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大越期货商品期权日报-20260227
Da Yue Qi Huo· 2026-02-27 02:40
| 看涨期权 | | | 看跌期权 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 品种 | 日涨跌幅 | 品种 | 日涨跌幅 | | 锰硅 | 133.33% | PVC | 41.32% | | 硅铁 | 37.72% | 多晶硅 | 39.68% | | 碳酸锂 | 25.94% | 棕榈油 | 37.41% | | 白糖 | 24.50% | 短纤 | 36.78% | | 铂 | 17.20% | 塑料 | 33.14% | | 液化石油气 | 15.95% | 合成橡胶 | 30.77% | | 燃料油 | 6.89% | 纯苯 | 28.69% | | 铸造铝合金 | 6.09% | 甲醇 | 28.40% | | 豆粕 | 4.12% | 工业硅 | 26.64% | | 铅 | 4.07% | 氧化铝 | 26.41% | 备注:上述涨跌幅统一以各品种主力合约的平值期权为标的,并以其 收盘价作为计算基准。 表 2:期权持仓 商品期权日报(2026 年 02 月 27 日) 表 1:期权行情 | 看涨期权 | | | 看跌期权 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | ...
大越期货商品期权日报-20260225
Da Yue Qi Huo· 2026-02-25 02:22
商品期权日报(2026 年 02 月 25 日) 表 1:期权行情 | 看涨期权 | | | 看跌期权 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 品种 | 日涨跌幅 | 品种 | 日涨跌幅 | | 纯苯 | 157.06% | 多晶硅 | 74.15% | | 棉花 | 98.72% | 螺纹钢 | 34.96% | | 苯乙烯 | 88.56% | 生猪 | 33.71% | | 液化石油气 | 87.91% | 锰硅 | 21.09% | | 白银 | 77.37% | 苹果 | 18.49% | | 原油 | 75.32% | 焦煤 | 9.37% | | 聚丙烯 | 70.15% | 铁矿石 | 8.80% | | 短纤 | 68.18% | 菜粕 | 8.03% | | 天然橡胶 | 58.25% | 氧化铝 | 3.21% | | 塑料 | 56.42% | 硅铁 | 2.27% | | | 看涨期权 | | 看跌期权 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 品种 | 日涨跌幅 | 品种 | 日涨跌幅 | | 纯苯 | 157.06% | 多晶硅 | 74.1 ...
商品期权周报-20260224
Guo Tai Jun An Qi Huo· 2026-02-24 06:24
1. Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the content 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - Not provided in the content 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Market Overview - The report presents the trading volume and open interest data of the commodity options market, including the overall market and different sectors such as agriculture, energy and chemicals, black metals, precious metals, and non - ferrous metals and new energy. The overall trading volume of the market this week was 6,628,465.8, a decrease of 0.95% from last week, and the open interest was 7,083,253, a decrease of 0.24% from last week. Among them, the trading volume of agricultural products increased by 0.48%, while the trading volume of other sectors decreased to varying degrees [5]. 3.2 Market Data 3.2.1 Market Overview - The report provides the quantitative data of commodity options, including the at - the - money volatility, 60 - day quantile, skew, and 60 - day skew quantile of various options. For example, the at - the - money volatility of corn options is 8.65%, and the 60 - day quantile is 13.33% [15]. 3.2.2 - 3.2.61 Various Option Data - For each type of option (such as corn options, soybean meal options, etc.), the report details the closing price, trading volume, open interest, volume PCR, open interest PCR, at - the - money volatility, HV - 10 days, HV - 20 days, and skew of the main and secondary contracts. For example, for corn options, the total trading volume of the main contract this week was 145,658, an increase of 48,066 from last week, and the volume PCR was 0.4574, a decrease of 0.0707 from last week [17].
商品期权周报-20260202
Guo Tai Jun An Qi Huo· 2026-02-02 06:33
1. Market Overview - The total trading volume of the commodity options market this week was 8,927,530.8, up 0.4% from last week, and the total open interest was 9,142,747, up 0.02% [5]. - The trading volume of agricultural products options was 1,480,074.0, up 0.58%, and the open interest was 3,149,035, up 0.04% [5]. - The trading volume of energy and chemical options was 4,184,971.8, up 0.89%, and the open interest was 3,674,765, up 0.15% [5]. - The trading volume of black options was 340,558.0, down 0.65%, and the open interest was 738,944, up 0.12% [5]. - The trading volume of precious metal options was 812,581.6, down 0.97%, and the open interest was 334,994, down 0.37% [5]. - The trading volume of non - ferrous and new energy options was 2,109,345.4, up 0.42%, and the open interest was 1,245,009, down 0.21% [5]. 2. Market Data 2.1 Market Overview - The report provides the implied volatility, 60 - day quantile, skew, and 60 - day skew quantile of the at - the - money options for various commodities such as corn, soybean meal, and methanol [15]. 2.2 - 2.61 Specific Commodity Options - For each of the 61 types of commodity options (e.g., corn options, soybean meal options), the report details the closing price, price change, remaining trading days of the main and secondary contracts, as well as the trading volume, open interest, volume PCR, open interest PCR, at - the - money volatility, 10 - day historical volatility (HV - 10), 20 - day historical volatility (HV - 20), and skew. For example, in corn options, the main contract's closing price was 2271, down 29, with 14 remaining trading days [16].
