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光大证券晨会速递-20250710
EBSCN· 2025-07-10 01:11
Group 1: Macroeconomic Insights - The report discusses the potential acceleration of the Section 232 investigation by the Trump administration, particularly focusing on tariffs on copper and pharmaceuticals, with a higher likelihood of copper tariffs being implemented [1] - Core inflation is showing signs of recovery, with the Consumer Price Index (CPI) returning to positive year-on-year growth, driven by rising gold prices and policies promoting trade-in programs [2] - The Producer Price Index (PPI) has unexpectedly declined, indicating weakening prices in domestic energy, raw materials, and certain export sectors, necessitating policy measures to stimulate recovery [2] Group 2: Market Data - The A-share market indices showed slight declines, with the Shanghai Composite Index closing at 3493.05, down 0.13%, and the Shenzhen Component Index at 10581.8, down 0.06% [3] - In the commodity market, gold prices fell by 1.21% to 766.82, while copper prices decreased by 1.53% to 78400 [3] - The foreign exchange market saw the USD/CNY exchange rate at 7.1541, reflecting a slight increase of 0.01% [3] Group 3: Company Research - The report highlights that Q Technology (1478.HK) has upgraded its profit forecasts for 2025, 2026, and 2027 by 20%, 31%, and 40% respectively, due to higher-than-expected shipments of IoT modules [4] - Changchun High-tech (000661.SZ) received approval for its injection drug, marking a significant step in its innovation transformation, although profit forecasts for 2025-2027 have been revised downwards due to increased R&D and marketing expenses [5]
【丘钛科技(1478.HK)】产品规格持续升级、IoT 模组放量有望拉动业绩超预期 ——跟踪点评报告(付天姿/王贇)
光大证券研究· 2025-07-09 14:25
点击注册小程序 查看完整报告 公司 6 月其他领域摄像模组出货量170 万颗,环比+10.2%、同比+99.3%,主要由于 IoT 和智能汽车领域摄 像模组出货量同比大幅上升。25H1 其他领域摄像模组出货量同比+47.9%,其中25Q1/25Q2 出货量分别同 比+16.6%/+86.3%,25Q2 出货量同比增速较 25Q1显著提升。公司在无人机及手持影像设备光学产品布局 广泛,涵盖相机模组、视觉模组、激光雷达等产品。根据潮电智库,公司摄像模组产品已交付大疆DJI Avata2 无人机、Osmo Pocket 3 手持相机等旗舰产品。我们预计,受益于全球消费级无人机及手持影像设 备市场规模高速增长,公司 IoT 摄像模组出货量将持续高速增长。 25H1 指纹识别模组出货量产品同比大幅上升,超声波指纹识别模组放量驱动产品规格提升 特别申明: 本订阅号中所涉及的证券研究信息由光大证券研究所编写,仅面向光大证券专业投资者客 户,用作新媒体形势下研究信息和研究观点的沟通交流。非光大证券专业投资者客户,请勿 订阅、接收或使用本订阅号中的任何信息。本订阅号难以设置访问权限,若给您造成不便, 敬请谅解。光大证券研究所不 ...
