《有机硅、R134a 价格上行，持续关注反 内卷 ——基础化工行业周报（2025.11.8- 2025.11.14）》 [Table_Rating] 增持（维持） [◼Table_Summary] 市场行情走势 ——2025 年 11 月 20 日 《磷化工景气高涨，持续关注反内卷 —— 基 础 化 工 行 业 周 报 （2025.11.1- 2025.11.7）》 | [行业Table_Industry] : | 基础化工 | | --- | --- | | 日期: | shzqdatemark 2025年11月25日 | | [Table_Author] 分析师: | 于庭泽 | | SAC 编号: | S0870523040001 | | 分析师: | 郭吟冬 | | SAC 编号: | S0870525110001 | [Table_QuotePic] 最近一年行业指数与沪深 300 比较 ——2025 年 11 月 11 日 《VE、VA 涨幅居前，超高分子量聚乙烯进 展积极 ——基础化工行业周报 （2025.10.25-2025.10.31）》 ——2025 年 11 月 05 日 有机硅、MDI ...

Core Insights - The company achieved a record production of 234,000 tons of caustic soda in the first three quarters of the year, with a profit increase of 38.55 million yuan year-on-year [1] - The company is focusing on digitalization and intelligent management to enhance operational efficiency and profitability, moving from monthly to daily profit calculations [1][3] Production and Sales Coordination - The company developed an automatic profit calculation system to optimize product structure and sales strategies based on real-time data analysis [2] - The marketing department emphasizes efficiency and responsiveness to market fluctuations, particularly in the volatile pricing of caustic soda and liquid chlorine [2] Safety and Risk Management - The company invested 19.79 million yuan in transforming its caustic soda and hydrogen peroxide systems to achieve "zero manual" operations, enhancing safety through real-time monitoring [3][4] - A comprehensive safety information system has been established, integrating risk monitoring and management mechanisms to improve overall safety performance [3][4] Lean Management and Operational Excellence - Lean management is viewed as a cultural approach to continuous improvement and waste elimination, with a focus on optimizing processes [4] - The company has achieved significant energy savings and operational efficiency, with a reported annual reduction of 4.5 million kilowatt-hours and a total benefit of nearly 10 million yuan [4] Integration of Party Building and Production - The company has integrated fine management as a core production strategy, achieving significant operational improvements [5] - Initiatives such as the "Risk Prevention Party Member Post" have been implemented to enhance safety and risk management through active participation of party members [5][6]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for several companies in the chemical industry, including Xinyangfeng, Senqilin, Ruifeng New Materials, Sinopec, Juhua, Yangnong Chemical, CNOOC, Tongkun, and Daotong Technology [10]. Core Viewpoints - The report highlights significant price increases in sulfur, sulfuric acid, and lithium battery electrolyte, suggesting a focus on import substitution, domestic demand, and high dividend opportunities [6][19]. - The chemical industry is currently experiencing a weak overall performance, with mixed results across different sub-sectors due to past capacity expansions and weak demand [22]. - The report emphasizes the potential for the glyphosate industry to enter a recovery phase, recommending companies like Jiangshan Co., Xingfa Group, and Yangnong Chemical [8][22]. - It suggests focusing on companies with strong competitive positions and growth potential, particularly in the lubricant additive sector and coal-to-olefins industry [22]. - The report also notes the impact of international oil price fluctuations on the chemical sector, with a recommendation to pay attention to companies benefiting from lower raw material costs due to declining oil prices [20][22]. Summary by Sections Chemical Industry Investment Suggestions - The report suggests monitoring the glyphosate industry for potential recovery, with a focus on companies like Jiangshan Co., Xingfa Group, and Yangnong Chemical [8][22]. - It highlights the importance of selecting stocks with good competitive dynamics and profitability, particularly in the lubricant additive and coal-to-olefins sectors [22]. Price Trends of Chemical Products - Significant price increases were noted for sulfur (10.77%), lithium battery electrolyte (10.53%), and sulfuric acid (9.09%) [19]. - Conversely, products like R22 saw a drastic price drop of 60.49%, indicating volatility in the market [19]. Market Dynamics - The report discusses the influence of geopolitical events, such as US sanctions on Russia, on international oil prices, which are expected to remain around $65 per barrel [20][24]. - It also mentions the mixed performance of the chemical industry due to varying demand across different sectors, with some areas like lubricants performing better than others [22].

