1. Report Industry Investment Rating - No relevant content provided 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - ICE cotton futures are in a range - bound oscillation. The USDA's reduction of the 2025/26 US cotton planting area and production strengthens the support at 66 cents per pound, but the weak global cotton demand leads to poor US cotton export demand, and the upward momentum is insufficient without improvement in US cotton exports or more actual production cuts from major exporters [20]. - Domestic cotton futures rose again this week. The 01 - contract's increase was significantly greater than that of the 09 - contract, and the CF9 - 1 spread continued to widen. The CF509 contract is mainly about delivery logic, and the 01 - contract is affected by import quota policies and external market sentiment, but the expected high - yield of new crops limits the increase. The 01 - contract needs new drivers to break through the previous high, and Zhengzhou cotton futures are expected to maintain an oscillatory trend [20]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Market Data - ICE Cotton Main - continuous: Opened at 66.55, reached a high of 68.50, a low of 66.55, and closed at 67.48, up 0.84 or 1.26%. The trading volume was 141,171 lots, an increase of 24,529 lots, and the open interest was 154,300 lots, a decrease of 5,436 lots [5]. - Zhengzhou Cotton Main - continuous: Opened at 13,645, reached a high of 14,235, a low of 13,615, and closed at 14,120, up 480 or 3.52%. The trading volume was 1,098,037 lots, an increase of 457,089 lots, and the open interest was 477,620 lots, an increase of 216,824 lots [5]. - Cotton Yarn Main - continuous: Opened at 19,580, reached a high of 20,280, a low of 19,550, and closed at 20,185, up 580 or 2.96%. The trading volume was 40,982 lots, an increase of 10,492 lots, and the open interest was 21,336 lots, an increase of 4,283 lots [5]. 3.2 Fundamentals 3.2.1 International Cotton Situation - ICE cotton rose slightly this week. The USDA's monthly supply - demand report on Tuesday was bullish, causing ICE cotton to rise as it unexpectedly cut the 2025/26 US cotton planting area, reducing production and ending stocks. However, concerns about US cotton export prospects led to a decline in the second half of the week, with only a slight weekly increase [6]. - USDA monthly supply - demand report: In the US cotton balance sheet, the 2025/26 US cotton planting area was cut by 840,000 acres, production dropped from 14.6 million bales in July to 13.21 million bales, and exports were cut by 500,000 bales, resulting in ending stocks being cut by 1 million bales to 3.6 million bales. In the global cotton balance sheet, the 2024/25 ending stocks (2025/26 beginning stocks) were cut by 1.73 million bales, mainly in China (1.05 million bales) and Brazil (510,000 bales). The 2025/26 global cotton production was cut by 1.8 million bales, with the US down 1.39 million bales, Central Asia down 310,000 bales, and West Africa down 140,000 bales, while China was up 500,000 bales. Global cotton consumption was cut by 130,000 bales, with India down 500,000 bales, Bangladesh down 300,000 bales, Turkey down 200,000 bales, and Central Asia down 100,000 bales, while China was up 100,000 bales [7]. - US cotton weekly export sales data: As of the week ending August 7, 2025/26 US upland cotton weekly contracts were 54,900 tons, with Vietnam contracting 27,000 tons and Bangladesh 9,100 tons; 2026/27 contracts were 200 tons. The 2025/26 US upland cotton weekly shipments were 32,300 tons, a 22% week - on - week decrease, with Vietnam shipping 7,900 tons and Pakistan 5,900 tons [8]. - Other major cotton - producing and consuming countries: - India: The sowing progress is still slower than last year. As of August 8, the cotton planting area was 10.7 million hectares, a 3.2% year - on - year decrease. The total sales reached 7.4 million bales, and the Cotton Corporation of India's inventory was 2.6 million bales. The season's arrivals reached 30.49 million bales (170 kg per bale) [9]. - Brazil: Exports in July decreased month - on - month and year - on - year. Cotton production was slightly cut to 3.9348 million tons due to a slight cut in the yield forecast in Bahia. July raw cotton exports were 127,000 tons, slightly lower than June and a 24% year - on - year decrease, in line with seasonal patterns. Turkey was the main customer (19%), followed by Bangladesh (16%), Vietnam (14%), and Pakistan (13%) [9]. - Australia: Exports were strong in June. Cotton fields are in pre - sowing preparation. June raw cotton exports were 128,900 tons, higher than the previous month but a 9% year - on - year decrease. China was the largest buyer (23%), followed by India (20%) and Vietnam (18%). From August 2024 to June 2025, the cumulative exports in the first 11 