Core Viewpoint - Zhongman Petroleum (603619.SH) announced the acquisition of a 49% stake in Rising Energy International Middle East FZCO from Xinhua International Energy Development Co., Ltd for 563 million RMB (approximately 79.32 million USD), aiming to enhance oil and gas resource volume and production rights [1] Group 1: Acquisition Details - The acquisition will allow Zhongman Gulf, a wholly-owned subsidiary, to hold 100% of Rising Energy International Middle East FZCO, thereby indirectly owning 100% rights in the Kenge block [1] - The transaction amount is 563 million RMB, which is equivalent to 79.32 million USD [1] Group 2: Strategic Importance - The company adheres to the core development philosophy of "resources are king, technology is fundamental," focusing on the oil and gas industry chain [1] - The Kenge block in Kazakhstan has begun to form scalable production capacity, and the overall project development has entered an efficient implementation phase [1] - This acquisition is expected to improve exploration and development efficiency, achieve increased reserves and production, and reduce costs while enhancing the company's equity reserves and production scale [1]

Core Viewpoint - The oil and gas industry has achieved significant exploration breakthroughs, with domestic oil and gas reserves expected to increase, benefiting oil service companies as the country deepens its reserve and production strategies [4]. Group 1: Exploration and Production Breakthroughs - The Ministry of Natural Resources announced major breakthroughs in energy mineral exploration, discovering 10 large oil fields and 19 large gas fields during the "14th Five-Year Plan" period [4]. - New oil and gas reserves have significantly increased, supporting stable oil production of 200 million tons and natural gas production exceeding 240 billion cubic meters [4]. - From 2019 to 2024, China's crude oil production is expected to grow at a CAGR of 2.2%, while natural gas production is projected to grow at a CAGR of 7.3% [4]. Group 2: Capital Expenditure Trends - Global upstream capital expenditure is projected to decline slightly to around $600 billion in 2025, a year-on-year decrease of 4%, with deepwater investments expected to drop by 6% [5]. - As of July 2025, the average day rate for jack-up rigs is $109,700, a 5.9% increase year-on-year, while semi-submersible rigs average $279,600, up 11.5% year-on-year, both at their highest levels since 2022 [5]. Group 3: Oil Service Companies' Performance - In the first half of 2025, major oil service companies benefited from the ongoing domestic "reserve and production increase" strategy and the gradual release of overseas business performance [6]. - CNOOC's oil service subsidiary reported a 23.3% year-on-year increase in net profit, while other companies like CNOOC Engineering and CNOOC Development saw net profit increases of 13.1% and a 27% rise in gross profit, respectively [6]. - The gross profit margins for CNOOC's oil service companies improved year-on-year, indicating a continuous enhancement in operational quality [6]. Group 4: International Competitiveness - In the first half of 2025, the gross profit margins of international oil service giants Schlumberger, Halliburton, and Baker Hughes decreased compared to their 2024 annual levels, while CNOOC's subsidiaries showed improvements [8]. - The annualized ROE for CNOOC's oil service companies remained resilient, with slight increases compared to 2024, indicating a potential enhancement in international competitiveness [8].

