休闲食品饮料连锁零售
Search documents
量贩零食巨头港交所上市,行业存活率仅50%的零食店还能赚钱吗?
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2026-02-06 09:23
1月28日,中国的休闲食品饮料连锁零售行业迎来了一个重要的时刻:鸣鸣很忙在香港证券交易所挂牌 上市。零食很忙、赵一鸣零食合并而成的量贩零食巨头,以2.1万家门店、年交易额超过660亿港元的规 模,获得36.70亿港元的融资。 全国各个城市的街头出现了越来越多红黄相间的折扣小吃店,成为了年轻人新的打卡地、社区商业标 配。 爱企查数据表明,全国近12万家零食店,处在开业状态的只有不到6万家,接近一半的零食店在开业两 年内难以坚持下去,纷纷关店歇业,加盟商和个体店主由最初的热情高涨变为焦虑观望。零食店这个看 上去很火的生意,到底是谁的蜜糖,又是谁的砒霜呢? 冰火交织的零食行业 1、头部品牌资本热浪 2026年1月28日,"鸣鸣很忙"在港交所挂牌上市,并且成为"量贩零食第一股"。零食量贩行业由此进入 了资本化的全新阶段,而这一切都源于零食很忙、赵一鸣零食两大品牌的强强联合。 图 源:网络 据悉,零食折扣店在2019—2024年期间年均复合增长率达到38%,在未来仍然有很大的潜力。鸣鸣很忙 此次上市获得腾讯、淡马锡等8家顶级基石投资者合计约15亿港元的认购,认购倍数超过1500倍。 从消费者的角度看,各个店里的零食差别 ...
东吴证券晨会纪要2026-02-04-20260204
Soochow Securities· 2026-02-04 01:53
Group 1: Micro Fund Development - The return logic of micro funds is primarily based on the valuation repair of low-attention assets and capital games, with a systematic selection of underpriced micro stocks to capture valuation recovery as attention increases [10][10][10] - Micro funds can be categorized into three types based on strategy implementation: active gaming type, flexible allocation type, and stable participation type, each differing in exposure, return elasticity, and drawdown characteristics [10][10][10] - The micro fund style is expected to have a phase of recovery and structural allocation value, benefiting from a friendly policy and liquidity environment under the "14th Five-Year Plan" [10][10][10] Group 2: Fixed Income Opportunities - The report recommends focusing on bond issuers within key supported industries under the "14th Five-Year Plan," using a qualitative and quantitative assessment method to identify the top 25% of issuers based on bond performance and fundamentals [3][3][3] - The analysis highlights that the majority of recommended issuers have bond balances of 2 billion yuan or more, with ratings predominantly at AAA and AA+ levels, indicating strong credit quality [3][3][3] - The report emphasizes the importance of monitoring macroeconomic conditions and industry policies, as well as the potential tightening of credit environments [3][3][3] Group 3: Company-Specific Insights - Jingdong Group's revenue is projected to reach 350.8 billion yuan in Q4 2025, with a slight year-on-year increase, while the retail business is expected to face pressure due to reduced government subsidies [20][20][20] - The company "Mingming Hen Mang" is positioned as a leading player in the snack retail sector, with projected revenues of 645 billion yuan in 2025, reflecting a significant growth trajectory [19][19][19] - The report anticipates that the company "Jiyuan Group" will maintain a strong market position in the health supplement industry, with a projected revenue of 10 billion yuan in 2024, driven by its innovative product offerings [17][17][17]
鸣鸣很忙(01768.HK):国内休闲食饮连锁零售龙头 开启量贩零食3.0时代
Ge Long Hui· 2026-02-03 17:28
Group 1 - The company "Mingming Hen Mang" is a leading player in China's leisure food and beverage retail industry, projected to achieve a GMV of 55.5 billion yuan and operate nearly 15,000 stores in 2024, leading the market [1] - The industry is experiencing structural changes, with a shift towards specialized retail models, which are growing at a CAGR of approximately 14% from 2019 to 2024, while the market continues to penetrate lower-tier cities [1] - China's per capita snack consumption and expenditure have significant room for growth compared to developed countries, indicating a high ceiling for the industry [1] Group 2 - The company has demonstrated rapid financial growth, with revenue reaching 39.344 billion yuan in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 282.15%, and a net profit of 834 million yuan, up 283.44% [2] - The company's gross margin and net profit margin improved from 7.45% and 1.67% in 2022 to 9.73% and 3.36% in the first three quarters of 2025, showcasing effective scale and operational efficiency [2] - A refined operational system, brand marketing upgrades, and efficient supply chain management have created a strong competitive advantage for the company [2] Group 3 - The company is transitioning from "scale expansion" to "value deepening," with strong growth certainty and ample space for development, projecting revenues of 64.5 billion, 82.2 billion, and 94.4 billion yuan for 2025-2027 [3] - The forecasted net profits for the same period are 2.3 billion, 3 billion, and 3.7 billion yuan, with corresponding year-on-year growth rates of 176%, 31%, and 24% [3] - Given the sustained high demand in the leisure snack industry and the company's prominent market position, it has been assigned a "buy" rating [3]
