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本月开始在产蛋鸡存栏量将开启下降态势 预计明年12月达到明显低点
Xin Hua Cai Jing· 2025-11-21 08:12
Core Viewpoint - The egg prices are expected to remain low in the short term, with a potential for a slight rebound starting in July 2026, influenced by the ongoing culling of laying hens and seasonal demand fluctuations [5]. Group 1: Current Market Conditions - As of November 13, 2025, the average price of eggs in major production areas is 3.08 yuan per jin, while the feed cost per jin is 3.00 yuan, leading to a negative profit margin for producers [1]. - The average profit per jin of eggs has decreased to -0.20 yuan in November, down from -0.12 yuan earlier in the second half of the year, indicating worsening financial conditions for producers [1]. Group 2: Future Supply and Demand Dynamics - The ongoing increase in the culling of laying hens is expected to lead to a gradual decline in the number of laying hens, with projections indicating a significant drop to approximately 1.21 billion hens by December 2026 [3]. - A tightening supply, coupled with stable consumer demand, is anticipated to fundamentally alter the market dynamics, potentially alleviating the current weak price conditions for eggs and laying hens [3]. Group 3: Price Outlook - The market is expected to transition from a phase of prolonged low prices to a phase of slight price recovery, with the turning point for egg prices likely occurring around July 2026 [5]. - The timing and extent of the price rebound will depend on the concentration and duration of the culling process; a rapid and concentrated culling could lead to a quicker and more substantial price recovery, while a slow and dispersed culling would result in a prolonged recovery period [5].
现代牧业入选中国上市公司协会“2025年上市公司可持续发展优秀实践案例”
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2025-11-21 07:55
Core Viewpoint - Modern Farming (01117) has been recognized as a "2025 Excellent Practice Case for Sustainable Development of Listed Companies" by the China Listed Companies Association for its achievements in digital innovation in smart farming and deep governance of process waste gas [1][3] Group 1: Social Dimension - The company has made key breakthroughs in gene breeding and digital farming, developing the "Modern No. 1" genomic chip to shift dairy cattle breeding from "import dependence" to "self-control" [3] - Modern Farming has established smart platforms like "Cloud Cattle" and "AI Cattle Doctor," equipping 60,000 dairy cows with smart collars for health monitoring and precise feeding, showcasing the company's commitment to technology-driven innovation and responsibility [3] Group 2: Environmental Dimension - The company has been recognized for its pollution prevention and ecosystem protection efforts, creating a green circular industry chain that utilizes 100% of manure resources [3] - In 2024, the biogas power generation is expected to exceed 107 million kilowatt-hours, with over 8 million tons of organic fertilizer promoted, demonstrating significant carbon reduction effects [3] - Modern Farming actively conducts biodiversity assessments and ecological restoration, implementing biogas fertilizer return and saline-alkali land improvement in regions like Inner Mongolia and Tokto, achieving both ecological benefits and agricultural income [3] Group 3: Future Outlook - The company will continue to adhere to the development philosophy of "Technology for Good, New Agriculture," implementing the national "dual carbon" strategy and deepening green low-carbon farming models [3] - It aims to enhance manure resource utilization and ecological protection technologies, driving the entire industry chain towards a new stage of efficient, green, and sustainable high-quality development [3]
