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《直播电商监督管理办法》正式施行
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2026-02-03 20:49
Core Viewpoint - The State Administration for Market Regulation and the National Internet Information Office jointly issued the "Live E-commerce Supervision and Management Measures," which will take effect on February 1, 2026 [2] Group 1: Regulatory Focus - The measures focus on four main entities: live e-commerce platform operators, live room operators, live marketing personnel, and service agencies for live marketing [2] - The regulations delineate behavioral red lines and enhance the regulatory framework [2] Group 2: Compliance Requirements - Live room operators are required to improve information disclosure, identity verification, pre-compliance review, and error correction systems [2] - Multi-Channel Network (MCN) institutions must standardize their recruitment, training, and management of hosts [2]
直播间白银白菜价?套路可深了
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2026-02-03 17:37
白银价格大涨,直播间里却是"白菜价",这是咋回事? 据报道,部分直播间售卖的所谓"纯银"产品,价格远低于国际银价,收货后却被检测为锌、镍、黄铜等 合金。随货附带的"鉴定证书",无论是查询渠道、版式要素还是内容规范都疑点重重。一旦消费者投 诉,相关商品链接会迅速下架,甚至有店铺显示"暂停营业",但不久后又以新的账号、新的名称重新出 现。 明明是镀一层银的"包银",却宣称"999足银""假一赔十";明明材质和纯度都不达标,商品却被"鉴定证 书"盖戳合格。活跃在直播间里的"阴阳产品",绝非简单的商品质量瑕疵问题,而是涉嫌欺诈消费者、 伪造证明文件的违法违规生意,是针对消费者精心编造的直播营销骗局。 监管手段要跟得上技术发展,健全"线上发现、线下追查"监管体系,定期开展专项整治治理行动,强化 惩戒力度,让违法者不敢再犯,从而形成强有力的震慑。相关平台要切实压实主体责任,不能仅仅"封 号了事",整改浮于表面,更不能放任此类商家和主播"肆无忌惮",要完善商家"黑名单"制度,加强入 驻商家、主播的资质审核,提高准入门槛,避免风险管控流于形式。 此外,不少类似直播间和店铺的生命周期并不长,往往是"打一枪换一个地方"。对此,还 ...
主播解约小杨哥隐身 三只羊难回流量巅峰
Bei Jing Shang Bao· 2026-02-03 15:49
停播整改一年多,三只羊旗下主播要么流失,要么低调复播。小杨臻选自有品牌和东南亚市场则成为三 只羊直播翻盘的希望。在专业人士看来,三只羊的核心问题不在于流量缺失,而是原有商业模式失灵, 难以将流量变为"留量"。 2月3日,北京商报记者获悉,三只羊旗下知名主播"七老板"近日在抖音账号上宣布已与三只羊公司解 约。截至记者发稿,七老板抖音账号粉丝数为584.8万。 弱化品牌标识 沉淀百万甚至千万级粉丝的主播是直播机构的重要资产,主播流失或与品牌划清界限,对于被重创的三 只羊来说无疑是雪上加霜。飞瓜数据显示,2024年9月,三只羊旗下签约人数超2000位,截至记者发 稿,其签约人数已降至321位。 在"去小杨哥化"的阵痛中,三只羊尝试通过发展自有品牌"小杨臻选"、探索出海业务等途径寻找新出 路。2025年11月,三只羊海外业务负责人李健对外透露,三只羊在新加坡、马来西亚、越南稳居东南亚 跨境MCN前三。他还表示,公司未来会加速海外扩张,下一步重点登陆巴西市场。 2025年4月,三只羊自营品牌小杨臻选App在多个应用市场上线。据了解,小杨臻选会员费为99元/年, 价格仅为东方甄选会员的一半,会员折扣为8.5折。开通界面显 ...
