至20251216 | 数据来源：Wind 截止 | | --- | 专题：2025基金行业年终大盘点：公募规模近36万亿元，主动权益重夺主场，"冠军基"揭榜倒计时 2025年即将收官，今年首批成立的26只浮动费率基金陆续交出阶段性答卷。尽管运作时间均不足一年， 但业绩已呈现出显著分化，头部产品与落后产品回报率相差悬殊，直观体现了不同基金经理在建仓节 奏、行业配置和市场判断上的能力差异。 Wind数据显示，截至12月16日，26只基金中共有19只实现正收益，7只收益为负。华商致远回报A以 58.90%的回报率一骑绝尘，信澳优势行业A、易方达成长进取A分别以36.86%和34.98%的回报紧随其 后。嘉实成长共赢A、景顺长城成长同行等产品亦表现不俗，涨幅均超23%。工银泓裕回报、万家新机 遇同享A、华安竞争优势A、大成至臻回报A均涨超10%。 与之形成对比的是，广发价值稳进A、银华成长智选A等基金仍处于浮亏状态，其中广发价值稳进A回 报率为-8.32%，银华成长智选A回报率为-3.35%，安信价值共赢A回报率为-3.05%。此外，多数基金收 益率集中于-0.1%至7%之间，整体呈现"中间大、两头小"的分布格局。 ...

目前，存储行业供应链正紧急备货、调整配置，同时以更大力度启用和适配国产存储芯片保障供货，存 储厂商纷纷扩产，抢占更多市场份额。 根据江波龙公告，本次募集资金将围绕存储器产品应用技术开发、NANDFlash主控芯片设计、存储芯 片封装测试三大核心产业链环节加大投入，进而提升持续盈利能力。 存储猛涨的扩产热浪正涌向模组厂商。 近日，江波龙（301308.SZ）抛出37亿元的募资计划。不久前，行业另一龙头德明利（001309.SZ）也提 出募资32亿元的扩产计划。 在AI需求推动下，存储行业的"超级周期"愈演愈烈，业内普遍预计，涨价行情会延续到明年上半年。 江波龙称，为应对AI时代服务器与端侧存储需求的升级，公司将通过本次研发项目重点投入企业级 PCIeSSD与RDIMM产品，面对AI终端对存储性能要求的提升，公司通过研发高端消费级PCIeSSD与内 存产品，可快速响应AIPC等设备对高速、大容量存储的需求。 德明利公告称，通过本次募投项目的协同落地推进，公司将进一步巩固从存储主控芯片研发到存储模组 方案交付的全链条技术能力。 需要关注的是，江波龙在此次募资计划中，并没有披露具体扩产周期和达产时间，而德明利此次定增 ...

Core Viewpoint - The storage industry is experiencing a "super cycle" driven by AI demand, leading to significant expansion plans from major players like Jiangbolong and Demingli, with expectations of continued price increases into the first half of next year [1][8]. Group 1: Expansion Plans and Funding - Jiangbolong plans to raise up to 3.7 billion yuan for technology development in storage applications, NAND Flash controller chip design, and packaging testing [1][5]. - Demingli aims to raise 3.2 billion yuan to enhance its full-chain technical capabilities from storage controller chip R&D to module delivery [1][3]. - Both companies are focusing on high-performance storage solutions to meet the increasing demands of AI applications, with Jiangbolong investing 1.28 billion yuan in NAND Flash controller chip development [5][6]. Group 2: Market Dynamics and Demand - AI servers require significantly more storage than traditional servers, with DRAM usage approximately eight times and NAND Flash usage three times higher [5][6]. - The global semiconductor storage market is projected to grow to $214.8 billion by 2026, reflecting a 16.2% increase [6]. - The domestic storage market is expected to benefit from increased demand, particularly as local manufacturers like Yangtze Memory and Changxin Memory make technological advancements [7]. Group 3: Financial Health and Risks - Jiangbolong's market capitalization is reported at 108.6 billion yuan, while Demingli's is at 49.3 billion yuan [1]. - Both companies are facing cash flow challenges, with Demingli reporting negative operating cash flow for several quarters and a high debt ratio of 73.28% [10]. - The companies' expansion plans are subject to the volatility of the storage market, with potential risks associated with the long implementation periods of their projects [3][10]. Group 4: Inventory and Supply Chain Strategies - Companies are adjusting inventory strategies to ensure supply chain stability amid market fluctuations, with Jiangbolong and Demingli both emphasizing long-term contracts with suppliers [12]. - Jiangbolong's inventory value stands at 8.517 billion yuan, while Demingli's is at 5.940 billion yuan, indicating a focus on maintaining adequate stock levels to meet future demand [11][12]. - The anticipated supply constraints in the storage chip market are expected to create favorable conditions for domestic manufacturers, potentially leading to significant profits in the coming year [12].