Investment Rating - The report rates the chemical industry as "Outperforming the Market" [2] Core Views - The report highlights the decline in international oil prices and methionine prices, while prices for VA and VE have increased. It suggests focusing on sectors mentioned in the "14th Five-Year Plan," undervalued leading companies, the impact of "anti-involution" on supply, and electronic materials companies under the context of self-sufficiency [2][3][10] Summary by Sections Industry Dynamics - In the week of October 27 to November 2, among 100 tracked chemical products, 29 saw price increases, 39 saw declines, and 32 remained stable. 28% of products had month-on-month price increases, while 57% saw declines [10][34] - The average price of sulfuric acid, vitamin E, nitric acid, sulfur, and hydrochloric acid increased, while the prices of raw salt, acetic acid, coal tar, and methanol decreased [10][34] - International oil prices fell, with WTI crude oil futures closing at $60.98 per barrel, down 0.85%, and Brent crude at $65.07 per barrel, down 1.32% [10][35] Price Trends - Vitamin A prices rose to 62 CNY/kg, up 1.64% week-on-week, while vitamin E prices increased to 50 CNY/kg, up 8.70% week-on-week. Both products are experiencing tight supply conditions [36] - Methionine prices decreased to 20.3 CNY/kg, down 1.46% week-on-week, with production increasing to 16,600 tons [37] Investment Recommendations - As of October 31, the TTM P/E ratio for the basic chemical sector is 24.39, at the 72.21% historical percentile, while the P/B ratio is 2.21, at the 53.61% historical percentile. The oil and petrochemical sector has a TTM P/E of 12.40, at the 31.95% historical percentile [13] - The report recommends focusing on sectors supported by policies, undervalued leading companies, and sectors with potential for high demand recovery, such as fluorochemicals, agricultural chemicals, refining, dyes, polyester filament, and tires [13][10] - Specific stock recommendations include Wanhua Chemical, Hualu Hengsheng, Satellite Chemical, and others, with a focus on companies like Yangnong Chemical and Tongcheng New Materials [10][13]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the basic chemical industry, expecting the industry index to outperform the market index by over 10% in the next six months [32]. Core Insights - As of October 30, the Shenwan Basic Chemical Index increased by 2.0% over the past two weeks, outperforming the CSI 300 Index by 0.1 percentage points, ranking 9th among 31 Shenwan industries. Year-to-date, the index has risen by 25.4%, surpassing the CSI 300 Index by 5.7 percentage points, ranking 7th among 31 industries [5][12]. - Among the sub-sectors, five saw gains, with the agricultural chemical products sector up 3.9%, non-metallic materials up 2.4%, plastics up 1.9%, chemical products up 1.8%, and chemical raw materials up 1.5%. The chemical fiber and rubber sectors experienced declines of 0.4% and 0.2%, respectively [5][13]. - Of the 403 listed companies in the Shenwan Basic Chemical Index, 151 saw stock price increases, with notable gains from Daoshengtianhe (284.6%), Shangwei New Materials (40.7%), and Pioneer New Materials (40.5%). Conversely, 242 companies experienced declines, with significant drops from Xinong Co. (-24.9%), Shanshui Technology (-16.0%), and Brothers Technology (-13.0%) [5][14]. Summary by Sections Market Review - The Shenwan Basic Chemical Index has shown strong performance, with a year-to-date increase of 25.4% and a recent two-week increase of 2.0%, indicating robust market conditions [5][12]. Chemical Product Price Trends - Recent price movements include increases in hydrochloric acid (+4.37%), DMF (+0.64%), synthetic ammonia (+0.65%), and urea (+0.44%). Notably, dichloropropane saw a significant drop of -11.76% [20][21]. Key Industry News - The report highlights significant developments, including the construction of a biomass-based FDCA production line by China Chemical Engineering, marking a breakthrough in bio-based materials [5][26]. - BASF and Sinopec have established a mutual recognition framework for carbon footprint accounting methods, enhancing data trust between domestic and international enterprises [5][26]. Industry Weekly Perspective - The report discusses the challenges faced by the coal-based industry in the coal triangle region, which relies heavily on coal resources for economic development. The industry accounts for approximately 20.3% of the industrial GDP in the area, indicating a need for strategic planning towards decarbonization and alternative industry development [5][28]. - The report also notes that the refrigerant market has seen price increases due to supply constraints, benefiting companies like Sanmei Co. and Juhua Co., which reported significant profit growth in the first three quarters [5][28]. Recommended Stocks - The report suggests focusing on Sanmei Co. (603379) and Juhua Co. (600160) due to their strong market positions and growth potential in the fluorochemical sector [5][29].

