance between supply and demand by controlling inventory to within 45 days, with DMC prices expected around 13,200 RMB/ton and profit margins between 1,000-1,200 RMB [2][16] - **Market Participation**: High participation from companies in the recent meetings, particularly led by He Sheng's chairman, has positively influenced the industry, although previous maintenance and restarts may hinder the effectiveness of the production cuts [1][8] - **Demand Dynamics**: Traditional demand from the real estate sector is declining, affecting construction sealant needs, while emerging sectors like electric vehicles and battery sealants are providing growth opportunities [1][12][13] - **Strategic Focus of Companies**: Companies like Luxi Chemical are focusing on downstream extension and high-end product development, indicating a shift towards higher value-added products [1][12] Additional Important Insights - **International Market Expansion**: Domestic demand for organic silicon may decline, prompting companies to explore overseas markets, especially as foreign firms like Dow and Bluestar gradually withdraw from overseas capacities due to EU carbon tariffs [1][14][16] - **Future Capacity Plans**: Several companies plan to increase production capacity, such as Yunnan Energy Investment with a planned 400,000 tons and Xinjiang Qiya aiming for the world's largest organic silicon single unit with 1.5-1.6 million tons [11][19] - **Challenges in Execution**: The effectiveness of the production cut plan is contingent on establishing a robust supervision mechanism, as previous attempts faced challenges due to trade tensions and inventory pressures [4][5] - **Market Price Formation**: Current market prices are influenced by raw material costs, particularly industrial silicon, which has seen price increases due to rising electricity costs [6][18] - **Emerging Product Opportunities**: New products like organic silicon leather show potential in various applications, indicating a diversification strategy within the industry [13] Conclusion The organic silicon industry is navigating a complex landscape of declining traditional demand and rising costs while seeking to capitalize on emerging opportunities. The focus on production cuts, strategic market expansion, and high-value product development will be crucial for maintaining profitability and market stability in the coming years.

点击注册小程序 查看完整报告 当前有机硅开工率及工厂库存属于偏低水平 特别申明： 本订阅号中所涉及的证券研究信息由光大证券研究所编写，仅面向光大证券专业投资者客 户，用作新媒体形势下研究信息和研究观点的沟通交流。非光大证券专业投资者客户，请勿 订阅、接收或使用本订阅号中的任何信息。本订阅号难以设置访问权限，若给您造成不便， 敬请谅解。光大证券研究所不会因关注、收到或阅读本订阅号推送内容而视相关人员为光大 证券的客户。 报告摘要 行业联合协同，有机硅价格上涨盈利改善 根据财联社和东方财富网消息，11月12日及11月18日国内有机硅行业陆续召开会议共同探讨有机硅行业发 展，会议针对有机硅价格机制、行业联动减产机制和未来发展方向进行了讨论。由于会议针对有机硅存在 挺价及减产预期，近期有机硅价格显著上涨，对应盈利能力得以改善。根据百川盈孚数据，截至11月21日 国内有机硅中间体价格为1.3万元/吨，相较于11月初上涨18.2%；有机硅中间体行业平均毛利润提升至1209 元/吨，相较于11月初提升2650元/吨。我们认为有机硅行业联合协同将有效避免行业内的恶性竞争，将推 动有机硅行业向下游高附加值产品领域发展，从而推升 ...

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Investment Rating - The report maintains an "optimistic" rating for the chemical industry [1] Core Views - The chemical sector is expected to experience a turning point with the establishment of synergies between the silicone and caprolactam industries, leading to an upward trend in market conditions and accelerated de-involution [1] - The report highlights the importance of voluntary emission reductions and carbon cuts, with companies planning to maintain a 70% operating rate and adjust production based on market conditions [1] - The report suggests focusing on companies such as Xingfa Group, Luxi Chemical, Dongyue Silicon Materials, and Xin'an Chemical for potential investment opportunities in the silicone sector [1] - In the caprolactam sector, the report recommends monitoring Luxi Chemical, Hualu Hengsheng, and Juhua for their potential to drive profitability recovery [1] Industry Dynamics - Current macroeconomic judgments indicate that oil prices are expected to remain in a relatively loose range, with Brent crude projected between $55-70 per barrel due to delayed OPEC+ production increases and stable demand recovery [2][3] - The report notes that the PPI for all industrial products decreased by 2.1% year-on-year in October, with a slight month-on-month increase of 0.1%, marking the first rise of the year [3] - The manufacturing PMI recorded 49.0 in October, indicating a slowdown in production activities due to various factors, including pre-holiday demand release and a more complex international environment [3] Chemical Sector Configuration - The report suggests a diversified investment strategy across four main chains: textile and apparel, agricultural chemicals, export-related chemicals, and sectors benefiting from de-involution policies [1] - Specific recommendations include focusing on nylon and caprolactam with companies like Luxi Chemical, and on fertilizers with companies like Hualu Hengsheng and Yuntianhua [1] - The report emphasizes the importance of monitoring key materials for growth, particularly in semiconductor materials, OLED panel materials, and lithium battery materials [1]