months of the season were 966,500 tons, lower than last year. China accounted for 26%, Vietnam 24%, and India's share rose from 4% in 2023/24 to 13% [10][11]. - Pakistan: Import demand is moderate. The cotton plants are in good condition, and pests are under control. The expected cotton production is between 6.5 and 7.5 million bales. The cotton market supply is limited, and spinners' demand is stable, supporting prices. Many ginneries are over - sold, and the seed - cotton price has strengthened. The cotton import demand remains at a normal level, mainly for Brazilian cotton [11]. - Bangladesh: Cotton import demand may rise, and garment exports were strong in July. After the US tariff policy announcement, textile and garment orders increased. Many manufacturers are seeking to increase the use of US cotton for tariff exemptions. Cotton purchases have increased to meet downstream demand. In July, knitted and woven garment exports were $3.96 billion, a 42% increase from June and a 25% increase from the same period last year [12]. - Southeast Asian textile industry startup rates: As of the week ending August 15, India's textile enterprise startup rate was 73%, unchanged from last week and in August, with a July average of 73.25%; Vietnam's was 63%, unchanged from last week, with an August average of 63.17% and a July average of 64.25%; Pakistan's was 64%, unchanged from last week and in August, with a July average of 62% [12]. 3.2.2 Domestic Cotton Situation - Cotton spot prices rose slightly and trading improved slightly. As of the week ending August 15, domestic cotton futures and spot prices rose slightly, and spot trading was better than last week, but spinners mainly maintained just - in - time purchases. The quality mismatch between Xinjiang and inland spot inventories was more obvious. The low - basis southern Xinjiang lint in Xinjiang warehouses continued to decrease, while there was relatively more southern Xinjiang lint in inland warehouses. Xinjiang warehouses were mainly quoting northern Xinjiang prices, with a small amount of low - basis spot available. The basis was generally stable [13]. - Cotton warehouse receipt situation: As of August 15, there were 7,829 registered No. 1 cotton warehouse receipts and 249 pending receipts, totaling 8,078 receipts, equivalent to 339,276 tons. Among the 2024/25 registered warehouse receipts, there were 7,510 Xinjiang cottons (220 in northern Xinjiang, 407 in southern Xinjiang, and 6,883 in inland warehouses) and 319 local cottons [14]. - Downstream situation improved slightly. The pure - cotton yarn market trading improved, with downstream replenishment purchases increasing. Spinners' quotes rose slightly. In terms of varieties, air - jet spinning and regular varieties had mainly just - in - time transactions. Profits changed little, with inland spinners' C32S cash - flow losses at around 500 yuan per ton and Xinjiang spinners still having a small profit. Spinners' inventories decreased slightly. The startup rate changed little, and inland spinners continued to limit production. The demand improvement in the pure - cotton grey fabric market was not sustainable, and weavers' confidence was still low. Prices were quoted higher, and actual transactions were negotiated based on quantity. Weavers' overall orders did not improve significantly, the startup rate increased slightly, and inventories decreased slowly. There was no improvement in inquiries and samples, and real orders were still scarce. In the export market, some brand traceability orders were placed, and export orders increased slightly month - on - month. Overall, orders in the knitted fabric market increased limitedly, and home textile and woven orders were poor. Weavers mostly maintained a just - in - time purchase strategy, with a slight increase in purchases. The market confidence was generally low [15]. 3.3 Basic Data Charts - The report provides 14 charts, including those on Xinjiang cotton cumulative processing volume, cotton commercial inventory, spinners' cotton inventory, weavers' yarn inventory, spinning enterprises'棉纱 inventory, cotton - cloth enterprises' cotton - cloth inventory, yarn enterprises' startup rate, cotton - cloth enterprises' startup rate, pure - cotton yarn profit, pure - cotton cloth CGC32 profit, cotton 9 - 1 spread, cotton import profit, cotton basis, and Zhengzhou cotton warehouse receipts [17][18][19]. 3.4 Operation Suggestions - ICE cotton futures are expected to remain range - bound. The reduction of US cotton planting area and production strengthens the support, but the weak global demand restricts the upward momentum. - Domestic cotton futures are expected to oscillate. The 01 - contract needs new drivers to break through the previous high, and attention should be paid to the external cotton market and Xinjiang weather [20].

