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【宏观经济】一周要闻回顾(2025年12月10日-12月16日)
乘联分会· 2025-12-16 08:39
Consumer Price Index (CPI) Overview - In November 2025, the national consumer price index (CPI) increased by 0.7% year-on-year, with urban areas rising by 0.7% and rural areas by 0.4% [3] - Food prices rose by 0.2%, while non-food prices increased by 0.8% [3] - The average CPI from January to November remained flat compared to the previous year [3] Price Changes in November - Year-on-year, food, tobacco, and alcohol prices increased by 0.3%, contributing approximately 0.09 percentage points to the CPI [4] - Fresh vegetable prices surged by 14.5%, impacting the CPI by about 0.31 percentage points [4] - Pork prices fell by 15.0%, leading to a decrease in CPI by approximately 0.21 percentage points [4] Month-on-Month Price Changes - In November, the CPI decreased by 0.1% month-on-month, with urban areas also declining by 0.1% [3] - Food prices increased by 0.5% month-on-month, while non-food prices decreased by 0.2% [3] - Among various categories, other goods and services prices rose by 14.2%, while transportation and communication prices fell by 2.3% [4][5] Industrial Production - In November 2025, the industrial added value for large-scale enterprises grew by 4.8% year-on-year, with a month-on-month increase of 0.44% [7] - The mining sector saw a 6.3% increase, while manufacturing and electricity, heat, gas, and water production and supply grew by 4.6% and 4.3%, respectively [7] - Among 41 major industries, 30 reported year-on-year growth in added value [7] Retail Sales Performance - The total retail sales of consumer goods reached 43,898 billion yuan in November, marking a 1.3% year-on-year increase [10] - Retail sales excluding automobiles grew by 2.5% [10] - Online retail sales from January to November amounted to 144,582 billion yuan, reflecting a 9.1% year-on-year increase [12] Fixed Asset Investment Trends - From January to November 2025, fixed asset investment (excluding rural households) totaled 444,035 billion yuan, a decrease of 2.6% year-on-year [15] - The investment in the primary industry rose by 2.7%, while the secondary industry saw a 3.9% increase [15] - Infrastructure investment in the tertiary sector declined by 1.1% [15]
国家统计局:10月规模以上工业增加值同比增长4.9% 国民经济稳中有进态势持续
Guo Jia Tong Ji Ju· 2025-11-14 02:22
Core Insights - In October, the industrial added value of enterprises above designated size increased by 4.9% year-on-year, with a month-on-month growth of 0.17%. For the first ten months, the year-on-year growth was 6.1% [2][3][24]. Group 1: Industrial Performance - The mining industry saw a year-on-year increase of 4.5% in added value, while manufacturing grew by 4.9%, and the production and supply of electricity, heat, gas, and water increased by 5.4% in October [5][24]. - State-owned enterprises reported a year-on-year growth of 6.7% in added value, while private enterprises grew by 2.1% [5][24]. - Among 41 major industries, 29 experienced year-on-year growth in added value, with notable increases in coal mining (6.5%), chemical raw materials (7.1%), and automotive manufacturing (16.8%) [5][24]. Group 2: Product Output - Out of 623 industrial products, 313 saw a year-on-year increase in output. Notably, automotive production reached 3.279 million units, up 11.2%, with new energy vehicles growing by 19.3% [6][24]. - The production of ethylene increased by 11.7%, while steel output decreased by 0.9% [6][24]. Group 3: Sales and Exports - The sales rate of products from industrial enterprises above designated size was 96.4%, a decrease of 1.0 percentage points year-on-year. The export delivery value was 1.3245 trillion yuan, down 2.1% year-on-year [7][24]. Group 4: Economic Context - The overall economic operation in October was stable, with a focus on maintaining employment, enterprises, and market expectations. The industrial production index for the manufacturing sector was at 49.0%, indicating a slight contraction [23][24].