商品期权周报-20260126
Guo Tai Jun An Qi Huo· 2026-01-26 05:09
1. Market Overview - The trading volume of the commodity options market this week was 8,107,246.6, a decrease of 0.35% from last week; the open interest was 8,979,179, a flat compared to last week [5]. - The trading volume of agricultural products was 1,293,877.0, a decrease of 0.63% from last week; the open interest was 3,022,708, a slight decrease of 0.0% [5]. - The trading volume of energy and chemical products was 3,424,908.4, a decrease of 0.85% from last week; the open interest was 3,183,176, a decrease of 0.01% [5]. - The trading volume of black commodities was 406,427.0, a decrease of 0.53% from last week; the open interest was 657,982, a decrease of 0.13% [5]. - The trading volume of precious metals was 1,073,667.6, an increase of 1.41% from last week; the open interest was 534,522, a decrease of 0.03% [5]. - The trading volume of non - ferrous metals and new energy was 1,908,366.6, an increase of 0.41% from last week; the open interest was 1,580,791, an increase of 0.15% [5]. 2. Market Data 2.1 Market Overview - The report provides the flat - volatility, 60 - day quantile, Skew, and 60 - day quantile of various commodity options, such as the flat - volatility of corn options was 9.56% with a 60 - day quantile of 43.33%, and the Skew was 7.15% with a 60 - day quantile of 51.67% [15]. 2.2 - 2.61 Specific Commodity Options - For each of the 61 specific commodity options (including corn, soybean meal, etc.), the report details data such as closing prices, trading volume (including call and put trading volume, total trading volume, and volume PCR), open interest (including call and put open interest, total open interest, and open interest PCR), flat - volatility, HV - 10 days, HV - 20 days, and Skew [16 - 75].
商品期权周报-20260111
Guo Tai Jun An Qi Huo· 2026-01-11 12:49
1. Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the content 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - New Year commodity options have collectively seen an increase in volatility and trading volume. Some varieties in the chemical sector are about to expire, such as short - fiber, methanol, soda ash, glass, bottle chips, caustic soda, propylene, PTA, and sugar 03 series option contracts will expire on Tuesday, while crude oil near - month option contracts will expire on Wednesday. Most implied volatilities are at high levels, and attention should be paid to the risk of rapid time - value erosion [5]. 3. Summary According to Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Market Overview - The trading volume of the commodity option market this week was 9,363,712.6, up 2.45% from last week; the open interest was 8,928,161, up 0.16% from last week. Among them, the trading volume of agricultural products, energy and chemicals, and black products increased, while the trading volume of precious metals decreased, and the trading volume of non - ferrous and new energy products increased significantly [6]. 3.2 Market Data 3.2.1 Market Overview - The report provides the flat - volatility, 60 - day quantile, Skew, and 60 - day quantile data of various commodity options, such as the flat - volatility of corn options being 11.83% and the 60 - day quantile being 93.33% [15]. 3.2.2 - 3.2.61 Various Commodity Options - For each type of commodity option (such as corn, soybean meal, etc.), the report details the closing prices, price changes, remaining trading days, trading volumes (including call, put, and total), trading volume PCR, open interests (including call, put, and total), open interest PCR, flat - volatility, HV - 10 days, HV - 20 days, and Skew of the main and secondary contracts and all contracts [16][17][18]...[76].
