Core Viewpoint - The 2025 China Liquor Industry Development Seminar and the launch of new products from Xifeng Liquor were held in Baoji, emphasizing the importance of adapting to economic and demographic changes in the liquor industry [1][4]. Industry Insights - The liquor industry's adjustment is fundamentally a spiral development influenced by economic and population factors, necessitating a shift from self-directed to user-directed innovation to unleash emotional value in quality and brand culture [4]. - The current phase of the Chinese liquor industry is characterized by a combination of policy guidance, consumption upgrades, and industrial transformation, with changing consumption scenarios, user demands, and market competition [9]. Company Developments - Xifeng Liquor aims to connect the historical and future aspects of Chinese liquor through its unique value derived from three thousand years of uninterrupted heritage, focusing on new product innovation and quality upgrades [4]. - The company has committed to a "quality upgrade without price increase" promise, ensuring that the benefits of quality improvements reach every consumer [9]. - The launch event featured the unveiling of new products, including the upgraded "Old Green Bottle" and "Red Xifeng·Gongyuan 618," which emphasize cultural and quality empowerment through traditional craftsmanship [15][18]. Government and Local Support - Baoji city has implemented policies and allocated funds to support the liquor industry, resulting in a cluster of 24 liquor enterprises and 34 supporting companies, with Xifeng Group as the leading entity [5].

Core Viewpoint - The company West Fen Liquor aims to achieve a revenue target of 20 billion in three years, but faces significant challenges in reaching this goal due to past performance and market conditions [2][20]. Group 1: Revenue Goals and Historical Context - At the 2024 global dealer conference, West Fen Liquor's chairman Zhang Zheng reiterated the goal of "breaking through 20 billion" in revenue [2]. - In 2021, the company had previously set a target of achieving a minimum of 20 billion by the end of the 14th Five-Year Plan, but has not disclosed its revenue for the previous year [2][6]. - The company only recently surpassed the 10 billion revenue mark in 2023, making the goal of doubling revenue seem unlikely [2][20]. Group 2: Market Challenges and Product Confusion - The liquor industry is currently experiencing a contraction, with issues such as price cuts and high inventory levels affecting all players, including West Fen Liquor [7]. - There is significant confusion among consumers regarding the various product lines of West Fen Liquor, with many unable to distinguish between core and developed products [7][8]. - The reliance on a buyout model has led to a bloated product matrix, causing internal competition among similarly priced products [8][11]. Group 3: Pricing and Market Position - The flagship product, Hong Xifeng, is positioned in the 1,000 yuan price range, but market feedback indicates that it often sells below this price, leading to a serious price inversion [12][16]. - West Fen Liquor struggles with brand recognition outside its home province, making it less competitive against other well-known brands [16][18]. - The company has attempted to expand its market presence by adding 100,000 new retail outlets and establishing experience stores in major cities, but high-end and nationwide strategies require more time to develop [16][18]. Group 4: Marketing and Brand Image Issues - Recent marketing missteps, such as the "Sima Nan Head" incident, have damaged West Fen Liquor's brand image and highlighted its weak market control [18]. - The company has faced backlash from consumers due to poor marketing decisions, which have led to a decline in brand perception [18][21]. Group 5: Future Outlook and Growth Challenges - To achieve the 20 billion revenue target by 2028, West Fen Liquor would need to maintain an average annual growth rate of 14.87%, which is challenging given the industry's projected growth of only 5% [20][22]. - The company must address product confusion and restore its brand authority to avoid being trapped in a situation where it is recognized as a famous liquor but operates primarily in regional markets [20][22].

文 | 酒业内参 张奥 作为游离在主流外的老四大名酒，西凤酒又开始"画大饼"了？ 此前召开的西凤酒 2024 年度全球经销商大会上，西凤集团党委书记、董事长、股份公司 董事长张正明确了"三年突破 200 亿"的发展目标。 但值得注意的是，早在 2021 年末，西凤酒就曾放出过"要在十四五末实现保底 200 亿"的 豪言。如今已是规划的最后一年，虽然西凤酒尚未公布去年营收规模，但按照 2023 年才 刚刚迈过百亿大关的速度看，想翻倍可能性很小。 同时，经销商引发的"黄渤诉讼事件""司马南夹头酒风波"等，也让西凤酒多次陷入舆论困 境。 此时，张正再次喊起了口号，但愿意相信的经销商与投资者可能已经寥寥无几。 6 年来首次未公布营收， 董事长在藏什么？ 同样是"老四大名酒"，茅台、泸州老窖、汾酒早已迈入高端白酒头部，只剩西凤酒带着名 酒基因跌跌撞撞。 去年同期，西凤酒官宣 2023 年实现销售收入 103.4 亿元，同比增长 23% 。作为跨 过"百亿大关"后的第二年，西凤酒的业绩表现成为了行业关注的焦点。 然而，张正却并未透露具体销售数据，" 2024 年公司营收稳中有进，达到了预期目 标。"这也是他上任六年来第一 ...