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新能源及有色金属日报:库存继续减少,碳酸锂期货高位宽幅震荡-20251114
Hua Tai Qi Huo· 2025-11-14 05:53
Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating No investment rating information is provided in the report. 2. Core View of the Report The current inventory of lithium carbonate is continuously decreasing, and consumption has certain support. The resumption of production at the mine end is in progress, and it is expected to gradually resume production in the future. Attention should be paid to the inflection points of consumption and inventory. If consumption weakens and the mine end resumes production, the inventory may change from destocking to inventory accumulation, and the market may decline at that time [4]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs Market Analysis - On November 13, 2025, the main contract 2601 of lithium carbonate opened at 86,500 yuan/ton and closed at 87,840 yuan/ton, with a change of 1.39% compared to the previous day's settlement price. The trading volume was 1,106,011 lots, and the open interest was 536,514 lots. The previous day's open interest was 528,966 lots. The current basis was -3,370 yuan/ton. The lithium carbonate warehouse receipts were 27,508 lots, a change of -779 lots compared to the previous trading day [1]. - According to SMM data, the price of battery - grade lithium carbonate was 82,100 - 86,600 yuan/ton, a change of 1,050 yuan/ton compared to the previous trading day. The price of industrial - grade lithium carbonate was 81,500 - 82,500 yuan/ton, a change of 900 yuan/ton compared to the previous trading day. The price of 6% lithium concentrate was 1,050 US dollars/ton, a change of 30 US dollars/ton compared to the previous day [2]. - The overall operating rate of lithium salt plants remains high, with the operating rates of both the spodumene end and the salt lake end maintained above 60%. It is expected that the domestic lithium carbonate production in November can maintain the production level of October, with a roughly flat month - on - month change [2]. - In the demand aspect, both commercial and passenger new - energy vehicles in the power market are growing rapidly, and the energy storage market has strong supply and demand, with supply remaining tight [2]. - As of November 13, 17 mainstream automobile brands have launched a purchase tax support plan [2]. - According to the latest weekly data, the weekly production increased by 11 tons to 21,545 tons. The total inventory decreased by 3,481 tons to 120,472 tons. The consumption end has strong support recently [3]. Strategy - Unilateral: Mainly adopt a wait - and - see attitude in the short term. Pay attention to the inflection points of inventory and consumption and the resumption of production at the mine end, and choose the opportunity to sell hedging at high prices [4]. - Option: Sell out - of - the - money call options [5].
光大期货金融期货日报-20250704
Guang Da Qi Huo· 2025-07-04 03:03
请务必阅读正文之后的免责条款部分 EVERBRIGHT FUTURES 1 光大期货金融期货日报 光大期货金融期货日报(2025 年 07 月 04 日) 一、研究观点 | 品种 | 点评 | 观点 | | --- | --- | --- | | | 美联储主席近日接受国会质询,表示将依据 6 至 7 月数据决定降息路径,同 | | | | 时点阵图也显示美联储内部对于降息意见分歧加大,这都使得市场开始提前 | | | | 计价降息,纳斯达克逼近历史高位。A 股同样受到提振,连续两日上涨,但 | | | A | 股估值目前处于历史均值以上水平,很难连续大幅冲高。此外,稳定币概 | | | | 念近期火爆,稳定币对于跨境交易结算具有较高的便利性,同时也可用作新 | | | | 型储备货币,对于一个国家的金融市场高水平对外开放意义非凡。在 A 股市 | | | 股指 | 场缺乏热点题材的当下,确实可以作为资金重点流入的对象。但是,稳定币 | 震荡 | | | 作为交易媒介取代美元的道路仍较为遥远,市场不宜过分追高。国内基本面 | | | | 上,6 月制造业 PMI 录得 49.7,环比上涨,但仍处于收缩区间;5 ...
市场传言国内两家锂盐冶炼厂检修停产是否属实?
news flash· 2025-07-03 04:58
市场传言国内两家锂盐冶炼厂检修停产是否属实? 金十期货7月3日讯,2025年7月3日,市场传言国内两家锂盐冶炼厂检修停产。据Mysteel调研了解,江 西某锂盐厂确有检修计划,初步计划停产2个月;四川某锂盐厂氢氧化锂、碳酸锂排产正常生产正常, 满产满开,没有停产动作。 ...