农产品期权:农产品期权策略早报-20260109
Wu Kuang Qi Huo· 2026-01-09 04:10
Report Summary - The report is an agricultural product option strategy morning report, covering the analysis of various agricultural product options and providing corresponding strategy suggestions [2] - The overall market trend shows that oilseeds and oils are weakly volatile, oils and agricultural by - products maintain a volatile market, soft commodity sugar fluctuates slightly, cotton consolidates strongly, and grains such as corn and starch are narrowly bullish [2] Market Conditions of Underlying Futures Price and Volume Changes - Among different option varieties, the prices and trading volumes of underlying futures contracts have changed to different degrees. For example, the price of soybean No.1 (A2603) decreased by 7 to 4,326, with a trading volume of 2.70 million lots, a decrease of 1.47 million lots compared to the previous period; the price of soybean meal (M2603) decreased by 29 to 3,098, with a trading volume of 24.46 million lots, an increase of 7.74 million lots [3] Option Factors Analysis Volume - to - Open Interest PCR - Different option varieties have different volume - to - open interest PCR values and their changes, which reflect the strength of the option underlying market and the turning point of the market. For example, the volume PCR of soybean No.1 is 0.37, with a change of 0.08, and the open interest PCR is 0.95, with a change of - 0.04 [4] Pressure and Support Levels - The pressure and support levels of different option varieties are analyzed from the perspective of the strike prices with the largest open interest of call and put options. For example, the pressure point of soybean No.1 is 4,500 and the support point is 4,000 [5] Implied Volatility - The implied volatility of different option varieties also varies, and the weighted implied volatility has different degrees of change. For example, the weighted implied volatility of soybean No.1 decreased by 0.36 to 15.39% [6] Strategy and Suggestions Oilseeds and Oils Options - For soybean No.1, the fundamental situation shows that the CNF premium of Brazilian soybeans in February 2026 has a slight weekly increase, the import cost has a weekly decrease, and the crushing profit on the disk has a weekly increase. The market trend is a short - term bullish rebound. Option strategies include constructing a neutral call + put option combination strategy to obtain time value and a long collar strategy for spot hedging [7] - For soybean meal, the fundamental situation shows that the average daily提货 volume of major oil mills has a slight decrease, and the inventory has a weekly and year - on - year increase. The market is in an oversold rebound. Option strategies include constructing a neutral call + put option combination strategy and a long collar strategy for spot hedging [9] - For palm oil, the fundamental situation shows that the production in December has a significant decrease and the export has a slight increase. The market is a rebound with upper pressure. Option strategies include constructing a neutral call + put option combination strategy with a short delta and a long collar strategy for spot hedging [9] Agricultural By - products Options - For live pigs, the fundamental situation shows that the prices of piglets, live pigs, and sows have different degrees of changes, and the average slaughter weight has a slight decrease. The market is a weak short - term oversold rebound. Option strategies include constructing a neutral call + put option combination strategy and a long - spot covered call strategy [10] - For eggs, the fundamental situation shows that the inventory at the production and circulation ends has increased, indicating a short - term oversupply. The market is a rebound with upper pressure. Option strategies include constructing a short - biased call + put option combination strategy [11] Soft Commodities Options - For sugar, the fundamental situation shows that the import volume in November 2025 has a year - on - year decrease, but the cumulative import volume from January to November has a year - on - year increase. The market is a weak short - term oversold rebound. Option strategies include constructing a short - biased call + put option combination strategy and a long collar strategy for spot hedging [12] - For cotton, the fundamental situation shows that the processing and inspection volume of cotton in the 2025 cotton year has reached a certain scale. The market is a short - term bullish upward trend. Option strategies include constructing a call option bull spread strategy and a long - spot collar strategy [13] Grains Options - For corn, the fundamental situation shows that the price of corn starch is stable with a weak trend, and the farmers' sentiment of holding back sales is strong. The market is a rebound with lower support. Option strategies include constructing a neutral call + put option combination strategy [13]
农产品期权:农产品期权策略早报-20251229
Wu Kuang Qi Huo· 2025-12-29 03:05
1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - The agricultural product options market shows different trends. Oilseeds and oils are in a weak and volatile state, oils, by - products maintain a volatile market, soft commodity sugar has a slight fluctuation, cotton is in a strong consolidation, and grains such as corn and starch are in a narrow - range bullish consolidation [2]. - It is recommended to construct an option portfolio strategy mainly based on sellers, as well as spot hedging or covered strategies to enhance returns [2]. 3. Summary According to Related Catalogs 3.1 Futures Market Overview - Different agricultural product options have different price changes, trading volumes, and open - interest changes. For example, soybean No. 1 (A2603) has a latest price of 4,105, a rise of 13, and a trading volume of 1.05 million lots [3]. 3.2 Option Factors - Volume and Open - Interest PCR - The volume and open - interest PCR of different option varieties are used to describe the strength of the option underlying market and the turning point of the underlying market. For example, the volume PCR of soybean No. 1 is 0.35, and the open - interest PCR is 0.93 [4]. 3.3 Option Factors - Pressure and Support Levels - The pressure and support levels of different option varieties are analyzed from the perspective of the strike prices with the largest open - interest of call and put options. For example, the pressure level of soybean No. 1 is 4,200, and the support level is 4,000 [5]. 