Financial Impact and Performance - The bankruptcy of Shenyang Wax Chemical Co., Ltd. will not affect the company's existing business operations, as it has been excluded from the consolidated financial statements [3] - As of Q3 2025, the company reported a sales revenue of 4 billion CNY, with the polyether polyol product line still in the process of reaching its designed capacity [11][25] - The company has fully provided for impairment losses related to its long-term equity investments in Shenyang Wax Chemical [3] Strategic Direction and Future Plans - The company has no current plans for asset acquisitions but is focused on sustainable development and exploring new energy applications in the long term [4][5] - The company is committed to enhancing its product structure and technological upgrades to mitigate raw material price fluctuations [10] - The company is not planning to change its name to reflect a more central enterprise image, but it aims to contribute to local economic stability and development [16] Research and Development - The company invests several hundred million CNY annually in R&D, focusing on PVC paste resin and polyether polyol, with multiple patents and national-level technology awards [17][18] - The establishment of a joint R&D center with Beijing University of Chemical Technology aims to enhance product development and market expansion [18][28] Corporate Governance and Shareholder Relations - The company currently has no plans for a high-level management stock ownership program, but it has established a remuneration and assessment committee to align management interests with company performance [11] - The company maintains a stable cash reserve to manage operational fluctuations and optimize financing structures [19] Social Responsibility and Compliance - The company emphasizes social responsibility, engaging in community support and environmental sustainability initiatives [23][24] - The company is actively monitoring the administrative penalty situation and has stated that it has not significantly impacted its operations [26][27]

Core Viewpoint - The company, Shandong Huatai Paper Co., Ltd., has announced its third-quarter report for 2025, highlighting its financial performance and strategic investments in the chemical new materials sector through a joint venture with Huayou Holdings Group Co., Ltd. [8][12] Financial Data Summary - The third-quarter report for 2025 has been approved by the board of directors, confirming the authenticity and completeness of the financial information [2][9] - The financial statements for the period from January to September 2025 are unaudited, with no significant changes reported in major accounting data and financial indicators [3][6] Investment Overview - The company plans to establish a joint venture named Guangxi Huatai Huayou Chemical New Materials Co., Ltd., with a registered capital of RMB 669 million, where Huatai Chemical will contribute RMB 341.19 million (51%) and Huayou Holdings will contribute RMB 327.81 million (49%) [12][14] - The joint venture aims to leverage Huatai Chemical's technical and operational advantages in the chlor-alkali and fine chemical sectors, alongside Huayou's resource advantages, to expand into high-performance chemical new materials [14][37] Approval and Governance - The investment has been approved by the company's board and does not require shareholder meeting approval [12][14] - The joint venture will operate independently, with a governance structure that includes a board of directors composed of members nominated by both parties [30][32] Market Impact - The investment is expected to enhance the company's competitiveness and profitability by tapping into the growing demand for chlor-alkali products in the Guangxi region, which is strategically located near Southeast Asian markets [37] - The joint venture is anticipated to have no immediate adverse impact on the company's cash flow, with potential long-term benefits if it achieves stable profitability [37]

Market Performance - The basic chemical index increased by 2.14% from October 18 to October 24, while the CSI 300 index rose by 3.24%, indicating that the basic chemical sector underperformed the CSI 300 by 1.11 percentage points, ranking 15th among all sectors [1][2] - The top-performing sub-industries included other chemical fibers (6.42%), adhesives and tapes (5.75%), rubber additives (5.70%), other rubber products (5.32%), and polyurethane (5.21%) [1][2] Chemical Prices - The top five products with the highest weekly price increases were hydrochloric acid (Shandong) at 450.00%, liquid chlorine at 400.00%, hydrochloric acid (Jiangsu) at 50.00%, domestic vitamin E at 17.95%, and international sulfur at 12.31% [3] - The top five products with the largest weekly price declines included octanol (-7.63%), propylene (-6.92%), acrylic acid (-6.11%), domestic vitamin D3 (-5.88%), and domestic vitamin B6 (-5.74%) [3] Industry Dynamics - The "14th Five-Year Plan" aims to promote high-quality development in the chemical industry, with a focus on optimizing and upgrading traditional industries, enhancing competitiveness in global industrial division, and fostering emerging pillar industries such as new energy and new materials [4] - The National Development and Reform Commission emphasized the need to accelerate the effective improvement of traditional industries and reasonable growth in quantity, which could lead to the emergence of several trillion-level markets [4] Regulatory Updates - The Ministry of Ecology and Environment announced the 2026 quota plan for ozone-depleting substances, including a total production quota of 151,416 tons for HCFCs, with a reduction of 3,000 tons (-2%) for HCFC-22 compared to 2025 [5][6] - The plan also includes the allocation of production quotas for HFCs based on types, with no restrictions on HFC varieties [5][6] Investment Recommendations - Current investment focus includes the refrigerant sector, with potential price increases expected as the supply-demand balance is restored; recommended companies include Jinshi Resources, Juhua Co., Sanmei Co., and Yonghe Co. [7] - The chemical fiber sector is also highlighted, with recommendations for Huafeng Chemical, Xin Fengming, and Taihe New Materials [7] - Other sectors of interest include tire manufacturing (recommended companies: Sailun Tire, Senqilin, Linglong Tire) and agricultural chemicals (recommended companies: Yara International, Salt Lake Co., Xingfa Group, Yuntianhua, Yangnong Chemical) [7] - High-quality growth stocks to watch include Bluestar Technology, Shengquan Group, and Shandong Heda [7] Industry Rating - The basic chemical industry maintains an "overweight" rating [8]

