消费回暖 点燃城市活力 2025年一季度，南京市鼓楼区以"开年即冲刺"的姿态，以数字经济为引领、高端服务为支撑的现代化产 业体系持续释放强劲动能，1—3月规上服务业完成营业收入占全市总量的五分之一，推动服务业高质量 发展迈上新台阶。 "项"新而行 激活发展引擎 在鼓楼区高质量发展的交响乐章中，"产业强区"的指挥棒始终高昂，人工智能、生物医药、绿色低碳等 未来产业如春笋破土，蓬勃发展。 近日，江苏（南京）"算数空间"人工智能融合创新社区首次亮相，聚焦打造政企协同、产研共进的共享 空间，充分凝聚并发挥算法、数据、算力三大人工智能全要素价值，共创"人工智能+实体经济"的产业 融合新生态。3月26日，在南京市2025产业科技创新与投资促进大会上，鼓楼区签约包括"独角兽"企业 万帮能源以及多家央企在内的9大项目，涵盖金融服务、数字经济、健康经济、智能电网等多个产业赛 道。4月，在新加坡—南京经贸合作交流会上，鼓楼区与新加坡金鹰集团中国区签约，标志着新加坡金 鹰集团中国新能源总部东亚电力新能源（南京）有限公司正式落户鼓楼，一批高质量项目的落地为区域 产业升级注入新动能。 铌奥光电入选"福布斯"，以中国"芯"引领全球技术创 ...

劲乘春风绘新卷，满怀信心踏新程。江苏服务业以稳健的步伐迈出了良好开局。一季度，各地各部门深 入贯彻落实党中央、国务院决策部署及省委、省政府工作要求，一揽子存量政策和增量政策协同发力、 持续显效，高技术服务业增势良好、传统服务业平稳有力、市场活力蓬勃发展，勾勒出一幅稳中有进、 进中提质的高质量发展图景。 经初步核算，一季度，我省服务业增加值18831亿元，同比增长5.9%；服务业增加值占地区生产总值比 重为56.9%，较去年同期提升1.3个百分点，对经济增长的贡献率为56.5%，拉动地区生产总值增长3.3个 百分点。分行业看，住宿和餐饮业增加值增长7.5%；批发和零售业增加值增长7.7%；营利性服务业增 加值增长8.9%；非营利性服务业增加值增长5.1%。这一系列数据，不仅彰显了江苏服务业在全省经济 中的重要地位，也反映出服务业作为经济增长主引擎的强劲动力。 商务服务业较快增长，一季度同比增长12.5%，贡献率达33%，拉动规上服务业增长2.6个百分点。近年 来，江苏出台一系列政策措施，鼓励商务服务业企业创新服务模式、提升服务质量。例如，支持人力资 源服务机构开展高端人才寻访、人才测评等业务，培育壮大一批综合性 ...

Core Viewpoint - The training program focused on low-carbon management in the restaurant supply chain, aiming to provide new momentum for the industry's low-carbon transformation under China's "dual carbon" goals [1][17]. Group 1: Training Program Overview - The first session of the training program was successfully held in Guangzhou, attracting nearly a hundred executives and technical personnel from various sectors including the restaurant and hotel industries, kitchen engineering equipment companies, research institutions, and carbon consulting services [1]. - The program is recognized as the first authoritative training project in China that focuses on the low-carbonization of the restaurant supply chain [1]. Group 2: Key Insights from Experts - The Secretary-General of the China Electronic Energy Conservation Technology Association emphasized the need for a comprehensive low-carbon management system from farm to table in the restaurant industry [3]. - The Vice Dean of Jinan University Management School highlighted the role of universities in providing professional talent and innovative solutions for the industry [5]. Group 3: Policy and Technology Insights - A detailed analysis of the "dual carbon" strategic framework was presented, discussing the impact of carbon market mechanisms and international carbon tariffs on the restaurant supply chain [7]. - The need for China's carbon labeling system to accelerate mutual recognition with international standards was emphasized to integrate domestic low-carbon practices into the global market [8]. Group 4: Innovations in Low-Carbon Kitchen Supply Chain - Experts discussed innovations in zero-carbon (near-zero carbon) kitchen supply chain management, focusing on the latest developments in technical standards for kitchen design and product energy efficiency [10]. - A methodology for low-carbon transformation was proposed, integrating supply chain management theory with practical applications in procurement, production, and logistics [11]. Group 5: Industry Collaboration and Solutions - A seminar on carbon footprint and labeling was held, where representatives from the restaurant industry, kitchen equipment manufacturers, and carbon service organizations explored low-carbon technology applications [14]. - The sharing of carbon labeling practices from the home appliance industry provided insights into how carbon footprint accounting can address challenges posed by international carbon tariffs [14]. Group 6: Future Directions and National Promotion - The training program aims to promote zero-carbon design standards and low-carbon technologies nationwide, transitioning the industry from "single energy saving" to "full-chain decarbonization" [17]. - The establishment of a "zero-carbon supply chain guesthouse" and the awarding of certificates to participants signify a commitment to fostering a sustainable restaurant industry [17].

