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美联储理事库格勒辞职,交易员加大美联储9月降息押注,现货黄金多头占比达60%。后市情绪如何?欢迎前往“数据库-嘉盛市场晴雨表”查看并订阅(数据每10分钟更新1次)。
news flash· 2025-08-04 02:46
Group 1 - The resignation of Federal Reserve Governor Christopher Waller has led traders to increase bets on a rate cut by the Fed in September, with a significant shift in market sentiment towards gold [1] - The current sentiment in the gold market shows that 60% of positions are long, indicating bullish sentiment among traders [1] Group 2 - The Hang Seng Index shows a bullish sentiment with 71% long positions, while the S&P 500 Index has 26% long positions [3] - The Nasdaq Index has 40% long positions, and the Dow Jones Index has 70% long positions, reflecting varying levels of investor confidence [3] - The Nikkei 225 Index has 37% long positions, while the German DAX 40 Index shows a more balanced sentiment with 56% long positions [3] Group 3 - In the forex market, the Euro/USD pair has 34% long positions, while the Euro/GBP pair has 23% long positions, indicating a bearish outlook [3] - The Euro/JPY pair has only 18% long positions, and the Euro/AUD pair shows a very low 5% long positions, suggesting strong bearish sentiment [3] - The GBP/USD pair has 70% long positions, indicating a bullish outlook, while the GBP/JPY pair has 53% long positions [3] - The USD/JPY pair has 35% long positions, and the USD/CAD pair is nearly balanced with 49% long positions [3] - The USD/CHF pair has a very low 12% long positions, indicating a strong bearish sentiment [3]
特朗普签署行政令,确定对多个贸易伙伴的关税为10%-41%不等。美元指数录得今年来首个月线涨幅。市场正在等待7月非农报告,当前各交易品种多空情绪如何?欢迎前往“数据库-嘉盛市场晴雨表”查看并订阅(数据每10分钟更新1次)。
news flash· 2025-08-01 02:34
Group 1 - The core point of the news is that President Trump signed an executive order establishing tariffs ranging from 10% to 41% on multiple trade partners, which has influenced market sentiment and the dollar index [1] - The dollar index recorded its first monthly increase of the year, indicating a shift in market dynamics [1] Group 2 - The market is currently awaiting the July non-farm payroll report, which is expected to provide further insights into economic conditions [1] - Various trading instruments are showing mixed bullish and bearish sentiments, as indicated by the data from the "Gainscope Market Barometer" [1]
金十图示:2025年07月31日(周四)投机情绪指数
news flash· 2025-07-31 00:51
Group 1 - The data indicates a significant presence of long positions in various currency pairs, with notable percentages such as 74.65% long in USD/CAD and 71.35% long in GBP/USD [2][3] - The short positions are relatively lower, with the highest being 56.68% short in EUR/AUD, indicating a potential bearish sentiment in that pair [3][4] - The overall sentiment across multiple currency pairs shows a trend towards long positions, with pairs like EUR/USD showing 47.6% long and 52.4% short, suggesting a balanced outlook [3][4] Group 2 - The data reflects a mixed sentiment in the forex market, with some pairs like AUD/JPY showing a long position of 67.87% and a short position of 32.13% [4] - The analysis of the currency pairs indicates a strong preference for long positions in major currencies, which may influence trading strategies [2][3] - The overall market dynamics suggest that traders are leaning towards bullish strategies in several key currency pairs, as evidenced by the high percentages of long positions [2][3]
金十图示:2025年07月28日(周一)投机情绪指数
news flash· 2025-07-28 00:41
Group 1 - The data indicates a bullish sentiment in various currency pairs, with significant percentages favoring long positions over short positions [2][3][4] - The Euro to US Dollar pair shows a long position of 56.75% compared to 43.25% for short positions, indicating a strong bullish outlook [3] - The Australian Dollar to Japanese Yen pair has a long position of 21.34% against 78.66% for short positions, suggesting a bearish sentiment [4] Group 2 - The New Zealand to US Dollar pair has a long position of 87.34%, indicating a very strong bullish sentiment [2] - The Euro to British Pound pair shows a significant short position of 71.31%, reflecting a bearish outlook [3] - The Euro to Australian Dollar pair has a long position of 12.89%, while the short position is at 87.11%, indicating a strong bearish sentiment [3]
