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中国海油(600938):油气产量稳步增长,继续高质量发展
Soochow Securities· 2025-05-01 02:02
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for both A and H shares of China National Offshore Oil Corporation (CNOOC) [1][6] Core Views - CNOOC's oil and gas production continues to grow steadily, contributing to high-quality development [6] - The company achieved a total revenue of 106.9 billion yuan in Q1 2025, a year-on-year decrease of 4% but a quarter-on-quarter increase of 13% [6] - The net profit attributable to shareholders for Q1 2025 was 36.6 billion yuan, down 8% year-on-year but up 72% quarter-on-quarter [6] - The report highlights the successful launch of projects leading to increased oil and gas production, with a net production of 189 million barrels of oil equivalent in Q1 2025, a 5% increase year-on-year [6] - CNOOC's capital expenditure for Q1 2025 was 27.71 billion yuan, a decrease of 4.5% year-on-year, with a total budget of 125-135 billion yuan for the year [6] - The report emphasizes the company's strong cost control, with a barrel of oil cost of 27.03 USD in Q1 2025, down 2% year-on-year [6] - CNOOC is focused on shareholder returns, with an expected dividend payout of approximately 62.3 billion yuan for 2025, resulting in a dividend yield of 5.2% for A shares and 8.4% for H shares before tax [6] Financial Forecasts - The report provides financial forecasts for CNOOC, projecting total revenue of 409.88 billion yuan for 2025, with a year-on-year decrease of 2.53% [7] - The net profit attributable to shareholders is forecasted to be 138.39 billion yuan for 2025, with a slight increase of 0.33% year-on-year [7] - The report anticipates earnings per share (EPS) of 2.91 yuan for 2025, with a projected price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 8.59 for A shares and 5.32 for H shares [7][8]
中国石油:上游板块增量显著,油气龙头业绩稳健增长-20250430
Xinda Securities· 2025-04-30 14:23
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating a positive outlook on its stock performance relative to the benchmark index [1][5]. Core Insights - The company reported a revenue of 753.11 billion yuan for Q1 2025, a year-on-year decrease of 7.3%, but a quarter-on-quarter increase of 10.47%. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 46.81 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 2.3% and a quarter-on-quarter growth of 45.55% [1][3]. - The oil and gas segment significantly contributed to the company's performance, with the Brent average oil price at $75 per barrel, down 8% year-on-year but up 1% quarter-on-quarter. The operating profits from various segments showed mixed results, with oil and gas yielding 46.1 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 30% [3][5]. - The company achieved a stable growth in oil and gas production, with a total output of 467 million barrels of oil equivalent, a 0.7% increase year-on-year. The unit operating cost decreased to $9.76 per barrel, down 6% from the previous year [3][5]. Financial Summary - The company forecasts net profits of 171.74 billion yuan, 175.75 billion yuan, and 178.98 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with corresponding EPS of 0.94, 0.96, and 0.98 yuan per share. The projected P/E ratios for these years are 8.51, 8.32, and 8.17 [4][5]. - The total revenue is expected to decline slightly from 2,888.21 billion yuan in 2025 to 2,898.71 billion yuan in 2027, with a projected growth rate of -1.7% in 2025 and a slight recovery to 0.4% in 2027 [4][5].