Report Industry Investment Ratings - Not provided in the given content Core Views - **Domestic Economy**: In July, China's export performance was strong, with non-US countries supporting exports and electromechanical products showing competitive advantages. However, future export growth is expected to decline gradually, and the decision - makers' policies are expected to improve the price index [2]. - **RMB Exchange Rate**: The US dollar is weak, and non - US currencies are generally strong. The short - term exchange rate between the US dollar and the RMB is expected to be supported in the range of 7.15 - 7.23, with a likely anchor at 7.20 [3]. - **Stock Index**: The domestic economic data did not exceed market expectations, and the short - term market is expected to continue the trend of shrinking volume and oscillation. Wait for the release of domestic financial data and US inflation data [5]. - **Treasury Bonds**: The liquidity has improved, and the primary market situation is better than expected. It is recommended to hold long positions [6]. - **Container Shipping**: The SCFI European line continues to decline. The futures price is expected to be in a volatile or slightly declining trend in the short - to - medium term [8]. - **Precious Metals**: Gold and silver are expected to be bullish in the medium - to - long term and strong in the short term. It is recommended to buy on dips [12]. - **Aluminum Industry Chain**: Aluminum prices are expected to fluctuate at a high level, alumina is expected to be in a weak oscillation, and casting aluminum alloy is expected to oscillate [13][14][15]. - **Nickel and Stainless Steel**: The nickel and stainless - steel market is expected to oscillate in the range of 118,000 - 126,000 yuan/ton and 12,500 - 13,100 yuan/ton respectively [16]. - **Lithium Carbonate**: The supply of lithium resources is expected to tighten, and investors need to be cautious about holding positions [17]. - **Industrial Silicon and Polysilicon**: Industrial silicon is expected to be in a volatile and slightly upward state, and polysilicon is expected to be in a wide - range oscillation [21]. - **Black Metals**: Steel products are expected to be in a volatile and slightly upward state in the short term, and iron ore is in a narrow - range oscillation. Coal and coke are not pessimistic in the medium - to - long term, and ferroalloys are recommended to be lightly bought on dips [22][24][28]. - **Energy and Chemicals**: Crude oil is at risk of decline, LPG remains in a loose situation, PTA - PX is recommended to expand the processing fee, ethylene glycol is recommended to be bought on dips, methanol 09 is weak, PP and PE are in an oscillatory state, PVC is to be short - allocated, pure benzene and styrene have weak short - term unilateral drives, fuel oil is weak, low - sulfur fuel oil is dragged down by crude oil, asphalt is in a weak oscillation, urea is in a weak oscillation, and glass, soda ash, and caustic soda are in a game between reality and expectation [30][32][37][40][42][43][46][48][50] Summary by Relevant Catalogs Macro - **Domestic**: In July, China's CPI was flat year - on - year, and the decline of PPI narrowed. The export was strong, and the decision - makers introduced a series of livelihood policies [1][2]. - **Overseas**: The US non - farm payrolls data was revised downwards, and the market's expectation of the Fed's interest rate cut increased. There were various international events such as potential US - Russia cease - fire agreements and tariff policies [1] RMB Exchange Rate - **Market Performance**: The on - shore RMB against the US dollar depreciated. The US dollar index was weak, and non - US currencies were strong [2][3] - **Influencing Factors**: The market's expectation of the Fed's interest rate cut, the US domestic economic situation, China's export performance, and the central bank's guidance [3][4] Stock Index - **Market Review**: The stock index oscillated, and the trading volume decreased. The futures index volume decreased, and the bullish sentiment declined [5] - **Influencing Factors**: Domestic economic data, policy support, and the upcoming release of financial and inflation data [5] Treasury Bonds - **Market Performance**: Treasury futures opened high and closed low, then rebounded. The liquidity improved, and the primary market situation was better than expected [5][6] - **Influencing Factors**: Liquidity improvement, the issuance of local bonds, and the impact of VAT adjustment [6] Container Shipping - **Market Performance**: The container shipping index (European line) futures oscillated, and the SCFI European line continued to decline [7][8] - **Influencing Factors**: Shipping company performance, geopolitical risks, and shipping company price adjustments [8] Precious Metals - **Market Performance**: Gold and silver prices fluctuated, affected by tariff policies and Fed news. Fund positions and inventory changed [9][10][11] - **Influencing Factors**: US tariff policies, Fed interest rate cut expectations, and China's gold reserve increase [9][10] Aluminum Industry Chain - **Aluminum**: The price oscillated, affected by inventory and the approaching peak season [13] - **Alumina**: The supply was excessive, the price was under pressure, and the cost was the support [14] - **Casting Aluminum Alloy**: The supply and demand were good, and the