国元国际主要观点如下： 智通财经APP获悉，国元国际发布研报称，安踏体育(02020)目前户外服饰、专业运动以及女性服饰赛道 依然保持较高景气度，长期来看，公司的品牌运营孵化和造血能力，以及对未来成长路径的筹划均在行 业独树一帜，建议持续关注。维持买入评级，目标价98.0港元。 安踏公司同比销售额实现单位数正增长，双十一整体保持平稳 该行预计公司FY25E至FY27E营收分别为783.1/867.2/942.3亿元，同比+10.6%/ +10.7%/8.7%；归母净利 润分别为132.5/152.3/168.9亿元，同比+11.2%（扣除股权投资收益后）/ +14.9%/ 10.9%。维持买入评 级，目标价98.0港元，对应25E财年的PE约18.8倍，对应静态PE约16倍，目标价较现价预计升幅为 21.8%。 风险提示 零售环境超预期下行影响公司销售；行业竞争格局加剧；营销推广不及预期；户外和专业服饰发展不及 预期。 公司其他品牌利润率持续提升，经营利润占比持续提升。公司其他品牌经营利润于2020年转正并快速增 长，2024年达到28.6%，25H1达到33.2%（同比+3.3pts）。同时经营利润占比由2 ...

Core Viewpoint - Anta Group is committed to a global strategy that emphasizes local market adaptation while maintaining brand identity, aiming to open 1,000 stores in Southeast Asia over the next three years [2][3]. Group 1: Global Strategy and Market Expansion - Anta Group has established its Southeast Asia headquarters in Singapore, using it as a base to strengthen market advantages and expand into South Asia, Australia, and New Zealand [3]. - The company employs a direct-to-consumer (DTC) approach, utilizing a "single platform, multiple brands, all-channel" model to operate various brands, including Anta, Fila, Descente, Salomon, and Wilson [3][4]. - In Southeast Asia, Anta Group is leveraging sports resources by collaborating with local sports organizations to host events and create job opportunities, with over 400 local positions created at the Singapore headquarters [3]. Group 2: Financial Performance and Growth - Anta's revenue in the Southeast Asian market is projected to grow nearly 100% year-on-year by the first half of 2025, while overseas business revenue has increased by over 150% due to new operations in the U.S. and the Middle East [5]. - The company has adopted a strategy of acquiring high-end brands to penetrate competitive markets in Europe and North America, establishing a strong global brand image from the outset [5][6]. Group 3: Strategic Focus and Future Outlook - Anta Group maintains a strategic focus on "single focus, multiple brands, globalization," aiming to meet diverse consumer needs across various categories and scenarios [6]. - The global sports goods market presents significant growth potential for Anta's multi-brand strategy, which is expected to drive long-term performance and open up broader premium pricing opportunities [6].

Core Viewpoint - Anta Group announced its goal to implement a thousand-store plan for the Anta brand in Southeast Asia over the next three years, aiming for nearly double year-on-year revenue growth by the first half of 2025 [1] Group 1: Globalization Strategy - Anta Group's globalization process is divided into three phases: establishing international brand presence in China, expanding global brand operations, and promoting Chinese brands globally [1] - The company is currently focused on the third phase of its globalization strategy [1] Group 2: Southeast Asia Operations - Anta Group has established its Southeast Asia headquarters in Singapore to strengthen its market position and plans to expand into South Asia, Australia, and New Zealand [1] - The company employs a "single platform, multiple brands, all-channel" model to operate various brands under Anta Group and Amer Sports, including Anta, Fila, Descente, Salomon, and Wilson [1] - This model aims to create a seamless online and offline sales ecosystem for each brand [1]

Core Viewpoint - Anta Group reported strong financial results for the first half of the year, with revenue reaching 38.544 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 14.3%, and net profit of 7.031 billion yuan, up 14.5% [1][4] Financial Performance - Revenue for the first half of the year was 38.544 billion yuan, representing a 14.3% increase year-on-year [1] - Net profit reached 7.031 billion yuan, marking a 14.5% increase compared to the previous year [1] - Operating profit was 10.131 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 17% [1] - Operating profit margin stood at 26.3%, exceeding market expectations [1] Strategic Focus - The company maintains a "single focus, multi-brand, globalization" strategy, aiming to meet diverse consumer needs across different segments and scenarios [1][4] - Anta and FILA, the two main brands, both achieved revenue exceeding 30 billion yuan, demonstrating resilience and growth above industry averages [4] - Other brands, including Descente and Kolon Sport, also reported strong and high-quality growth [4] Investment and Acquisition Strategy - Anta Group plans to invest in MUSINSA China, holding a 40% stake, to align with young consumer trends and explore the integration of the fashion and sports industries [2][7] - The acquisition strategy focuses on two types of opportunities: acquiring brands with strong value and genes, and investing in high-potential emerging brands [8] - The company emphasizes the importance of not only acquiring well but also managing and collaborating effectively to enhance market competitiveness [8] Long-term Vision - Anta aims to become a world-leading multi-brand sports goods group, contributing to the construction of a strong sports nation in China [6][7] - The company has signed contracts to support 36 Chinese national teams, reflecting its commitment to social responsibility and value creation for stakeholders [6] - Anta's stock has appreciated nearly 20 times since its listing in Hong Kong in 2007, indicating a focus on long-term stakeholder benefits rather than short-term gains [7]

Group 1 - Morgan Stanley maintains Anta Sports' target price at HKD 117 and an "Overweight" investment rating [1] - Anta's sales in May showed better growth compared to April, attributed to factors such as the earlier 6.18 shopping festival, increased holidays, and normalized weather [1] - Anta indicated that if demand weakens post the 6.18 shopping festival, it will consider offering more online discounts in June to boost sales [1] Group 2 - The retail sales growth for Anta and FILA is expected to reach 5-9% by Q2 2025, with FILA's growth anticipated to be stronger than Anta's [1] - Morgan Stanley maintains the operating profit margin guidance for Anta/FILA at 20-25%/~25% for 2025, while noting that Descente and KOLON currently have operating profit margins of over 30% and over 20% respectively [1]

Group 1 - Morgan Stanley raised the target price for Anta Sports (02020.HK) from HKD 140 to HKD 142, maintaining an "Overweight" rating [1] - The company has shown a stable trend in Q2, continuing from Q1, with healthy inventory levels and optimistic sales and performance outlook [1] - Retail sales guidance for the year remains unchanged, with Anta, Fila, and other brands expected to achieve high single-digit, mid-single-digit, and over 30% growth, respectively [1] Group 2 - Operating profit margin guidance is maintained, with expected margins for Anta, Fila, and other brands at 20%-25%, approximately 25%, and 25%-30%, respectively [1] - However, the first half of the year may see operating profit margins impacted by inventory impairment reversals, normalization of government subsidies, and declining interest rates [1]