3.4 Option Factors - Implied Volatility - The implied volatility of different option varieties is presented, including at - the - money implied volatility, weighted implied volatility, and the difference between implied and historical volatility. For example, the at - the - money implied volatility of soybean No. 1 is 10.81% [6]. 3.5 Strategy and Recommendations for Different Option Varieties 3.5.1 Oilseeds and Oils Options - **Soybean No. 1**: The fundamental situation is affected by factors such as Chinese soybean purchases and Brazilian soybean import costs. The option strategy includes constructing a neutral short call + put option combination strategy and a long collar strategy for spot hedging [7]. - **Palm Oil**: The fundamentals show a production decline and an export increase. The option strategy includes constructing a short - delta neutral call + put option combination strategy and a long collar strategy for spot hedging [9]. - **Peanut**: The downstream consumption is weak. The option strategy includes a long collar strategy for spot hedging [10]. 3.5.2 By - products Options - **Pig**: The supply is reduced, and the demand is in the peak season. The option strategy includes constructing a short - delta call + put option combination strategy and a covered call strategy for spot hedging [10]. - **Egg**: The supply is sufficient, and the demand is relatively weak. The option strategy includes constructing a short - delta call + put option combination strategy [11]. - **Apple**: The cold - storage inventory is decreasing. The option strategy includes constructing a long - delta call + put option combination strategy and a long collar strategy for spot hedging [11]. - **Jujube**: The inventory is decreasing. The option strategy includes constructing a short - delta wide - straddle option combination strategy and a covered call strategy for spot hedging [12]. 3.5.3 Soft Commodities Options - **Sugar**: The sugar production in Thailand is declining, and the domestic industrial inventory is increasing. The option strategy includes constructing a short - delta call + put option combination strategy and a long collar strategy for spot hedging [12]. - **Cotton**: The cotton production in Xinjiang has increased. The option strategy includes constructing a bull - spread call option combination strategy, a short - delta neutral call + put option combination strategy, and a long collar strategy for spot hedging [13]. 3.5.4 Grains Options - **Corn**: The domestic corn oil market price is in a weak state. The option strategy includes constructing a short - delta neutral call + put option combination strategy [13].
农产品期权:农产品期权策略早报-20251222
Wu Kuang Qi Huo· 2025-12-22 01:53
1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - The agricultural product options market shows a mixed trend, with oilseeds and oils showing a weak and volatile pattern, while other sectors maintain a volatile or slightly fluctuating market [2]. - It is recommended to construct option portfolio strategies mainly based on sellers, as well as spot hedging or covered strategies to enhance returns [2]. 3. Summary of Each Section 3.1 Futures Market Overview - The latest prices, price changes, trading volumes, and open interest of various agricultural product options are presented, including soybeans, soybean meal, palm oil, etc. For example, the latest price of soybeans (A2603) is 4,064, with a change of 3 and a trading volume of 2.36 million lots [3]. 3.2 Option Factors - Volume and Open Interest PCR - The volume and open - interest PCR of various options are analyzed, which are mainly used to describe the strength of the option underlying market and the turning point of the market. For instance, the volume PCR of soybean options is 0.97, and the open - interest PCR is 1.02 [4]. 3.3 Option Factors - Pressure and Support Levels - The pressure and support levels of each option are determined from the perspective of the strike prices with the largest open interest in call and put options. For example, the pressure level of soybean options is 4,200, and the support level is 4,000 [5]. 3.4 Option Factors - Implied Volatility - The implied volatility of each option is analyzed, including at - the - money implied volatility, weighted implied volatility, and the difference between implied volatility and historical volatility. For example, the at - the - money implied volatility of soybean options is 10.035% [6]. 3.5 Strategy and Recommendations 3.5.1 Oilseeds and Oils Options - **Soybean Options**: The uncertainty of China's demand for US soybeans and the expected Brazilian harvest in early 2026 put pressure on the soybean market. It is recommended to construct a neutral call + put option selling strategy and a long collar strategy for spot hedging [7]. - **Soybean Meal Options**: The price of soybean meal may maintain a narrow - range volatile pattern. A similar neutral call + put option selling strategy and long collar strategy are recommended [9]. - **Palm Oil Options**: High production and low demand have pushed up Malaysia's inventory. A bear spread strategy for put options and a short - biased call + put option selling strategy are suggested, along with a long collar strategy for spot hedging [9]. - **Peanut Options**: The peanut market shows a short - term upward and then rapid decline pattern. A spot long + put option buying + out - of - the - money call option selling strategy is recommended [10]. 3.5.2 Agricultural By - product Options - **Live Pig Options**: The live pig market is in a weak downward trend. A short - biased call + put option selling strategy and a covered call strategy for spot are recommended [10]. - **Egg Options**: The egg market is weak. A short - biased call + put option selling strategy is recommended [11]. - **Apple Options**: The apple market shows a warming - up and rising pattern. A long - biased call + put option selling strategy and a long collar strategy for spot are recommended [11]. - **Jujube Options**: The jujube market is in a weak and volatile pattern. A short wide - straddle option selling strategy and a covered call strategy for spot are recommended [12]. 3.5.3 Soft Commodity Options - **Sugar Options**: The sugar market is in a weak and bearish pattern. A short - biased call + put option selling strategy and a long collar strategy for spot are recommended [12]. - **Cotton Options**: The cotton market shows a short - term upward and then blocked pattern. A neutral call + put option selling strategy and a long collar strategy for spot are recommended [13]. 3.5.4 Grain Options - **Corn Options**: The corn market shows a rebound and upward pattern. A neutral call + put option selling strategy is recommended [13].
