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丹斯克银行:英国央行若如期降息,英镑可能反应平淡
news flash· 2025-08-04 07:45
Core Viewpoint - Danske Bank analysts suggest that if the Bank of England lowers interest rates as expected, the British pound may react mildly due to market anticipation and the potential for a gradual easing policy [1] Summary by Relevant Categories Interest Rate Expectations - The Bank of England is likely to lower interest rates on Thursday, with the market widely expecting this move [1] - Danske Bank anticipates that the Bank of England may maintain a gradual easing policy guidance [1] Currency Outlook - The British pound is expected to weaken further, as the Bank of England's rate cuts in 2026 may exceed market expectations [1] - The euro is projected to rise against the pound, with an expected exchange rate of 0.89 within the next 6 to 12 months [1] Economic Conditions - Rising uncertainty and signs of slowing economic growth in the UK are likely to put additional pressure on the pound [1] - The positive correlation between the pound and the US dollar may also contribute to the pound's challenges [1]
金十图示:2025年07月28日(周一)投机情绪指数
news flash· 2025-07-28 00:41
Group 1 - The data indicates a bullish sentiment in various currency pairs, with significant percentages favoring long positions over short positions [2][3][4] - The Euro to US Dollar pair shows a long position of 56.75% compared to 43.25% for short positions, indicating a strong bullish outlook [3] - The Australian Dollar to Japanese Yen pair has a long position of 21.34% against 78.66% for short positions, suggesting a bearish sentiment [4] Group 2 - The New Zealand to US Dollar pair has a long position of 87.34%, indicating a very strong bullish sentiment [2] - The Euro to British Pound pair shows a significant short position of 71.31%, reflecting a bearish outlook [3] - The Euro to Australian Dollar pair has a long position of 12.89%, while the short position is at 87.11%, indicating a strong bearish sentiment [3]
美关税大限迫近,多国展开最后冲刺谈判;乌克兰爆发全国性反政府抗议活动,为俄乌冲突以来首次。当前美油继续释放卖出信号,黄金多头占比持续占优,后市情绪如何?欢迎前往“数据库-嘉盛市场晴雨表”查看并订阅(数据每10分钟更新1次)。
news flash· 2025-07-24 02:57
Group 1 - The U.S. is approaching a deadline for tariffs, prompting multiple countries to engage in last-minute negotiations [1] - Nationwide anti-government protests have erupted in Ukraine, marking the first such occurrence since the onset of the Russia-Ukraine conflict [1] - Current market signals indicate continued selling pressure on WTI crude oil, while gold remains favored by bullish sentiment [1] Group 2 - The Hang Seng Index shows a bullish sentiment of 32% and bearish sentiment of 68% [3] - The S&P 500 Index has a bullish sentiment of 37% and bearish sentiment of 63% [3] - The Nasdaq Index reflects a bullish sentiment of 55% and bearish sentiment of 45% [3] - The Dow Jones Index indicates a strong bullish sentiment of 81% and a bearish sentiment of 19% [3] - The Nikkei 225 Index shows a bullish sentiment of 82% and bearish sentiment of 18% [3] - The DAX 40 Index has a bullish sentiment of 84% and bearish sentiment of 16% [3] Group 3 - In the forex market, the Euro/USD pair has a bullish sentiment of 14% and bearish sentiment of 86% [3] - The Euro/GBP pair shows a bullish sentiment of 14% and bearish sentiment of 86% [3] - The Euro/JPY pair has a bullish sentiment of 7% and bearish sentiment of 93% [3] - The Euro/AUD pair indicates a bullish sentiment of 18% and bearish sentiment of 82% [3] - The GBP/USD pair shows a strong bullish sentiment of 79% and bearish sentiment of 21% [3] - The GBP/JPY pair has a bullish sentiment of 25% and bearish sentiment of 75% [3] - The USD/JPY pair reflects a bullish sentiment of 37% and bearish sentiment of 63% [3] - The USD/CAD pair shows a bullish sentiment of 22% and bearish sentiment of 78% [3] - The USD/CHF pair indicates a strong bullish sentiment of 93% and bearish sentiment of 7% [3]
金十图示:2025年07月24日(周四)投机情绪指数
news flash· 2025-07-24 00:43
Group 1 - The data indicates a significant presence of long positions (N) compared to short positions (v) across various currency pairs, suggesting a bullish sentiment in the market [2][3][4] - The Euro to US Dollar (EUR/USD) pair shows a long position percentage of 85.95%, indicating strong bullish sentiment [3] - The Australian Dollar to Japanese Yen (AUD/JPY) pair has a near-even split with 49.25% long and 50.75% short positions, reflecting a more neutral market outlook [4] Group 2 - The New Zealand Dollar to US Dollar (NZD/USD) pair has a long position percentage of 68.82%, indicating a strong bullish sentiment [2] - The British Pound to US Dollar (GBP/USD) pair shows a close split with 51.23% long and 48.77% short positions, suggesting a balanced market view [2] - The Euro to Australian Dollar (EUR/AUD) pair has a long position percentage of 69.2%, indicating a bullish outlook [3]
鲍威尔面临刑事指控,白宫表态特朗普无计划解雇鲍威尔;俄乌新一轮谈判计划明日举行,以色列对胡塞武装发动大规模空袭。当前黄金多空相持,美油卖出信号显现,后市情绪如何?欢迎前往“数据库-嘉盛市场晴雨表”查看并订阅(数据每10分钟更新1次)。
news flash· 2025-07-22 02:49