大主播解约、小杨哥“隐身”,三只羊难回流量巅峰
Bei Jing Shang Bao· 2026-02-03 15:10
舆情反噬仍在影响三只羊,500万粉丝大主播选择割席。2月3日,北京商报记者获悉,三只羊旗下知名主播"七老板"近日在抖音账号上宣布,自己已和三只 羊公司解约。 停播整改一年多,三只羊旗下主播要么流失,要么复播低调。小杨臻选自有品牌和东南亚市场则成了三只羊直播翻盘的希望。在专业人士看来,三只羊的核 心问题不在于流量缺失,而是原有商业模式失灵,难以将流量变为"留量"。 停播期间,三只羊旗下主播如"小雨女装"、"红绿灯的黄"、陈意礼等在抖音主页取消了三只羊MCN的标识。有主播以垂类账号低调复播,进一步降低对三 只羊IP的依赖。 主播弱化公司标识 关注三只羊的粉丝对七老板并不陌生,截至发稿,她的抖音账号粉丝数高达584.7万。 公开资料显示,七老板于2022年加入三只羊,成为公司创始人小杨哥的徒弟。她擅长美妆,是三只羊旗下首位单月销售额破亿的主播,曾被小杨哥称为"抖 音美妆一姐", 然而,2024年9月一场"假月饼"事件风波,让三只羊遭受舆论重创。除了公司创始人大杨哥和小杨哥,七老板和其他主播也被卷入风波中。三只羊公司不仅 被监管部门罚没超6800万,旗下账号也被平台停播整顿。此后,三只羊抖音主账号停播,大杨哥、小杨哥 ...
东方甄选(01797.HK):实现韧性增长 线上线下渠道全面发力
Ge Long Hui· 2026-02-03 09:38
Core Viewpoint - The company reported a slight revenue miss but a significant net profit beat for 1HFY26, driven by improved operational efficiency [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - Total revenue for 1HFY26 reached 2.31 billion, a year-on-year increase of 5.7%, slightly below expectations; adjusted net profit was 258 million, exceeding expectations by 68% [1] - Excluding revenue from the Huixing live broadcast room, year-on-year growth was 17.0% [1] - Gross margin for 1HFY26 was 36.4%, an increase of 2.8 percentage points year-on-year; adjusted net profit margin was 11.1%, up 11.2 percentage points year-on-year [2] Group 2: Growth and Development Trends - The company achieved resilient growth with a total revenue of 2.31 billion for 1HFY26, reflecting a 5.7% year-on-year increase [1] - The proportion of self-operated product GMV in total GMV increased to 52.8%, up 15.8 percentage points year-on-year; SKU count rose from 600 in 1HFY25 to 801 [1] - The management team has been strengthened, with Sun Jin appointed as Executive President in December 2025 to oversee daily management and strategic implementation [1] Group 3: Strategic Initiatives - The company is enhancing its online presence by solidifying its position on Douyin and accelerating the development of its own app, which contributed 18.5% to GMV, up 4.9 percentage points year-on-year; as of November 30, 2025, app membership reached 240,000 [2] - Offline, the company has deployed over 40 vending machines leveraging the New Oriental learning center network, achieving profitability in some cities [2] - The management plans to strengthen collaboration with New Oriental Group to facilitate member conversion [2] Group 4: Earnings Forecast and Valuation - Revenue forecasts for FY26 and FY27 have been raised by 3.1% and 4.8% to 5.19 billion and 5.90 billion, respectively; adjusted net profit estimates have been increased by 80.2% and 32.1% to 437 million and 410 million [2] - The target price has been raised by 25% to 30 HKD, based on a more optimistic profit release expectation; the FY26 P/GMV multiple has been adjusted from 2.5x to 2.9x, corresponding to a 5.5x FY26 price-to-sales ratio [2]
东方甄选(01797.HK):业绩超预期 自营品增长潜力持续验证
Ge Long Hui· 2026-02-03 09:38
Core Viewpoint - Dongfang Zhenxuan reported a significant improvement in financial performance for the first half of FY2026, with a revenue of 2.312 billion yuan and a net profit of 239 million yuan, marking a return to profitability [1][2]. Financial Performance - The company achieved a revenue of 2.312 billion yuan for the period from June 2025 to November 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 5.7% [1]. - The net profit reached 239 million yuan, with an adjusted net profit of 258 million yuan, both indicating a turnaround from previous losses [1]. - Gross merchandise volume (GMV) for FY2026H1 was 4.1 billion yuan, a decrease of 15%, with self-operated products contributing 2.16 billion yuan, accounting for 52.8% of total GMV, up from 43.8% in FY2025 [1]. Profitability Enhancement - The gross margin improved from 33.6% to 36.4%, driven by the expansion