price followed the aluminum price [15] Nickel and Stainless Steel - **Market Performance**: The prices oscillated, and the fundamentals provided some support [16] - **Influencing Factors**: Supply and demand of nickel ore, nickel iron, and stainless steel, and macro - level factors such as tariffs and interest rate cut expectations [16] Lithium Carbonate - **Market Performance**: The futures price rose, and the inventory increased [16][17] - **Influencing Factors**: Mine - end news, production and demand of the lithium battery industry chain, and the suspension of mining operations [16][17] Industrial Silicon and Polysilicon - **Market Performance**: The prices oscillated, and the production and demand of the industry changed [17][18][19] - **Influencing Factors**: Production capacity changes, market demand, and the adjustment of registered brands [18][19][20] Black Metals - **Steel Products**: The prices oscillated, and the supply and demand were affected by production restrictions and market demand [22] - **Iron Ore**: The price oscillated in a narrow range, and the supply and demand were affected by coal prices and steel demand [22][23][24] - **Coal and Coke**: The prices oscillated strongly, and the supply and demand were affected by production inspections, imports, and downstream demand [24][25] - **Ferroalloys**: The prices fluctuated with coal prices, and the supply and demand were affected by steel production and raw material supply [26][27][28] Energy and Chemicals - **Crude Oil**: The price declined, and the supply and demand were affected by seasonal factors and geopolitical events [28][29][30] - **LPG**: The price was under pressure, and the supply was loose while the demand was slightly improved [31][32] - **PTA - PX**: The price followed the cost, and there was a supply - demand gap in August [32][33] - **Ethylene Glycol**: The price oscillated, and the supply and demand were in a weak balance [36] - **Methanol**: The 09 contract was weak, and the port inventory increased [37][38] - **PP and PE**: The prices oscillated, and the supply and demand were in a state of change [39][40][42] - **PVC**: The price was high - valued and high - inventory, and it was recommended to be short - allocated [43] - **Pure Benzene and Styrene**: The short - term unilateral drive was weak, and the supply and demand situation was different [43][44][46] - **Fuel Oil and Low - Sulfur Fuel Oil**: The prices were affected by supply, demand, and inventory factors [46] - **Asphalt**: The price was in a weak oscillation, and the supply and demand were affected by weather and funds [47][48] - **Urea**: The price was in a weak oscillation, and the supply and demand were affected by export and agricultural demand [49][50] - **Glass, Soda Ash, and Caustic Soda**: The prices were in a game between reality and expectation, and the supply and demand were different [50][51][53]

Core Viewpoint - The article highlights the transformation of the cotton industry in China through the establishment of the "Yinmianhui" platform by Hubei Yinfeng Industrial Group, which integrates the entire cotton supply chain and enhances trading efficiency, thereby positioning itself as a leader in the market. Group 1: Platform Overview - The "Yinmianhui" platform, launched in May 2024, has achieved a cumulative transaction volume of over 901,200 tons of cotton and a total transaction value of 12.662 billion yuan within just over a year [1][3]. - The platform connects over 660 cotton industry chain enterprises, facilitating direct transactions between cotton farmers and textile manufacturers, significantly reducing the number of intermediaries involved in traditional cotton trading [2][4]. Group 2: Market Impact - The platform has captured approximately 11% of the national cotton sales market, with a total sales volume of 7.69 million tons in 2024, establishing itself as a dominant player in the central region's cotton industry [3]. - The integration of technology has improved procurement efficiency by 50% to 70%, allowing companies to place large orders with ease, akin to online shopping [2][8]. Group 3: Risk Management and Financial Support - "Yinmianhui" provides systematic and standardized futures and options tools to help textile enterprises and traders hedge against market risks, thus enhancing supply chain resilience [4][8]. - The platform utilizes advanced technologies to generate "minimum purchase prices" based on market data, allowing businesses to focus on operations rather than market speculation [4][8]. Group 4: Agricultural Support and Employment - The company has expanded its operations in Xinjiang, managing over 60,000 acres of land and operating more than ten ginning factories, with an annual procurement of approximately 300,000 tons of seed cotton [7][8]. - The initiative has created job opportunities for over 500 local residents in Xinjiang, demonstrating the company's commitment to regional development and agricultural support [6][7]. Group 5: Technological Integration - The platform employs advanced agricultural technologies, such as drone management and mechanized harvesting, to enhance cotton production efficiency in Xinjiang [6][7]. - The introduction of modern irrigation techniques and smart planting models in Hubei aims to promote mechanized cotton production, further integrating the cotton supply chain [7][8].

