回顧近期熱門窩輪表現，2025年12月17日上線的美團兩只牛證表現突出。其中摩根大通牛證（54408）在兩日後漲幅達9%，瑞銀牛證（56384）兩日後漲幅 更高達10%，而同期美團正股兩日累計上漲1.38%。可見這兩只牛證憑藉較高的Delta敏感度，實現了比正股更強的彈性放大，充分體現出窩輪產品在正股小 幅波動下的杠杆效應。 結合當前美團股價走勢及技術面狀態，我們精選4只高性價比窩輪及牛熊證標的供投資者參考。 認購證方面，國泰君安認購證（19998）擁有10倍杠杆，行使價106.98元 ，其溢價及引伸波幅均為同類最低，成本效率優勢明顯，適合追求低成本佈局的投 資者；摩根士丹利認購證（20964）杠杆9.5倍，行使價106.78元 ，溢價相對較低，流動性表現穩定，風險與彈性相對平衡。 【窩輪透視】美團中立信號下，選擇高杠杆還是低溢價窩輪更穩？ 上周五（19日）美團（03690）全日收報102.7元 ，單日上漲1.28%，成交額達52.26億元 。技術面方面，整體技術指標綜合信號為"中立"，信號強度9。從具 體指標來看，相對強弱指數（RSI）為58，處於中性區間；威廉指標呈現超買狀態，但信號為中立；MACD、布林 ...

Simon：大家好，歡迎來到今天的港股直播。我們先從市場行情入手，看看今天的大盤走勢，再分析一些相關個股的具體表現，同時也瞭解一下投資者的不 同看法。 1、恆指：投資者表示牛證過夜，收回價25278點。也有看跌投資者認為一浪底一浪需調整了，保守見25400，開熊。 Simon：首先來說恆生指數，在昨天略有上漲的情況下，今天（3日）恆生指數掉頭下跌，以收盤價計算，大概在25760點左右。今天下跌的時候，一些做短 線的投資者會選擇買入牛證，搏取過夜反彈；但與此同時，也有投資者認為，目前指數走勢呈現一浪低過一浪的態勢，可能還會繼續調整，所以選擇做空， 這都是比較正常的情況。其實現在大盤並沒有明顯的方向，從技術信號來看，買入信號有7個，賣出信號也同樣是7個，各占一半。這也是為什麼投資者會有 不同的操作，有人買熊證，有人買牛證，雙方都有自己的依據。這裏給大家參考一下支持位和阻力位，尤其是短線投資者，可能會將這些點位作為牛熊證收 回價的依據。 短線來看，支持位大概在25400點左右，如果跌破25400點，接下來可能會到24700點。當前指數在25760點，距離24700點有1000點左右的空間，而25400點距 離當前點 ...

Group 1 - The Hang Seng Index (HSI) is perceived by bullish investors as entering a slow bull market, with all stocks reaching new highs, targeting levels between 25,700 and 26,000 [1] - Bearish investors anticipate a short-term correction to fill the gap below, with a recovery price of 25,900 for overnight bear certificates [1] - Technical analysis indicates a high of 25,735 points, with 15 buy signals and 4 sell signals, suggesting a bullish trend [1] Group 2 - Meituan (03690.HK) is currently trading near the upper Bollinger Band at 134.6 HKD, with a buy signal and resistance levels at 137.7 HKD and 147.6 HKD [3] - The closing price is 134 HKD, with a call option exercise price of 178.98 HKD, indicating a potentially high entry point for investors [3] - Investors are advised to consider options with exercise prices closer to the current market price to mitigate risks associated with high exercise prices [3] Group 3 - Pop Mart (09992.HK) shows a weak recent trend, with a closing price near the middle Bollinger Band at 255.8 HKD and a buy signal, though not a strong buy [5] - Resistance levels are identified at 263 HKD and 273 HKD, with a call option exercise price of 225 HKD providing a defensive position for investors [5] - Investors are encouraged to compare the terms of options when selecting products to manage risk effectively [5] Group 4 - WuXi Biologics (02269.HK) is viewed positively with a strong buy signal, facing a resistance level at 31.1 HKD and 33.3 HKD [8] - Investors are optimistic about the stock's potential to break through the 30 HKD level, with a target price of 46 HKD [8] Group 5 - Hua Hong Semiconductor (01347.HK) is under observation for its structural stability, with a target price of 40.6 HKD [11] - The stock is currently showing a strong buy signal, indicating positive sentiment among investors [11] Group 6 - NIO Inc. (09866.HK) is experiencing a slight downward trend, with the stock price near the upper Bollinger Band at 38.99 HKD [14] - The stock maintains an overall upward trend with 14 buy signals and 6 sell signals, suggesting cautious optimism [14] - Resistance levels are set at 41.7 HKD and 47.3 HKD, while support levels are at 33.7 HKD and 29.9 HKD for put options [14]

Group 1 - Meituan's stock price has been under pressure, currently trading at 128.5 HKD, down 0.62%, with a clear bearish technical pattern [1] - The stock has formed a death cross as the 10-day moving average (MA10) at 134.59 HKD has fallen below the 30-day (MA30) at 136.09 HKD and the 60-day moving average (MA60) at 150.42 HKD [1] - The stock is oscillating between 122.6 HKD and 136.4 HKD, with a 5-day volatility of 13.3%, indicating significant market divergence [1] Group 2 - There are 19 sell signals, 2 neutral signals, and 2 buy signals, indicating a strong sell sentiment [2] - Key support levels are identified at 126.4 HKD and 125.5 HKD, with a second support at 118.2 HKD [2] - The average daily trading volume is 54.3 billion HKD, showing sufficient liquidity but heavy selling pressure remains [3] Group 3 - Recent bearish derivative products related to Meituan have surged over 30%, with notable gains in put options and bear certificates [5][6] - The performance of these products highlights the explosive potential of bearish derivatives in a declining market [6] - For investors anticipating a rebound, HSBC's call options provide a leverage of 9 times with a strike price of 143.3 HKD, suitable for technical rebounds [8] Group 4 - Bull certificates from Morgan Stanley offer a recovery price of 117 HKD with a leverage of 9.8 times, while another option has a lower recovery price of 115 HKD with a leverage of 7.9 times [10] - Bear certificates from UBS and Societe Generale provide leverage of 7.7 times and 7.5 times, respectively, with recovery prices above 143 HKD [10]