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鲍威尔释放重磅信号!降息预期升温引爆市场狂欢
Jin Shi Shu Ju· 2025-08-22 15:00
《华尔街日报》著名记者、素有"美联储传声筒"、"新美联储通讯社"之称的Nick Timiraos报道称,美联储主席鲍威尔周五为最早于下月会议降息打开了大 门,他表示就业市场可能出现更剧烈放缓的前景,或能减轻对关税引发成本上涨推高通胀的担忧。 今年以来,鲍威尔及其同事一直维持利率不变,理由是劳动力市场稳健,且大幅加征关税导致的通胀前景存在不确定性。但在周五怀俄明州一场备受瞩目的 会议演讲中,鲍威尔暗示经济前景正朝支持重启降息的方向转变。 "风险平衡似乎正在发生变化,"鲍威尔在准备好的讲稿中表示。尽管劳动力市场看似稳定,但"这种平衡颇具特殊性——它源于劳动力供需两端的显著放 缓"。 此前,美国总统特朗普及其高级顾问对美联储施加了异常强烈的压力,要求其大幅降息。 不过,鲍威尔的言论通过强调对通胀的担忧,缓和了市场对美联储将连续激进降息的预期。通胀已连续四年多高于美联储2%的目标。 鲍威尔表示,关税对消费价格的影响"现已清晰可见",且预计未来几个月将持续累积。美联储面临的问题是,这些价格上涨是否会"显著增加持续性通胀风 险"。 此外,鲍威尔首次对"关税导致商品价格上涨的影响相对短暂"这一基准预测表现出更大信心。他警告 ...
美关税大限迫近,多国展开最后冲刺谈判;乌克兰爆发全国性反政府抗议活动,为俄乌冲突以来首次。当前美油继续释放卖出信号,黄金多头占比持续占优,后市情绪如何?欢迎前往“数据库-嘉盛市场晴雨表”查看并订阅(数据每10分钟更新1次)。
news flash· 2025-07-24 02:57
Group 1 - The U.S. is approaching a deadline for tariffs, prompting multiple countries to engage in last-minute negotiations [1] - Nationwide anti-government protests have erupted in Ukraine, marking the first such occurrence since the onset of the Russia-Ukraine conflict [1] - Current market signals indicate continued selling pressure on WTI crude oil, while gold remains favored by bullish sentiment [1] Group 2 - The Hang Seng Index shows a bullish sentiment of 32% and bearish sentiment of 68% [3] - The S&P 500 Index has a bullish sentiment of 37% and bearish sentiment of 63% [3] - The Nasdaq Index reflects a bullish sentiment of 55% and bearish sentiment of 45% [3] - The Dow Jones Index indicates a strong bullish sentiment of 81% and a bearish sentiment of 19% [3] - The Nikkei 225 Index shows a bullish sentiment of 82% and bearish sentiment of 18% [3] - The DAX 40 Index has a bullish sentiment of 84% and bearish sentiment of 16% [3] Group 3 - In the forex market, the Euro/USD pair has a bullish sentiment of 14% and bearish sentiment of 86% [3] - The Euro/GBP pair shows a bullish sentiment of 14% and bearish sentiment of 86% [3] - The Euro/JPY pair has a bullish sentiment of 7% and bearish sentiment of 93% [3] - The Euro/AUD pair indicates a bullish sentiment of 18% and bearish sentiment of 82% [3] - The GBP/USD pair shows a strong bullish sentiment of 79% and bearish sentiment of 21% [3] - The GBP/JPY pair has a bullish sentiment of 25% and bearish sentiment of 75% [3] - The USD/JPY pair reflects a bullish sentiment of 37% and bearish sentiment of 63% [3] - The USD/CAD pair shows a bullish sentiment of 22% and bearish sentiment of 78% [3] - The USD/CHF pair indicates a strong bullish sentiment of 93% and bearish sentiment of 7% [3]
鲍威尔面临刑事指控,白宫表态特朗普无计划解雇鲍威尔;俄乌新一轮谈判计划明日举行,以色列对胡塞武装发动大规模空袭。当前黄金多空相持,美油卖出信号显现,后市情绪如何?欢迎前往“数据库-嘉盛市场晴雨表”查看并订阅(数据每10分钟更新1次)。
news flash· 2025-07-22 02:49
Group 1 - Powell faces criminal charges, while the White House states that Trump has no plans to dismiss Powell [1] - New round of negotiations between Russia and Ukraine is scheduled for tomorrow, indicating ongoing geopolitical tensions [1] - Israel has launched large-scale airstrikes against Houthi forces, reflecting regional conflicts [1] Group 2 - Current market sentiment shows a stalemate in gold trading, with signals indicating potential sell-off in WTI crude oil [1] - The sentiment in various indices shows a mixed outlook, with the S&P 500 at 71% bullish and 29% bearish, while the Nasdaq is evenly split at 50% [3] - In the foreign exchange market, the Euro against the Dollar shows a significant bearish sentiment at 77% [3]
关税谈判进入关键时刻,投资者静待关税形势明朗化,黄金多空维持观望,后市情绪如何?欢迎前往“数据库-嘉盛市场晴雨表”查看并订阅(数据每10分钟更新1次)
news flash· 2025-07-07 02:59
