Investment Rating - The report assigns an "Accumulate" rating for the industry [1] Core Insights - The report highlights a continued upward trend in liquid argon prices, while rare gases are experiencing low price fluctuations. The weekly operating load rate for China's industrial gas sector has slightly increased. Notable events include the commissioning of a 45,000 standard cubic meters per hour oxygen air separation unit by Messer in Xichang and a strategic cooperation agreement between Shaanxi鼓 Group and Dalian Hope Group [3][4] Summary by Sections Price Trends - Liquid argon has an average price of 859 RMB/ton, showing a 3.62% increase week-on-week and a 26.13% increase year-on-year. In contrast, liquid oxygen and liquid nitrogen prices have decreased by 3.3% and 1.6% respectively [4][6] - Rare gases show varied price movements: high-purity helium in bundles remains stable, while bottled high-purity helium (40L) increased by 0.89% week-on-week. Xenon and krypton prices have decreased by 3.08% and remained stable respectively [4][6] Operating Load Rates - The average weekly operating load rate for China's industrial gas sector is reported at 69.72%, reflecting a slight increase of 0.03 percentage points [4][7] Important Events - Messer has successfully commissioned a new large air separation unit in Xichang, increasing its total oxygen production capacity in the region to over 100,000 standard cubic meters per hour. Additionally, Shaanxi鼓 Group has entered into a strategic cooperation agreement with Dalian Hope Group [4][6]

Investment Rating - The report assigns an "Accumulate" rating for the mechanical industry [1] Core Insights - The report highlights that the weekly operating load rate of China's industrial gas sector has increased on a month-on-month basis. Additionally, Hangzhou Oxygen Plant has established an industrial fund focusing on investment opportunities in low-temperature deep cooling technology and controllable nuclear fusion [3][4] - Liquid argon continues its upward trend, while the average price of rare gases remains low and fluctuates. The average weekly operating load rate for industrial gases in China is reported at 69.69%, reflecting a month-on-month decrease of 1.63 percentage points [3][5] Summary by Sections Price Trends - Liquid oxygen has an average price of 422 RMB/ton, down 2.54% month-on-month but up 4.46% year-on-year. Liquid nitrogen is priced at 412.5 RMB/ton, down 4.6% month-on-month and down 5.5% year-on-year. Liquid argon is priced at 829 RMB/ton, up 7.94% month-on-month and up 15.85% year-on-year [5][6] Key Events - Hangzhou Oxygen Plant has announced the establishment of a venture capital partnership with a total subscribed capital of 1 billion RMB, focusing on industrial gases, low-temperature deep cooling technology, controllable nuclear fusion, and innovative energy power equipment [5][6] - Messer's new technology center in Chengdu has officially opened, equipped for demonstration, testing, and training across four core areas: welding and cutting, combustion technology, food and beverage, and water treatment [5][6] Company Recommendations - Recommended stocks include Hangzhou Oxygen Plant and Shaanxi鼓动力, with related stocks being Zhengfan Technology, Fostar, and Zhongtai Co., Ltd. [5][6]

Market Overview - The mechanical equipment, electric equipment, and automotive industry indices experienced weekly changes of +3.52%, +0.53%, and +1.74% respectively, ranking 7th, 22nd, and 15th among 31 Shenwan first-level industries; during the same period, the CSI 300 index changed by +1.38% [2] Industry Insights Photovoltaics - The silicon material market showed a decline in sentiment, with the main contract for polysilicon dropping by 4.09% to a closing price of 4.40; the market had anticipated the implementation of storage-related funds and review matters in September, but these expectations have not materialized, negatively impacting market sentiment [3] - The expected output for September is 125,000 tons (equivalent to 65-66 GW), which is a slight decrease compared to August; the decline in silicon material prices is attributed to limited production cuts and weak downstream component demand [3] Industrial Gases - Overall industrial gas prices saw a weekly decline; as of September 11, 2025, the average price of liquid oxygen in China was 478 RMB/ton (down 3.2% from the previous week), liquid nitrogen was 451 RMB/ton (down 2.5%), and liquid argon was 609 RMB/ton (up 1.16%); rare gases showed stable prices [4] - The short-term decline in gas prices is mainly due to improved operational efficiency of air separation equipment and insufficient short-term demand from the steel and coal chemical industries; the industrial gas sector is currently at a cyclical low, with potential for a reversal due to supply optimization [4] Automotive - In the first week of September, the retail market for passenger vehicles saw a year-on-year decline of 10%, while the retail of new energy vehicles decreased by 3%, aligning with the typical transition between the end and beginning of the month; retail sales for passenger vehicles reached 304,000 units, a 10% decrease year-on-year [5] - The decline in the new energy vehicle market was less severe than the overall market, with retail sales of 181,000 units, down 3% year-on-year; the automotive market is expected to maintain rapid growth due to promotional activities and the upcoming sales peak in September and October [5]