鸣鸣很忙(01768.HK):国内休闲食饮连锁零售龙头,开启量贩零食3.0时代
Soochow Securities· 2026-02-03 10:25
Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating for the company, marking its first coverage in this regard [1][27]. Core Insights - The company, "Ming Ming Hen Mang," is a leading player in the Chinese snack retail sector, with a projected revenue of 39.34 billion RMB in 2024, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 282.15% [1][27]. - The company has successfully merged its two brands, "Ming Ming Hen Mang" and "Zhao Yi Ming Snacks," to enhance market coverage and operational efficiency [8][9]. - The retail landscape is undergoing structural changes, with a shift towards specialized retail models, which are expected to drive significant growth in the snack sector [7][27]. Financial Performance - The company has shown rapid revenue growth, with revenues of 10.30 billion RMB in 2023, projected to reach 39.34 billion RMB in 2024, and 64.52 billion RMB in 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 140.22% and 282.15% respectively [1][13]. - Net profit is expected to grow from 217.43 million RMB in 2023 to 833.70 million RMB in 2024, and further to 2.30 billion RMB in 2025, indicating a growth rate of 203.45% and 283.44% respectively [1][13]. - The company's gross margin is projected to improve from 7.45% in 2022 to 9.73% in the first three quarters of 2025, showcasing enhanced profitability [13][20]. Market Position - "Ming Ming Hen Mang" is positioned as the largest snack retail chain in China, with a market share of 1.5% and a gross merchandise volume (GMV) of 55.5 billion RMB in 2024 [19][23]. - The company operates approximately 15,000 stores, with a significant presence in both mainland China and Hong Kong/Macau [8][9]. - The competitive landscape is characterized by a duopoly between "Ming Ming Hen Mang" and "Wan Chen Group," both of which are rapidly expanding their store networks [22][27].
鸣鸣很忙:国内休闲食饮连锁零售龙头,开启量贩零食3.0时代-20260203
Soochow Securities· 2026-02-03 10:24
Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating for the company, marking its first coverage in this regard [1][27]. Core Insights - The company, Mingming Hen Mang, is a leading player in the Chinese snack retail sector, with a projected revenue of 39.34 billion RMB in 2024, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 282.15% [1][27]. - The company has successfully merged its two brands, "Zhao Yiming Snacks" and "Snacks Are Busy," to enhance market coverage and operational efficiency [8][9]. - The retail sector is experiencing structural changes, with a shift towards specialized wholesale models, which are growing faster than traditional supermarkets [7][27]. Financial Performance - The company reported a total revenue of 10.30 billion RMB in 2023, with a forecasted increase to 39.34 billion RMB in 2024, and further growth to 64.52 billion RMB in 2025 [1][13]. - The net profit attributable to shareholders is expected to rise from 217.43 million RMB in 2023 to 833.70 million RMB in 2024, and to 2.30 billion RMB in 2025, indicating a robust growth trajectory [1][13]. - The company's gross margin is projected to improve from 7.45% in 2022 to 9.73% in the first three quarters of 2025, showcasing enhanced profitability [20][27]. Market Position - Mingming Hen Mang is positioned as the largest snack retail chain in China, with a market share of 1.5% and a GMV of 55.5 billion RMB in 2024 [23][27]. - The company operates approximately 15,000 stores, with a significant expansion plan that includes a projected increase in store count to over 19,500 by the end of 2025 [9][27]. - The competitive landscape is characterized by a duopoly between Mingming Hen Mang and Wancheng Group, both of which are rapidly expanding their market presence [22][27].