中国石油(601857):25Q1业绩稳步提升,全产业链优势引领穿越油价周期
EBSCN· 2025-04-30 13:14
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for both A-shares and H-shares of the company, with current prices at 7.94 CNY and 5.80 HKD respectively [1]. Core Views - The company reported a steady performance in Q1 2025, with total revenue of 753.1 billion CNY, a year-on-year decrease of 7.3% but a quarter-on-quarter increase of 10.5%. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 46.8 billion CNY, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 2.3% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 45.6% [5][6]. - The integrated industry chain of the company helps to withstand oil price fluctuations, leading to stable growth in net profit for Q1 2025. The average Brent crude oil price was 74.98 USD/barrel, down 8.3% year-on-year but up 1.3% quarter-on-quarter [6][12]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In Q1 2025, the company achieved an operating cash flow of 139.4 billion CNY, a year-on-year increase of 25.5%. The debt-to-asset ratio improved to 37.9%, down 1.1 percentage points year-on-year [6][12]. - The upstream business benefited from increased natural gas production and effective cost control, achieving an operating profit of 46.1 billion CNY, up 7.0% year-on-year. The average price of crude oil was 70.00 USD/barrel, down 7.2% year-on-year [7][8]. Segment Performance - The natural gas sales business reported an operating profit of 13.5 billion CNY, up 9.7% year-on-year, driven by increased sales volume and improved profitability across the industry chain. Total natural gas sales reached 86.4 billion cubic meters, a year-on-year increase of 3.7% [8][10]. - The refining and chemical segment faced challenges, with an operating profit of 5.4 billion CNY, down 33.6% year-on-year, primarily due to narrowing margins in refined products and lower profitability in chemical products [10][11]. Long-term Growth Potential - The company plans to maintain high capital expenditures, with a budget of 210 billion CNY for upstream investments in 2025. The expected growth in oil and gas equivalent production is 1.6% for the year [12][14]. - The company aims to transition towards a comprehensive energy service provider, enhancing its focus on high-value products in the chemical sector and increasing the proportion of high-margin products [12][14]. Shareholder Confidence - The major shareholder, China National Petroleum Corporation, plans to increase its stake in the company, reflecting confidence in its future development. The company maintains a strong dividend policy, with a stable dividend yield that enhances its investment value [13][14]. Earnings Forecast - The report slightly lowers the earnings forecast for the company, projecting net profits of 166.1 billion CNY, 171.2 billion CNY, and 175.7 billion CNY for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with corresponding EPS of 0.91, 0.94, and 0.96 CNY per share [14][16].
564股今日获机构买入评级
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-04-30 10:37
564只个股今日获机构买入型评级,11股最新评级被调高,38股机构首次关注。 行业来看,医药生物行业最受青睐,东阿阿胶、迈瑞医疗等50只个股上榜机构买入评级榜。电子、机械 设备等行业也较受机构关注,分别有49只、47只个股上榜。(数据宝) 机构今日买入型评级个股 | 代码 | 简称 | 买入评级 | 今日涨跌 | 动态市盈 | 行业 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | 家数 | 幅(%) | 率(倍) | | | 600519 | 贵州茅台 | 11 | 0.19 | 18.10 | 食品饮料 | | 600809 | 山西汾酒 | 7 | 0.55 | 9.36 | 食品饮料 | | 600938 | 中国海油 | 6 | -0.36 | 8.13 | 石油石化 | | 601233 | 桐昆股份 | 6 | 3.03 | 10.71 | 石油石化 | | 600398 | 海澜之家 | 6 | 5.46 | 10.66 | 纺织服饰 | | 002244 | 滨江集团 | 6 | 3.08 | 8.26 | 房地产 | | 002345 | 潮宏基 ...
中国海油(600938):油气产量稳增长,2025年第一季度实现归母净利润365亿元
Guoxin Securities· 2025-04-30 08:05
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Outperform the Market" [6][4][21] Core Views - The company achieved a net profit attributable to shareholders of 36.53 billion yuan in Q1 2025, demonstrating strong earnings resilience and exceeding expectations. The total revenue for the same period was 106.86 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year decrease of 4.1% but a quarter-on-quarter increase of 13.1% [1][9] - The company’s oil and gas net production increased steadily, with a total net production of 188.8 million barrels of oil equivalent in Q1 2025, a year-on-year increase of 4.8%. The domestic net production accounted for 69.3% of the total [2][12] - The company maintained stable capital expenditures, with Q1 2025 capital expenditures amounting to 27.71 billion yuan, a decrease of 4.5% year-on-year. The total expected capital expenditure for 2025 is between 125 billion and 135 billion yuan [3][18] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In Q1 2025, the company reported