Report Summary 1. Investment Rating There is no information about the industry investment rating in the provided content. 2. Core Viewpoint - The Zhengzhou cotton (Zhengmian) futures continued to decline, with the main 2509 contract falling 1.07% to 13,925 yuan/ton, breaking below the 14,000 yuan mark. The lack of strong support for Zhengmian prices is due to weak procurement willingness from downstream enterprises. The ICE cotton rose 0.1% overnight, closing at 68.3 cents/pound. Future attention should be paid to the marginal impact of external market trends, China-US economic and trade negotiations, the Fed's interest rate cut rhythm, and domestic policy directions [2]. - Internationally, the US Treasury's borrowing expectation in the third quarter has exceeded one trillion, an 82% increase. After the debt ceiling was raised, debt issuance accelerated. The auction of 5-year US Treasury bonds was unexpectedly weak, with overseas demand hitting a three-year low. The impact of the raised US debt ceiling on the second-half interest rate cuts is worth monitoring. The China-US economic and trade talks in Stockholm on July 28 are important for normalizing bilateral relations in the second half and bring some imagination space to the market. Globally, due to factors such as continuous loose cotton supply and demand and weak US cotton export demand, international cotton prices remain in a weak consolidation state. Domestically, although the de-stocking trend of commercial cotton inventories is positive, the inventory level remains high. There is a high possibility of a bumper new cotton harvest this year, and combined with the weak demand, the upside space for Zhengmian is limited [13]. 3. Summary by Directory 3.1 Market Overview - The main 2509 contract of Zhengzhou cotton futures fell 1.07%, closing at 13,925 yuan/ton, down 150 yuan/ton from the previous trading day. The price continued to decline and broke below the 14,000 yuan mark. The ICE cotton rose 0.1% overnight, closing at 68.3 cents/pound. Downstream enterprises have weak procurement willingness, and Zhengmian prices lack strong support. Future attention should be paid to external market trends, China-US economic and trade negotiations, the Fed's interest rate cut rhythm, and domestic policy directions [2]. 3.2 Macroeconomic and Industry News - On July 29, 2025, the total cotton warehouse receipts on the Zhengzhou Commodity Exchange were 9,504 (-72) sheets, including 9,156 (-70) registered warehouse receipts and 348 (-2) valid forecasts [3]. - From July 21 - 25, 2025, the weekly average price of domestic 32-count pure cotton carded yarn was 20,890 yuan/ton, a week-on-week increase of 174 yuan/ton; the weekly average price of Indian 32-count pure cotton carded yarn was 20,956 yuan/ton, a week-on-week increase of 108 yuan/ton; the weekly average price of Vietnamese 32-count pure cotton carded yarn was 20,702 yuan/ton, a week-on-week increase of 86 yuan/ton [5]. - As of the week ending July 27, the budding rate of US cotton was 80% (compared to 86% last year and a five-year average of 83%, and 71% the previous week), the bolling rate was 44% (33% the previous week, 52% last year, and a five-year average of 46%), and the good-to-excellent rate was 55% (49% last year) [5]. - Brazil exported 111,700 tons of cotton in the first four weeks of July, with a daily average export volume of 5,900 tons, a 19% decrease compared to the daily average export volume of 7,300 tons in July last year. The total export volume in July last year was 167,200 tons [5]. - Last week, Xinjiang cotton was in the peak flowering and bolling stage, with some areas in Turpan already in the boll-opening and lint-releasing stage. High temperatures and low precipitation in most parts of the region were unfavorable for cotton growth. The development period of cotton was advanced due to high temperatures, increasing the proportion of pre-dog days peaches and raising the risk of premature aging [5]. - Recently, there was light rainfall in some cotton-growing areas in Argentina, with the most concentrated area receiving 45mm of rainfall, slowing down the new cotton picking progress. In the short term, the weather in the cotton-growing areas is expected to clear up, with rising temperatures promoting the resumption of picking operations. As of mid-July, the new cotton harvest progress in Argentina was 75%, 15 percentage points slower than the same period last year, and the total output may be between 250,000 - 270,000 tons [6]. 3.3 Data Charts - The report includes charts of CZCE and ICE cotton futures prices, cotton spot prices and basis, 9 - 1 spreads, textile profits, cotton import profits,棉纱 import profits, warehouse receipt quantities, and non-commercial positions [6][7][10][11]. 3.4 Analysis and Strategy - Internationally, the US Treasury's borrowing expectation in the third quarter has exceeded one trillion, an 82% increase. After the debt ceiling was raised, debt issuance accelerated. The auction of 5-year US Treasury bonds was unexpectedly weak, with overseas demand hitting a three-year low. The impact of the raised US debt ceiling on the second-half interest rate cuts is worth monitoring. The China-US economic and trade talks in Stockholm on July 28 are important for normalizing bilateral relations in the second half and bring some imagination space to the market [13]. - Globally, due to factors such as continuous loose cotton supply and demand and weak US cotton export demand, international cotton prices remain in a weak consolidation state. Domestically, although the de-stocking trend of commercial cotton inventories is positive, the inventory level remains high. There is a high possibility of a bumper new cotton harvest this year, and combined with the weak demand, the upside space for Zhengmian is limited [13].

