Investment Rating - The report initiates coverage with a "Buy" rating for the company [9]. Core Insights - The company, as a high-tech entity focused on infrared technology, possesses a complete and comprehensive set of independent technologies from the ground up to system integration. It has established a full industrial chain for research and production, covering infrared core devices to comprehensive optoelectronic systems [6][20]. - The company has built three fully controllable domestic chip production lines, including uncooled, cooled cadmium mercury, and type II superlattice chips, which are widely applied in defense, industrial inspection, security monitoring, automotive auxiliary driving, and consumer electronics [7][56]. - The company is actively expanding its overseas business and has achieved bulk delivery of complete equipment systems to multiple countries, showcasing its competitive advantages in the international market [8][73]. Summary by Sections Company Overview - Founded in 1999, the company is a private high-tech listed firm specializing in infrared core chips, infrared thermal imaging products, high-end optoelectronic systems, and advanced equipment systems [20]. Business Structure - The core subsidiaries, including Gaoxin Technology, Gaode Zhiguan, and the Industrial Research Institute, contribute 86% of the company's revenue, serving as the main support for net profit [6][31]. Market Position and Growth - The company has seen a recovery in its core business since 2025, with significant growth in revenue and profit driven by the resumption of delayed model project deliveries and the expansion of its civilian market [27][44]. - The company has signed substantial procurement contracts for existing model projects, indicating a strong demand for its products [9][50]. Product Development and Innovation - The company focuses on developing high-precision and advanced technologies for national defense, with several model products showing significant advantages in the market [72][50]. - The infrared thermal imaging technology is widely used in various fields, including military, aerospace, and civilian applications, with a strong emphasis on autonomous production capabilities [62][66]. Financial Forecast - The company's projected net profits for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are estimated at 8.12 billion, 10.43 billion, and 13.44 billion yuan, respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 282%, 28%, and 29% [9].

Industry Overview - The military industry shows overall stability, with potential turning points emerging. Future growth is expected to be driven by the 14th Five-Year Plan and the 2027 centenary goal for military strength [1] - Key sectors such as nuclear fusion and commercial aerospace are rapidly growing, presenting investment opportunities [1] Military Industry Performance - In Q3 2025, the military industry achieved a revenue of 196.53 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 60.3% [4] - The net profit for the same quarter was 10.686 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 88.8% [5] - The gross profit margin and net profit margin for Q3 2025 were 16.70% and 5.44%, showing a year-on-year decrease of 3.31 percentage points and an increase of 0.81 percentage points, respectively [6] Naval Equipment - Naval equipment generated a revenue of 73.96 billion yuan in Q3 2025, up 84.8% year-on-year [10] - The net profit for this segment was 4.839 billion yuan, marking a significant year-on-year increase of 230.3% [10] - The gross profit margin and net profit margin were 13.49% and 6.54%, with year-on-year increases of 0.83 percentage points and 2.88 percentage points, respectively [10] - Contract liabilities at the end of Q3 2025 stood at 155.897 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 7.2% [10] Aerospace Equipment - Aerospace equipment reported a revenue of 57.787 billion yuan in Q3 2025, reflecting an 11.1% year-on-year increase [15] - The net profit for this segment was 3.078 billion yuan, down 4.3% year-on-year [15] - The gross profit margin and net profit margin were 17.59% and 5.33%, with year-on-year decreases of 1.17 percentage points and 0.86 percentage points, respectively [15] - Contract liabilities at the end of Q3 2025 were 33.128 billion yuan, a decrease of 5.7% year-on-year [18] Aerospace Equipment - Aerospace equipment achieved a revenue of 5.975 billion yuan in Q3 2025, a year-on-year increase of 80.1% [20] - The net profit for this segment was 247 million yuan, down 40.6% year-on-year [20] - The gross profit margin and net profit margin were 15.86% and 4.13%, with year-on-year decreases of 16.53 percentage points and 8.4 percentage points, respectively [20] - Contract liabilities at the end of Q3 2025 were 4.430 billion yuan, up 8.0% year-on-year [20] Military Electronics - Military electronics reported a revenue of 52.738 billion yuan in Q3 2025, a significant year-on-year increase of 142.5% [25] - The net profit for this segment was 2.313 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 312.7% [25] - The gross profit margin and net profit margin were 19.96% and 4.39%, with year-on-year decreases of 14.98 percentage points and an increase of 1.81 percentage points, respectively [25] - Contract liabilities at the end of Q3 2025 were 15.831 billion yuan, a substantial year-on-year increase of 140.4% [25] Ground Armaments - Ground armaments achieved a revenue of 6.071 billion yuan in Q3 2025, a year-on-year increase of 10% [30] - The net profit for this segment was 209 million yuan, showing a remarkable year-on-year increase of 808.8% [30] - The gross profit margin and net profit margin were 19.82% and 3.44%, with year-on-year increases of 0.98 percentage points and 3.02 percentage points, respectively [30] - Contract liabilities at the end of Q3 2025 were 3.724 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 17.4% [31]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [1] Core Views - The company achieved total revenue of 15.838 billion yuan in the first three quarters of 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 12.36%. However, the net profit attributable to shareholders decreased by 30.89% to 1.737 billion yuan, primarily due to a rapid increase in operating costs [2] - Despite the pressure on profit quality, the company's expense structure remains reasonable, with R&D expenses reaching 1.401 billion yuan, up 12.61% year-on-year, indicating a continuous investment in technological innovation [2] - The asset structure is stable with a debt ratio of 38.75%, and the overall leverage level remains within a safe range. The company has manageable debt levels, with short-term borrowings of 162 million yuan and long-term borrowings of 883 million yuan [3] Financial Performance Summary - Total revenue forecast for 2023A is 20.074 billion yuan, with a projected growth of 26.75%. The net profit attributable to shareholders is forecasted at 3.339 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 22.86% [1] - The company’s operating cash flow for the first three quarters of 2025 was -608 million yuan, a significant decline from 725 million yuan in the same period last year, mainly due to increased accounts receivable and inventory [10] - The report projects net profits for 2025-2027 to be 3.400 billion yuan, 4.169 billion yuan, and 4.462 billion yuan respectively, with corresponding P/E ratios of 23.54, 19.20, and 17.94 [10]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The company is experiencing a key leap period characterized by "capacity upgrade + profit realization" under the high prosperity cycle of military electronics [1] - The company's revenue for the first three quarters of 2025 reached 1.427 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 22.27%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders was 222 million yuan, up 74.56% year-on-year [1][7] Financial Performance Summary - Revenue and Profit: The company achieved total revenue of 1.427 billion yuan in the first three quarters of 2025, with a year-on-year growth of 22.27%. The net profit attributable to the parent company was 222 million yuan, reflecting a significant year-on-year increase of 74.56% [1][7] - Profitability: The gross profit margin improved to 45.49%, an increase of 9.14 percentage points year-on-year, and the net profit margin reached 15.54%, up 4.63 percentage points year-on-year [7] - Cost Control: The company maintained controllable expense ratios, with sales expenses at 97 million yuan, management expenses at 102 million yuan, and R&D expenses at 97 million yuan [7] Asset and Liability Management - Asset Structure: As of the end of Q3 2025, the company's asset-liability ratio was 18.88%, slightly up from 16.01% year-on-year, indicating low financial risk [7] - Inventory Management: Inventory decreased by 4.77% year-on-year to 782 million yuan, reflecting improved supply chain management efficiency [7] Cash Flow and Investment Outlook - Cash Flow: The net cash flow from operating activities was -11 million yuan, a decline from 186 million yuan in the same period last year, primarily due to increased accounts receivable and tax payments [7] - Free Cash Flow: The company generated positive free cash flow of 1 million yuan, indicating good internal funding capabilities despite increased investments [7] Earnings Forecast and Valuation - Earnings Forecast: The company is expected to achieve net profits of 326 million yuan, 480 million yuan, and 571 million yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, with corresponding P/E ratios of 36, 24, and 20 times [1][7]

