美容护理/医疗美容 爱美客（300896.SZ） 2025 年 08 月 21 日 投资评级：买入（维持） | 日期 | 2025/8/20 | | --- | --- | | 当前股价(元) | 188.50 | | 一年最高最低(元) | 282.72/132.81 | | 总市值(亿元) | 570.39 | | 流通市值(亿元) | 393.20 | | 总股本(亿股) | 3.03 | | 流通股本(亿股) | 2.09 | | 近 3 个月换手率(%) | 94.36 | 股价走势图 数据来源：聚源 -24% 0% 24% 48% 72% 96% 2024-08 2024-12 2025-04 爱美客 沪深300 相关研究报告 《2024 年利润稳健，管线丰富叠加海 外收购助力增长—公司信息更新报 告》-2025.3.24 《三季度增长承压，期待后续管线落 地打开成长空间—公司信息更新报 告》-2024.10.24 黄泽鹏（分析师） huangzepeng@kysec.cn 证书编号：S0790519110001 事件：公司 2025H1 归母净利润同比下滑 29.6%，业绩有所承压 公司发布半年 ...

Core Insights - The company reported its 2025 mid-year results, showing revenue and profit under pressure, with performance below expectations [1] - The core injection product revenue declined, indicating challenges in the product line [2] - The company is increasing R&D investment and has a robust pipeline of products in development, which may drive future growth [3] Financial Performance - For the first half of 2025, revenue was 1.299 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 21.59%; net profit attributable to shareholders was 789 million yuan, down 29.57%; and net profit excluding non-recurring items was 722 million yuan, down 33.70% [1] - In Q2 2025, revenue was 636 million yuan, a year-on-year decline of 25.11%; net profit attributable to shareholders was 346 million yuan, down 41.75%; and net profit excluding non-recurring items was 320 million yuan, down 42.83% [1] - The gross margin for H1 2025 was 93.44%, down 1.48 percentage points, and the net margin was 60.90%, down 6.78 percentage points [1] Product Performance - Revenue from solution injection products was 744 million yuan, accounting for 57.27% of total revenue, with a year-on-year decline of 23.79% [2] - Revenue from gel injection products was 493 million yuan, accounting for 37.95% of total revenue, also down 23.99% year-on-year [2] Strategic Developments - The company has expanded its product matrix through acquisitions, including a 1.9 billion USD acquisition of 85% of REGEN, enhancing its product offerings in the aesthetic field [2] - The digital platform "全轩课堂" serves 29,000 certified doctors, strengthening customer loyalty [2] R&D and Future Outlook - The company launched a new chin filler product "嗗科拉" in May 2025, enhancing its facial shaping offerings [3] - Several products are in the pipeline, including A-type botulinum toxin in the registration phase and others in clinical trials, indicating a strong commitment to R&D [3] - The company aims to leverage its strong market position and product matrix to return to growth, despite short-term performance fluctuations [3]

Core Viewpoint - The company reported a significant decline in revenue and net profit for the first half of 2025, indicating challenges in the market due to weak consumer demand and increased competition [3][4]. Financial Performance - For 1H2025, the company's revenue was 1.3 billion, down 21.6% year-on-year, with a net profit of 790 million, down 29.6% year-on-year [3]. - In 2Q2025, revenue was 640 million, a decrease of 25.1% year-on-year, and net profit was 350 million, down 41.7% year-on-year [3]. - The gross margin for 1H2025 decreased by 1.5 percentage points to 93.4%, while the net profit margin fell by 6.9 percentage points to 60.8% [5]. Product Performance - Revenue from solution products and gel products in 1H2025 was 740 million and 490 million, respectively, both showing declines of 23.8% and 24.0% year-on-year [4]. - The gross margins for solution and gel products were 93.2% and 97.8%, reflecting slight declines due to structural changes in sales and increased competition [5]. Expense Analysis - The company's expense ratio increased by 10.1 percentage points to 28.9% in 1H2025, driven by higher sales, management, R&D, and financial expenses [5]. - In 2Q2025, the expense ratio rose to 36.1%, up 16.4 percentage points year-on-year, with notable increases in sales and R&D expenses [6]. Strategic Developments - The company launched a new product "嗗科拉" aimed at high-net-worth individuals, addressing the demand for long-lasting beauty solutions [7]. - The acquisition of REGEN Biotech, Inc. is expected to enhance the company's product matrix and contribute to revenue growth in the short term [7]. - The company has a robust pipeline of products, including a new botulinum toxin and a weight management injection, which are anticipated to drive long-term growth [7].