Group 1 - The tariff negotiations have reached a critical stage, with investors awaiting clarity on the tariff situation [1] - Market sentiment regarding gold remains cautious, with both bullish and bearish positions maintaining a wait-and-see approach [1] Group 2 - The Hong Kong Hang Seng Index shows a bullish sentiment of 73% and bearish sentiment of 27% [3] - The S&P 500 Index has a bullish sentiment of 59% and bearish sentiment of 41% [3] - The Nasdaq Index indicates a strong bullish sentiment of 83% and a bearish sentiment of 17% [3] - The Dow Jones Index reflects a bearish sentiment of 76% against a bullish sentiment of 24% [3] - The Nikkei 225 Index shows an even split with 50% bullish and 50% bearish sentiment [3] - The German DAX 40 Index has a bullish sentiment of 52% and bearish sentiment of 48% [3] Group 3 - The Euro/USD pair has a bearish sentiment of 82% and a bullish sentiment of 18% [3] - The Euro/GBP pair shows a bearish sentiment of 81% and a bullish sentiment of 19% [3] - The Euro/JPY pair has a significant bearish sentiment of 92% against a bullish sentiment of 8% [3] - The Euro/AUD pair indicates a strong bullish sentiment of 92% and a bearish sentiment of 8% [3] - The GBP/USD pair has a bearish sentiment of 85% and a bullish sentiment of 15% [3] - The GBP/JPY pair shows a bearish sentiment of 69% and a bullish sentiment of 31% [3] - The USD/JPY pair has a bearish sentiment of 58% and a bullish sentiment of 42% [3] - The USD/CAD pair indicates a bullish sentiment of 70% and a bearish sentiment of 30% [3] - The USD/CHF pair shows a significant bearish sentiment of 93% against a bullish sentiment of 7% [3] Group 4 - The AUD/USD pair has a bullish sentiment of 60% and a bearish sentiment of 40% [4] - The AUD/JPY pair shows a bullish sentiment of 62% and a bearish sentiment of 38% [4] - The CAD/JPY pair has a bearish sentiment of 70% and a bullish sentiment of 30% [4] - The NZD/USD pair indicates a bullish sentiment of 56% and a bearish sentiment of 44% [4] - The NZD/JPY pair shows a bearish sentiment of 60% and a bullish sentiment of 40% [4] - The USD/CNH pair has a bullish sentiment of 62% and a bearish sentiment of 38% [4]
美国有望在7月9日最后期限之前完成贸易协议,非美货币集体受提振,欧元买入信号强劲,美联储降息押注和赤字担忧拖累美指,美元疲态加剧,后市情绪如何?欢迎前往“数据库-嘉盛市场晴雨表”查看并订阅(数据每10分钟更新1次)
news flash· 2025-07-01 02:39
Group 1 - The U.S. is expected to finalize a trade agreement before the July 9 deadline, which is positively impacting non-U.S. currencies [1] - Strong buying signals for the Euro are noted, while concerns over Federal Reserve rate cuts and budget deficits are weighing on the U.S. dollar [1] - The overall sentiment in the market is shifting towards a weaker dollar as these factors unfold [1] Group 2 - The Hang Seng Index shows a bullish sentiment with 31% long positions and 69% short positions [3] - The S&P 500 Index has 74% long positions and 26% short positions, indicating a predominantly bullish outlook [3] - The Nasdaq Index reflects a strong bullish sentiment with 77% long positions [3] - The Dow Jones Index has 70% long positions, suggesting a positive market sentiment [3] - The Nikkei 225 Index shows a more balanced sentiment with 54% long and 46% short positions [3] - The German DAX 40 Index has 45% long positions and 55% short positions, indicating a slightly bearish outlook [3] Group 3 - In the forex market, the Euro to U.S. dollar pair has a significant long position of 87% [3] - The Euro to British pound pair shows a bearish sentiment with 35% long and 65% short positions [3] - The Euro to Japanese yen pair has a strong bullish sentiment