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从1990到2025,西方媒体合订本里的中国经济,到底崩溃了多少次?
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-10-30 11:37
Core Viewpoint - The article highlights the persistent mispredictions by Western media regarding the collapse of the Chinese economy over the past three decades, contrasting these predictions with China's actual economic growth and resilience [1][2][4][5]. Group 1: Historical Predictions and Reality - In 1990, the CIA predicted that China would face economic and social crises by the year 2000, but instead, China became known as the "world's factory" [2]. - During the 1997 Asian financial crisis, Western media forecasted China's downfall, yet the Chinese government maintained the stability of the yuan, which helped stabilize the region [4]. - After China's accession to the WTO in 2001, predictions of economic destruction were made, but China saw significant export growth, becoming the world's largest exporter by 2009 [4]. Group 2: Economic Resilience and Growth - In response to the 2008 global financial crisis, China implemented a stimulus plan that led to a GDP growth of 9.2% in 2009, making it the only major economy to maintain high growth during that period [4][8]. - By 2020, despite predictions of entering a "middle-income trap," China's per capita GDP exceeded $10,500, nearing the high-income threshold defined by the World Bank [6]. - In 2021, China's GDP growth rebounded to 8.1%, contrasting with the weak recovery in the US and Europe during the same period [8]. Group 3: Structural Changes and Global Position - China's trade structure has evolved from low-end manufacturing to high-end manufacturing and self-branded products, with its manufacturing sector accounting for 31% of the global total [10]. - In 2023, China's exports of new energy vehicles reached over 1.2 million units, representing nearly 50% of global exports in that category [10]. - The actual use of foreign investment in China reached 1.13 trillion yuan in 2024, showing a year-on-year increase of 6.3%, primarily directed towards high-end manufacturing and new energy sectors [12]. Group 4: Media Narratives and Economic Analysis - The article argues that the narrative of China's impending economic collapse is more about media bias and less about factual economic analysis, as the data consistently contradicts these predictions [10][14]. - The persistent negative predictions serve to satisfy a narrative of anxiety rather than rational analysis, as they fail to acknowledge the alternative paths of development and modernization that China has successfully pursued [14].