Core Insights - Aimeike reported its first half-year results since listing, showing declines in both revenue and net profit, with revenue at 1.299 billion yuan, down 21.59% year-on-year, and net profit at 789 million yuan, down 29.57% [1][3] - The company attributes these fluctuations to adjustments in the medical aesthetics industry and consumer environment, viewing it as a normal phase in industry development [3] Revenue and Profit Decline - Aimeike's revenue and net profit have been on a downward trend, with a significant drop in the first half of 2025 compared to previous periods [3][4] - The two core business segments, solution-based and gel-based injection products, experienced revenue declines of 23.79% and 23.99%, respectively [1][3] Product Competition and Market Challenges - The core products "Haitai" and "Ruhbai Tianqi" face increasing competition, with new entrants in the market eroding Aimeike's previous dominance [4][5] - The competitive landscape has intensified, leading to price wars and necessitating continuous innovation and quality improvement from Aimeike to maintain market position [5] R&D and Acquisition Strategy - To counteract the challenges in core product growth, Aimeike is increasing R&D investment, which reached 157 million yuan in the first half of 2025, a 24.47% increase year-on-year [6] - The company acquired 85% of South Korean REGEN for approximately 1.9 billion USD, aiming to expand its product line and leverage REGEN's overseas sales channels [7] Legal and Operational Risks - Aimeike faces potential legal disputes over distribution rights for REGEN's products, which could impact its market performance and strategic goals [8][9] - The ongoing arbitration regarding distribution rights with Jiangsu Wuzhong could lead to significant financial implications, with claims amounting to 1.6 billion yuan [8][9]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [2] Core Views - The company's short-term performance is under pressure, but its long-term barriers are strengthened through R&D and acquisitions [6][8] - The company reported a significant decline in revenue and profit for the first half of 2025, with total revenue of 1.299 billion yuan, down 21.6% year-on-year, and a net profit of 789 million yuan, down 29.6% year-on-year [8] - The company is focusing on expanding its product matrix through acquisitions and enhancing operational efficiency [8] Financial Data and Profit Forecast - Total revenue forecast for 2025 is 2.758 billion yuan, with a year-on-year decline of 8.8%, followed by a recovery in 2026 with a projected revenue of 3.301 billion yuan [7] - The net profit for 2025 is estimated at 1.749 billion yuan, a decrease of 10.6% year-on-year, with a recovery expected in subsequent years [7] - The gross margin for 2025 is projected to be 94.9%, indicating strong profitability despite revenue challenges [7] Product Performance - The core injection products saw a revenue decline, with solution-type injection products generating 744 million yuan, down 23.79% year-on-year, and gel-type injection products generating 493 million yuan, down 23.99% year-on-year [8] - The company has made significant investments in R&D, with a robust pipeline of new products and ongoing clinical trials [8] Strategic Initiatives - The company has acquired an 85% stake in REGEN Biotech for 1.9 billion USD, enhancing its product offerings and market presence [8] - The digital platform "全轩课堂" serves 29,000 certified doctors, strengthening customer loyalty and engagement [8]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for the company, indicating an expectation of stock performance that exceeds market performance by 10% to 20% over the next six months [11]. Core Views - The company experienced a revenue decline in the first half of 2025, achieving 1.299 billion yuan, a year-over-year decrease of 21.59%. The net profit attributable to shareholders fell by 29.57% to 789 million yuan [4]. - The report highlights that the company is entering a low base period in the second half of the year, which may facilitate a return to growth [7]. - The company has a diverse product matrix, with several products in the registration phase, which could contribute to future revenue growth [8]. Summary by Sections Company Overview - The company operates in the retail industry with a total market capitalization of 55.6 billion yuan and a total share capital of 303 million shares [1]. Financial Performance - The company reported a gross margin of 93.44% and a net margin of 60.9% in the first half of 2025, with a basic EPS of 2.62 yuan [4][7]. - Revenue for 2023 is projected at 2.869 billion yuan, with a year-over-year growth of 48%, followed by a slight increase to 3.026 billion yuan in 2024 [6]. Future Projections - The report projects revenues of 1.781 billion yuan, 2.142 billion yuan, and 2.503 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, reflecting a downward adjustment from previous estimates [8]. - The company is expected to maintain a robust product offering, which may enhance consumer solutions and drive growth in the upcoming periods [8].