"双11"大促价格再创新低，这是最近三年白酒的"习惯性"遭遇，但是今年又有点不一样。 11月11日，南都湾财社-酒水新消费指数课题组记者注意到，今年"双11"期间，虽然部分白酒价格持续 下跌，但是有产品尤其是头部名酒，出现了自今年"618"大促后降不动价的情况。 据了解，有白酒产品降不动价，除了大促补贴"常态化"、消费端需求结构变化外，还与酒企的强硬稳价 有关。今年"双11"大促开始，白酒企业先后发布各种"官方认证"购酒渠道通知，对冲平台降价。业界认 为，酒企认真挺价背后，是通过维护产品价盘，助力经销商更好地清库存。 部分白酒继续"新低价"，但有的产品已经"降不动"了 每次线上大促来临，价格就往下掉，这是白酒的普遍表现，包括今年的"双11"大促也是如此，尤其在电 商"百亿补贴"常态化，以及即时零售带着"神券"入局，虽然消费者能用更好的价格买到酒，但酒企也为 此"捏一把汗"。 南都湾财社记者在电商和即时零售平台中了解到，对比上期"618"大促，不少白酒尤其是名酒，在"双 11"大促中出现价格下降的情况。 例如千元价格带的君品习酒，在电商平台百亿补贴后最低已跌至589元/瓶，平均价格约620元/瓶，而在 即时零售 ...

Core Viewpoint - The rise of "open bottle" and "open cap" liquor products during the "Double Eleven" shopping festival has led to various consumer issues, prompting Guizhou Xijiu to issue a statement denying responsibility for the quality of these products [1][16]. Group 1: Company Actions - Guizhou Xijiu announced it will no longer provide inspection and after-sales services for open bottle, open cap, and bare bottle products, thus not assuming quality guarantee responsibilities [1][3]. - The company defined open bottle and open cap products as those with damaged original packaging or opened caps, while bare bottles refer to products sold without their original packaging [3][16]. Group 2: Market Dynamics - Despite the company's statement, many merchants continue to sell low-priced open cap Xijiu products, with significant price discrepancies observed; for instance, a six-bottle pack of 53-degree 500ml Xijiu was priced at 379 yuan, while the official store listed it at 590 yuan, a difference of over 200 yuan [3][12]. - The proliferation of open bottle and open cap products is linked to liquor companies' "open bottle scan" red envelope policies, which incentivize consumers and distributors to increase sales through cash and points rewards [13][14]. Group 3: Consumer Risks - The existence of open bottle and open cap products raises concerns for both consumers and liquor companies, as these products can disrupt pricing systems, lead to price wars, and damage brand reputation due to potential quality issues [16][17]. - Consumers may mistakenly believe they are getting a bargain, but they risk purchasing inferior or counterfeit products, as the exposure to air can lead to spoilage, and the lack of traceability complicates accountability in case of issues [16][17].

Core Insights - The white liquor market has experienced a collective price decline since 2025, affecting both high-end and mid-range products due to a cooling consumption environment and high inventory pressures [1][15][16] - The South China region, particularly the Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao Greater Bay Area, has shown significant price differentiation and a notable decline in retail prices for various white liquor products [1][2][3] Market Performance - More than half of the monitored products have seen a price drop since the beginning of the year, with high-end products being the most affected [2][15] - Among 21 monitored products, 15 experienced a decline in average retail prices, with only 4 showing slight increases and 2 remaining stable [2][3] - The most significant price drop was observed in Feitian Moutai, which fell from approximately 2624 CNY to 2368 CNY, a decrease of 256 CNY [2][3] Price Trends by Product - Feitian Moutai's market price has dropped significantly, with current prices ranging from 2100 to 2400 CNY per bottle, marking a decline of over 15% from its peak [3][15] - Other products in the thousand CNY price range, such as the eighth generation Wuliangye and Guojiao 1573, also saw price reductions, with the eighth generation Wuliangye dropping by 110 CNY [10][15] - Mid-range products like Yanghe Dream Blue M6+ and Guotai Guobiao also experienced price declines, although to a lesser extent compared to high-end products [4][10] Regional Price Dynamics - In Guangzhou, 17 out of 21 products saw price declines, with Feitian Moutai dropping from 2648 CNY to 2305 CNY [7][8] - Shenzhen's market showed a downward trend in retail prices, although some products had inflated prices due to high-end retail channels [9][10] - Dongguan's market exhibited significant price fluctuations influenced by seasonal demand and promotional activities, with Feitian Moutai's price dropping to 2299 CNY during peak sales periods [12][13] Inventory and Market Conditions - The white liquor industry is currently in a deep adjustment phase, with high inventory levels leading to price pressures across all product categories [15][16] - Approximately 60% of companies are facing price inversion, particularly in the 800 to 1500 CNY price range, which is experiencing the most significant downward pressure [15][16] - The average inventory turnover days have increased to 900 days, indicating a challenging market environment for producers [15][16] Future Outlook - The market is expected to continue facing challenges as companies balance between maintaining prices and expanding market share [17][18] - The introduction of new statistical methods and the inclusion of additional cities like Foshan in price monitoring may provide a clearer picture of market dynamics moving forward [20][21]

Core Insights - The 618 shopping festival has concluded, leading to varied price movements in the white liquor market, with some products experiencing price increases while others continue to decline [1][2][3] Price Trends in Major Cities - In Guangzhou, among 21 sampled white liquor products, 9 saw a decrease in average retail price, while 8 experienced an increase, and 4 remained unchanged [2] - Notably, high-end products like Moutai and Guojiao 1573 have seen price drops, with Moutai's average retail price falling to approximately 2304 RMB, a decrease of about 100 RMB from the previous period [2][3] - In Shenzhen, Moutai's average retail price is reported at 2298.5 RMB, with a notable decline in several high-end products due to ongoing market pressures [7][10] - East Dongguan's market shows a mixed trend, with 9 products increasing in price and 5 decreasing, highlighting the volatility in high-end liquor pricing [12][13] Online vs. Offline Pricing - Online platforms, particularly instant retail channels, are showing lower prices compared to offline supermarkets, with Moutai priced at 2229 RMB online, which is about 75 RMB lower than the overall average [3][8] - The price discrepancies between online and offline channels are significant, with products like Junpin Xijiu and Qinghua Lang being sold for much lower prices online compared to their offline counterparts [3][8] Impact of Regulatory Changes - The ongoing "ban on alcohol" has significantly impacted sales, particularly in high-end segments, leading to price reductions as businesses attempt to stimulate demand [9][10] - The combination of the 618 festival and regulatory changes has created a challenging environment for liquor companies, as they navigate maintaining sales volume and pricing stability [1][17] Summary of Average Prices - The average prices for key products as of July 4th are as follows: - Moutai: 2367.62 RMB [19] - Wuliangye: 1010.27 RMB [19] - Junpin Xijiu: 833.17 RMB [20] - Qinghua Lang: 943.11 RMB [20] - Guojiao 1573: 993.42 RMB [20]