Investment Rating There is no information regarding the industry investment rating in the provided reports. Core Viewpoints - The Zhengzhou cotton (Zhengmian) futures showed a slight decline and maintained a volatile trend. The ICE cotton futures also dropped slightly overnight. The subsequent focus should be on the external market trends, the pace of the Federal Reserve's interest rate cuts, and the marginal impact of domestic policies [2]. - The global cotton supply - demand situation is expected to remain loose. In the short - term, Zhengmian may have some upward space, but high - level risks should be vigilant. In the medium - to - long - term, the room for cotton price increase is limited due to the high inventory and the loose supply - demand pattern at home and abroad [14]. Summary by Section 1. Market Review - The main contract of Zhengmian 2509 fell 0.67%, closing at 14,075 yuan/ton, down 95 yuan/ton from the previous trading day. The ICE cotton futures dropped 0.74% overnight, closing at 68.23 cents/pound [2]. 2. Macroeconomic and Industry News - On July 28, 2025, the total cotton warehouse receipts in Zhengzhou Commodity Exchange were 9,576 (-57) sheets, including 9,226 (-39) registered warehouse receipts and 350 (+0) valid forecasts [3]. - The China Cotton Textile Prosperity Index rebounded above the boom - bust line in June, reaching 50.3%, up 1.3 percentage points from May. Among the 7 sub - indices, the raw material procurement, raw material inventory, production, and enterprise operation indices were above the critical point, the product sales and product inventory indices were below the critical point, and the enterprise confidence index was at the critical point [3][4]. - As of the week ending July 22, the long positions of non - commercial funds in CFTC US cotton futures were 64,278 (+344) sheets, increasing for the third consecutive week; the short positions were 91,528 (+2,511) sheets, changing from a decrease to an increase. The total ICE positions were 218,828 (+7,061) sheets, increasing for the third consecutive week. The net long ratio was - 12.5%, down 0.6 percentage points month - on - month and up 2.8 percentage points year - on - year [4]. - Based on the estimated domestic cotton output of 6.676 million tons, as of July 24, the cumulative picked, delivered, and processed lint cotton were all 6.676 million tons, with year - on - year increases of 773,000 tons and increases of 583,000 tons compared to the average of the past four years. The cumulative sales of lint cotton were 6.44 million tons, with a year - on - year increase of 1.194 million tons and an increase of 1.03 million tons compared to the average of the past four years [5]. - On July 25, 2025, the estimated arrival volume of Indian cotton was 11,100 bales (170 kg per bale), or 1,887 tons. Since the 2024/25 season (October to September of the following year), the cumulative arrival volume of Indian cotton was 29,938,100 bales, or 5,089,477 tons [5]. 3. Data Charts - The reports include charts of CZCE and ICE cotton futures prices, cotton spot prices and basis, 9 - 1 spread, textile profit, cotton import profit,棉纱 import profit, warehouse receipt quantity, and non - commercial positions [7][8][11]. 4. Analysis and Strategy - The US tariff policy will continue to affect the global economy. The global cotton supply - demand remains in a loose expectation. Zhengmian lacks a clear driving force and maintains a volatile trend. In the short - term, there may be some upward space, but high - level risks should be noted. In the medium - to - long - term, the high inventory and loose supply - demand pattern limit the upward space of cotton prices [14].

Group 1: Core Insights - The third China International Supply Chain Promotion Expo showcased the health industry with a focus on medical health, quality of life, and Chinese premium products, highlighting cutting-edge products and technologies in the health sector [1] - The expo emphasized the integration of digital and biological technologies, presenting a comprehensive health service chain from birth to elderly care [1] Group 2: Company Highlights - L'Oréal, as the only foreign exhibitor in the beauty industry, presented its consumer-centric smart supply chain and global opportunity connections, aiming to foster collaboration and innovation within the industry [2] - Medtronic showcased its five pillars of innovation in the medical field, including local manufacturing and global integration, with a focus on the "Lantern Left Bundle Branch Pacing" heart catheter as a key innovation [2] - Starbucks highlighted its sustainable supply chain network in the coffee industry, collaborating with a leading energy systems company to set a green development benchmark [3] Group 3: Collaborative Efforts - Sanofi demonstrated its end-to-end healthcare ecosystem in China, celebrating 30 years of local manufacturing and showcasing the entire process of flu vaccine production and distribution [4] - Strong interest was noted at the booth of the Wellbeing Group, which focused on innovations in the cotton industry and aimed to connect various stakeholders to promote a healthy cotton industry [4][5] - GE Healthcare emphasized its role in enhancing the resilience of China's high-end medical device supply chain through extensive collaboration with over a thousand suppliers [5] Group 4: Industry Trends - The expo highlighted a deep consensus among upstream and downstream enterprises on collaborative development within the health industry [4] - The concept of a "win-win chain" was reiterated by multiple industry leaders, emphasizing the importance of collaboration and co-creation for a sustainable health future [5]