Group 1: New Materials Industry Outlook - The new materials sector is expected to continue its growth due to increasing demand from China's manufacturing industry and the integration of technologies like artificial intelligence [1] - The domestic new materials sector is anticipated to gradually enter a prosperous cycle driven by domestic substitution and recovery in downstream demand, maintaining a "stronger than the market" investment rating [1] Group 2: Semiconductor Materials - Global semiconductor sales reached $59.91 billion in June 2025, marking a year-on-year increase of 19.6% and a month-on-month increase of 1.5%, continuing a 20-month streak of year-on-year growth [1] - China's semiconductor sales amounted to $17.24 billion, with a year-on-year growth of 13.1% and a month-on-month growth of 0.8%, also achieving 20 consecutive months of year-on-year growth [1] - The U.S. has revised export regulations, imposing stricter controls on AI chip sales and EDA software exports to China, highlighting the urgent need for self-sufficiency in the semiconductor supply chain [2] Group 3: Superhard Materials - In July, China's exports of superhard materials and products increased by 2.29% year-on-year to 15,100 tons, while export value decreased by 13.31% to $14.5 million [3] - The average export price of superhard materials fell by 15.25% year-on-year to $9.58 per kilogram [3] - The traditional superhard materials sector is facing pressure due to weak global demand, but advancements in functional diamond technology are opening new applications in semiconductor, military, and optical fields [3] Group 4: Specialty Gases - As of August 27, 2025, prices for rare gases showed a slight decline, with helium priced at 614 RMB per bottle (-3.07%) and xenon at 24,500 RMB per cubic meter (-3.56%) [4] - The semiconductor industry continues to drive demand for specialty gases, with integrated circuit production increasing by 15% year-on-year in July 2025 [4] - However, the production of optical fibers has decreased, which may limit the demand for helium [4]

Group 1 - The new materials sector outperformed the CSI 300 index, with a rise of 12.30% as of August 27, compared to the CSI 300's 7.62%, marking a 4.68 percentage point advantage [1][2] - The new materials index ranked 5th among 30 CITIC first-level industries in terms of performance [2] - The trading volume of the new materials sector reached 1,946.153 billion yuan, reflecting a month-on-month increase of 15.59% [1][2] Group 2 - Basic metal prices mostly increased in August, with copper rising by 1.01%, aluminum by 1.00%, and lead by 1.17% [2] - Global semiconductor sales continued to grow year-on-year, with a total of 59.91 billion USD in June 2025, representing a 19.6% increase [2] - China's semiconductor sales reached 17.24 billion USD, showing a year-on-year growth of 13.1% [2] Group 3 - In July, the export volume of superhard materials and products increased by 2.29% to 15,100 tons, while the export value decreased by 13.31% to 14.5 million USD [3] - The average export price of superhard materials fell by 15.25% to 9.58 USD per kilogram [3] - Rare gas prices saw a slight decline in August, with helium priced at 614 yuan per bottle, down 3.07% [3] Group 4 - The new materials sector maintains a "stronger than market" investment rating, with a TTM PE of 28.22, which is at the 99th percentile of historical valuations since 2022 [4] - The growth potential of the new materials sector is supported by increasing demand from domestic manufacturing and the integration of technologies like artificial intelligence [4][5] - The domestic new materials sector is expected to gradually enter a prosperous cycle driven by domestic substitution [5]