of self-operated product supply chains and an increase in product categories and scale [2]. - The overall expense ratio saw a significant decline, with the sales expense ratio at 19.0%, down by 2 percentage points, and the management expense ratio at 3.6%, showing a substantial year-on-year decrease [2]. - The net profit margin for FY2026H1 was 10.34%, indicating a return to profitability, with an adjusted net profit margin of 11.15% [2]. Membership and Brand Development - The number of paid members for the Dongfang Zhenxuan APP reached 240,000, with the APP's GMV accounting for 18.5% of total GMV [3]. - The self-operated GMV through the APP remained stable at 28.6%, indicating a growing trend in paid membership and self-operated product contributions [3]. - The company is expanding its sales channels through platforms like WeChat, Tmall, JD, Pinduoduo, and Xiaohongshu, with plans to open its first offline experience store in Beijing in 2026 to enhance brand influence and channel layout [3]. Investment Outlook - Dongfang Zhenxuan is deepening its focus from channels to product offerings, exploring a differentiated transformation path in live e-commerce [3]. - The continuous upgrade of the membership system and the ongoing improvement of SKU and supply chain capabilities are expected to support sustained growth in self-operated product reputation [3]. - Projected adjusted net profits for FY2026 to FY2028 are estimated at 497 million yuan, 540 million yuan, and 590 million yuan, respectively, with an initial coverage rating of "Accumulate" [3].
粉丝破千万、单场带货1.6亿,李亚鹏会成为下一个董宇辉吗?
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2026-02-03 06:17
Core Insights - The rise of Li Yaping as a top influencer in the live e-commerce industry is marked by a significant increase in followers and impressive sales figures, indicating a shift in consumer behavior and market dynamics [1][3][6] Group 1: Performance Metrics - Li Yaping's followers surged from 6 million to 10.48 million in just half a month, gaining over 4 million new followers [3] - His live streaming sessions achieved a GMV of 1.6 billion yuan, setting a new industry record and topping Douyin's sales charts [3][4] - A high-priced tea product sold out in just three seconds during a live session, showcasing the effectiveness of his sales strategy [3] Group 2: Industry Context - The live e-commerce sector is transitioning from a focus on raw traffic to a model centered on professional content and user trust, as evidenced by a projected GMV growth rate decline to 18.6% by 2025 [6] - The industry is under pressure to innovate due to the diminishing flow of new users, prompting platforms to adopt quality-driven live streaming approaches [6] Group 3: Emotional and Social Factors - Li Yaping's success is attributed to his long-standing commitment to public welfare, which has built significant trust among consumers, especially during a crisis involving his charity hospital [7][9] - Modern consumers are increasingly valuing products that carry social significance, which aligns with Li Yaping's approach of integrating social causes into his sales strategy [9] Group 4: Challenges Ahead - The shift from traffic-based revenue models to content and differentiation poses challenges for Li Yaping, as sustaining sales growth post-crisis remains uncertain [11][14] - The pressure on supply chains due to explosive sales volumes raises concerns about maintaining product quality and customer service, which are critical for sustaining trust [11][14] Group 5: Comparative Analysis - Li Yaping's approach contrasts with that of other influencers like Dong Yuhui, who focuses on knowledge sharing; this highlights different paths within the live e-commerce landscape [13]
销售额同样都是超200亿!胖东来的人均为何比不上与辉同行?
