Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommendation" rating for the company with a target price of 215.56 CNY, while the current price is 181.55 CNY [5][6]. Core Views - The company is expected to experience a turning point in growth driven by external acquisitions and new product launches. The short-term performance is under pressure due to a weak consumption environment and intensified competition, but long-term prospects remain positive due to the synergistic effects of new product iterations, international acquisitions, and R&D barriers [5][9]. Financial Projections - Total revenue is projected to be 3,026 million CNY in 2024, with a year-on-year growth rate of 5.4%. However, a decline of 12.2% is expected in 2025, followed by a recovery with growth rates of 22.9% in 2026 and 16.2% in 2027 [4][10]. - Net profit attributable to the parent company is forecasted to be 1,958 million CNY in 2024, with a growth rate of 5.3%. This is expected to decline by 17.2% in 2025, before increasing by 25.7% in 2026 and 15.3% in 2027 [4][10]. - Earnings per share (EPS) are estimated at 6.47 CNY for 2024, decreasing to 5.36 CNY in 2025, and then recovering to 6.74 CNY in 2026 and 7.77 CNY in 2027 [4][10]. Market Performance - The company has faced significant challenges, with a 21.6% decline in total revenue in the first half of 2025 compared to the previous year, and a 29.6% drop in net profit. The gross margin has slightly decreased to 93.4%, while the net margin stands at 60.9% [9][10]. - The company has made strategic acquisitions, including an 85% stake in the South Korean company REGEN, which is expected to enhance its international presence and product offerings [9][10]. R&D and Product Pipeline - The company has increased its R&D expenditure, with a rate of 12.0% in the first half of 2025, reflecting a commitment to innovation and a robust pipeline that includes products in advanced fields such as botulinum toxin and recombinant proteins [9][10]. - The diverse product pipeline and ongoing R&D efforts are seen as critical for sustainable business development [9][10].

证券日报网讯爱美客（300896）9月25日在互动平台回答投资者提问时表示，公司产品是通过正规医疗 器械采购网采平台中标而非集采，产品包括嗨体、爱芙莱。 ...

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article is that the company Aimei Ke (爱美客) has confirmed that its REGEN subsidiary is currently selling products overseas, specifically AestheFill and PowerFill [2] - REGEN's new factory in South Korea has been steadily increasing its production output since it began operations [2]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" and is maintained [8]. Core Views - The company reported a total revenue of 1.299 billion yuan for the first half of 2025, a year-on-year decrease of 21.59%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 789 million yuan, down 29.57% year-on-year [2][6]. - The revenue decline is attributed to a high base effect from the previous year, particularly in the second quarter, where revenue dropped by 25% compared to the same period last year [12]. - The company has made strategic acquisitions, including REGEN, which is expected to enhance its position in the medical aesthetics market and contribute to future growth [12]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In Q1 and Q2 of 2025, the company's quarterly revenues were 660 million yuan and 640 million yuan, respectively, with declines of 18% and 25% [12]. - The sales of solution and gel products in the first half of 2025 were 740 million yuan and 490 million yuan, both showing a 24% decline year-on-year [12]. - The net profit for Q2 2025 was 350 million yuan, reflecting a 42% decrease, with a net profit margin of 54.4%, down 15.5 percentage points [12]. Strategic Initiatives - The acquisition of REGEN is expected to strengthen the company's market position in medical aesthetics, with products that complement existing offerings [12]. - The company aims to leverage its international expansion to drive additional revenue growth [12]. Earnings Forecast - The expected earnings per share (EPS) for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are projected to be 5.55 yuan, 6.48 yuan, and 7.46 yuan, respectively [12].