Economic Overview - The county aims to double its GDP and tax revenue within five years, focusing on ecological protection and high-quality development [1] - The preliminary estimate for the total GDP reached 29.44 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 5.8% [1] Agricultural Sector - The total agricultural output value reached 11.95 billion yuan, with a year-on-year increase of 5.1% [2] - Total grain production was 644,000 tons, with summer grain at 328,000 tons and autumn grain at 316,000 tons, showing slight growth [2] - Agricultural mechanization has improved, with total power reaching 971,200 kilowatts and rural tap water coverage at 100% [2] Industrial Sector - The industrial economy showed steady progress, with the added value of industrial enterprises above designated size growing by 8.2% [2] - Notable growth in the pharmaceutical manufacturing and textile industries, with increases of 31.9% and 18.6% respectively [2] - Fixed asset investment grew by 7.3%, with first industry investment surging by 50.7% [2] Consumer Market - The total retail sales of social consumer goods reached 15.86 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 7.2% [3] - The wholesale, retail, accommodation, and catering sectors all experienced growth [3] Foreign Trade and Investment - Total import and export value reached 1.206 billion yuan, with a significant year-on-year increase of 30.0% [3] - Actual foreign investment utilization was 3.698 million USD, growing by 81.1% [3] Tourism and Transportation - The county has a total road mileage of 3,037.7 kilometers, with a density of 226.2 kilometers per 100 square kilometers [3] - Tourist reception reached 13.524 million visitors, a year-on-year increase of 19.2%, with tourism revenue growing by 25.4% to 7.84 billion yuan [3] Social Development - Urban employment increased by 5,724 people, with entrepreneurial loans amounting to 183 million yuan [3] - The per capita disposable income for residents was 31,404 yuan, reflecting a growth of 5.6% [3] - Significant improvements in ecological protection, with water quality meeting Class III standards [3]

热点报告——股指期货 [★Ta2b0l2e5_S年um4m月a经ry]济数据解读： 1、作为关税战升级以来的首个月份，中国各项经济指标均同比 走弱，除工增外均不及市场预期，反映出经历一季度的快速修 复后，国内经济压力开始显现。4 月份工增、社零、固投季调环 比增速分别为 0.22%、0.24%、0.1%，均处于历史季节性低位。 扣减掉价格因素后，前 4 月累计看，供给侧表现仍好于需求侧。 股 2、供给侧方面，无论是工业还是服务业虽然同比增速回落，但 结构上均呈现出新质生产力增长较为稳固的态势。高技术制造 业、信息技术服务业等增速分别录得 10%、10.4%。 指 期 货 3、消费增长不及预期。一方面餐饮消费或存在低价内卷现象， 另一方面商品零售则表现为美妆、金银珠宝高增长，而传统补 贴领域的汽车和通信类产品增速开始收敛。 4、投资端，制造业和基建仍有韧性。但地产端，投资、销售、 价格三弱的态势表明"止跌"态势不稳，有较大下行压力。 ★投资建议 增长动能放缓--2025 年 4 月经济数据解读 4 月份经济数据整体表现平淡，出口的高增和内需的低迷形成鲜 明对照。国内政策发力的"疲惫期"或逐渐开始显现，突出表 现 ...

本文全文共 2605 字，阅读全文约 8 分钟 2025年4月份社会消费品零售总额增长5.1% 2025年1—4月份全国固定资产投资增长4.0% 2025年4月份规模以上工业增加值增长6.1% 2025年4月份能源生产情况 2025年4月份社会消费品零售总额增长5.1% 4月份，社会消费品零售总额37174亿元，同比增长5.1%。其中， 除汽车以外的消费品零售额33548亿元，增长5.6% 。1—4月份，社会消费品零售总额161845亿 元，增长4.7%。其中， 除汽车以外的消费品零售额147005亿元，增长5.2% 。 点 击 蓝 字 关 注 我 们 按经营单位所在地分，4月份，城镇消费品零售额32376亿元，同比增长5.2%；乡村消费品零售额4798亿元，增长4.7%。1—4月份，城镇消费品零售额140433亿 元，增长4.7%；乡村消费品零售额21412亿元，增长4.8%。 按消费类型分，4月份，商品零售额33007亿元，同比增长5.1%；餐饮收入4167亿元，增长5.2%。1—4月份，商品零售额143651亿元，增长4.7%；餐饮收入 18194亿元，增长4.8%。 按零售业态分，1—4月份，限额以上 ...

