- The report introduces multiple quantitative models for market timing, including short-term, medium-term, and long-term models, such as the "Volume Model," "Feature Institutional Model," "Feature Volume Model," "Intelligent Algorithm Model," "Limit-Up/Down Model," "Up/Down Return Difference Model," "Calendar Effect Model," and "Long-Term Momentum Model" [1][8][11] - The "Volume Model" is neutral for all broad-based indices in the short term, while the "Feature Institutional Model" is bullish, and the "Feature Volume Model" is bearish. The "Intelligent Algorithm Model" is neutral for both CSI 300 and CSI 500 indices [11][63] - The "Limit-Up/Down Model" and "Up/Down Return Difference Model" are bullish for all broad-based indices in the medium term, while the "Calendar Effect Model" remains neutral [12][64] - The "Long-Term Momentum Model" is bullish for the long term [13][65] - The "Comprehensive Weapon V3 Model" is bullish for A-shares, while the "Comprehensive Guozheng 2000 Model" is neutral [14][66] - For Hong Kong stocks, the "Turnover to Volatility Model" is bullish, while the "Up/Down Return Difference Model" is neutral in the medium term [15][67] - The report emphasizes that market timing requires a multi-cycle, multi-strategy model system, combining defensive and aggressive strategies to achieve a balanced approach [8] - Backtesting results for the models indicate that the "Double Bottom Pattern" portfolio outperformed the Shanghai Composite Index by 1.99% this week, with a cumulative return of 16.12% since December 31, 2020, compared to the index's 14.13% [38] - The "Cup and Handle Pattern" portfolio outperformed the Shanghai Composite Index by 1.32% this week but has underperformed the index by -1.36% cumulatively since December 31, 2020 [38]

Core Viewpoint - Tianqi Lithium Industries has seen a stock price increase of 1.25% on October 24, reaching 48.61 CNY per share, with a total market capitalization of 79.78 billion CNY and a cumulative increase of 6.86% over the past four days [1] Company Overview - Tianqi Lithium Industries, established on October 16, 1995, and listed on August 31, 2010, is located in Chengdu, Sichuan Province. The company specializes in the production and sales of lithium concentrate products and lithium compounds and their derivatives [1] - The revenue composition of Tianqi Lithium includes 50.54% from lithium compounds and derivatives, 49.25% from lithium ore, and 0.21% from other sources [1] Shareholder Insights - The largest circulating shareholder of Tianqi Lithium is a fund under Huaxia Fund, specifically the Huaxia CSI 300 ETF (510330), which increased its holdings by 1.6045 million shares in Q2, now holding 9.626 million shares, representing 0.59% of circulating shares. The estimated floating profit today is approximately 5.7756 million CNY, with a total floating profit of 30.033 million CNY over the four-day increase [2] - The Huaxia CSI 300 ETF was established on December 25, 2012, with a current scale of 196.701 billion CNY. Year-to-date returns are 19.79%, ranking 2667 out of 4218 in its category, while the one-year return is 18.79%, ranking 2337 out of 3875 [2] Fund Performance - The fund manager of Huaxia CSI 300 ETF is Zhao Zongting, who has been in the position for 8 years and 193 days. The total asset scale of the fund is 305.809 billion CNY, with the best return during his tenure being 121.26% and the worst being -32.63% [3] Major Holdings - Another fund under Huaxia Fund, the Huaxia CSI New Energy Vehicle ETF (515030), has reduced its holdings in Tianqi Lithium by 237,800 shares in Q2, now holding 3.4638 million shares, which accounts for 2.62% of the fund's net value. The estimated floating profit today is about 2.0783 million CNY, with a total floating profit of 10.807 million CNY during the four-day increase [4] - The Huaxia CSI New Energy Vehicle ETF was established on February 20, 2020, with a current scale of 4.233 billion CNY. Year-to-date returns are 48.83%, ranking 444 out of 4218, while the one-year return is 47.56%, ranking 489 out of 3875 [4] Fund Manager Insights - The fund manager of Huaxia CSI New Energy Vehicle ETF is Li Jun, who has been in the role for 7 years and 320 days. The total asset scale of the fund is 52.675 billion CNY, with the best return during his tenure being 116.39% and the worst being -42.46% [5]

Group 1 - The report identifies investment opportunities in various industries under the "anti-involution" theme, drawing parallels with the supply-side reform period from 2015 to 2018, focusing on policy effects, inventory cycles, and industry prosperity [1][8] - The current "anti-involution" theme has a broader industry coverage, with a positive outlook on photovoltaic and medical devices based on their clearing reversal elasticity, while chemicals and building materials are favored for their certainty in prosperity [2][14] Group 2 - The report outlines the criteria for selecting actively managed equity funds related to the "anti-involution" theme, requiring a significant holding in relevant industry stocks and a minimum fund size [3][16] - For ETF funds, a scoring system based on various performance metrics is used to identify the top products in the same category [3][16]