Group 1 - The report from Itaú BBA predicts a 5% decrease in sugarcane crushing volume in Brazil's central-southern region for the 2025/26 season, amounting to 590 million tons, with significant declines in the western and northwestern parts of São Paulo state [1] - Despite the decrease in crushing volume, sugar production is expected to increase by 2.7% to 41.2 million tons, with a sugar-to-cane ratio of 52% and an ATR (Total Recoverable Sugar) of 141 kg/ton [1] - Current spot prices for sugar in China show an increase, with Guangxi Sugar Group reporting prices between 6000 - 6080 yuan/ton, up by 10 - 20 yuan/ton, while Yunnan Sugar Group's prices remain stable at 5790 - 5830 yuan/ton [1] Group 2 - The cotton market is experiencing upward movement, with ICE cotton prices rising by 0.78% to 68.32 cents per pound, and domestic cotton prices in Xinjiang increasing by 65 yuan/ton to 14832 yuan/ton [1] - The overall market sentiment is improving, with the Shanghai Composite Index rising over 1% for two consecutive days, and cotton prices in Zhengzhou breaking through 13600 yuan/ton due to low commercial inventories and weather disturbances in Xinjiang [1] - The macroeconomic environment is showing signs of improvement, with expectations of a rate cut by the Federal Reserve, which has led to a slight strengthening of cotton prices, although the fundamental drivers remain limited [1]

Report Industry Investment Ratings The provided reports do not mention industry investment ratings. Core Views of the Reports Oils and Fats Industry - Palm oil: The Malaysian palm oil market is under downward pressure due to the sharp decline in crude oil and the recovery of production. The domestic Dalian palm oil futures market is expected to fall further to the range of 8,150 - 8,250 yuan [1]. - Soybean oil: International soybean oil prices are under pressure due to the expected decline in Indian imports and favorable crop weather in the US. Domestic soybean oil inventory is increasing, but the factory sell - pressure is not strong, and the basis quote is supported [1]. Meal Industry - The bullish sentiment of US soybeans has been fully traded. With the improvement of weather expectations and the decline in oil prices, the market is weak. Domestic soybean inventory pressure is acceptable, and soybean meal inventory is still low. The short - term disk may follow the US soybeans to correct, but the decline is expected to be limited [3]. Corn Industry - The current corn supply varies with traders' strategies. In the short term, corn prices may correct due to increased arrivals and auction expectations, but in the medium - to - long - term, the supply - demand gap supports an upward trend. It is advisable to go long on dips [5]. Pig Industry - The current pig breeding still has profits, but the market is cautious about capacity expansion. The short - term disk may be strong, but there is a risk of a decline in the 09 contract near delivery if the live inventory continues to be postponed [9][10]. Cotton Industry - The market driving force is still weak, with the downstream textile industry's开机 rate decreasing and finished product inventory increasing. However, the supply - side basis of old crops is still relatively strong. The short - term domestic cotton price is expected to fluctuate within a range [13]. Sugar Industry - Global sugar supply is becoming more abundant, putting pressure on raw sugar. It is expected to maintain a weak and volatile pattern. If there are no new negative factors, the possibility of a significant decline in sugar prices is small. This week, it is expected to maintain bottom - range fluctuations between 5,650 - 5,800 [15]. Egg Industry - The national egg supply is still sufficient. It is expected that the national egg price may rise slightly this week and then stabilize, and may experience a slight decline later [20]. Summary by Related Catalogs Oils and Fats Industry - **Soybean Oil**: On June 24, the futures price of Y2509 was 7,606 yuan, down 1.60% from the previous day. The basis was 654 yuan, down 26 yuan. The inventory of factories increased by 30,000 tons last weekend, and the estimated soybean arrival in July is about 11 million tons [1]. - **Palm Oil**: On June 24, the futures price of P2509 was 8,208 yuan, down 2.05%. The basis was 282 yuan, down 138 yuan. The import cost in Guangzhou Port in September was 8,737.7 yuan, down 1.80% [1]. - **Rapeseed Oil**: On June 24, the futures price of OI2509 was 9,310 yuan, down 1.55%. The basis was 470 yuan, up 7 yuan [1]. Meal Industry - **Soybean Meal**: On June 24, the spot price in Jiangsu was 2,920 yuan, down 0.68%. The futures price of M2509 was 3,037 yuan, down 0.98%. The basis was - 117 yuan, up 10 yuan [3]. - **Rapeseed Meal**: The spot price in Jiangsu was 2,550 yuan, down 1.20%. The futures price of RM2509 was 2,657 yuan, down 0.82%. The basis was - 107 yuan, down 9 yuan [3]. Corn Industry - **Corn**: On June 24, the futures price of Corn 2509 was 2,389 yuan, down 0.79%. The basis was - 9 yuan, up 19 yuan. The 9 - 1 spread was 108 yuan, down 9 yuan [5]. - **Corn