a net profit of 36.53 billion yuan, with a revenue of 106.86 billion yuan. The Brent crude oil futures average price was 75.0 USD per barrel, down 8.3% year-on-year [1][9] - The average realized price for crude oil was 72.7 USD per barrel, with a year-on-year decrease of 7.7%. The average realized gas price was 7.78 USD per thousand cubic feet, up 1.2% year-on-year [2][16] Production and Cost Management - The company’s oil and gas sales revenue was 88.27 billion yuan in Q1 2025, with a net production of 188.8 million barrels of oil equivalent, showing a year-on-year increase of 4.8% [2][12] - The main cost per barrel of oil equivalent was 27.03 USD, a decrease of 2.0% year-on-year, indicating effective cost control [2][16] Capital Expenditure and Projects - The company completed capital expenditures of 27.71 billion yuan in Q1 2025, with a total expected capital expenditure for the year of 125-135 billion yuan. Seven new projects have been successfully put into production [3][18] - The company made two new discoveries and successfully evaluated 14 oil and gas structures in Q1 2025, indicating a positive outlook for exploration [3][18] Shareholder Actions - On April 8, 2025, the company announced that its controlling shareholder plans to increase its holdings of the company's A-shares and H-shares by 2-4 billion yuan within 12 months to protect shareholder interests [3][21]
中国海油(600938):增量降本成效显著 油价波动期业绩韧性凸显
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-04-30 06:26
25Q1 油气当量产量维持高增,天然气产量同比增长10.2%公司持续加快上产步伐,25Q1 实现净产量 188.8 百万桶油当量,同比增长4.8%。其中,原油产量同比+3.4%,天然气产量同比+10.2%;中国净产 量130.8百万桶油当量,同比+6.2%,主要得益于渤中19-6 等油气田的贡献;海外净产量58 百万桶油当 量,同比+1.9%,主要由于巴西Mero2 等项目的贡献。实现价格方面,25Q1 公司平均实现油价72.65 美 元/桶,同比-7.7%,平均实现天然气价格为7.78 美元/千立方英尺,同比+1.2%。2025Q1,公司资本支出 277 亿元,有力支撑新项目建设和产量增长。 25Q1 公司共获得2 个新发现,并成功评价14 个含油气构造。其中,惠州19-6油田探明地质储量超1 亿 吨油当量,涠洲10-5 油气田展示了北部湾盆地潜山领域广阔的勘探前景;成功评价绥中36-1 南,有望 成为中型油田。期内,番禺10/11 区块联合开发项目、东方29-1 气田开发项目、渤中26-6 油田开发项目 (一期)、文昌19-1 油田二期项目以及巴西Buzios7 项目等多个新项目已成功投产。其他新项目正在 ...
中国海油(600938):增量降本成效显著,油价波动期业绩韧性凸显
EBSCN· 2025-04-30 02:45
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for China National Offshore Oil Corporation (CNOOC) [1] Core Views - The company's performance demonstrates resilience during periods of oil price fluctuations, with significant cost reduction and efficiency improvements [6][11] - CNOOC's net profit for Q1 2025 is projected to be 366 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year decrease of 7.95% but a quarter-on-quarter increase of 71.84% [5][11] - The company continues to enhance its production capacity and maintain cost advantages, with a focus on high-quality development and stable production growth [10][11] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In Q1 2025, CNOOC achieved total revenue of 1,069 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 4.14% but an increase of 13.09% compared to the previous quarter [5] - The average realized oil price was 72.65 USD per barrel, down 7.7% year-on-year, while natural gas prices increased by 1.2% to 7.78 USD per thousand cubic feet [7] Production and Exploration - CNOOC's net production in Q1 2025 reached 188.8 million barrels of oil equivalent, a year-on-year increase of 4.8%, with natural gas production growing by 10.2% [7] - The company made two new discoveries and successfully evaluated 14 oil and gas structures during the quarter, indicating strong exploration potential [8] Cost Management - The company reported a decrease in oil production costs to 27.03 USD per barrel, down 2.0% year-on-year, showcasing its effective cost control measures [9] - CNOOC's operating cash flow for Q1 2025 was 573 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year decrease of 4.5% but maintaining a high level of cash flow [6] Capital Expenditure and Future Outlook - CNOOC plans to maintain high capital expenditures in 2025, with a budget of 1250-1350 billion yuan to support stable production growth [10] - The company aims for a production target of 760-780 million barrels of oil equivalent in 2025, with a focus on sustainable growth in the following years [10][11]
套利”还是“逃离”?ST新潮即将上演24小时“生死时速
一项竞争性要约收购计划,正在以更加戏剧性发展,演绎整个A股历史上前所未见的生死时速戏码! 4月28日晚间,油气开采运营企业ST新潮(600777)(600777.SH)发布了一则"关于预计无法按期披露定 期报告的风险提示性公告"。 该公告称,原定于2025年4月30日披露2024年年度报告及2025年第一季度报告,因定期报告涉及的部分 财务信息需要进一步补充提供,公司预计无法在法定期限内(即4月30日前)披露年报。 按照交易所上市规则,若ST新潮在4月30日前确系无法披露定期报告,那么公司将从5月6日,即劳动节 假期后首个交易日起停牌。若依然持续无法披露年报,那么公司股票将在7月7日被标注退市风险警示, 若此后依然不披露,则将在9月8日被交易所采取强制退市举措,股票届时将进入退市整理期。 值得注意的是,目前ST新潮正面临浙江金帝石油勘探开发有限公司(以下简称"金帝石油")和B股上市公 司伊泰B(900948.SH)——两方势力对公司竞争性要约收购的关键时刻。而这一突如其来的退市风险,给 本已胜券在握的伊泰B要约收购方案,带来极大的不确定性。 考虑4月30日将是ST新潮可能长期停牌的最后一个交易日,ST新潮的所 ...
