Group 1: AI and Technology Trends - Goldman Sachs forecasts significant growth in AI servers driven by strong ASIC performance and high-speed connections (800G/1.6T) boosting supply chain growth [1] - The demand for optical modules is expected to benefit from the AI infrastructure cycle and technology migration, including advancements in 800G/1.6T, silicon photonics, and co-packaged optics (CPO) [1] - Increased penetration of liquid cooling solutions is anticipated, particularly in the ASIC AI server sector [1] Group 2: ODM and Manufacturing - ODMs with strong commitments and capacity planning in the U.S. market, such as Hon Hai Precision, Wistron, and Quanta, are expected to perform well [1] - Leading suppliers with robust design and manufacturing capabilities will be favored as AI server complexity increases and chip platform diversification occurs [1] Group 3: Personal Computers and Smartphones - Global leaders in the PC market are expected to show resilience amid rising storage costs, with high-end PCs being less price-sensitive [2] - The upcoming 2026 CES is anticipated to showcase more AI PCs, potentially featuring the latest Panther Lake platform with performance up to 180 TOPS [2] - In the smartphone sector, Apple suppliers are expected to stand out in 2026, while Android smartphone demand may remain weak in 2024-2025 [2] Group 4: Semiconductor Industry - Domestic leaders in the semiconductor sector, such as SMIC and Hua Hong Semiconductor, are pursuing ambitious expansion plans in advanced processes, which will benefit local semiconductor equipment companies [3] - The capital expenditure for China's semiconductor industry is projected to remain high at $45-46 billion from 2026 to 2030, driven by a shift towards more storage and advanced process technologies [3] Group 5: Autonomous Driving and Satellite Technology - Continuous upgrades in L4 autonomous driving chips and robotaxi services are expected to drive growth for chip, software, and sensor suppliers [3] - The acceleration of satellite launches and performance improvements in rockets are projected to lower launch costs and enhance satellite constellation infrastructure [3]

公众号记得加星标⭐️，第一时间看推送不会错过。 国际数据公司（IDC）发布了最新的设备市场展望报告，其结论直言不讳：情况正在恶化。在最新公 布的悲观预测情景下，2026年个人电脑出货量可能下降高达9%，而较为温和的预测情景则显示市场 萎缩幅度为5%。这些数据较IDC 11月份发布的2.5%的降幅有所修正。 自10月中旬加速恶化开始，全球内存短缺问题的程度已经超过了IDC最初的预测。虽然该公司并未正 式完全修改其官方预测，但其目前提出的情景明显比几周前的预测更为悲观。 其根本驱动力与2025年末席卷科技行业的诸多因素相同：人工智能基础设施。超大规模数据中心对内 存的需求激增，导致DRAM和NAND闪存的生产重心从消费级设备转向高利润的企业级组件，例如高 带宽内存和高密度DDR5内存。对于内存制造商而言，这是一个经济上合理的选择，但IDC明确指 出，这并非典型的繁荣与萧条周期；而是硅产能的战略性重新配置，其影响可能持续数年而非数个季 度。 对于智能手机而言，这种影响是真实存在的，但程度并不均衡。内存成本在手机物料清单中占据相当 大的比例，尤其是在利润本就微薄的中端机型中。IDC 警告称，OEM 厂商可能会采取提高 ...

每经AI快讯，近日，重庆市经济信息委发布《重庆市加快推进人工智能终端产业创新蝶变行动计划 (2026—2030年)》。根据《行动计划》，重庆将发挥产业基础雄厚、应用场景广阔等优势，积极抢占人 工智能终端产品化、市场化先机，加快培育人工智能终端新赛道，着力构建"3353"人工智能终端产业体 系。到2030年，人工智能终端产业规模达3000亿元以上，推出人工智能终端爆品20款以上，打造典型应 用场景50个以上，孵化培育一批制造业单项冠军、专精特新"小巨人"企业、独角兽企业、高新技术企 业。为实现上述目标，《行动计划》提出将实施四大行动。比如，以人工智能大模型、智能体前装为导 向，围绕人工智能PC、人工智能手机、人工智能家电三大优势终端产业实施蝶变重生行动。 ...