Summary of Aimeike's Conference Call Company Overview - Aimeike has established a leading position in the niche market with its Hi-Tech series, particularly the neck wrinkle injection product [2][3] - The company has been continuously launching new indication products such as Panda Needle and Thai Bubble Needle to strengthen its technological and channel advantages [2] Core Insights and Arguments - **Performance Decline**: Since Q1 2023, Aimeike's growth rate has slowed down, and its valuation has decreased due to a lack of blockbuster new products, weak consumer demand, and increased competition from upstream products like hyaluronic acid, leading to over 20% declines in gel and solution products [2][4][5] - **Acquisition of Regen**: In March 2023, Aimeike acquired Regen, which is expected to enhance production capacity and expand international channels in the short term. Regen reported a revenue of 80 million RMB and a profit of 50 million RMB in 2023 [2][6][7] - **Product Capacity Expansion**: The acquisition is projected to increase the production capacity of S-FILM products by five times, driving rapid growth in product offerings [2][8] - **Market Trends**: The medical aesthetics market is expected to improve, with Aimeike's profits projected to be 1.72 billion RMB in 2025, a decline of about 10%, but expected to exceed 2 billion RMB in 2026 with a growth rate close to 20% [4][9] Future Development Outlook - **International Expansion**: Aimeike plans to leverage Regen's international production capacity and channels to launch existing products like Hightide and Bonida globally, marking a significant step towards internationalization [2][9] - **New Product Cycle**: Aimeike is entering a new product cycle, with botulinum products expected to be approved and sold in Q4 2023 or Q1 2024. Following a low performance in 2025 due to high base effects from 2024, a gradual improvement is anticipated in Q3 and Q4 of 2025, leading to steady growth starting in 2026 [9][10] - **Valuation Impact**: The integration of Regen is expected to influence Aimeike's valuation, with projected multiples of 30x in 2025 and around 25x in 2026, driven by core product fundamentals, R&D pipeline, and international acquisition synergies [4][10] Additional Important Points - **Market Competition**: The domestic market has over 80 approved hyaluronic acid products, intensifying competition in the regenerative materials market [5] - **Sales Channel Development**: Aimeike is working on reclaiming domestic distribution rights and has a sales network covering 4,000 to 5,000 institutions nationwide, with good growth momentum for SFE products in both domestic and international markets [8]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Accumulate" [5] Core Views - The company is experiencing a temporary decline in performance, with a significant drop in both revenue and profit in the first half of 2025. Revenue decreased by 21.59% year-on-year to 1.299 billion yuan, and net profit fell by 29.57% to 789 million yuan [1][2] - The acquisition of REGEN, a South Korean company, is expected to enhance the company's core competitiveness and facilitate its transition from a domestic market leader to a global industry participant [3][4] Financial Summary - **Revenue and Profit Forecasts**: - 2023A: Revenue of 2,869 million yuan, net profit of 1,858 million yuan - 2024A: Revenue of 3,026 million yuan, net profit of 1,958 million yuan - 2025E: Revenue of 2,740 million yuan, net profit of 1,794 million yuan - 2026E: Revenue of 3,343 million yuan, net profit of 2,180 million yuan - 2027E: Revenue of 3,811 million yuan, net profit of 2,488 million yuan [1][10] - **Growth Rates**: - Revenue growth rates: 48.0% (2023A), 5.4% (2024A), -9.4% (2025E), 22.0% (2026E), 14.0% (2027E) - Net profit growth rates: 47.1% (2023A), 5.3% (2024A), -8.3% (2025E), 21.5% (2026E), 14.1% (2027E) [1][10] - **Profitability Metrics**: - Gross margin for H1 2025 was 93.44%, down 1.48 percentage points year-on-year - Net profit margin for H1 2025 was 60.90%, down 6.78 percentage points year-on-year [2] - **Valuation Ratios**: - P/E ratios: 30.5 (2023A), 29.0 (2024A), 31.6 (2025E), 26.0 (2026E), 22.8 (2027E) - P/B ratios: 8.9 (2023A), 7.3 (2024A), 6.7 (2025E), 5.8 (2026E), 5.0 (2027E) [1][10] Strategic Initiatives - The company has made a strategic investment in the overseas market by acquiring 85% of REGEN for 190 million USD, which is expected to enhance its product offerings and market reach [3][4] - The core products from REGEN, AestheFill and PowerFill, are anticipated to complement the company's existing product lines and provide a broader range of solutions for customers [3]