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2026-02-03 03:56
胖东来人均比不上与辉同行? 先上核心数据,看完你绝对震惊:胖东来2025年卖了235亿,雇了8600多员工;与辉同行卖了210亿,员工才600多。 算下来,与辉同行一个人能干胖东来十个人的活,电商的人均效率是真的卷,实体零售看完估计要哭晕在厕所。 但效率不代表一切,利润分配才是关键。胖东来235亿销售额,净利润就15亿,净利率才6.3%,相当于卖100块只赚6块多。 与辉同行虽然净利润没公布,但按行业5%-15%的佣金算,营收最少10.5亿,最多31.5亿,赚钱能力说不定比胖东来所有超市加起来还猛。 重点来了,同样是赚大钱,胖东来和与辉同行的花钱路子,简直是两个极端。 先看胖东来,于东来是真的不把钱当自己的,搞了个333分配机制,每赚10块,3块做公益,3块搞运营,3块发工资,1块给股东,明明白白不藏私。 2025年零售圈最大反转来了,胖东来和与辉同行居然"撞销售额"了,更离谱的是,两者的赚钱玩法差了十万八千里。 今天就跟大家唠唠,这两家顶流公司,年销两百多亿后,钱到底都花哪儿去了! 剩下1块钱给股东,于东来还不"独吞",自己再拿一大半做慈善,从造航母到抗灾,次次都冲在前面,这格局是真的拉满。 再看与辉同行, ...
研报掘金丨中金:上调东方甄选目标价至30港元,盈利增长预期更乐观
Ge Long Hui A P P· 2026-02-03 02:50
Core Viewpoint - Dongfang Zhenxuan reported a 5.7% year-on-year increase in total revenue for the first half of the 2026 fiscal year, reaching 2.31 billion yuan, slightly below expectations [1] - Adjusted net profit reached 258 million yuan, exceeding expectations by 68% [1] Revenue Forecast Adjustments - The investment bank raised revenue forecasts for fiscal years 2026 and 2027 by 3.1% and 4.8%, respectively, to 5.19 billion yuan and 5.9 billion yuan [1] Profit Forecast Adjustments - Adjusted net profit forecasts for fiscal years 2026 and 2027 were increased by 80.2% and 32.1%, respectively, to 437 million yuan and 410 million yuan [1] Target Price Adjustment - The target price for Dongfang Zhenxuan was raised by 25% to 30 HKD, maintaining an "outperform" rating [1]
大行评级丨大和:东方甄选上半财年业绩表现亮眼,目标价升至29港元
Ge Long Hui A P P· 2026-02-03 02:29
Core Viewpoint - The report from Daiwa indicates that Dongfang Zhenxuan has turned around its financial performance in the first half of fiscal year 2026, achieving an adjusted net profit of 257 million yuan, compared to a loss in the previous year [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - The company reported a strong gross margin of 36%, which is a key positive indicator [1] - The gross margin for its proprietary brands increased from 24% to 29%, primarily due to economies of scale and contributions from high-margin products in health, nutrition, and daily consumer goods [1] Group 2: Operational Outlook - Daiwa has shifted its outlook to a more positive stance, believing the company has overcome operational challenges [1] - The development of proprietary brands, structural reduction in operating costs, and the opening of non-Douyin channels provide significant options for revenue growth [1] Group 3: Earnings Forecast - Based on better-than-expected gross merchandise volume and gross margin performance, Daiwa has raised the company's earnings forecast for the next two years by 42% to 970 million yuan [1] - Considering the recovery in gross merchandise volume, Daiwa reaffirms its "outperform" rating and raises the 12-month target price from 13.5 HKD to 29 HKD [1]