Group 1: Industry Trends - The "14th Five-Year Plan" emphasizes technological self-reliance and the focus on new materials and autonomous industrial chains, highlighting high-quality development as a priority [2] - The National Development and Reform Commission aims to accelerate the development of strategic emerging industries such as new energy, new materials, and aerospace, potentially creating several trillion-level markets [2] - The report indicates that the chemical new materials industry is entering a period of accelerated domestic substitution, with opportunities in semiconductor materials and high-end engineering plastics [2] Group 2: Market Performance - During the week of October 20-24, 2025, the Shanghai and Shenzhen 300 Index rose by 3.24%, while the Shenwan Oil and Petrochemical Index increased by 4.33%, outperforming the market by 1.09 percentage points [3] - The Shenwan Basic Chemical Index rose by 2.14%, underperforming the market by 1.10 percentage points, with the oilfield services and other petrochemical sectors showing the highest gains [3] Group 3: Price Movements - Key price increases for the week included hydrochloric acid (19.05%), NYMEX natural gas (7.42%), and sulfur (6.57%), while significant price drops were seen in R22 (-21.69%) and propylene (-6.62%) [4][5] Group 4: Investment Recommendations - The supply side is expected to undergo structural optimization, with a focus on sectors with elastic and advantageous products, such as organic silicon and membrane materials [5] - The report suggests that domestic chemical enterprises are rapidly filling gaps in the international supply chain, driven by cost advantages and technological advancements [5] Group 5: Consumer Trends and Technological Development - New consumer trends are driving demand for health additives and sugar substitutes, with the food additive industry expected to expand due to supportive regulations [6] - The overall self-sufficiency rate of China's chemical new materials is about 56%, indicating a significant opportunity for domestic substitution in sectors like semiconductor materials and high-end additives [6]

Core Viewpoint - The company is expected to engage in daily related transactions in 2026, which are deemed necessary for its ongoing operations and are conducted under fair market principles [55]. Group 1: Company Overview - The company was established on November 6, 2006, with a registered capital of 222 million yuan and is located in the Shaanxi Province [1]. - The company operates in various sectors, including the manufacturing and sales of petroleum products, chemical products, and biomass fuel processing [1]. Group 2: Financial Performance - As of December 31, 2024, the company reported total assets of 4,282,273.55 million yuan and a net asset of 468,374.14 million yuan, with an asset-liability ratio of 89.06% [19]. - The company achieved a main business income of 106,926.74 million yuan and a net profit of 47,263.48 million yuan for the year 2024 [19]. Group 3: Related Party Transactions - The company has established various agreements with related parties, including supply agreements for raw materials and financial services, which are essential for its operations [38][40][44]. - The agreements are structured to ensure that pricing is determined based on government pricing, guidance, or market rates, ensuring fairness and transparency [41][42][51][53]. Group 4: Related Entities - The company has multiple subsidiaries and related entities, including Shenmu Fuyou, which is 55% owned by Shaanxi Coal and Chemical Industry Group, and reported total assets of 445,967.27 million yuan as of December 31, 2024 [2]. - Other related entities include Shaanxi Coal and Chemical Material Group and Shaanxi Hengyuan Investment Group, which also show positive financial performance and operational stability [7][23].