Core Viewpoint - The performance of listed medical beauty companies in China shows significant divergence in the first half of 2025, with major players in the hyaluronic acid market facing growth bottlenecks while companies in the collagen reconstruction sector are experiencing substantial growth [1][2]. Group 1: Performance of Major Companies - Huaxi Biological reported revenue of 2.261 billion yuan, a year-on-year decline of 19.57%, and a net profit of 221 million yuan, down 35.38% [2]. - Haohai Biological achieved revenue of 1.304 billion yuan, a decrease of 7.12%, with a net profit of 211 million yuan, down 10.29% [2]. - Aimeike's revenue was 1.299 billion yuan, down 21.59%, with a net profit of 789 million yuan, a decline of 29.57% [2]. - In contrast, Jinbo Biological, the first stock of collagen reconstruction on the Beijing Stock Exchange, reported revenue of 859 million yuan, an increase of 42.43%, and a net profit of 392 million yuan, up 26.65% [1][2]. Group 2: Market Dynamics - The medical beauty industry is undergoing a transformation driven by increasing aesthetic demands and technological upgrades, necessitating higher core technology and product innovation capabilities from companies [3]. - The competition in the hyaluronic acid sector has intensified, with a significant increase in supply and aggressive pricing strategies from downstream medical beauty institutions [4]. - The market for collagen reconstruction products is rapidly growing, with projections indicating a compound annual growth rate of 44.93%, reaching 585.7 billion yuan by 2025 [9][10]. Group 3: Strategic Adjustments - Companies like Huaxi Biological are shifting from a traffic-driven sales model to a brand communication strategy based on scientific validation, aiming to enhance brand efficacy and customer acquisition [5][6]. - Haohai Biological is focusing on high-end hyaluronic acid products, with the "Haimeiyuebai" product showing promising market performance despite overall revenue declines in its hyaluronic acid segment [7]. - Aimeike acknowledges the shift towards a user-oriented market, emphasizing the importance of product innovation and systematized competition [8]. Group 4: Regulatory and International Expansion - The medical beauty industry is witnessing an increase in compliant products, with several companies obtaining third-class medical device registration certificates, enhancing market options [11][12]. - Companies are actively pursuing international markets, with Huaxi Biological reporting 331 million yuan in international raw material business revenue, accounting for 52.93% of its raw material income [12][13]. - Aimeike's acquisition of a majority stake in a South Korean company marks its strategic entry into the global regenerative injection market [13].

Core Insights - The launch of the China Cosmetics Raw Materials Information Platform and the signing of six projects signal a positive outlook for the beauty and health industry in Beijing, particularly in the Changping District [1][5] - Changping District has positioned itself as a key player in the beauty and health industry, with 164 companies and a consistent revenue growth of over 20% for four consecutive years [1][5] Industry Development - The beauty and health industry in Changping is one of three major sectors, alongside medical beauty and health products, contributing to its prominence in both Beijing and nationally [1][5] - The district has established a robust ecosystem for original innovation, focusing on raw material innovation to drive the entire industry chain [5][6] Innovation and Research - Changping has seen significant advancements in raw material innovation, with companies like Shangjie Youlan obtaining approvals for new cosmetic raw materials and forming partnerships with local universities for research [5][6] - The establishment of the Beijing Beauty and Health Industry Innovation Research Institute has led to over 30 research outcomes, enhancing the district's innovation capabilities [5][6] Infrastructure and Ecosystem - The Future Beauty City Industrial Innovation Base is under construction, expected to be completed by June 2026, and will serve as a standardized factory for the beauty industry [8] - Changping is fostering a collaborative ecosystem by integrating research institutions, leading companies, and innovation platforms to enhance the industry [9] Policy and Support - The local government has implemented a "policy matrix" to support the entire industry chain, focusing on R&D investment, talent acquisition, and intellectual property protection [6][9] - Strategic investments, such as a 40 million yuan investment in Shangjie Youlan, are aimed at bolstering R&D and industrial transformation [7] Market Trends - The integration of beauty and health with cultural elements is evident in initiatives like the "Beijing Gift" program, which promotes local beauty products [11][12] - The district is also enhancing its tourism offerings by combining industrial tourism with educational experiences, attracting significant visitor numbers and generating substantial revenue [12] Future Goals - Changping aims to become an internationally influential hub for the beauty and health industry, focusing on extending the industry chain, innovating raw materials, and enhancing brand development [13]