Group 1 - The article highlights the importance of major announcements in the stock market, including suspensions, investments, acquisitions, and performance reports, to help investors identify potential investment opportunities and risks [1] - A leading storage industry company has achieved a full product line layout in storage modules and established long-term strategic partnerships with major manufacturers such as Yangtze Memory Technologies, ChangXin Memory Technologies, SK Hynix, and Samsung [1] - Another company is involved in quantum technology, nuclear power, computing power, digital economy, and data centers, providing quantum computing cloud platform services and ranking second globally in energy storage PCS shipments [1] - A company is collaborating with Foxconn Automotive to deploy no less than 2,000 humanoid intelligent robots over the next five years, focusing on energy storage and wind power [1]

Summary of Conference Call on Storage Industry Industry Overview - The storage industry is currently experiencing strong performance driven by AI demand growth and limited upstream supply due to low expansion willingness and technological bottlenecks [1][2] - The storage sector saw significant gains in September, particularly among module manufacturers, computing servers, and enterprise storage companies, reflecting market recognition of an AI-driven storage supercycle [1][3] Key Insights and Arguments - Consumer-grade NAND prices surged by 30% in September, leading to severe channel shortages, with expectations of a 20%-30% increase in new contract prices from Korean manufacturers [1][4] - DRAM demand growth is outpacing supply capacity, with prices expected to continue modestly increasing in the first half of next year [1][4] - The NAND upcycle is anticipated to last longer than traditional cycles due to the growing demand for training and inference servers [1][4] - Most storage companies reported a turnaround to profitability in Q3, marking a performance inflection point, with historical data indicating that significant growth typically lags behind price increases by about two quarters [1][5] Future Trends - The current market cycle is expected to last longer than previous cycles, with structural changes among different types of storage products [2][3] - Despite potential short-term fluctuations due to tariff changes, the long-term industry trend remains positive, with any pullbacks seen as good entry points for investment [3][6] - The first wave of stock price increases has been driven by rising storage prices, and the next wave will be driven by sustained earnings growth [5][6] Additional Important Points - The relationship between stock prices and earnings is crucial; continued upward momentum in stock prices requires sustained earnings growth [5] - The upcoming Q3 earnings reports will be critical for assessing future stock performance and market trends [3][6]

Core Viewpoint - The semiconductor storage industry is expected to experience steady growth driven by the maturation of generative AI and large language models, alongside sustained demand for core hardware, potentially leading to a price and volume increase from 2025 onwards, maintaining a rating of outperforming the market [1][2]. Group 1: Industry Trends - The NAND price sentiment is rising due to enterprise-level stocking and new smartphone demands, with significant capital expenditures from domestic internet companies, such as Alibaba's investment of 38.6 billion yuan in AI and cloud infrastructure in Q2 2025, and Tencent's capital expenditure doubling to 19.107 billion yuan in the same period [3]. - The DRAM market is experiencing a significant price increase due to the EOL notifications from manufacturers, with expectations of a 20%-50% quarter-on-quarter price rise in Q4 2025, following a 70% increase in contract prices for Nanya Technology in Q3 2025 [4]. Group 2: Market Dynamics - The NOR Flash market is expected to see a healthy supply-demand balance, with price increases projected to reach double-digit percentages in Q4 2025, driven by rising AI data center demands and a recovering automotive market [5]. - The niche DRAM market is facing a supply shortage as major overseas manufacturers exit, leading to price increases, with expectations of continued price hikes throughout the year [5]. Group 3: Investment Recommendations - Companies to focus on include: for niche storage - Zhaoyi Innovation, Puran, Juchen, and Dongxin; for module manufacturers - Kaipu Cloud, Jiangbolong, Demingli, Baiwei Storage, and Shannon Chip Creation; for storage supporting chips - Lanke Technology and Lianyun Technology [6].

