Core Viewpoint - The company reported a significant decline in 2024 revenue due to delays in defense product deliveries, but showed a recovery in Q1 2025 with a notable increase in revenue and profitability [1][4]. Financial Performance - In 2024, the company achieved revenue of 1.3 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 41%, primarily due to delays in defense product deliveries. However, revenue from civilian products reached 760 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 29% [1]. - The net profit attributable to shareholders for 2024 was -210 million yuan, a shift from profit to loss, mainly due to delayed defense product deliveries and increased R&D investments [1]. - For Q1 2025, the company reported revenue of 310 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 33% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 21%. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 960,000 yuan, marking a return to profitability [1]. Profitability Analysis - In 2024, the company's gross margin was 9.8%, a decrease of 6.9 percentage points year-on-year, while the net margin was -15.9%, a decline of 19 percentage points year-on-year, primarily due to delays in defense product deliveries [1]. - In Q1 2025, the gross margin improved to 19.2%, an increase of 6.6 percentage points year-on-year, and the net margin was 0.4%, an increase of 4.5 percentage points year-on-year, indicating a rapid recovery in profitability [1]. Expense Analysis - The expense ratio for 2024 was 26.2%, an increase of 11.7 percentage points year-on-year. The breakdown includes a sales expense ratio of 0.7%, a management expense ratio of 12.9%, a R&D expense ratio of 13.1%, and a financial expense ratio of -0.52% [2]. Industry Insights - The defense sector is experiencing rapid advancements in information technology and increasing demand for precision-guided munitions. The company is a leader in this niche market with high product barriers [2]. - The company possesses strong core technology in laser-guided munitions and is actively expanding into infrared, television, radar, and composite guidance technologies, anticipating a continuous release of demand as the penetration of precision-guided weapons increases [2]. - The optical materials and components industry is seeing a shift towards China, with the company’s subsidiary covering the entire industry chain from materials to infrared lenses, holding a global market share of approximately 15% and a Chinese market share of about 30% [3]. Investment Outlook - The company is expected to achieve revenues of 2.3 billion yuan, 3 billion yuan, and 3.8 billion yuan from 2025 to 2027, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 28%. The net profit attributable to shareholders is projected to be 80 million yuan, 110 million yuan, and 140 million yuan during the same period, with a CAGR of 31% [4].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" with a target price set for the next six months [7][18]. Core Views - The company reported a revenue of 10.36 billion in 2024, a year-on-year decrease of 10.6%, and a net profit of 640 million, down 52.2% year-on-year, primarily due to price adjustments by key model customers [1]. - The company is focusing on high-value areas in aviation, with commercial aviation revenue exceeding 1 billion, a 71% increase year-on-year, and a growing market share in key aviation models [2]. - The company is actively expanding into new fields such as civil aviation, commercial engines, aerospace, and deep-sea markets, with a long-term goal of achieving stable growth [4]. Financial Performance - In 2024, the comprehensive gross margin was 23.7%, down 7.59 percentage points year-on-year, and the net profit margin was 7.4%, down 5.84 percentage points year-on-year [1]. - The company’s revenue forecast for 2025 is 11.51 billion, representing an 11% year-on-year growth, with net profit expected to reach 1.26 billion, a 97.57% increase [5][6]. - The company’s operating cash flow was negative 80 million in 2024, a significant decline from 700 million in the previous year, primarily due to difficulties in sales collections [3]. Business Segmentation - The forging and casting business generated 8.27 billion in revenue, down 11.5% year-on-year, while the hydraulic and environmental control business achieved 1.84 billion, down 7.3% year-on-year [2]. - The company’s focus on research and development is evident, with a R&D expense ratio of 6.5%, supporting technological innovation and industry upgrades [3]. Future Outlook - The company aims to achieve a revenue of 11.5 billion in 2025, with a profit target of 1.3 billion, indicating a strong growth trajectory [4][5]. - The company is building a comprehensive material research and regeneration system, which is expected to enhance long-term profitability by potentially reducing material costs [4].