宏观 证券研究报告 |点评报告 2025/5/19 4月经济数据点评—— 经济保持韧性 徐超 S1190521050001 证券分析师： 分析师登记编号： 万琦 S1190524070001 证券分析师： 分析师登记编号： 目录 请务必阅读正文之后的免责条款部分 守正 出奇 宁静 致远 1、内外因素对冲，工业生产未见显著放缓 2、社零增速回落，促消费政策仍有支撑 3、制造业及广义基建投资韧性较强 4、失业率保持季节性回落 ➢中国4月规模以上工业增加值同比增长6.1%，预期5.2%，前值7.7%。 ➢中国4月社会消费品零售总额同比增长5.1%，预期5.5%，前值5.9%。 ➢中国1-4月固定资产投资(不含农户)同比增长4.0%，预期增4.3%，前值4.2%。 ➢中国4月全国城镇调查失业率为5.1%，前值5.2%。 图表1：经济数据主要分项 | 单位： | 2025/4 | 2025/3 | 2025/2 | 2024/12 | 2024/11 | 2024/10 | 2024/9 | 2024/8 | 2024/7 | 2024/6 | 2024/5 | 2024/4 | % | 规模以上工业增加值 | | | ...

4月份，社会消费品零售总额37174亿元，同比增长5.1%。其中，除汽车以外的消费品零售额33548亿元，增长5.6%。1—4月份，社会消费品零售总额161845 亿元，增长4.7%。其中，除汽车以外的消费品零售额147005亿元，增长5.2%。 按经营单位所在地分，4月份，城镇消费品零售额32376亿元，同比增长5.2%；乡村消费品零售额4798亿元，增长4.7%。1—4月份，城镇消费品零售额 140433亿元，增长4.7%；乡村消费品零售额21412亿元，增长4.8%。 按消费类型分，4月份，商品零售额33007亿元，同比增长5.1%；餐饮收入4167亿元，增长5.2%。1—4月份，商品零售额143651亿元，增长4.7%；餐饮收入 18194亿元，增长4.8%。 按零售业态分，1—4月份，限额以上零售业单位中便利店、专业店、超市、百货店和品牌专卖店零售额同比分别增长9.1%、6.4%、5.2%、1.7%和1.4%。 1—4月份，全国网上零售额47419亿元，同比增长7.7%。其中，实物商品网上零售额39265亿元，增长5.8%，占社会消费品零售总额的比重为24.3%；在实物 商品网上零售额中，吃类、穿类 ...

Group 1 - In April, the overall sales of excavators increased by 17.6% year-on-year, indicating accelerated growth in the construction machinery industry [2] - The balance of inclusive loans for small and micro enterprises in China exceeded 35 trillion yuan, with inclusive agricultural loans reaching 13.7 trillion yuan, an increase of 795.5 billion yuan since the beginning of the year [4] - In April, industrial production indicators such as production heat in industrial parks and operational vitality of startups showed over 20% year-on-year growth, reflecting improved industrial vitality and accelerated innovation [3] Group 2 - The offline consumption heat index from the National Information Center increased by 25.4% year-on-year in April, while the online service consumption heat index grew by 14.2%, with leisure and entertainment services and dining services increasing by 42.4% and 10.3% respectively [3] - The total import and export volume of free trade pilot zones reached 2 trillion yuan in the first quarter of this year [5] - The national spring irrigation area has reached 36 million acres [5]

Group 1 - The average annual salary for urban non-private sector employees in 2024 is 124,110 yuan, reflecting a nominal growth of 2.8% and a comparable growth of 2.6% [4] - The average annual salary for urban private sector employees is 69,476 yuan, with a nominal growth of 1.7% and a comparable growth of 4.0% [4] - The average annual salary for employees in large-scale enterprises is 102,452 yuan, showing a nominal growth of 4.4% and a comparable growth of 4.2% [4] Group 2 - The highest average salary levels in urban non-private and private sectors are found in the information transmission, software and information technology services, financial services, and scientific research and technical services industries [5] - The lowest average salary levels are concentrated in agriculture, forestry, animal husbandry, fishery, accommodation and catering, water conservancy, environmental and public facilities management, and other service industries [5] Group 3 - The data indicates a trend of narrowing wage disparities across different industries, regions, and job positions [6][10] - The stability in wage levels across industries suggests a correlation with the overall stabilization of the macroeconomic environment [8] - The information transmission and software services industry has maintained the highest average salary for several years, attributed to the growth of the digital economy [8][10]