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上美股份盈喜,若羽臣筹划港股上市
Guoyuan Securities· 2025-08-11 14:35
Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the industry, with a focus on new consumption sectors such as beauty care, IP derivatives, and gold jewelry [6][32]. Core Insights - The beauty care sector is expected to see significant growth, with companies like Shangmei Co. projecting a revenue of approximately 4.09-4.11 billion yuan for the first half of 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of about 16.8%-17.3% [3][30]. - The report highlights key events such as the announcement of free preschool education by the State Council, which may impact consumer spending patterns [3][25]. - The report notes a rise in core CPI by 0.8% year-on-year in July 2025, indicating inflationary pressures that could affect consumer behavior [3][25]. Summary by Sections Market Performance - During the week of August 4-8, 2025, the retail trade, social services, and beauty care sectors experienced declines of -0.38%, -0.11%, and an increase of +1.70%, respectively [15][18]. - Among sub-sectors, jewelry, personal care products, and trade saw notable gains of +5.53%, +4.23%, and +2.09% [18][21]. Key Industry Data and News - The report discusses the impact of the government's free preschool education policy, which will take effect in the fall semester of 2025 [3][25]. - Notable company announcements include Shangmei Co.'s positive earnings forecast and the planned H-share listing by Ruoyuchen [30][32]. - The report also covers the performance of major companies like Shiseido and Marubi, with Shiseido reporting a 7.6% decline in net sales for the first half of 2025 [3][25]. Investment Recommendations - The report recommends focusing on companies such as Shangmei Co., Juzi Biotechnology, Marubi, and others within the beauty care and new consumption sectors [6][32].