丘钛科技(01478):跟踪点评报告:产品规格持续升级、IoT模组放量有望拉动业绩超预期
EBSCN· 2025-07-09 14:11
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [4][6]. Core Insights - The company is expected to benefit from the continuous upgrade of product specifications and the growth of IoT modules, which may lead to better-than-expected performance [1][2]. - In June, the company's smartphone camera module shipments showed a year-on-year growth for the first time in the first half of 2025, driven by the launch of Huawei's flagship model [1]. - The company is focusing on high-end products, which is expected to significantly enhance the average selling price (ASP) and gross margin [1][4]. Summary by Sections Smartphone Camera Modules - In June, the company shipped 32.648 million smartphone camera modules, with a month-on-month increase of 0.8% and a year-on-year increase of 1.5% [1]. - For the first half of 2025, the total shipment was 183.866 million units, a year-on-year decrease of 14.8% due to a focus on high-end products [1]. - The proportion of shipments for modules with 32MP and above reached 53.4%, an increase of 5.5 percentage points year-on-year [1]. Other Camera Modules - The company saw a significant year-on-year increase of 99.3% in shipments of other camera modules in June, totaling 1.7 million units [2]. - The growth is attributed to the booming global market for consumer drones and handheld imaging devices [2]. - The company has a broad layout in optical products for drones and handheld devices, including camera modules and visual modules [2]. Fingerprint Recognition Modules - In June, the company shipped 13.9 million fingerprint recognition modules, with a year-on-year increase of 7.3% [3]. - The ultrasonic fingerprint recognition modules saw a remarkable year-on-year increase of 851.9% [3]. - The total shipment for the first half of 2025 was 94.357 million units, a year-on-year increase of 59.7% [3]. Financial Forecast and Valuation - The net profit forecasts for 2025, 2026, and 2027 have been raised by 20%, 31%, and 40% to RMB 724 million, RMB 934 million, and RMB 1.171 billion respectively [4]. - The company is expected to benefit from the growth in IoT shipments and the improvement in product specifications across its product lines [4]. - Revenue projections for 2025 are set at RMB 19.706 billion, with a growth rate of 22% [5].
港股收盘(07.09) | 恒指收跌1.06% 科网、有色股走软 巨星传奇(06683)放量飙涨94%
智通财经网· 2025-07-09 08:56
Core Viewpoint - The recent announcement by President Trump regarding potential high tariffs on copper and pharmaceuticals has led to a decline in Hong Kong's stock market, with the Hang Seng Index falling below 24,000 points, reflecting increased macroeconomic risks and impacting market sentiment [1][4]. Market Performance - The Hang Seng Index closed down 1.06% at 23,892.32 points, with a total trading volume of 233.88 billion HKD. The Hang Seng China Enterprises Index fell 1.28%, while the Hang Seng Tech Index dropped 1.76% [1]. - Major blue-chip stocks experienced significant movements, with Henderson Land Development leading the decline, down 8.64% at 25.9 HKD, while China Biologic Products rose 10.06% to 5.91 HKD [2]. Sector Analysis - The technology sector saw a collective decline, with Alibaba down nearly 4% and Tencent over 1%. The copper sector was negatively impacted by Trump's tariff threats, leading to a drop in copper-related stocks [3][6]. - The innovative drug sector performed well, with Hengrui Medicine surging 15.61% to 69.6 HKD, indicating resilience amid broader market declines [3][4]. Specific Stock Movements - Macau's gaming sector showed strong performance, with Wynn Macau up 6.33% and Melco Resorts up 2.12%, driven by robust gaming revenue growth [4][5]. - Copper stocks faced significant declines, with Luoyang Molybdenum down 4.74% and Jiangxi Copper down 3.46%, reflecting market reactions to tariff announcements [5][6]. Commodity Prices - International gold prices fell below 3,300 USD per ounce, influenced by reduced safe-haven demand amid tariff uncertainties. Analysts expect gold prices to remain volatile within a range of 3,000 to 3,500 USD per ounce [7].
刚刚,沪指时隔8个月重返3500点!