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Accumulate" rating for the oil and gas industry [6] Core Viewpoints - The oil and gas industry has achieved significant exploration breakthroughs, with the oil service sector expected to benefit from the ongoing domestic reserve increase and production actions [10][11] - The "Three Barrel Oil" companies have significantly increased capital expenditures from 2020 to 2023, and are expected to maintain high levels in 2024 and 2025, which will benefit their affiliated oil service companies [11][12] - Global upstream capital expenditures are projected to decline slightly in 2025, but domestic investment is expected to remain high due to supportive policies [12] - The oil service sector's performance has improved, with major companies showing resilience in profitability despite falling oil prices [21][26] Summary by Sections Oil and Gas Breakthroughs - The Ministry of Natural Resources announced major breakthroughs in energy mineral exploration, including the discovery of 10 large oil fields and 19 large gas fields during the 14th Five-Year Plan period [10] - New geological reserves of over 300 billion cubic meters have been confirmed in the Ordos Basin alone, supporting stable oil production of 200 million tons and natural gas production exceeding 240 billion cubic meters [10][11] Capital Expenditure Trends - The "Three Barrel Oil" companies plan to invest approximately 210 billion, 72.9 billion, and 130 billion yuan in upstream capital expenditures for 2025, reflecting a 6% decrease from 2024 but still maintaining high levels [11][12] - Global upstream exploration and development spending is expected to be around 600 billion USD in 2025, a 4% year-on-year decline, with deepwater investments projected to decrease by 6% [12] Oil Service Sector Performance - In the first half of 2025, major oil service companies reported significant profit increases, with CNOOC Services' net profit rising by 23.3% and CNOOC Development's by 13.1% [21] - The gross profit margins of key oil service companies have improved, with CNOOC Services, CNOOC Engineering, and CNOOC Development showing increases compared to the previous year [21][26] International Competitiveness - The international competitiveness of domestic oil service companies is expected to improve, as their return on equity (ROE) has shown resilience compared to major international competitors [26] - The gross profit margins of domestic oil service companies have increased, while international competitors have experienced declines in their margins [26] Investment Recommendations - The report suggests a positive outlook for the "Three Barrel Oil" companies and the oil service sector, as well as for leading companies in the refining and chemical sectors [5]

Core Viewpoint - China National Offshore Oil Corporation (CNOOC) has demonstrated significant achievements in production, cost management, and shareholder returns during the "14th Five-Year Plan" period, positioning itself for high-quality development by 2025 [1][10]. Production and Resource Development - CNOOC's domestic crude oil production has increased by an average of over 3 million tons annually for four consecutive years, contributing over 70% of the national crude oil increment in 2024 [2][4]. - The company has made several milestone discoveries, including the Kaiping South oil field, which is China's first deep-water, deep-layer oil field with a billion-ton capacity [2][3]. - CNOOC's first condensate gas field, the Bozhong 19-6, is expected to provide stable clean energy supply to the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region, promoting green and low-carbon development [2]. Technological Innovation - CNOOC focuses on self-reliance in technology, developing key technologies for efficient oil and gas extraction, which supports production growth [5][6]. - The company has launched significant deep-sea equipment, including the "Deep Sea No. 1" energy station, enhancing its capabilities in ultra-deep water development [6][7]. Shareholder Returns and Financial Performance - Since its A-share listing in April 2022, CNOOC has achieved a cumulative net profit of 473.01 billion yuan and cash dividends of 255.98 billion yuan, with a dividend payout ratio of 54.12% [8]. - The dual-platform capital operation model has strengthened CNOOC's financial position and attracted long-term investors, supporting its sustainable development [9]. Environmental, Social, and Governance (ESG) Initiatives - CNOOC integrates ESG principles into its development strategy, focusing on environmental protection, social responsibility, and high standards of governance [9].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for China National Offshore Oil Corporation (CNOOC) is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The company's performance in H1 2025 met expectations, with production growth offsetting the impact of oil price fluctuations [1] - CNOOC reported a revenue of RMB 207.61 billion in H1 2025, a year-on-year decrease of 8.45%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of RMB 69.53 billion, down 12.79% year-on-year [5] - The company achieved a net production of 384.6 million barrels of oil equivalent in H1 2025, an increase of 6.1% year-on-year, with domestic production rising by 7.6% [5][6] - Brent crude oil futures averaged USD 66.71 per barrel in Q2 2025, a decrease of 21.55% year-on-year, while the company's average realized oil price was USD 69.15 per barrel, down 13.9% year-on-year [6] - CNOOC's cost control measures have strengthened its competitive advantage, with operating costs per barrel decreasing to USD 6.76, down 0.7% year-on-year [6] Financial Performance - CNOOC's revenue for H1 2025 was RMB 207.61 billion, with a net profit of RMB 69.53 billion [5] - The company expects net profits for 2025-2027 to be RMB 140.37 billion, RMB 146.32 billion, and RMB 154.52 billion, respectively, with corresponding P/E ratios of 8.88, 8.52, and 8.07 [9] - Key financial indicators for 2025E include revenue of RMB 420.60 billion, net profit of RMB 140.37 billion, and a gross margin of 54.2% [11] Production and Exploration - CNOOC's net production of oil and gas has steadily increased, with significant contributions from projects like "Deep Sea No. 1" Phase II [5][7] - The company made five new discoveries in the South China Sea and successfully evaluated 18 oil and gas structures in H1 2025 [7][8] - CNOOC's capital expenditure for H1 2025 was approximately RMB 57.6 billion, a decrease of 8.8% year-on-year [8]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for both A and H shares of China National Offshore Oil Corporation (CNOOC) [1] Core Views - CNOOC's oil and gas production is rapidly increasing, with significant cost reduction and efficiency improvement [1] - The company achieved a revenue of 207.6 billion yuan in H1 2025, a year-on-year decrease of 8.45%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 69.5 billion yuan, down 12.79% year-on-year [7] - The report highlights the successful launch of projects contributing to production growth, with actual oil and gas net production reaching 385 million barrels of oil equivalent in H1 2025, a 6% increase year-on-year [7] - CNOOC's capital expenditure decreased by 9% year-on-year to 57.6 billion yuan in H1 2025, with a projected budget of 125 to 135 billion yuan for the year [7] - The company has maintained excellent cost control, with a major oil cost of 26.94 USD per barrel in H1 2025, a decrease of 2.9% year-on-year [7] - CNOOC plans to distribute a dividend of 0.73 HKD per share, maintaining a payout ratio of 45.5% [7] - The report adjusts profit forecasts for 2025-2027, with net profits projected at 141.2 billion yuan, 144.7 billion yuan, and 149.7 billion yuan respectively [7] Financial Summary - For 2025, the total revenue is projected to be 409.9 billion yuan, with a year-on-year decrease of 2.53% [1] - The net profit attributable to shareholders is expected to be 141.2 billion yuan, reflecting a growth of 2.36% [1] - The earnings per share (EPS) is forecasted to be 2.97 yuan for 2025, with a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 8.73 for A shares and 6.23 for H shares [1][7] - The company aims for oil and gas production targets of 760-780 million barrels of oil equivalent in 2025, increasing to 810-830 million barrels by 2027 [7]