农产品期权:农产品期权策略早报-20251219
Wu Kuang Qi Huo· 2025-12-19 00:08
1. Report's Investment Rating for the Industry - No information provided regarding the industry investment rating. 2. Core Views of the Report - Oilseed and oil - related agricultural products are in a weak and volatile state, while oils, by - products, and soft commodities like sugar show a slight oscillation. Cotton is in a strong consolidation phase, and grains such as corn and starch are in a narrow and bullish consolidation [2]. - It is recommended to construct option portfolio strategies mainly based on sellers, as well as spot hedging or covered strategies to enhance returns [2]. 3. Summary According to Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Futures Market Overview - The report presents the latest prices, price changes, trading volumes, and open interest of various agricultural futures contracts including soybeans, soybean meal, palm oil, etc. For example, the latest price of soybean No.1 (A2603) is 4,054 with a decrease of 6 and a decline rate of 0.15%, and its trading volume is 3.32 million lots with a change of 2.16 million lots, and open interest is 5.73 million lots with a change of - 0.28 million lots [3]. 3.2 Option Factors - Volume and Open Interest PCR - The PCR indicators (volume PCR and open - interest PCR) of different option varieties are provided. These indicators are used to describe the strength of the option underlying market and the potential turning points of the market. For instance, the volume PCR of soybean No.1 is 1.76 with a change of 1.02, and the open - interest PCR is 1.03 with a change of 0.04 [4]. 3.3 Option Factors - Pressure and Support Levels - The pressure and support levels of different option varieties are analyzed from the perspective of the strike prices with the largest open interest of call and put options. For example, the pressure level of soybean No.1 is 4200 and the support level is 4000 [5]. 3.4 Option Factors - Implied Volatility - The implied volatility of different option varieties is presented, including at - the - money implied volatility, weighted implied volatility, and the difference between implied and historical volatility. For example, the at - the - money implied volatility of soybean No.1 is 10.195%, and the weighted implied volatility is 11.08% with a change of 0.05% [6]. 3.5 Strategy and Recommendations - **Oilseed and Oil Options**: - **Soybean No.1**: Based on fundamental and market analysis, it is recommended to construct a neutral call + put option selling strategy for volatility, and a long collar strategy for spot hedging [7]. - **Soybean Meal**: A neutral call + put option selling strategy for volatility and a long collar strategy for spot hedging are suggested [9]. - **Palm Oil**: A bearish spread strategy for directional trading, a bearish call + put option selling strategy for volatility, and a long collar strategy for spot hedging are recommended [9]. - **Peanut**: A long collar strategy for spot hedging is proposed [10]. - **By - product Options**: - **Pig**: A bearish call + put option selling strategy for volatility and a covered call strategy for spot are recommended [10]. - **Egg**: A bearish call + put option selling strategy for volatility is suggested [11]. - **Apple**: A bullish call + put option selling strategy for volatility and a long collar strategy for spot hedging are recommended [11]. - **Jujube**: A wide - straddle option selling strategy for volatility and a covered call strategy for spot hedging are proposed [12]. - **Soft Commodity Options**: - **Sugar**: A bearish call + put option selling strategy for volatility and a long collar strategy for spot hedging are recommended [12]. - **Cotton**: A neutral call + put option selling strategy for volatility and a long collar strategy for spot are suggested [13]. - **Grain Options**: - **Corn**: A neutral call + put option selling strategy for volatility is recommended [13].