鸣鸣很忙(01768):国内休闲食饮连锁零售龙头,开启量贩零食3.0时代
Soochow Securities· 2026-02-03 09:29
Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating for the company, marking its first coverage in this regard [1]. Core Insights - The company, Ming Ming Hen Mang, is a leading player in the Chinese snack retail sector, projected to achieve significant revenue growth, with a forecasted revenue of CNY 39.34 billion in 2024, representing a year-on-year increase of 282.15% [7][27]. - The company has successfully merged its two brands, "Ming Ming Hen Mang" and "Zhao Yi Ming Snacks," to enhance market presence and operational efficiency, with a total of nearly 15,000 stores expected by 2024 [8][9]. - The snack retail market in China is experiencing structural changes, with a shift towards specialized retail models, which are growing faster than traditional supermarkets [7][19]. Financial Performance - The company has shown rapid revenue growth from CNY 42.86 billion in 2022 to CNY 393.44 billion in 2024, with a net profit increase from CNY 0.72 billion to CNY 8.34 billion during the same period [13][27]. - The gross margin improved from 7.45% in 2022 to 9.73% in the first three quarters of 2025, indicating enhanced profitability alongside rapid expansion [20][27]. - The company is expected to continue its growth trajectory, with projected revenues of CNY 64.52 billion, CNY 82.20 billion, and CNY 94.39 billion for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, alongside net profits of CNY 23 billion, CNY 30 billion, and CNY 37 billion [27][29]. Market Position - Ming Ming Hen Mang holds a market share of 1.5% in the snack retail sector, leading the industry with a GMV of CNY 55.5 billion in 2024 [23][24]. - The company is positioned to benefit from the ongoing market expansion, with a significant increase in store count from 6,585 at the end of 2023 to an expected 19,517 by the end of 2025 [9][27].
大爆发!“组团”来了:君乐宝、钱大妈、袁记食品......知名消费企业掀港股上市潮
Zhong Guo Ji Jin Bao· 2026-01-31 06:58
Core Viewpoint - The Hong Kong capital market is experiencing a surge in listings from consumer companies, with notable firms like Junlebao, Qian Dama, and Yuanji Food preparing to go public, indicating a strategic move amidst a challenging domestic consumption environment [1][5]. Group 1: Market Trends - In early 2026, 14 consumer companies have disclosed H-share prospectuses, a significant increase compared to the same period in 2025 [1]. - The IPO of Dongpeng Beverage, expected to raise HKD 10 billion, marks the largest IPO in the Asian beverage sector in recent years [1]. - The trend of consumer companies going public in Hong Kong reflects a strategic response to various market conditions, including policy support and capital market changes [5][6]. Group 2: Company Highlights - Junlebao, a leading player in the dairy industry, aims to raise funds for factory construction, capacity expansion, brand marketing, and digital transformation, with annual revenue around RMB 20 billion [2]. - Jin Xing Beer, a traditional brewery, has shown explosive growth, with revenue increasing from RMB 356 million to RMB 1.109 billion and net profit soaring from RMB 12 million to RMB 305 million over two years [3]. - The emerging beauty brand Banmu Huatian is also pursuing a Hong Kong listing to enhance R&D and brand development in a competitive market [3]. Group 3: Factors Driving Listings - Policy support from the Chinese government has facilitated the process for consumer companies to list in Hong Kong, with measures introduced to encourage leading firms to access capital markets [5][6]. - The shift towards Hong Kong listings is also driven by tightening A-share market conditions for consumer companies, making Hong Kong a more attractive option for capital raising [6]. - The influx of venture capital and private equity into emerging consumer firms has created pressure for exits, making public listings a viable path for capital recovery [7]. Group 4: Market Performance and Challenges - There is a noticeable divergence in stock performance among consumer companies listed in Hong Kong, with some achieving high valuations while others struggle post-IPO [8][9]. - The market favors companies with strong brand presence and visible cash flow, while smaller brands face liquidity discounts due to lack of profitability [9]. - Successful expansion in the consumer sector requires matching growth with profitability, as merely increasing store numbers is no longer sufficient to attract capital [9].
鸣鸣很忙登陆港股市值突破900亿,背后是中国休闲食品怎样的大趋势?