Core Viewpoint - China Nonferrous Mining (01258) has seen a stock price increase of over 22% following its interim performance report, with a current rise of 7.31% to HKD 11.75, and a trading volume of HKD 122 million [1] Financial Performance - The company reported a revenue of USD 1.7515 billion and a net profit of USD 371.3 million for the first half of the year, representing a year-on-year growth of 22.5% [1] - Profit attributable to shareholders reached USD 263.3 million, up 20.2% year-on-year, with basic earnings per share approximately USD 0.0675 [1] Operational Highlights - The improvement in performance is primarily attributed to the rise in international copper prices, increased production and sales of copper anodes and cathodes, and higher output from self-owned mines [1] - The company produced approximately 85,200 tons of copper from its own mines in the first half of the year, with a raw material self-sufficiency rate of 46.4% [1] Market Position and Outlook - According to Guosen Securities, the company is a leading global copper producer with extensive operations in Zambia and the Democratic Republic of Congo [1] - The company is expected to benefit from the rising copper prices due to its ongoing copper resource development and acquisitions, with a leading dividend payout ratio and yield in the industry [1]

Core Viewpoint - The company reported a decline in revenue and net profit for the first half of 2025, but demonstrated resilience through effective cost control and production growth strategies amid fluctuating international oil prices [1][4]. Financial Performance - In H1 2025, the company achieved total revenue of 207.6 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 8.4%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 69.5 billion yuan, down 12.8% year-on-year [1]. - For Q2 2025, the company reported revenue of 100.8 billion yuan, a decline of 12.6% year-on-year and 5.7% quarter-on-quarter, with a net profit of 33.0 billion yuan, down 17.6% year-on-year and 9.8% quarter-on-quarter [1]. Production and Operational Highlights - The company achieved a record net production of 38.5 million barrels of oil equivalent in H1 2025, marking a 6.1% year-on-year increase [2]. - Natural gas production saw a significant increase of 12% year-on-year, supported by successful project launches and ongoing production from major gas fields [2]. - The average realized oil price was 69.15 USD per barrel, down 13.9% year-on-year, while the average realized natural gas price was 7.9 USD per thousand cubic feet, up 1.4% year-on-year [2]. Cost Management - The company reported a decrease in oil production costs by 0.81 USD per barrel, with the main cost at 26.94 USD per barrel of oil equivalent, down 2.9% year-on-year [3]. - The company maintained a strong cost control strategy, with operating expenses and depreciation, depletion, and amortization (DD&A) costs also showing slight reductions [3]. Capital Expenditure and Future Outlook - In H1 2025, capital expenditures totaled 57.6 billion yuan, a decrease of 8.8% year-on-year, with a budget of 125 to 135 billion yuan for 2025 to support stable production growth [4]. - The company set production targets of 76 to 78 million barrels of oil equivalent for 2025, with a focus on high-quality development and effective production growth [4]. Shareholder Returns - The company maintained a high dividend payout ratio of 45.9% in H1 2025, with an interim dividend of 0.73 HKD per share, reflecting a commitment to shareholder returns despite market fluctuations [3].