Summary of Storage Industry Conference Call Industry Overview - The storage industry is benefiting from rapid growth in AI, cloud, and end-user demand, with significant increases in consumer demand and stable enterprise demand, leading to an expected substantial increase in overall profit margins in the second half of the year [1][2][3] - Structural changes in supply, such as HBM occupying capacity leading to DDR4 production halts, and a significant price increase of low-power DDR by approximately 150%, indicate a shift in market supply-demand dynamics [1][3][4] Key Insights and Arguments - Domestic storage companies are actively developing main control chips and transitioning from consumer markets to enterprise markets, while memory chip companies are advancing towards 3D DRAM, indicating a profound change in the competitive landscape [1][4][5] - The storage market is expected to have greater sustainability and elasticity in 2025 compared to 2024, with a notable increase in investor interest [1][6] - Recent price increases by SanDisk and Micron are driven by rising storage demand in AI applications, data centers, client devices, and mobile sectors, signaling an upward price trend in the storage market [1][8] Price Trends and Demand Changes - Storage prices in Q3 are significantly higher than in Q2, indicating a strong profit margin for storage companies in the second half of the year [2] - The demand for consumer-grade storage has shown notable growth in 2025, with mobile memory increasing from 4GB to 16GB and new Apple video devices starting at 256GB [3] - The second half of the year is expected to see price increases for NAND and DDR4 driven by changes in industry demand, with traditional consumer replenishment needs and AI high-performance storage demands contributing to this trend [1][9] Investment Opportunities - Investment opportunities in the storage sector are concentrated on new demand growth, particularly in edge AI applications (e.g., AI glasses) and the domestic replacement of enterprise storage [1][10] - The market for AI glasses is expected to see explosive growth, with significant storage module value, while the enterprise storage market is projected to increase its domestic production rate from 20% to 50%, creating a market space worth hundreds of billions [10] Additional Important Points - The storage industry's valuation is typically forecasted based on historical peaks, with this cycle expected to outperform 2024 but likely not reach 2021 levels [7] - The price increases in the second half of the year are supported by strong demand from cloud service providers and the need for higher capacity in AI training and inference stages [9]

Core Viewpoint - The 2025 ELEXCON Shenzhen International Electronics Show highlighted the importance of domestic innovation in the AI sector, with Demingli Technology showcasing its comprehensive storage solutions aimed at empowering industrial intelligence upgrades [1][3]. Group 1: Company Achievements - Demingli Technology was awarded the "Annual AI Market Leader Award" at the ELEXCON conference, recognizing its commitment to domestic substitution and independent innovation in the AI field [3]. - The company has developed a full-stack product ecosystem for AI, including consumer, enterprise, and industrial-grade solutions, enhancing its self-controllable capabilities through a "chip + algorithm + scenario" approach [3][11]. Group 2: Product Offerings - Demingli's embedded storage products, including LPDDR, UFS, and eMMC, are designed to meet the high concurrency and low latency demands of AI applications, with LPDDR 5X and UFS 2.2/3.1 achieving speeds of up to 8533 Mbps and 2000 Mbps respectively [3][4]. - The company has completed compatibility certification for its eMMC 5.1 and LPDDR4X products with mainstream SoC platforms, ensuring industry-leading consistency and durability [4]. Group 3: Industrial Solutions - Demingli focuses on high-value industrial control markets, offering customized solutions such as SATA SSDs and PCIe SSDs that meet stringent industrial performance standards [7]. - The fully domestically produced industrial-grade SSD solutions, including the DS1420, ES1020, and VS1030 series, utilize self-developed SATA SSD controllers, supporting the domestic replacement of critical information infrastructure [7]. Group 4: Consumer Solutions - The company has launched a new generation of consumer-grade storage products tailored for various scenarios, including entertainment and professional creation, with PCIe 5.0 SSDs achieving read/write speeds of 14 GB/s [9]. - Demingli's portable SSDs feature a lightweight design with capacities up to 4TB and transfer speeds of 2000 MB/s, catering to the diverse needs of young and professional users [9]. Group 5: Strategic Vision - Demingli positions storage as a core infrastructure for the intelligent development of industries, aiming to inject new momentum into domestic substitution and promote the deep integration of AI across consumer electronics, industrial control, and edge intelligence [11].