Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [4] Core Views - The company achieved a revenue of 1.764 billion yuan in the first half of 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 15.1%, with a net profit attributable to shareholders of 188 million yuan, up 4.6% year-on-year [6] - The company focuses on enhancing the proportion of mid-to-high-end products in its sanitary napkin series to optimize profitability, with significant growth in its health product series [6] - The company is expanding its market presence by deepening its core advantages in key regions and accelerating e-commerce channel development [6] - The company has increased its brand promotion efforts, leading to a slight rise in sales expense ratio [6] - Future growth is expected as the company continues to innovate and expand its product matrix, particularly in the health product category [6] Financial Summary - Revenue projections for the company are as follows: 2,144 million yuan in 2023, 3,254 million yuan in 2024, 4,079 million yuan in 2025, 5,012 million yuan in 2026, and 6,026 million yuan in 2027, with respective growth rates of 33.0%, 51.77%, 25.35%, 22.88%, and 20.22% [5] - Net profit attributable to shareholders is projected to be 238 million yuan in 2023, 288 million yuan in 2024, 373 million yuan in 2025, 485 million yuan in 2026, and 622 million yuan in 2027, with growth rates of 27.21%, 20.74%, 29.78%, 29.88%, and 28.25% respectively [5] - The company's earnings per share (EPS) are expected to increase from 0.55 yuan in 2023 to 1.45 yuan in 2027 [5] - The return on equity (ROE) is projected to rise from 17.18% in 2023 to 36.55% in 2027 [5]

Summary of Conference Call Records Industry Overview - The conference call discusses the food and beverage industry, focusing on various segments including alcoholic beverages, dairy products, snacks, and health products. Key Points and Arguments Alcoholic Beverages - The liquor sector, particularly the baijiu segment, shows strong resilience despite price fluctuations due to alcohol bans and online activities. Leading companies maintain price stability through channel power and policy adjustments, warranting attention to marginal fundamental changes in baijiu [1][4] - Other alcoholic beverages like beer, yellow wine, and pre-mixed drinks also exhibit high gross margins, typically between 40% to 60% [5] - The market share of pre-mixed drinks, such as those from Baijiu Holdings, has increased despite fierce competition, currently reaching 80% to 90% [6] Dairy Products - The dairy industry faces challenges due to reduced demand for social visits during the pandemic, leading to a lack of consumption scenarios. An increase in dairy cow inventory has resulted in oversupply, with smaller brands capturing market share through lower prices [7] - Price wars are intensifying, with retail prices for fresh milk and yogurt declining since 2021. Major brands like Yili and Mengniu maintain high margins on premium products, but ordinary products see margins drop to 20%-30% [7] Snack Industry - The snack sector is evolving with the rise of offline snack chains and online platforms like Douyin, creating new opportunities. However, consumers are highly price-sensitive, leading to reduced willingness to pay premiums [8] - Companies with high industrial efficiency and low costs, such as Salted Fish and Three Squirrels, are gaining market share by focusing on cost-effectiveness [8][9] Health Products - The health product sector is competitive, with customers willing to pay premiums for innovative products. Brands with new formulations and strong marketing capabilities can achieve higher premiums, while traditional brands like Tongrentang face challenges due to limited innovation [12] Consumer Behavior and Pricing - Consumers exhibit a willingness to pay higher prices for premium products in both self-satisfying and social contexts. Brands in the liquor sector, such as Moutai and Wuliangye, maintain high gross and net profit margins despite market fluctuations [4] - The willingness to pay for premium products is decreasing in the snack and health sectors, prompting leading companies to adapt their strategies [11] Investment Opportunities - Investment in the liquor sector is recommended, particularly in companies like Baijiu Holdings and Kweichow Moutai, which are currently undervalued [15] - The snack sector shows high growth potential, with companies like Wei Long and Salted Fish expected to maintain strong growth rates [15][16] - In the dairy sector, companies like New Dairy and Yili are highlighted for their innovative products and expected margin improvements [16] Emerging Trends - The pet economy is rapidly growing, with significant contributions from younger generations. Companies are expanding their presence in this market through new store openings and product offerings [17] - Health and personal care products are increasingly focusing on safety and health attributes, with brands like Weigao Medical leading in market share [18] Other Important Insights - The differentiation between "self-satisfying" (悦己消费) and "social" (悦人消费) consumption is emphasized, with the former relying on emotional needs and high-frequency repurchase, while the latter depends on cultural IP and seasonal demand [14][22] - Companies are encouraged to leverage technology and consumer trends to enhance user retention and product value [22]

国泰海通发布研报称，居民基础物质需求已很大程度上满足，对个性化、情感属性的需求持续增加。近 年来该行看到美妆个护等品类的产品创新加速，在细分化、功效化、文化及情绪溢价等方向出现新的产 品迭代。美护板块为内需成长代表性板块，结构性机会突出，看好美妆个护公司产品创新下的长期成长 性，建议布局具备产品创新能力、受益赛道红利的标的：1)个护板块：推荐新渠道助力产品创新的公 司;2)美妆及医美板块：成分创新和情感价值下细分赛道有望高景气度的标的。 国泰海通主要观点如下： 美护悦己属性强、对新需求变化敏感度高，成为新消费主力赛道，带动多品类国货份额快速提升 从品类属性看，该行认为美护悦己需求较强，决定了其具备较高附加值、高毛利率，相应品牌商对消费 者需求变化的敏感度高，产品创新相对多，当下阶段以抖音为代表的内容电商渠道变化助力新产品快速 放大，因此在美妆、个护领域不断有新大单品驱动带来品牌及公司高增的结构性机会。国货品牌在产品 创新、新渠道布局上较外资品牌更加灵活高效，在本轮变化中份额持续提升，据欧睿数据测算，2021- 2024年我国护肤、彩妆、婴童护理、口腔护理、卫生巾等品类份额分别提升6.1pct、4.9pct、2 ...