Core Viewpoint - The company reported a decline in revenue and net profit for the first half of 2025, but demonstrated resilience through its integrated business model, which helped mitigate the impact of falling oil prices [1][9]. Financial Performance - In H1 2025, the company achieved total revenue of 1,450.1 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 6.7% (restated), and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 84 billion yuan, down 5.4% (restated) [1]. - For Q2 2025, the company reported revenue of 697 billion yuan, a year-on-year decline of 6.1% (restated) and a quarter-on-quarter decrease of 7.5%, with a net profit of 37.2 billion yuan, down 13.6% (restated) year-on-year and 20.6% quarter-on-quarter [1]. - The company’s operating cash flow improved to 227.1 billion yuan in H1 2025, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 4.0% (restated) [1]. Segment Performance - The upstream oil and gas segment generated an operating profit of 85.7 billion yuan in H1 2025, down 6.5% year-on-year, with Q2 profit at 39.6 billion yuan, a decline of 18.5% year-on-year and 14.1% quarter-on-quarter [2]. - The refining segment faced challenges with an operating profit of 11.1 billion yuan, down 18.9% year-on-year, primarily due to decreased demand for refined products and inventory losses from falling oil prices [2][4]. - The natural gas sales segment performed well, achieving an operating profit of 18.6 billion yuan, up 10.8% year-on-year, benefiting from increased sales volume and improved profitability across the value chain [2][4]. Strategic Developments - The company announced plans to acquire 100% equity in three gas storage companies, enhancing its natural gas value chain and increasing storage capacity by 10.97 billion cubic meters [8]. - The acquisition is expected to positively impact the company's financial performance, with the three gas storage companies projected to generate a combined net profit of 1.9 billion yuan in 2024 [8]. Long-term Outlook - The company plans to maintain high capital expenditures, with a budget of 210 billion yuan for upstream investments in 2025, aiming for a 1.6% increase in oil and gas equivalent production [9]. - The company is focused on transitioning its refining and chemical businesses while enhancing its natural gas operations, positioning itself for long-term growth despite external uncertainties [9].

Financial Performance - The company achieved oil and gas sales revenue of RMB 1717 billion[7] - Net profit attributable to the parent company was RMB 695 billion[7] - Interim dividend is HKD 0.73 per share (including tax)[7] - Net production reached 384.6 million barrels of oil equivalent, a 6.1% increase year-over-year[29] - Natural gas production increased significantly by 12.0% year-over-year[29] - Free cash flow reached RMB 57 billion[69] Exploration and Production - Five new discoveries were made[7, 16] - Eighteen oil and gas bearing structures were successfully evaluated[7, 19] - Ten new projects commenced production[7, 32] Operational Highlights - Overseas net production increased by 2.8% year-over-year, reaching 118.1 million barrels of oil equivalent[30] - Domestic net production increased by 7.6% year-over-year, reaching 266.5 million barrels of oil equivalent[30] - The company consumed 500 million kilowatt-hours of green electricity[56] Financial Health - Total assets reached RMB 1119 billion, an increase of RMB 62.7 billion from the beginning of the period[73] - The asset-liability ratio was 29.5%, and the capital-liability ratio decreased to 8.4%[73]