Zheng Quan Shi Bao· 2025-07-09 04:24
沪指站上3500点。 A股市场今天(7月9日)上午整体上行,主要指数盘中不同程度上涨,其中上证指数时隔8个月重返3500点,引起市场 广泛关注。 港股市场上午整体走低,恒生指数盘中跌破24000点整数关口。 国内期货市场方面,多晶硅期货主力合约暴涨,盘中涨幅一度超过6%。 沪指时隔8个月重返3500点 A股市场今天上午整体上行,主要指数盘中不同程度上涨。 上证指数盘中突破3500点,盘中最高至3512.67点,这是时隔8个月上证指数重新回到3500点之上,上一次上证指数盘 中在3500点之上还是2024年11月8日,当天盘中上证指数最高至3509.82点。 创业板指数进一步上行,盘中涨超1%,突破2200点整数关口。 恒生指数成份股中,恒基地产、网易-S、紫金矿业等领跌,中国生物制药、翰森制药等股票则涨幅居前。 港股市场大幅波动的个股中, 丘钛科技上午震荡走强,截至发稿,盘中涨幅一度超过12%。 消息面上,丘钛科技披露的2025年6月主营产品销售数据显示,摄像头模组销售合计3434.8万件,环比增长1.3%,同比 增长4.1%。其中,手机摄像头模组销售3264.8万件,环比增长0.8%,同比增长1.5%。指纹 ...
刚刚,沪指时隔8个月重返3500点!
证券时报· 2025-07-09 04:11
沪指站上3500点。 A股市场今天(7月9日)上午整体上行,主要指数盘中不同程度上涨,其中上证指数时隔8个月重返3500点,引起市场广 泛关注。 港股市场上午整体走低,恒生指数盘中跌破24000点整数关口。 国内期货市场方面,多晶硅期货主力合约暴涨,盘中涨幅一度超过6%。 沪指时隔8个月重返3500点 A股市场今天上午整体上行,主要指数盘中不同程度上涨。 上证指数盘中突破3500点,盘中最高至3512.67点,这是时隔8个月上证指数重新回到3500点之上,上一次上证指数盘中 在3500点之上还是2024年11月8日,当天盘中上证指数最高至3509.82点。 创业板指数进一步上行,盘中涨超1%,突破2200点整数关口。 行业板块和赛道方面,若按照申万一级行业划分,传媒、电力设备、食品饮料、农林牧渔、美容护理等板块涨幅居前,有 色金属、钢铁、基础化工等板块领跌。 概念板块方面,短剧游戏概念板块领涨,板块盘中涨幅超过2%,欢瑞世纪、掌阅科技等多股盘中涨停。 个股方面,又有多股连续涨停,相关公司普遍提示风险。 比如国投中鲁连续第3个交易日盘中涨停。 国投中鲁昨晚发布公告称, 正在筹划通过发行股份方式向国家开发投资集团 ...
港股开盘 | 港股三大指数集体低开 科网股跌多涨少
智通财经网· 2025-07-09 01:47
7月9日,港股三大指数集体低开,截至发稿,恒生指数跌0.36%,恒生科技指数跌0.48%,国企指数跌 0.44%。 盘面上,科网股跌多涨少,京东微涨0.23%,小米等股纷纷飘绿;蓝思科技首日挂牌上市高开近4%、 3、据央视新闻报道,当地时间8日,特朗普在内阁会议上表示,"我们很快将在医药领域宣布一些重要 举措"。特朗普称:"我们会给相关企业大约一年到一年半的时间来调整,之后他们将面临关税。"他补 充说:"如果他们必须将药品和其他相关产品进口到国内,关税将高达200%。"此外,特朗普还表示考 虑对进口到美国的铜征收50%的附加税。 关于港股后市 中国银河证券分析指出,近期全球宏观风险再次升温预期,市场的风险偏好受到影响。在全球权益市场 中,港股绝对估值处于相对低位水平、估值分位数处于历史中上水平,中长期配置价值仍然较高。展望 后市,科技板块依然具备较高投资机会。主要由于科技板块政策支持力度较大,盈利增速居前,估值处 于历史中低水平,第二,在国内促消费政策刺激下,消费行业业绩增速预期改善,估值相对较低的港股 消费股有望上涨,重点关注医药行业和可选消费行业。而在海内外不确定性因素的扰动下,高股息标也 可以为投资者提 ...