10月规模以上工业增加值同比增长4.9%
Di Yi Cai Jing· 2025-11-14 02:17
Core Insights - In October, the industrial added value of enterprises above designated size increased by 4.9% year-on-year, with a month-on-month growth of 0.17% [1] - From January to October, the industrial added value grew by 6.1% year-on-year [1] Group 1: Industrial Performance - In October, the mining industry added value increased by 4.5%, manufacturing by 4.9%, and the production and supply of electricity, heat, gas, and water by 5.4% [3] - Among 41 major industries, 29 experienced year-on-year growth in added value [3] - Notable growth sectors included automotive manufacturing at 16.8% and railway, shipbuilding, aerospace, and other transportation equipment manufacturing at 15.2% [3] Group 2: Product Output - In October, out of 623 industrial products, 313 saw a year-on-year increase in output [4] - Specific product outputs included steel at 118.64 million tons (down 0.9%), cement at 147.75 million tons (down 15.8%), and automobiles at 3.279 million units (up 11.2%) [4] - New energy vehicles saw significant growth of 19.3%, totaling 1.71 million units [4] Group 3: Sales and Exports - The product sales rate for industrial enterprises above designated size was 96.4%, a year-on-year decrease of 1.0 percentage points [5] - The nominal value of export delivery reached 1.3245 trillion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year decline of 2.1% [5]
国家统计局:8月规模以上工业增加值增长5.2% 国民经济运行总体平稳、稳中有进
Guo Jia Tong Ji Ju· 2025-09-15 02:17
Economic Overview - In August, the national economy maintained overall stability and progressed steadily, with a focus on implementing the decisions of the central government and enhancing macro policy adjustments [30][38] - The industrial added value above designated size increased by 5.2% year-on-year in August, with a month-on-month increase of 0.37% [31][38] - From January to August, the industrial added value grew by 6.2% year-on-year [31][38] Industrial Performance - The mining industry saw a year-on-year increase of 5.1%, while the manufacturing sector grew by 5.7%, and the electricity, heat, gas, and water production and supply industry increased by 2.4% in August [31][38] - High-tech manufacturing and equipment manufacturing industries performed well, with growth rates of 9.3% and 8.1% respectively, surpassing the overall industrial growth [31][38] Product Output - Among 623 industrial products, 319 saw year-on-year output growth in August, including steel (12.3 million tons, +9.7%), ethylene (314,000 tons, +10.4%), and automobiles (2.752 million units, +10.5%) [7][31] - New energy vehicles experienced significant growth, with production increasing by 22.7% [31][38] Service Sector Growth - The service sector production index rose by 5.6% year-on-year in August, with notable growth in information transmission, software, and financial services [32][38] - The business activity index for the service sector was at 50.5, indicating expansion [32][38] Investment Trends - Fixed asset investment (excluding rural households) reached 326.111 billion yuan from January to August, with a year-on-year increase of 0.5% [34][38] - Manufacturing investment grew by 5.1%, while real estate development investment declined by 12.9% [34][38] Trade Performance - In August, the total value of goods imports and exports was 38,744 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 3.5%, with exports growing by 4.8% [35][38] - From January to August, the total value of goods imports and exports reached 295,696 billion yuan, with exports increasing by 6.9% [35][38] Employment and Price Trends - The urban survey unemployment rate was 5.3% in August, showing a slight increase from the previous month [36][38] - The Consumer Price Index (CPI) decreased by 0.4% year-on-year in August, while the industrial producer prices fell by 2.9% [37][38]
【宏观经济】一周要闻回顾(2025年4月16日-4月22日)
乘联分会· 2025-04-22 08:44
点 击 蓝 字 关 注 我 们 本文全文共 2656 字,阅读全文约 9 分钟 2025年一季度全国规模以上工业产能利用率为74.1% 2025年一季度,全国规模以上工业产能利用率为74.1%,比上年同期上升0.5个百分点。 按消费类型分,3月份,商品零售额36705亿元,同比增长5.9%;餐饮收入4235亿元,增长5.6%。1— 3月份,商品零售额110644亿元,增长4.6%;餐饮收入14027亿元,增长4.7%。 按零售业态分,1—3月份,限额以上零售业单位中便利店、超市、百货店、专业店、品牌专卖店零售 额同比分别增长9.9%、4.6%、1.2%、6.7%、1.4%。 79.3%,有色金属冶炼和压延加工业为77.5%,通用设备制造业为78.1%,专用设备制造业为75.6%, 汽车制造 业为71.9% ,电气机械和器材制造业为71.7%,计算机、通信和其他电子设备制造业为74.7%。 (来源:国家统计局 ) 2025年3月份社会消费品零售总额增长5.9% 3月份,社会消费品零售总额40940亿元,同比增长5.9%。其中, 除汽车以外的消费品零售额36610亿 元,增长6.0%。 1—3月份,社会消费品零售 ...