Huan Qiu Wang· 2026-01-30 03:02
【环球网财经综合报道】近日,新股鸣鸣很忙(1768.HK)在港交所成功上市,公开数据显示,公司上市首日开盘大 涨88.08%,报445港元;总市值达952.75亿港元。 鸣鸣很忙此次全球发售1410.1万股H股,公开发售阶段认购倍数超过1500倍,8家基石投资者合计认购15亿港元,包括 腾讯、淡马锡与贝莱德等。公司预计净筹资30亿港元以上,集资将主要用于产品开发等方面,以进一步丰富商品品类 和提升供应链能力。 鸣鸣很忙此次登陆港交所,也吸引了多家券商机构的关注。第一上海证券在发布的研报中指出,根据弗若斯特沙利文 报告,按2024年休闲食品饮料产品GMV计,公司是中国最大的连锁零售商;按2024年食品饮料产品GMV计,公司亦 是中国第四大连锁零售商,并保持高速增长。根据中国连锁经营协会的资料,公司位列2024年中国连锁前十位之一, 也是其中增长最快的连锁商。 报告还提到,公司提供品类丰富、高质价比、高频上新的产品,门店网络中的门店多位于人流量大、易见易达的街边 位置,致力于提供欢乐、舒适的逛店体验。同时,公司通过直接向厂商采购,并直接面向终端消费者销售,减少了中 间环节,并实现了规模经济。 东吴证券则在研报中分 ...
斥资近10亿港元!险资掘金港股IPO,看好哪些领域?
Guo Ji Jin Rong Bao· 2026-01-29 13:19
Core Viewpoint - Insurance capital is increasingly participating in Hong Kong IPOs as a response to low interest rates and asset allocation pressures, with significant investments from major insurance firms like Taikang Life and Ping An Life [1][4]. Group 1: Insurance Capital Participation - In 2026, four insurance institutions, including Taikang Life and Ping An Life, have participated in cornerstone investments for seven Hong Kong IPOs, totaling approximately 9.88 billion HKD [1][2]. - Taikang Life has invested a total of 716 million HKD across six IPOs, with individual investments in companies like Mingming Hen Mang and Wallen Technology [3][4]. - Other insurance firms, such as Ping An Life and Xinhua Asset (Hong Kong), have also engaged in cornerstone investments, indicating a broader trend among insurance capital [4]. Group 2: Market Dynamics and Investment Strategy - The shift in insurance capital's participation in Hong Kong IPOs is attributed to a combination of asset allocation pressures and changes in market conditions, with a focus on high-quality, growth-oriented companies [4][5]. - The current environment allows insurance capital to acquire long-term equity assets through IPO participation, which is seen as a more efficient method to gain exposure to the market [5]. - The focus of insurance capital is on sectors like hard technology and new consumption, aligning with national strategic directions and offering potential for long-term returns [6][7]. Group 3: Future Outlook - The trend of insurance capital participating in Hong Kong IPOs is expected to continue in 2026, driven by low interest rates and supportive policies for long-term capital inflow [9]. - Future participation is likely to become more selective, focusing on leading companies and verifiable profit paths, transitioning from broad participation to strategic allocation [9].
上市暴涨88%,市值超860亿港元!85后老板穿769元白鞋上台敲锣:从房产中介到卖零食,9年做到2万家店、2亿会员
Mei Ri Jing Ji Xin Wen· 2026-01-28 13:03
每经记者|李旭馗 每经编辑|程鹏 张益铭 1月28日,"量贩零食第一股"鸣鸣很忙(HK01768)正式登陆港交所,开盘股价涨超88%,市值直接突破920亿港元,随后股价回调。截至当日收盘,鸣鸣 很忙报400港元/股,涨69.06%,总市值862.04亿港元。此前在公开发售阶段,公司认购倍数超过1500倍,包括腾讯、淡马锡、贝莱德等在内的8家基石投 资者合计认购超15亿港元。 公开资料显示,鸣鸣很忙拥有"零食很忙"和"赵一鸣零食"两个品牌。两个品牌的创始人均不到40岁。 然而,在上市仪式现场,《每日经济新闻》记者注意到,与其他公司董事长通常在敲锣时所穿的定制西装不同,鸣鸣很忙创始人、董事长兼CEO晏周的这 身"行头"显得相当低调、简单与朴素。他身穿一件胸口印有鸣鸣很忙标识的白色卫衣和一条卷边的灰色牛仔裤,脚踩一双白色休闲鞋。卫衣的衣摆前侧折 起,后侧垂落,不知道是不是晏周故意的穿搭巧思。当天,鸣鸣很忙到场的员工都穿着同样的白色卫衣,身在其中的晏周更像是一名员工代表。 晏周是一个典型的"草根"创业者。公开资料显示,晏周,1987年出生于湖南长沙,2024年7月,晏周从国家开放大学工商企业管理专业毕业。他早年在房 ...