美关税大限迫近,多国展开最后冲刺谈判;乌克兰爆发全国性反政府抗议活动,为俄乌冲突以来首次。当前美油继续释放卖出信号,黄金多头占比持续占优,后市情绪如何?欢迎前往“数据库-嘉盛市场晴雨表”查看并订阅(数据每10分钟更新1次)。
news flash· 2025-07-24 02:57
Group 1 - The U.S. is approaching a deadline for tariffs, prompting multiple countries to engage in last-minute negotiations [1] - Nationwide anti-government protests have erupted in Ukraine, marking the first such occurrence since the onset of the Russia-Ukraine conflict [1] - Current market signals indicate continued selling pressure on WTI crude oil, while gold remains favored by bullish sentiment [1] Group 2 - The Hang Seng Index shows a bullish sentiment of 32% and bearish sentiment of 68% [3] - The S&P 500 Index has a bullish sentiment of 37% and bearish sentiment of 63% [3] - The Nasdaq Index reflects a bullish sentiment of 55% and bearish sentiment of 45% [3] - The Dow Jones Index indicates a strong bullish sentiment of 81% and a bearish sentiment of 19% [3] - The Nikkei 225 Index shows a bullish sentiment of 82% and bearish sentiment of 18% [3] - The DAX 40 Index has a bullish sentiment of 84% and bearish sentiment of 16% [3] Group 3 - In the forex market, the Euro/USD pair has a bullish sentiment of 14% and bearish sentiment of 86% [3] - The Euro/GBP pair shows a bullish sentiment of 14% and bearish sentiment of 86% [3] - The Euro/JPY pair has a bullish sentiment of 7% and bearish sentiment of 93% [3] - The Euro/AUD pair indicates a bullish sentiment of 18% and bearish sentiment of 82% [3] - The GBP/USD pair shows a strong bullish sentiment of 79% and bearish sentiment of 21% [3] - The GBP/JPY pair has a bullish sentiment of 25% and bearish sentiment of 75% [3] - The USD/JPY pair reflects a bullish sentiment of 37% and bearish sentiment of 63% [3] - The USD/CAD pair shows a bullish sentiment of 22% and bearish sentiment of 78% [3] - The USD/CHF pair indicates a strong bullish sentiment of 93% and bearish sentiment of 7% [3]
金十图示:2025年07月24日(周四)投机情绪指数
news flash· 2025-07-24 00:43
Group 1 - The data indicates a significant presence of long positions (N) compared to short positions (v) across various currency pairs, suggesting a bullish sentiment in the market [2][3][4] - The Euro to US Dollar (EUR/USD) pair shows a long position percentage of 85.95%, indicating strong bullish sentiment [3] - The Australian Dollar to Japanese Yen (AUD/JPY) pair has a near-even split with 49.25% long and 50.75% short positions, reflecting a more neutral market outlook [4] Group 2 - The New Zealand Dollar to US Dollar (NZD/USD) pair has a long position percentage of 68.82%, indicating a strong bullish sentiment [2] - The British Pound to US Dollar (GBP/USD) pair shows a close split with 51.23% long and 48.77% short positions, suggesting a balanced market view [2] - The Euro to Australian Dollar (EUR/AUD) pair has a long position percentage of 69.2%, indicating a bullish outlook [3]
鲍威尔面临刑事指控,白宫表态特朗普无计划解雇鲍威尔;俄乌新一轮谈判计划明日举行,以色列对胡塞武装发动大规模空袭。当前黄金多空相持,美油卖出信号显现,后市情绪如何?欢迎前往“数据库-嘉盛市场晴雨表”查看并订阅(数据每10分钟更新1次)。
news flash· 2025-07-22 02:49
Group 1 - Powell faces criminal charges, while the White House states that Trump has no plans to dismiss Powell [1] - New round of negotiations between Russia and Ukraine is scheduled for tomorrow, indicating ongoing geopolitical tensions [1] - Israel has launched large-scale airstrikes against Houthi forces, reflecting regional conflicts [1] Group 2 - Current market sentiment shows a stalemate in gold trading, with signals indicating potential sell-off in WTI crude oil [1] - The sentiment in various indices shows a mixed outlook, with the S&P 500 at 71% bullish and 29% bearish, while the Nasdaq is evenly split at 50% [3] - In the foreign exchange market, the Euro against the Dollar shows a significant bearish sentiment at 77% [3]
金十图示:2025年07月22日(周二)投机情绪指数
news flash· 2025-07-22 00:45
