Report Summary Core View - The EIA's July oil supply report confirmed the production and demand situation in the US in June. After the decline in the oil price center, the resilience of US crude oil production was still evident, while the growth of demand was weaker than the seasonal level, and the demand for gasoline and diesel was at a five - year low for the same period. Due to the improvement of refining profits, the net input of refinery feedstock rebounded [3]. Specific Data - **Production**: In May, US crude oil production was 13.488 million barrels per day, a month - on - month increase of 24,000 barrels per day [3]. - **Demand**: In May, US petroleum product demand was 20.023 million barrels per day, a month - on - month increase of 110,000 barrels per day. Gasoline demand showed seasonal growth, with a month - on - month increase of 174,000 barrels per day, while diesel demand decreased by 94,000 barrels per day month - on - month [3]. - **Refinery Feedstock**: In May, the net input of refinery feedstock increased by 724,000 barrels per day month - on - month, getting out of the year - on - year slump from March to April [3].

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the impact of upcoming tariffs on oil prices and the easing of sanctions threats against Russia, highlighting the market's need for a risk premium due to potential secondary sanctions on countries importing Russian oil [1] Group 1: Tariffs and Oil Prices - Oil futures are fluctuating between slight increases and decreases as the tariff deadline approaches, with tariffs set to be implemented on August 7 [1] - The tariffs are expected to heighten concerns regarding oil demand, contributing to market volatility [1] Group 2: Market Analysis - Rystad Energy's report indicates that oil prices are supported by the need to maintain a risk premium for potential secondary sanctions against Russian oil importers for at least one week [1] - The anticipated weak economic growth and oil demand outlook is negatively impacting oil prices, primarily affecting the refined oil market [1]

Core Viewpoint - Oil prices are expected to trade within a narrow range this week, as the market has already priced in the anticipated increase in production by OPEC+ [1] Group 1: Market Expectations - OPEC+ is expected to agree on an increase of 411,000 barrels per day in August [1] - The supply from OPEC+ is under the control of investors, indicating a stable market environment [1] Group 2: Price Dynamics - Prices seem to have already absorbed the news of the production increase, suggesting limited short-term volatility [1] - A weaker dollar may extend any upward momentum in oil prices [1]

Group 1 - Oil prices are attempting to rebound after experiencing a sell-off due to easing tensions in the Israel-Iran conflict [1] - The market focus has shifted back to fundamentals, with traders questioning whether oil prices can regain upward momentum from current levels [1] - Prior to the recent escalation in conflict, oil prices had already been on an upward trend since April [1]

Core Viewpoint - Traders are taking profits, leading to a pullback in oil prices despite ongoing geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, with prices still supported by risk premiums related to Iran and weakened expectations for a nuclear deal with the U.S. [1] Group 1 - Oil futures have retraced some of the gains from the previous day due to profit-taking by traders [1] - The market remains influenced by geopolitical concerns, particularly those centered around Iran, which have contributed to a recent technical rebound in oil prices [1] - Expectations regarding the U.S. nuclear deal have diminished, adding to the complexity of the oil market dynamics [1]