Starch**: The futures price of Corn Starch 2509 was 2,744 yuan, down 1.51%. The basis was - 24 yuan, up 42 yuan. The 9 - 1 spread was 64 yuan, down 24 yuan [5]. Pig Industry - **Futures**: On June 24, the price of the main contract was 13,550 yuan for the 2507 contract, up 0.74%, and 13,940 yuan for the 2509 contract, down 0.29%. The 7 - 9 spread was 390 yuan, down 140 yuan [9]. - **Spot**: The spot price in Henan was 14,550 yuan, down 50 yuan; in Shandong, it was 14,900 yuan, up 100 yuan [9]. Cotton Industry - **Futures**: On June 24, the futures price of Cotton 2509 was 13,610 yuan, up 1.08%; the 2601 contract was 13,585 yuan, up 0.63%. The 9 - 1 spread was 25 yuan, up 60 yuan [13]. - **Spot**: The Xinjiang arrival price of 3128B was 14,767 yuan, down 0.09%; the CC Index of 3128B was 14,883 yuan, down 0.07% [13]. Sugar Industry - **Futures**: On June 24, the futures price of Sugar 2509 was 5,710 yuan, down 0.19%; the 2601 contract was 5,555 yuan, down 0.36%. The 1 - 9 spread was - 155 yuan, down 9 yuan [15]. - **Spot**: The spot price in Nanning was 6,040 yuan, down 0.17%; in Kunming, it was 5,860 yuan, down 0.09% [15]. Egg Industry - **Futures**: On June 24, the price of the Egg 09 contract was 3,642 yuan, up 0.33%; the 07 contract was 2,819 yuan, down 1.33%. The 9 - 7 spread was 823 yuan, up 50 yuan [17]. - **Spot**: The egg - producing area price was 2.92 yuan per catty, down 0.24% [17].

Core Viewpoint - The "Sustainable Cotton" project in China aims to enhance cotton production quality while reducing environmental impact through scientific farming methods and technology [1][2]. Group 1: Sustainable Cotton Development - The "Sustainable Cotton" initiative, launched by the China Cotton Association, focuses on reducing pesticide and fertilizer use without compromising yield, thereby minimizing environmental pollution [1]. - The project has certified 1.2 million acres of cotton fields in Xinjiang, producing 430,000 tons of sustainable cotton, promoting high-quality, eco-friendly cotton products for consumers [1]. Group 2: Industry Performance and Projections - Since the 14th Five-Year Plan, China's cotton industry has maintained stable production and consumption levels, with cotton output and consumption around 6 million tons and 8 million tons, respectively, employing nearly 17 million people [2]. - The projected cotton planting area for 2025 is 44.82 million acres, reflecting a 1.8% year-on-year increase, with Xinjiang's area expected to grow by 3.3% [2]. Group 3: Quality and Innovation - Industry experts emphasize the need for structural optimization and technological innovation to transition from traditional advantages to high-quality development, enhancing cotton production and processing quality [2]. - The cotton quality in China is considered above average globally, but further upgrades in technology and management are necessary to meet high-quality textile demands [2][3]. Group 4: Green Transformation - The cotton industry is urged to pursue a green low-carbon transformation, reducing resource consumption and emissions while increasing the industry's "green content" [3]. - The 2025 China International Cotton Conference, themed "Promoting Sustainable Cotton, Discussing New Consumption Future," highlights the industry's commitment to green development [3].

Core Viewpoint - The "Stable Enterprises, Secure Agriculture" conference focused on risk management in the cotton industry, highlighting the importance of financial tools in supporting the high-quality development of the sector [1][4]. Group 1: Event Overview - The conference was co-hosted by Xinjiang Guannong Co., Ltd. and Huatai Futures, bringing together representatives from the cotton industry and financial experts to discuss market conditions and risk management strategies [1][2]. - The Zhengzhou Commodity Exchange (ZCE) reported that the cotton futures market has seen significant liquidity and participation, with a long-term open interest of around 4 million tons [1]. Group 2: Industry Insights - Guannong Co. emphasized its role as a key player in agricultural industrialization, actively promoting market participation among cotton enterprises to enhance their risk management capabilities [2]. - Huatai Futures expressed its commitment to providing integrated financial solutions for the cotton industry, aiming to build a collaborative ecosystem for industry and finance [2]. Group 3: Expert Contributions - Industry experts provided insights on market trends, with Huatai Futures analysts discussing macroeconomic factors and supply-demand dynamics affecting cotton prices [3]. - The use of satellite remote sensing technology for monitoring global cotton production areas was presented, showcasing its potential to help businesses anticipate weather impacts on yield and quality [3]. - Practical case studies on the application of options in the cotton industry were shared, highlighting their role in risk management and how companies can tailor strategies to their specific needs [3]. Group 4: Future Directions - The successful hosting of the conference established a platform for ongoing communication between cotton enterprises and financial institutions, enhancing understanding of risk management tools [4]. - The organizers plan to continue facilitating exchange activities under the guidance of the ZCE to promote high-quality development in the cotton industry [4].