Group 1 - The data indicates a strong bullish sentiment in various currency pairs, with significant percentages favoring long positions over short positions [2][3][4]. - The Euro to US Dollar (EUR/USD) pair shows a bullish sentiment of 85.13% long versus 14.87% short, indicating a strong preference for long positions [3]. - The Australian Dollar to Japanese Yen (AUD/JPY) pair has a near-even split with 48.25% long and 51.75% short, suggesting a more balanced market sentiment [4]. Group 2 - The New Zealand Dollar to US Dollar (NZD/USD) pair has a long position percentage of 62.78% compared to 37.22% short, reflecting a bullish outlook [2]. - The Euro to British Pound (EUR/GBP) pair shows a significant long position of 72.15% against 27.85% short, indicating strong bullish sentiment [3]. - The Euro to Australian Dollar (EUR/AUD) pair has a notable long position of 18.24% compared to 81.76% short, suggesting a bearish outlook [3].
金十图示:2025年07月21日(周一)投机情绪指数
news flash· 2025-07-21 00:44
Group 1 - The data indicates a significant presence of long positions in various currency pairs, with notable percentages such as 87.11% for NZD/USD and 85.36% for EUR/JPY [2][3] - Short positions are also present, with 58.64% for EUR/USD and 81.7% for EUR/AUD, indicating a mixed sentiment in the market [3][4] - The overall sentiment shows a preference for long positions in pairs like AUD/JPY (53.55% long) and GBP/JPY (51.55% long), suggesting bullish trends in these currencies [4][2] Group 2 - The data reflects a diverse range of currency pairs, with varying levels of long and short positions, highlighting the complexity of market dynamics [2][3] - The percentages indicate a strong inclination towards long positions in major pairs, which may suggest investor confidence in those currencies [3][4] - The presence of both long and short positions across different pairs indicates potential volatility and trading opportunities in the forex market [2][3]
【UNFX课堂】日本大选前夕:日元面临多重压力,美元/日元或将“起飞”
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-07-18 08:46
Group 1 - The upcoming Japanese Senate election is casting a long shadow over the financial market, with both Japanese government bonds (JGBs) and the yen (JPY) showing signs of unease due to political uncertainty, fiscal policy pressures, and the slow shift in the Bank of Japan's (BoJ) monetary policy [1][2] - The ruling coalition of the Liberal Democratic Party and Komeito is facing potential instability, with polls indicating they may not secure a majority of 125 seats, which could lead to leadership changes or an unstable coalition government, raising concerns about Japan's ability to navigate complex trade negotiations and coherent fiscal policies [2] - Various political parties have made popular but market-unfriendly promises during the campaign, such as consumption tax cuts and expanded childcare support, which could exacerbate Japan's already significant debt burden, making it one of the most indebted developed economies globally [2] Group 2 - The yen has been underperforming recently, acting as a reluctant substitute in the G10 currencies, with the euro and Swiss franc gaining favor as safe-haven assets, as evidenced by a 6% rise in the euro/yen since June [3] - The current environment of fiscal concerns and U.S. trade headwinds is eroding the yen's credibility, leading to a situation where the market no longer instinctively turns to the yen during dollar declines [3] - If the election results in chaos, such as a divided parliament, the USD/JPY could potentially breach psychological levels of 150, driven by the prevailing uncertainty [4] Group 3 - Long-term prospects may shift if the BoJ raises interest rates in October due to persistent inflation, while the Federal Reserve may lower rates in December, leading to a rapid change in macroeconomic trends [5] - Seasonal dollar weakness could see the USD/JPY retreat to around 140 by the end of the year, suggesting that the current perceived weakness of the yen could serve as a springboard for future rebounds, especially if the BoJ tightens policy while the Fed loosens [5]