丘钛科技:6月摄像头模组销售量达3434.8万件,同比增长4.1%
news flash· 2025-07-08 08:53
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the announcement is that Q Technology reported a year-on-year increase in camera module sales for June 2025, indicating a stable growth trend in the market [1] - The total sales volume of camera modules reached 34.348 million units, representing a year-on-year growth of 4.1% and a quarter-on-quarter growth of 1.3% [1] - Sales of camera modules below 32 million pixels amounted to 16.024 million units, showing a year-on-year increase of 2.5% [1] - Sales of camera modules at or above 32 million pixels reached 16.624 million units, with a year-on-year growth of 0.6% [1] - Sales in other camera module categories surged to 1.7 million units, reflecting a significant year-on-year increase of 99.3% [1] Group 2 - Fingerprint recognition module sales totaled 13.9 million units, marking a year-on-year increase of 7.3% but a quarter-on-quarter decline of 8.8% [1]
港股消费电子跟踪汇报:舜宇、高伟、瑞声、丘钛、比亚迪电子、FIT
2025-07-07 16:32
港股消费电子跟踪汇报:舜宇、高伟、瑞声、丘钛、比亚 迪电子、FIT20250707 摘要 美国若重新加码对华关税,将影响市场情绪和消费电子公司估值;东南 亚国家享受较低关税需满足 30%以上本土附加值,上游产业链公司产能 外迁或增加成本。 预计舜宇光学科技 2025 年全年归母净利润为 38 亿人民币,同比增长 超 30%,目前估值对应 18 倍市盈率,需关注国补不及预期及手机销量 疲软风险。 舜宇光学科技手机摄像头模组及镜头上半年平均单价预计提升 20%以上, 毛利率提升明显,国产安卓智能手机光学规格持续升级,高端机型需求 疲弱风险尚未显现。 瑞声科技 2025 年上半年净利润预计 8.3 亿人民币,同比增长超 50%; 全年预计 24-25 亿人民币,同比增长 30%以上,WLG 产品出货量有望 超预期,带来约 6 亿元利润增量。 高伟电子受益于关税压力缓解和苹果股价回升,股价上涨明显。预计 2025 年营收 35 亿美元,净利润 1.7 亿美元左右,市盈率约 18 倍,关 注苹果新品类拓展。 Q&A 港股消费电子板块近期的表现和未来预期如何? 近期港股消费电子板块出现了小幅普涨,主要反映了市场风险偏好的 ...
超声波指纹识别市场有望迎爆发式增长 欧菲光将迎新一轮发展机遇
Quan Jing Wang· 2025-07-02 01:49
智能手机解锁方式经历了从实体指纹到光学指纹的演变,在技术、市场需求等多方合力下,屏下超声波 指纹识别解锁方案日渐成为手机行业指纹识别技术发展趋势。据媒体报道,多家国产手机厂商已经确定 将在其旗舰机型中采用超声波指纹解锁技术,推动着超声波指纹识别技术有望迎来爆发式增长。 作为光学光电领域的头部厂商,欧菲光持续深耕指纹识别、 3D ToF 等微电子核心业务。公司2015 年正 式量产出货指纹识别模组,到2016 年公司指纹识别模组单月出货量稳居全球前列。截至目前,欧菲光 在光学屏下指纹识别模组和超声波屏下指纹识别模组均处于龙头地位,是目前屏下指纹识别模组的主要 供应商。公司 ToF 前置人脸识别产品持续维持国内安卓手机阵营大比例市场份额占比。公司自研电容 式指纹识别、光学指纹识别、超声波指纹识别等多项技术,有效赋能智能门锁产品。 相比传统的光学指纹解锁方案,超声波指纹解锁具有更高的安全性和更快的解锁速度。它利用声波在物 体表面的反射和散射特性来识别指纹,能够穿透屏幕表面的污渍、水渍等干扰因素,确保在各种环境下 都能实现稳定、准确的解锁。此外,超声波指纹解锁还具备更广的识别区域和更高的灵敏度,使得用户 无论以何种姿 ...