现代牧业(01117)入选中国上市公司协会“2025年上市公司可持续发展优秀实践案例”
智通财经网· 2025-11-21 07:44
Core Viewpoint - Modern Dairy has been recognized as a "2025 Excellent Practice Case for Sustainable Development of Listed Companies" by the China Listed Companies Association for its achievements in digital innovation in smart farming and deep governance of process waste gas [1] Group 1: Social Dimension - The company has made key breakthroughs in gene breeding and digital farming, developing the "Modern No. 1" genomic chip to shift from reliance on imports to self-sufficiency in dairy cattle breeding [3] - Modern Dairy has established smart platforms such as "Cloud Cattle" and "AI Cattle Doctor," equipping 60,000 dairy cows with smart collars for health monitoring and precise feeding, showcasing the empowerment of technology in the industry [3] Group 2: Environmental Dimension - The company has been recognized for its pollution prevention and ecosystem protection efforts, creating a green circular industry chain that utilizes 100% of manure resources [3] - In 2024, the biogas power generation is expected to exceed 107 million kilowatt-hours, with over 8 million tons of organic fertilizer promoted, demonstrating significant carbon reduction effects [3] - Modern Dairy actively conducts biodiversity assessments and ecological restoration, implementing biogas fertilizer return and saline-alkali land improvement in regions like Inner Mongolia and Tuo Ke Tuo, achieving both ecological benefits and agricultural income [3] Group 3: Future Outlook - The company will continue to adhere to the development philosophy of "Technology for Good, New Agriculture," implementing the national "dual carbon" strategy and deepening green low-carbon farming models [3] - Modern Dairy aims to enhance manure resource utilization and ecological protection technologies, driving the entire industry chain towards a new stage of efficient, green, and sustainable high-quality development [3]
农产品日报:集团出栏增量,猪价偏弱震荡-20251121
Hua Tai Qi Huo· 2025-11-21 02:38
农产品日报 | 2025-11-21 集团出栏增量,猪价偏弱震荡 生猪观点 市场要闻与重要数据 期货方面,昨日收盘生猪 2601合约11440元/吨,较前交易日变动-120.00元/吨,幅度-1.04%。现货方面,河南地区 外三元生猪价格11.66元/公斤,较前交易日变动-0.05元/公斤,现货基差 LH01+220,较前交易日变动+70;江苏地 区外三元生猪价格 11.88元/公斤,较前交易日变动+0.11元/公斤,现货基差LH01+440,较前交易日变动+230;四 川地区外三元生猪价格11.35元/公斤,较前交易日变动+0.10元/公斤,现货基差LH01-90,较前交易日变动+220。 策略 谨慎偏空 风险 政策变化 鸡蛋观点 据农业农村部监测,11月20日"农产品批发价格200指数"为125.39,比昨天下降0.05个点,"菜篮子"产品批发价格指 数为127.49,比昨天下降0.06个点。全国农产品批发市场猪肉平均价格为17.94元/公斤,比昨天上升0.1%;牛肉66.66 元/公斤,比昨天下降0.1%;羊肉62.25元/公斤,比昨天下降0.2%;鸡蛋7.27元/公斤,比昨天下降0.5%;白条鸡17. ...
牧原股份11月20日获融资买入7070.12万元,融资余额50.21亿元
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-11-21 01:29
融资方面,牧原股份当日融资买入7070.12万元。当前融资余额50.21亿元,占流通市值的1.91%,融资 余额低于近一年30%分位水平,处于低位。 融券方面,牧原股份11月20日融券偿还4.01万股,融券卖出5000.00股,按当日收盘价计算,卖出金额 24.11万元;融券余量40.97万股,融券余额1975.64万元,超过近一年90%分位水平,处于高位。 资料显示,牧原食品股份有限公司位于河南省南阳市卧龙区龙升工业园区,香港铜锣湾希慎道33号利园1 期19楼1920室,成立日期2000年7月13日,上市日期2014年1月28日,公司主营业务涉及生猪的养殖销 售、生猪屠宰。主营业务收入构成为:生猪98.68%,屠宰、肉食产品25.30%,饲料原料1.63%,其他 0.49%。 11月20日,牧原股份跌0.47%,成交额8.24亿元。两融数据显示,当日牧原股份获融资买入额7070.12万 元,融资偿还8365.94万元,融资净买入-1295.83万元。截至11月20日,牧原股份融资融券余额合计 50.41亿元。 机构持仓方面,截止2025年9月30日,牧原股份十大流通股东中,香港中央结算有限公司位居第三大流 ...
注意!12月1日起,往湖南调运生猪规则有变!对猪价有何影响?
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-11-21 01:13
(来源:大佑农饲料) 最近,湖南省农业农村厅发布了新通知,从2025年12月1日起,外省生猪想进湖南,规矩更严了!不但 要"点对点"备案,还必须走指定路线,不然麻烦就大了。 一、新规要点:生猪进湖南,门槛提高了 简单来说,以后不是随便什么猪都能进湖南了。新规规定,只有外省的种猪、小猪,以及来自广东、广 西、福建、江西、海南这中南五省再加湖北、贵州、重庆的屠宰用生猪,才能通过"点对点"备案调进湖 南。 什么叫"点对点"?就是养猪场和接收方要提前登记备案,双方信息要对得上,不能随便找个地方就运过 去了。 更重要的是,所有运猪车必须通过指定的检查通道进入湖南,接受全面检查。湖南省已经优化了29个入 湘检查点,合规车辆可以"扫码快速通行",但如果运输时间超过8小时,就会被强制抽检非洲猪瘟病 毒。 任何单位和个人都不能接收没有经过指定通道检查并盖章的生猪。这意味着,想绕道走?没门! 来源:市场资讯 三、新规影响:谁受益?谁吃亏? 新规实施后,影响是不均衡的。 影响较小的是中南区五省(广东、广西、福建、江西、海南)以及湖北、贵州、重庆,这些省份被明确 列入允许"点对点"调运的范围,意味着它们的合规生猪仍可相对顺畅地进入湖 ...