Core Viewpoint - Jiufeng Energy (605090.SH) is actively involved in providing specialized gases for the Hainan commercial space launch site, supporting high-density launch challenges with reliable product quality and technical expertise [1] Group 1: Company Involvement - The company has participated in the support services for the Long March 8 and Long March 12 rocket launch missions scheduled for July 30 and August 4, 2025, respectively [1] - Jiufeng Energy supplies liquid oxygen, liquid nitrogen, liquid hydrogen, and helium for the launch site [1] Group 2: Strategic Partnerships - The company has established a cooperation framework agreement with Shanghai Aerospace Equipment Manufacturing Co., Ltd., which is part of the China Aerospace Science and Technology Corporation [1] - Jiufeng Energy signed a procurement framework agreement for liquid nitrogen and helium with China Long March Rocket Co., Ltd. [1] - The company has also entered into a xenon gas supply contract with Chengdu Guoguang Electric Co., Ltd. and won a three-year helium and nitrogen supply project with Shanghai Space Propulsion Research Institute [1]

Core Viewpoint - The new materials sector is expected to continue its growth trajectory due to increasing demand from China's manufacturing industry and the integration of technologies like artificial intelligence, despite a recent decline in the new materials index's valuation [1][4]. Summary by Category Market Performance - As of April 29, 2025, the new materials index decreased by 4.22%, underperforming the CSI 300 index, which fell by 2.89%, resulting in a 1.33 percentage point lag [2]. - The new materials index ranked 23rd among 30 major industry sectors in terms of performance [2]. Price Trends - Basic metal prices saw a general decline in April 2025, with notable decreases in copper (-3.52%), aluminum (-2.90%), lead (-2.96%), zinc (-4.51%), tin (-9.02%), and nickel (-4.74%) [2]. - Rare gas prices experienced slight declines in April 2025, with helium priced at 655 RMB per bottle (-0.27%), xenon at 27,000 RMB per cubic meter (-3.99%), neon at 120 RMB per cubic meter (-4.00%), and krypton at 275 RMB per cubic meter (-8.92%) [3]. Export Data - In March 2025, exports of superhard materials and products increased by 32.22% year-on-year, totaling 14,000 tons, while export revenue decreased by 9.35% to 14.4 million USD [3]. - The average export price for superhard materials fell by 31.44% to 10.35 USD per kilogram [3]. Valuation Metrics - The price-to-earnings ratio (PE) of the new materials index as of April 29, 2025, was 22.94, reflecting an 11.57% decrease from the previous month and positioning it at the 53.90 percentile of historical valuations since 2022, indicating a reasonable valuation for the sector [1][4]. Future Outlook - The new materials sector is anticipated to enter a prosperous cycle driven by domestic demand recovery and the push for domestic alternatives, maintaining an investment rating of "stronger than the market" [1][4].

下游制造业需求回升，氧气价格连涨 5 周 ——工业气体周度跟踪 [Table_Invest] 评级： 增持 上次评级: 增持 | [table_Authors] 肖群稀(分析师) | 张越(分析师) | | --- | --- | | 0755-23976830 | 0755-23976385 | | xiaoqunxi027589@gtjas.com | zhangyue025639@gtjas.com | | 登记编号 S0880522120001 | S0880522090004 | 本报告导读： 大宗气体氧气、氮气、氩气周度环比上涨，下游冶金、机械制造和新材料等行业用 氧有所增加，气体价格有望持续回升。 投资要点： GO-1》2025.03.11 机械行业《深圳打造具身智能机器人先锋城市， 工程机械 2 月迎开门红》2025.03.10 机械行业《氧气价格连续 4 周上涨，需求持续向 好》2025.03.09 机械行业《深圳：打造具身智能机器人先锋城 市》2025.03.09 机械行业《Optimus 出镜特斯拉宣传视频，智元 将发布首个通用具身基座模型》2025.03.09 股 票 研 究 证 券 ...