Market Overview - The military electronics sector experienced a decline of 1.55% on November 4, with Guobo Electronics leading the drop [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3960.19, down 0.41%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 13175.22, down 1.71% [1] Stock Performance - Notable gainers in the military electronics sector included: - ST Wanfang (000638) with a closing price of 7.90, up 4.77% on a trading volume of 587,800 shares and a turnover of 443 million [1] - Aerospace Development (000547) closed at 8.98, up 4.42% with a trading volume of 1,365,800 shares and a turnover of 1.21 billion [1] - Significant losers included: - Yuanbo Electronics (688375) which closed at 70.53, down 4.20% with a trading volume of 28,200 shares and a turnover of 200 million [2] - Xicet Testing (301306) closed at 58.55, down 3.86% with a trading volume of 55,100 shares and a turnover of 325 million [2] Capital Flow - The military electronics sector saw a net outflow of 900 million from institutional investors, while retail investors contributed a net inflow of 352 million [2][3] - Key stocks with notable capital flows included: - Aerospace Development (000547) with a net inflow of 16.1 million from institutional investors, but a net outflow of 78.95 million from retail investors [3] - Guobo Electronics (688375) had a net inflow of 25.2 million from institutional investors, but also saw outflows from both retail and speculative investors [3]

Group 1 - The core point of the article highlights the recent decline in the stock price of Gaode Infrared, which has dropped 3.82% to 13.33 CNY per share, with a total market capitalization of 56.929 billion CNY and a cumulative decline of 6.78% over three consecutive days [1] - Gaode Infrared, established on July 13, 2004, and listed on July 16, 2010, specializes in infrared thermal imaging technology and the development and production of comprehensive optoelectronic systems and complete weapon systems. The main business revenue composition includes 96.47% from infrared comprehensive optoelectronic and complete equipment systems, 2.95% from traditional and information-based ammunition, 0.27% from property leasing, 0.25% from other sources, and 0.06% from technical services [1] Group 2 - From the perspective of fund holdings, the Shangyin Fund has one fund heavily invested in Gaode Infrared. The Shangyin CSI 500 Index Enhanced A Fund (009613) held 90,900 shares in the third quarter, accounting for 1.78% of the fund's net value, ranking as the ninth largest holding. The estimated floating loss today is approximately 48,200 CNY, with a cumulative floating loss of 88,200 CNY over the three-day decline [2] - The Shangyin CSI 500 Index Enhanced A Fund (009613) was established on July 1, 2020, with a latest scale of 39.9342 million CNY. Year-to-date returns are 21.73%, ranking 2667 out of 4216 in its category, while the one-year return is 21.33%, ranking 2528 out of 3896. Since inception, the fund has achieved a return of 21.82% [2] Group 3 - The fund managers of the Shangyin CSI 500 Index Enhanced A Fund (009613) are Zhai Yunfei and Chu Guobin. As of the report, Zhai Yunfei has a cumulative tenure of 9 years and 277 days, managing a total fund asset size of 391 million CNY, with the best fund return during his tenure being 59.43% and the worst being -12.79%. Chu Guobin has a cumulative tenure of 2 years and 279 days, managing a total fund asset size of 63.1998 million CNY, with the best return of 19.69% and the worst return of 4.6% during his tenure [3]

Core Insights - The military electronics sector experienced a 0.6% increase on November 3, with Holleywo leading the gains [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3976.52, up 0.55%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 13404.06, up 0.19% [1] Stock Performance - Holleywo (688682) closed at 34.22, up 7.88% with a trading volume of 46,300 lots and a transaction value of 154 million [1] - Kesi Technology (688788) closed at 70.98, up 6.19% with a trading volume of 91,900 lots and a transaction value of 638 million [1] - Jinxinno (300252) closed at 13.89, up 5.63% with a trading volume of 513,600 lots and a transaction value of 69.6 million [1] - Other notable performers include ST Wanfang (000638) up 5.01% and ST Aowei (002231) up 4.95% [1] Fund Flow Analysis - The military electronics sector saw a net outflow of 32.73 million from institutional investors, while retail investors experienced a net outflow of 130 million [2] - Conversely, speculative funds recorded a net inflow of 163 million [2] Individual Stock Fund Flow - Zhenhua Technology (000733) had a net inflow of 71.65 million from institutional investors, while retail investors saw a net outflow of 88.14 million [3] - Huazhi Chuangtong (300045) recorded a net inflow of 71.28 million from institutional investors, with retail investors experiencing a net outflow of 40.02 million [3] - Other stocks like Guoguang Electric (688776) and Aerospace Development (000547) also showed significant net inflows from institutional investors [3]

Core Viewpoint - The company, Narui Radar, has shown significant growth in revenue and net profit for the first three quarters of 2025, driven by increased contracts and order confirmations in the water measurement radar sector, despite a decline in net profit for the third quarter due to rising R&D costs and project-related expenses [4][5][6]. Financial Performance - For the first three quarters of 2025, the company reported a total revenue of 254 million yuan, representing a year-on-year increase of 86.5% [4][5]. - The net profit attributable to shareholders reached 73.16 million yuan, up 181.28% year-on-year [4][5]. - The third quarter alone saw a revenue of 99.12 million yuan, a 56.28% increase year-on-year, but the net profit decreased by 19.43% to 16.21 million yuan [4][6]. Shareholder Changes - As of September 30, 2025, the number of shareholders increased to 13,405, a rise of 44.64% compared to June 30, 2025 [3][20]. - The average number of shares held per shareholder decreased from 32,700 shares to 22,600 shares, with an average holding value of 980,800 yuan [3]. Research and Development - The company is actively investing in R&D, with ongoing projects including full-polarization C/S band radar, X-band multifunction phased array radar, anti-drone radar, and SIC chip development [7][14]. - The company has established a wholly-owned subsidiary in Hong Kong to accelerate international expansion and attract global talent [10]. Market Position and Strategy - The company is focusing on technology innovation, cost control, market diversification, and product differentiation to combat low-price competition [11]. - The low-altitude radar has been tested in several cities, although no actual sales contracts have been signed yet [8][18]. - The company plans to align with national low-altitude economic policies and enhance its market presence through technology and product readiness [15]. Institutional Research Insights - The increase in revenue and net profit is attributed to the growth in water measurement radar contracts and the acceleration of existing orders [5]. - The company’s projects are expected to reach operational status by the end of 2025 [7][18].

Core Viewpoint - The company emphasizes the cyclical nature of its defense business and plans to focus on new domains and quality development in response to changing customer demands [1] Group 1 - The defense business exhibits periodic fluctuations, characterized by large orders and deliveries followed by a shift in focus [1] - The company aims to align with end-user needs by providing specialized interconnection solutions [1] - The proactive approach to adapting to demand changes is highlighted as a key strategy moving forward [1]

Core Viewpoint - AVIC Optoelectronics (002179) reported that its civil business shows strong certainty and is significantly better than expected, while defense business orders and planned volumes have increased year-on-year in the first three quarters [1] Group 1: Business Performance - The civil business is performing better than anticipated, indicating strong growth potential [1] - Defense business planned volumes and orders have shown year-on-year growth in the first three quarters [1] - There is a recovery trend in planned volumes for October, with expectations for improvement in the fourth quarter compared to the previous quarter [1]