Group 1 - Powell faces criminal charges, while the White House states that Trump has no plans to dismiss Powell [1] - New round of negotiations between Russia and Ukraine is scheduled for tomorrow, indicating ongoing geopolitical tensions [1] - Israel has launched large-scale airstrikes against Houthi forces, reflecting regional conflicts [1] Group 2 - Current market sentiment shows a stalemate in gold trading, with signals indicating potential sell-off in WTI crude oil [1] - The sentiment in various indices shows a mixed outlook, with the S&P 500 at 71% bullish and 29% bearish, while the Nasdaq is evenly split at 50% [3] - In the foreign exchange market, the Euro against the Dollar shows a significant bearish sentiment at 77% [3]
金十图示:2025年07月22日(周二)投机情绪指数
news flash· 2025-07-22 00:45
Group 1 - The data indicates a strong bullish sentiment in various currency pairs, with significant percentages favoring long positions over short positions [2][3][4]. - The Euro to US Dollar (EUR/USD) pair shows a bullish sentiment of 85.13% long versus 14.87% short, indicating a strong preference for long positions [3]. - The Australian Dollar to Japanese Yen (AUD/JPY) pair has a near-even split with 48.25% long and 51.75% short, suggesting a more balanced market sentiment [4]. Group 2 - The New Zealand Dollar to US Dollar (NZD/USD) pair has a long position percentage of 62.78% compared to 37.22% short, reflecting a bullish outlook [2]. - The Euro to British Pound (EUR/GBP) pair shows a significant long position of 72.15% against 27.85% short, indicating strong bullish sentiment [3]. - The Euro to Australian Dollar (EUR/AUD) pair has a notable long position of 18.24% compared to 81.76% short, suggesting a bearish outlook [3].
金十图示:2025年07月21日(周一)投机情绪指数
news flash· 2025-07-21 00:44
Group 1 - The data indicates a significant presence of long positions in various currency pairs, with notable percentages such as 87.11% for NZD/USD and 85.36% for EUR/JPY [2][3] - Short positions are also present, with 58.64% for EUR/USD and 81.7% for EUR/AUD, indicating a mixed sentiment in the market [3][4] - The overall sentiment shows a preference for long positions in pairs like AUD/JPY (53.55% long) and GBP/JPY (51.55% long), suggesting bullish trends in these currencies [4][2] Group 2 - The data reflects a diverse range of currency pairs, with varying levels of long and short positions, highlighting the complexity of market dynamics [2][3] - The percentages indicate a strong inclination towards long positions in major pairs, which may suggest investor confidence in those currencies [3][4] - The presence of both long and short positions across different pairs indicates potential volatility and trading opportunities in the forex market [2][3]
金十图示:2025年07月18日(周五)投机情绪指数
news flash· 2025-07-18 00:45
Group 1 - The data indicates a significant percentage of long and short positions in various currency pairs, with notable figures such as 56.18% long and 43.82% short for USD/CHF [2] - For the EUR/USD pair, 39.22% are long positions while 60.78% are short, reflecting a bearish sentiment [3] - The AUD/JPY pair shows 27.06% long positions and 72.94% short positions, indicating a strong preference for shorting this currency pair [4] Group 2 - The EUR/JPY pair has 36.02% long and 70.25% short positions, suggesting a similar bearish outlook as seen in other pairs [3] - The data for the EUR/AUD pair shows 71.5% long positions against 22.91% short positions, indicating a bullish sentiment [4] - The overall trend across multiple currency pairs suggests a mixed sentiment among traders, with some pairs leaning towards long positions while others show a clear preference for shorting [2][3][4]
金十图示:2025年07月16日(周三)投机情绪指数
news flash· 2025-07-16 00:45
Group 1 - The data indicates a significant presence of long positions in various currency pairs, with notable percentages such as 82.78% long in NZD/USD and 88.18% long in EUR/USD [2][3] - Short positions are also present, with 51.69% short in USD/CHF and 56.1% short in EUR/JPY, indicating a mixed sentiment in the market [2][3] - The overall sentiment shows a preference for long positions in major currency pairs, with percentages like 63.01% long in GBP/CHF and 80.95% long in EUR/AUD [2][3][4] Group 2 - The data reflects a diverse range of long and short positions across different currency pairs, suggesting varying investor strategies [4][5] - The percentages of long and short positions indicate a competitive trading environment, with traders actively managing their exposure [4][5] - The presence of both long and short positions highlights the complexity of market dynamics and investor sentiment [4][5]
金十图示:2025年07月14日(周一)投机情绪指数
news flash· 2025-07-14 00:44
Group 1 - The data indicates a significant presence of long and short positions across various currency pairs, with notable percentages reflecting market sentiment [2][3][4] - The Euro to Japanese Yen shows a long position of 43.52% and a short position of 56.48%, indicating a bearish outlook [3] - The Euro to US Dollar has a long position of 34.12% and a short position of 65.88%, further emphasizing the market's bearish sentiment towards the Euro [3] Group 2 - The Australian Dollar to Japanese Yen has a long position of 42.48% and a short position of 57.52%, suggesting a cautious approach among traders [4] - The data reflects a diverse range of currency pairs, with varying levels of long and short positions, indicating differing trader sentiments across the market [2][3][4] - The overall trends suggest a prevailing bearish sentiment in the Forex market, particularly towards the Euro and Australian Dollar [3][4]