Core Viewpoint - The competition between two major companies in the Korean aesthetic medicine market, particularly regarding the exclusive distribution rights of the "AestheFill" product in China, has significant implications for their financial health and market positioning [1][6]. Group 1: Company Developments - Jiangsu Wuzhong's subsidiary, Datou Medical, received a termination notice from Regen, which demands the cancellation of the exclusive distribution rights for "AestheFill" in mainland China [1]. - The loss of this product, which contributed 35.55% of revenue and 45.77% of gross profit in Q1, has led to a stock price drop of over 40%, with a market value of only 768 million yuan [1]. - Aimei Ke's acquisition of Regen for 1.386 billion yuan for an 85% stake is seen as a strategic move to enhance its product offerings and market control [1][2]. Group 2: Financial Implications - The "AestheFill" product had a terminal price of 18,000 to 22,000 yuan per unit, with a gross margin exceeding 82%, making it a crucial revenue source for Jiangsu Wuzhong [2]. - In 2024, "AestheFill" generated 326 million yuan in revenue, marking the first profit for Jiangsu Wuzhong in six years [2]. - Following the loss of distribution rights, Jiangsu Wuzhong is projected to face a loss of 40 to 60 million yuan in the first half of the year, with no viable alternatives to replace the lost revenue [4]. Group 3: Legal and Regulatory Issues - Datou Medical has initiated arbitration seeking 1.6 billion yuan in compensation, citing investments in clinical registration and market development costs, as well as expected profit losses from the remaining eight years of the exclusive agency period [1][5]. - The arbitration will focus on the legality of the contract termination and whether Jiangsu Wuzhong's financial misconduct constitutes grounds for reputational damage [5]. - Legal experts suggest that if Aimei Ke is found to have acted in bad faith, the compensation could exceed the 190 million USD cost of acquiring Regen [5]. Group 4: Industry Trends - The dispute highlights the inherent weaknesses in the agency model within the aesthetic medicine industry, where control over core technology remains with the brand owner [3]. - The broader industry is experiencing anxiety among distributors regarding their future viability, especially in light of Jiangsu Wuzhong's financial misreporting and potential delisting risks [4]. - This conflict represents a shift in the industry from a "channel-driven" approach to one focused on "technological superiority," as larger players leverage capital and technology to dominate the market [6].

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Positive" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The retail industry is experiencing a recovery, with high growth in premium and fashionable segments, particularly in gold jewelry and beauty care [23][27] - The report emphasizes the importance of emotional consumption themes driving growth in high-quality companies within the sector [30] Summary by Sections Retail Market Review - The retail industry index rose by 4.21% during the week of August 18-22, 2025, outperforming the Shanghai Composite Index by 2.20 percentage points [12][20] - The internet e-commerce sector showed the highest growth, with a weekly increase of 7.71% [13][17] - Year-to-date, the jewelry sector has led with a 33.74% increase [13][17] Retail Insights: Mid-Year Reports - Gold jewelry companies like Laopuhuang and Chaohongji reported significant revenue growth, with Laopuhuang achieving a revenue of 12.354 billion yuan (+251.0%) and a net profit of 2.268 billion yuan (+285.8%) [23][35] - Beauty care brands such as Shanghai Jahwa and Runben also showed positive performance, with Shanghai Jahwa reporting a net profit of 266 million yuan (+11.7%) [27][38] Focus on High-Quality Companies - Investment focus includes: - Gold jewelry brands with differentiated product offerings, recommending Laopuhuang and Chaohongji [30][32] - Offline retail companies adapting to trends, recommending Yonghui Supermarket and Aiyingshi [30][32] - High-quality domestic beauty brands, recommending Maogeping and Pola [30][32] - Medical beauty product manufacturers, recommending Aimeike and Kedi-B [30][32] Company-Specific Highlights - Laopuhuang: Achieved a revenue of 12.354 billion yuan (+250.9%) and a net profit of 2.268 billion yuan (+285.8%) in H1 2025, with strong brand expansion and channel upgrades [35][36] - Runben: Reported a revenue of 895 million yuan (+20.3%) and a net profit of 188 million yuan (+4.2%) in H1 2025, focusing on expanding its product matrix [38][40] - Aiyingshi: Achieved a revenue of 1.835 billion yuan (+8.3%) and a net profit of 46.74 million yuan (+10.2%) in H1 2025, with steady store expansion [42]