with 92% long positions [3] - The Euro to Australian dollar pair also reflects a bullish sentiment with 92% long positions [3] - The British pound to U.S. dollar pair shows a bearish sentiment with 15% long and 85% short positions [3] - The British pound to Japanese yen pair has 27% long and 73% short positions, indicating a bearish outlook [3] - The U.S. dollar to Japanese yen pair is nearly balanced with 51% long and 49% short positions [3] - The U.S. dollar to Canadian dollar pair shows a bearish sentiment with 28% long and 72% short positions [3] - The U.S. dollar to Swiss franc pair has a strong bearish sentiment with only 9% long positions [3]
伊以局势降温,原油多头占比居高不下;市场传闻特朗普可能设立“影子美联储主席”,降息预期料支撑黄金,后市市场情绪如何?欢迎前往“数据库-嘉盛市场晴雨表”查看并订阅(数据每10分钟更新1次)
news flash· 2025-06-26 02:49
Group 1 - The situation between Israel and Palestine is cooling down, while the long positions in crude oil remain high [1] - Market rumors suggest that Trump may establish a "shadow Federal Reserve Chairman," which is expected to support gold due to anticipated interest rate cuts [1] Group 2 - The sentiment in various indices shows a significant disparity between long and short positions, with the Nasdaq index having 77% long positions and 23% short positions [3] - The S&P 500 index shows 27% long positions compared to 73% short positions, indicating a bearish sentiment [3] - The Dow Jones index has 69% long positions, suggesting a more favorable outlook compared to the S&P 500 [3] - The Hang Seng index shows a balanced sentiment with 55% long and 45% short positions [3] - The DAX 40 index has 53% long positions, indicating a slight bullish sentiment [3] Group 3 - In the forex market, the Euro/USD pair has 16% long positions and 84% short positions, reflecting a strong bearish sentiment [4] - The GBP/USD pair shows a contrasting sentiment with 84% long positions and 16% short positions [4] - The USD/JPY pair has 59% long positions, indicating a more balanced outlook [4]
鲍威尔重申不急于降息,中东局势暂时归于平静但仍不稳定,美国原油多头占比进一步走高,金价触底后有所反弹,黄金多头占比小幅回升,后市市场情绪如何?欢迎前往“数据库-嘉盛市场晴雨表”查看并订阅(数据每10分钟更新1次)
news flash· 2025-06-25 02:37
Group 1 - Federal Reserve Chairman Powell reiterated that there is no urgency to cut interest rates, indicating a cautious approach to monetary policy [1] - The situation in the Middle East has temporarily stabilized but remains unstable, which could impact market sentiment and oil prices [1] - The proportion of long positions in U.S. crude oil has increased, suggesting bullish sentiment among investors [1] Group 2 - Gold prices have rebounded after hitting a low, with a slight increase in the proportion of long positions in gold [1] - Market sentiment remains uncertain, and further developments in geopolitical situations and economic indicators will be closely monitored [1] Group 3 - The data on various indices shows a significant disparity between long and short positions, with the S&P 500 having 34% long and 66% short positions, while the Dow Jones has a near-even split at 49% long and 51% short [3] - In the foreign exchange market, the Euro/USD pair shows a strong bearish sentiment with 15% long and 85% short positions, while the GBP/USD pair has a contrasting bullish sentiment with 84% long and 16% short positions [3]
中东局势信号混杂,特朗普宣布“叫停”伊以冲突,而双方交火仍在持续,黄金多头占比回落,美油多头占比大增,后市市场情绪如何?欢迎前往“数据库-嘉盛市场晴雨表”查看并订阅(数据每10分钟更新1次)
news flash· 2025-06-24 02:48