一缕羊驼毛的千年旅程
Ren Min Ri Bao· 2025-11-20 22:21
Core Insights - The article highlights the cultural and economic significance of alpacas in the Andes region, emphasizing their historical role in human civilization and their current status as a vital resource for local communities [1][2][5]. Group 1: Historical Context - Alpacas, along with llamas and other camelids, have coexisted with humans for thousands of years, serving as a crucial resource for textiles and transportation [1]. - Archaeological evidence from sites in Peru indicates that ancient civilizations utilized camelids for sustenance and material needs, showcasing their importance in the Andes [1]. Group 2: Cultural Significance - In Andean civilizations, alpacas have been revered as symbols of wealth and community, with their wool used for clothing and trade, reflecting social status [2]. - The cultural practices surrounding alpacas, such as traditional shearing ceremonies and the use of alpaca wool in weddings and blessings, illustrate their deep integration into local customs and beliefs [4]. Group 3: Economic Impact - Approximately 85% of camelids in the Andes are raised by smallholder farmers, impacting the livelihoods of around 200,000 families and contributing to food security and cultural heritage [2]. - The alpaca industry is transitioning from raw material production to high-value products, with local enterprises combining traditional textile techniques with modern design to access international markets [5][6]. Group 4: Globalization and Market Trends - The Peruvian government recognizes Andean textile traditions as part of national cultural heritage, promoting the preservation and global appreciation of alpaca culture [6]. - The continuous opening of the Chinese market has provided new opportunities for alpaca products, with Peruvian companies participating in international trade fairs to showcase their offerings [6].
2026年农业又要变天了?粮价、猪价一夜突变!玉米、小麦全面上涨?猪价、牛羊价涨定了!农民警惕...
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-11-20 22:08
Core Insights - The article discusses the upcoming trends in agricultural reform and price changes for grains and livestock in 2026, emphasizing the need for farmers to prepare for these shifts [1][2]. Agricultural Reform Trends - The Chinese government aims for substantial progress in rural revitalization by 2027, focusing on stable agricultural production, livable rural areas, and continuous income growth for farmers [2]. - Key areas of future agricultural reform include technological empowerment, optimization of industrial structure, and green low-carbon transformation [2]. - The number of family farms in China has surpassed 5 million, with 80% of counties piloting cooperative quality improvements, indicating a shift towards larger-scale agricultural operations [1][2]. Price Trends - Prices for corn and wheat have seen significant increases, with wheat prices reaching 2,600 yuan per ton and some premium varieties hitting 2,800-2,900 yuan per ton [3]. - In the Northeast, corn prices are also rising, with state-owned enterprises like COFCO and China Grain Reserves starting to purchase at prices around 2,090 yuan per ton, which is higher than local processing prices [3]. - The pig and livestock markets are experiencing a rebound, with pig prices exceeding 13 yuan per kilogram due to seasonal demand increases [4]. Climate Impact - The emergence of La Niña climate conditions is expected to affect farmers, particularly concerning the risk of grain spoilage and livestock disease [5]. - Farmers are advised to take precautions against potential spoilage by properly storing grains and ensuring vaccination and sanitation in livestock operations [5].
德康农牧11月20日斥资730.17万港元回购9.84万股
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2025-11-20 11:29
德康农牧(02419)发布公告,于2025年11月20日斥资730.17万港元回购9.84万股股份。 ...
德康农牧(02419)11月20日斥资730.17万港元回购9.84万股
智通财经网· 2025-11-20 11:25
智通财经APP讯,德康农牧(02419)发布公告,于2025年11月20日斥资730.17万港元回购9.84万股股份。 ...