广发证券指出，2025年下半年地产或将具备强拐点机会。从2023年定调缓和，到2024年"止跌回稳"，目 前市场价格表现再一次推进到了重大政策表态的临界点。市场交易表现大幅好转，回归消费性需 求，"好房子"也得到了认可。但资产价格下跌所导致的风险传导问题仍然存在，未来一年或将迎来本轮 地产下行期最重要的拐点窗口。 估值端来看，以央国企、优质房企为代表的龙头地产当前仍处估值低位。以地产ETF（159707）标的指 数为例，中证800地产指数最新PB估值仅为0.7倍，处近10年约13%分位点，估值低位特征明显，修复空 间或较大。行业集中度加速提升，头部房企有望凭借"好信用、好城市、好产品"策略展现韧性，建议持 续关注。 布局央国企及优质房企，建议重点关注地产ETF（159707）。资料显示，地产ETF（159707）跟踪中证 800地产指数，汇集市场13只头部优质房企，在投资方向上具有明显的头部集中度优势，前十大成份股 周四（7月10日），龙头地产板块久违大涨，代表A股龙头地产行情的中证800地产指数大涨超3%，成 份股全线飘红。其中，绿地控股涨停，新城控股涨超7%，衢州发展、滨江集团涨超5%，陆家嘴、招商 蛇口 ...

7月10日，大金融强力托举，沪指终于完成3500点大突破，报收3509.68点，刷新2022年1月25日以来最 高收盘价！深成指、创业板指一并收涨，A股成交额连续两日位于1.5万亿元上方。 从板块贡献来看，大金融功不可没。券商、银行携手发力，逾百亿体量券商ETF（512000）、银行ETF （512800）场内双双涨逾1.2%，其中银行ETF价格续创新高！聚焦大盘蓝筹的价值ETF（510030）场内 同步上涨1.45%。 地产久违爆发，重仓头部优质房企的地产ETF（159707）午后猛涨逾4%，场内放量收涨3.36%。有机构 提示，7月政治局会议表态或将更加积极，带动地产在7月中出现一波政策博弈的机会。 | 序号 代码 | | 美型 名称 | 现价 | 涨跌 | | 竹城 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | - | | 159707 行 地产ETF | 0.616 | | 0.020 3.36% | 0.15% | | 510030 2 | | 风 价值ETF | 1.118 | 0.016 | 1.45% | 0.56% | | 3 | 51200 ...

Group 1 - The real estate sector is showing strong performance, with the CSI 800 Real Estate Index rising over 1% as of July 10, 2023, at 10:04 AM [1] - Notable stocks include Greenland Holdings hitting the daily limit, New Town Holdings increasing over 4%, and Vanke A, China Merchants Shekou, and Poly Developments all rising over 1% [1] - The real estate ETF (159707), which represents leading A-share real estate stocks, saw an increase of over 1.5% with a trading volume exceeding 14 million yuan [1] Group 2 - The Ministry of Housing and Urban-Rural Development has conducted research in Guangdong and Zhejiang provinces, emphasizing the need for multi-faceted approaches to stabilize expectations, activate demand, optimize supply, and mitigate risks in the real estate market [3] - Zhongyin Securities indicates that the upcoming Politburo meeting in July is expected to adopt a more proactive stance, potentially leading to a rally in the real estate sector mid-July [3] - The report suggests that local governments will intensify efforts to implement existing policies effectively, including support for urban renewal and special bond storage [3] Group 3 - Zhongyin Securities recommends focusing on real estate companies with strong liquidity, high concentration in major cities, and robust product offerings, as they may exhibit alpha characteristics [3] - The report also highlights the potential for significant valuation recovery in companies benefiting from debt resolution, policy relief, and improved sales [3] - The real estate ETF (159707) tracks the CSI 800 Real Estate Index, comprising 13 leading real estate companies, with over 90% weight in the top ten constituents, indicating a high concentration of quality firms [3]

每经记者｜刘明涛 每经编辑｜叶峰 今日上午，军工和航运港口板块继续保持强势的同时，房地产行业成为市场新的炒作方向，房地产ETF基金（515060）和房地产ETF（512200）半日涨幅均 超过1.5%，涨幅领先。 | | | 房地产行业相关ETF | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 代码 | 名称 | 涨幅％ | 现价 | | 515060 | 房地产ETF基金 | 1.72 | 0.652 | | 512200 | 房地产ETF | 1.7 | 1.377 | | 159768 | 房地产ETF | 0.76 | 0.532 | | 159707 | 地产ETF | 0.68 | 0.593 | 投资逻辑来看，房地产"去库存"定调主要由于当前供求关系逆转、销售数据下滑导致商品房供过于求，库存去化周期拉长。预计后续将有更多积极的财政及 货币政策出台，同时叠加"好房子"系列新政，将能进一步挖掘和释放改善型需求，助力行业稳健发展。 中证800地产指数属于中证800行业指数系列，该系列反映了中证800指数样本中不同行业公司证券的整体表现，为投资者提供了分析工具，该指数是投资布 局A股上市 ...