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company with a target price of 220.77 RMB [6][4]. Core Views - The company experienced a revenue decline of 21.59% year-on-year in H1 2025, with revenue at 1.299 billion RMB and a net profit decrease of 29.57% to 789 million RMB [1][6]. - The company is transitioning from a "local market leader" to a "global industry chain participant," with a rich product pipeline and comprehensive advantages in marketing, branding, and commercialization [1][4]. - Despite the current growth pressure due to intensified competition and a segmented consumer demand, the long-term outlook remains positive as the medical beauty penetration rate is expected to increase [1][4]. Revenue and Profitability - In H1 2025, the revenue from injectable products was 744 million RMB, down 23.79% year-on-year, with a gross margin of 93.2% [2]. - The company’s gross margin decreased to 93.44% in H1 2025, down 1.48 percentage points year-on-year, while the sales expense ratio increased to 11.10% [3][4]. - The forecast for revenue in 2025-2027 has been adjusted downwards to 2.719 billion RMB, 3.257 billion RMB, and 3.750 billion RMB, respectively, reflecting a decrease of approximately 25.4% for 2025 [4][13]. Product Pipeline and Market Position - The company has launched a new product, "嗗科拉," a chin filler, in May 2025, and has several products in clinical stages, including deoxycholic acid injection and recombinant human hyaluronidase injection [2][1]. - The integration of Regen, a company acquired in April 2025, is expected to enhance the product matrix and provide more diverse solutions for consumers [2][1]. Financial Forecasts - The adjusted net profit forecasts for 2025-2027 are 1.721 billion RMB, 2.023 billion RMB, and 2.328 billion RMB, respectively, indicating a significant reduction of around 28.2% for 2025 [4][13]. - The report anticipates a gradual recovery in industry demand, which could benefit the company if market conditions improve [1][4].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [1] Core Views - The company reported a significant decline in revenue and net profit for the first half of 2025, with revenue at 1.3 billion yuan, down 21.6% year-on-year, and net profit at 790 million yuan, down 29.6% year-on-year [4][5] - The performance in the second quarter of 2025 was particularly impacted by a weak consumer market and increased competition, leading to a revenue decline of 25.1% year-on-year [5][6] - Despite the current challenges, the company has potential growth drivers through new product launches and acquisitions, particularly in the overseas market [7][9] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - For 1H2025, the company's revenue from solution products and gel products was 740 million yuan and 490 million yuan, respectively, both showing declines of 23.8% and 24.0% year-on-year [5] - The gross margin for 1H2025 decreased by 1.5 percentage points to 93.4%, while the net profit margin fell by 6.9 percentage points to 60.8% [6] - The company’s expense ratio increased by 10.1 percentage points to 28.9% in 1H2025, driven by higher sales, management, and R&D expenses [6][7] Future Outlook - The company has launched a new product, "嗗科拉," aimed at high-net-worth individuals, and completed the acquisition of REGEN Biotech, which is expected to enhance its product matrix [7] - The company’s A-type botulinum toxin product, Hutox®, is awaiting approval, and a new weight management injection is in clinical trials, indicating a robust pipeline for future growth [7][9] - The report projects a downward revision of revenue forecasts for 2025-2027, with expected revenues of 2.703 billion yuan, 3.103 billion yuan, and 3.476 billion yuan, reflecting a decrease of 16%, 19%, and 21% respectively [8] Valuation Metrics - The projected earnings per share (EPS) for 2025-2027 are 5.37 yuan, 6.01 yuan, and 6.69 yuan, with corresponding price-to-earnings (P/E) ratios of 34, 31, and 27 [8][10] - The report highlights the company's strong market position and potential for growth, maintaining a positive long-term outlook despite short-term challenges [9]

商贸零售 2025 年 06 月 16 日 投资评级：看好（维持） 行业走势图 数据来源：聚源 -24% -12% 0% 12% 24% 36% 48% 60% 2024-06 2024-10 2025-02 商贸零售 沪深300 相关研究报告 《高端中式黄金品牌"琳朝珠宝"获 得天使轮投资—行业周报》-2025.6.8 《老铺黄金、潮宏基发布新品，关注 差异化产品力优势—行业周报》 -2025.6.2 《医美化妆品 4 月月报：华熙生物两 款三类械抗衰产品获批，关注 618 国 货美妆表现—行业点评报告》 -2025.5.25 泡泡玛特跨界珠宝圈，旗下品牌 POPOP 首店开业 ——行业点评报告 | 黄泽鹏（分析师） | 陈思（联系人） | | --- | --- | | huangzepeng@kysec.cn | chensi@kysec.cn | | 证书编号：S0790519110001 | 证书编号：S0790124070031 | chensi@kysec.cn 泡泡玛特跨界珠宝行业，旗下品牌 POPOP 首店于上海港汇恒隆开业 本周泡泡玛特旗下珠宝品牌 POPOP 首店于上海港汇恒隆开业。PO ...