财报解读|中国海油一季度净利润跌近8%:高层称不要悲观、要坚守成本优势
Di Yi Cai Jing· 2025-04-29 11:58
Core Viewpoint - The company sees potential acquisition opportunities if international oil prices continue to decline, and it plans to adjust and optimize its oil and gas asset portfolio based on market conditions and its management capabilities [1][4]. Financial Performance - In Q1, the company reported revenue of 1068.54 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 4.1%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 365.63 billion yuan, down 7.9% year-on-year [1]. - The average selling price of oil liquids fell by 7.7% to 72.65 USD/barrel, negatively impacting profit margins due to lower oil prices [1]. - The average Brent crude oil futures price decreased by 8.3% year-on-year to 74.98 USD/barrel, leading to a 1.9% decline in oil and gas sales revenue to 882.7 billion yuan, with oil sales revenue down 4.6% to 746.3 billion yuan [1]. Production and Cost Management - The company's total net production increased by 4.8% year-on-year to 188.8 million barrels of oil equivalent in Q1, supported by contributions from various oil and gas fields [2]. - The average cost per barrel of oil decreased by 2% year-on-year to 27.03 USD, helping to mitigate the impact of falling oil prices [2]. Strategic Outlook - The company maintains a positive long-term outlook for the oil industry, asserting that low oil prices will not affect its long-term development strategy or its investment plans and production targets for 2025 [4]. - The company emphasizes a low-cost strategy and aims to maintain a cost advantage among major global oil companies, regardless of oil price fluctuations [4]. - The company is committed to global oil and gas asset allocation and views potential declines in international oil prices as favorable for acquisitions, leveraging its strong cash flow and low cost structure [4].
中国海油一季度实现收入1068.54亿元 多个新项目已成功投产
Core Viewpoint - China National Offshore Oil Corporation (CNOOC) reported a decline in revenue and net profit for Q1 2025, despite an increase in oil and gas production, highlighting the impact of falling international oil prices on financial performance [1][2][3] Financial Performance - In Q1 2025, CNOOC achieved operating revenue of 106.85 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 4.1% [1] - The net profit attributable to shareholders was 36.56 billion yuan, down 7.9% year-on-year [1] - The average realized oil price was 72.65 USD/barrel, a decrease of 7.7% year-on-year, while the average realized gas price increased by 1.2% to 7.78 USD/thousand cubic feet [2] Production and Exploration - CNOOC's net production reached 188.8 million barrels of oil equivalent, an increase of 4.8% year-on-year, with domestic production rising by 6.2% [1][2] - The company made two new discoveries and successfully evaluated 14 oil and gas structures during the quarter [2] - Significant contributions to production came from the Bohai region and overseas projects, particularly from Brazil's Mero2 [1][2] Capital Expenditure and Projects - Capital expenditure for the quarter was approximately 27.71 billion yuan, a decrease of 4.5% year-on-year [2] - Several new projects, including the Panyu 10/11 block and the Wenchang 19-1 oil field, have been successfully put into production [2][3] - The Wenchang 9-7 oil field development project was announced to have commenced production, with an expected peak output of about 12,000 barrels of oil equivalent per day by 2027 [3][4] Future Outlook - CNOOC's controlling shareholder announced plans to increase shareholdings in the company by 2 to 4 billion yuan over the next 12 months, reflecting confidence in the company's long-term investment value [3] - The company aims to enhance operational efficiency and achieve its annual production and operational targets [3]