Group 1 - The Middle East situation shows mixed signals, with Trump announcing a "halt" to the Israel-Palestine conflict while clashes continue between both sides [1] - Gold bullish positions have decreased, while bullish positions in WTI crude oil have significantly increased, indicating a shift in market sentiment [1] Group 2 - The Hong Kong Hang Seng Index shows a bullish position of 51% compared to 49% bearish, while the S&P 500 Index has 27% bullish and 73% bearish positions [3] - The Nasdaq Index has a strong bullish sentiment at 70%, with 30% bearish, while the Dow Jones Index shows 75% bullish and 25% bearish [3] - The Nikkei 225 Index has a near-even split with 53% bullish and 47% bearish positions, while the German DAX 40 Index shows 54% bullish and 46% bearish [3] Group 3 - In the forex market, the Euro/USD pair has a dominant bullish position of 87% against 13% bearish, while the Euro/GBP pair shows 32% bullish and 68% bearish [3] - The Euro/JPY pair has a very low bullish sentiment at 5%, with 95% bearish, and the Euro/AUD pair shows 9% bullish and 91% bearish [3] - The GBP/USD pair has 17% bullish and 83% bearish positions, while the GBP/JPY pair shows 28% bullish and 72% bearish [3] - The USD/JPY pair has a bullish sentiment of 59% against 41% bearish, while the USD/CAD pair shows 70% bullish and 30% bearish [3] - The USD/CHF pair has a strong bullish position at 89% compared to 11% bearish [3]
美国正式“下场”,中东形势突变,黄金跳空高开后逐步回落,地区局势是走向停火还是升级?后市市场情绪如何?欢迎前往“数据库-嘉盛市场晴雨表”查看并订阅(数据每10分钟更新1次)
news flash· 2025-06-23 02:45
Group 1 - The U.S. has officially engaged in the Middle East situation, leading to a significant shift in regional dynamics, with implications for market sentiment and potential outcomes of either ceasefire or escalation [1] - Gold prices experienced a gap up before gradually retreating, indicating market volatility in response to geopolitical developments [1] Group 2 - The Hong Kong Hang Seng Index shows a bullish sentiment of 72% compared to 28% bearish, while the S&P 500 Index has 29% bullish and 71% bearish sentiment [3] - The Nasdaq Index reflects a strong bullish sentiment at 76% against 24% bearish, whereas the Dow Jones Index has 43% bullish and 57% bearish sentiment [3] - The Nikkei 225 Index has a bullish sentiment of 40% and bearish sentiment of 60%, while the German DAX 40 Index shows 38% bullish and 62% bearish sentiment [3] Group 3 - In the forex market, the Euro/USD pair has a bullish sentiment of 24% and bearish sentiment of 76%, while the Euro/GBP pair shows 31% bullish and 69% bearish [4] - The Euro/JPY and Euro/AUD pairs both exhibit a strong bearish sentiment at 95% [4] - The GBP/USD pair has a bullish sentiment of 25% and bearish sentiment of 75%, while the GBP/JPY pair shows 27% bullish and 73% bearish [4]
美油多头情绪反弹 后市市场情绪如何?
news flash· 2025-06-19 02:36
Group 1 - The sentiment for WTI crude oil has rebounded, indicating a shift in market dynamics [1] - The Federal Reserve has maintained its current interest rates for the fourth consecutive time, which may influence market sentiment [1] - Reports suggest that former President Trump privately approved plans for military action against Iran, adding geopolitical tension to the oil market [1] Group 2 - The market sentiment index from GAIN Capital shows a significant percentage of bullish sentiment towards various indices, including the FTSE China A50 at 11% bullish and 89% bearish [3] - The S&P 500 index shows a bearish sentiment of 72%, while the Dow Jones index has a more balanced sentiment with 46% bullish and 54% bearish [3] - In the currency market, the Euro/USD pair has a strong bullish sentiment at 70%, while the Euro/JPY pair shows a significant bearish sentiment at 90% [3]