徐科 任楠 贾少波 李博文 盛意 SAC：S0490517090001 SAC：S0490518070001 SAC：S0490520070003 SAC：S0490524080004 SAC：S0490525070006 SFC：BUV415 SFC：BUZ393 丨证券研究报告丨 公司研究丨点评报告丨洪城环境（600461.SH） [Table_Title] 2025H1 点评：归母业绩同比增 0.68%，资本开 支显著下行 报告要点 [Table_Summary] 洪城环境 2025H1 实现归母净利润 6.09 亿元，同比增长 0.68%；其中 2025Q2，公司实现归母 净利润 2.77 亿元，同比减少 1.56%。污水处理业务保持稳健增长，燃气接驳、工程业务下滑拖 累收入和毛利。2025H1 公司资本开支为 4.35 亿元，同比大幅减少（上年同期 11.1 亿元），利 于维持高分红比例。期待公用事业市场化改革持续推进，利于公司盈利性保障和现金流改善。 分析师及联系人 [Table_Author] 请阅读最后评级说明和重要声明 %% %% %% %% research.95579.com 1 洪城环 ...

Core Viewpoint - Chengdu Xingrong Environment Co., Ltd. has been assigned a long-term credit rating of AAA and a bond rating of AAAsti for its 2025 public offering of technology innovation corporate bonds, with a stable outlook [1][3]. Company Overview - Chengdu Xingrong Environment Co., Ltd. is the main water service operator in Chengdu, with significant regional monopoly advantages in water supply and sewage treatment [4][5]. - The company has a robust governance structure and experienced management team, contributing to its operational efficiency [4][16]. Financial Performance - The company reported total revenue of 90.49 billion yuan and a profit of 24.17 billion yuan for 2024, with a continuous increase in revenue and profit margins from 2022 to 2024 [8][14]. - As of March 2025, the company's total assets reached 491.79 billion yuan, with owner’s equity at 201.70 billion yuan [8][14]. Investment and Growth Prospects - The company plans to issue bonds up to 600 million yuan to repay maturing debts, indicating a strategy to manage its financial obligations effectively [4][5]. - Future projects in water supply and sewage treatment are expected to enhance the company's capacity and expand its business scale [4][5]. Industry Environment - The water industry in China is characterized by public service and regional monopoly, with the water supply sector being relatively mature while sewage treatment is still developing [11][12]. - The industry faces challenges such as low marketization and long water price adjustment cycles, but there is potential for growth in sewage treatment due to increasing urbanization and policy support [11][12]. Regional Economic Context - Chengdu's GDP is projected to grow by 5.7% in 2024, supported by a stable fiscal environment and increasing public budget revenues [14][15]. - The city aims to enhance its water resource management and infrastructure, with plans to construct and expand water treatment facilities to meet future demand [14][15].

Core Viewpoint - Lian Life Insurance has increased its stake in Jiangnan Waterworks to 5.03%, indicating a long-term investment strategy based on the company's value and the insurance firm's asset allocation needs [1][3]. Group 1: Shareholding Changes - Jiangnan Waterworks announced that Lian Life Insurance acquired a total of 46.9954 million shares, raising its ownership from 4.91% to 5.03%, with an increase of 0.12% [1][3]. - The increase in shareholding does not trigger a mandatory takeover bid, and the control of Jiangnan Waterworks remains unchanged, with Jiangyin Public Asset Management Co. and Jiangyin Public Utilities Group as the largest shareholders [3]. Group 2: Investment Rationale - Lian Life Insurance stated that the share increase is driven by its own asset allocation needs and the perceived value of Jiangnan Waterworks, funded by its own resources [3]. - There is a possibility of further increasing the stake in Jiangnan Waterworks within the next 12 months, subject to compliance with existing laws and regulations [3]. Group 3: Industry Trends - Public utility companies like Jiangnan Waterworks have become increasingly attractive to insurance capital, with a notable example being Great Wall Life's previous stake increase to 5.21% and then 6.38% [5]. - Jiangnan Waterworks reported a revenue of 1.533 billion yuan in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 12.39%, and a net profit of 402 million yuan, up 24.31% [5]. - The company's net profit has shown consistent growth from 195 million yuan in 2018 to 400 million yuan in 2024, with dividends increasing from 0.7 yuan to 1.12 yuan per share [5].

Core Viewpoint - Jiangnan Water's 2024 annual report shows significant growth in revenue and net profit, highlighting the company's focus on smart water management and urban water quality improvement [1][2] Financial Performance - The company's operating revenue reached 1.53 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 12.4% - The net profit attributable to shareholders was 402 million yuan, up 24.3% year-on-year - The net profit excluding non-recurring items was 404 million yuan, reflecting a 35.4% year-on-year increase [1] Business Operations - Jiangnan Water's main business includes the production and sale of tap water, drainage, and related water treatment services, along with engineering and drainage operations [1] - The company is actively involved in the construction of "zero-carbon water plants," focusing on carbon management, energy efficiency, clean energy utilization, and smart operations [1] Industry Trends - The development of smart water management is increasingly recognized as a key indicator of urban management intelligence, driven by policies promoting digital infrastructure and environmental protection [1] - The company is implementing a "Smart Water 2.0" plan, integrating IoT, big data, and AI to enhance operational capabilities and decision-making [2] Infrastructure Improvement - The company has successfully won bids for integrated operation and management projects for rainwater and sewage systems, addressing issues related to aging water supply networks [2] - Upgrading old pipelines is expected to reduce leakage, improve water quality stability, and lower energy consumption in urban water supply [2]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The company reported a total revenue of 9.049 billion yuan for 2024, representing a year-on-year growth of 11.9%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 1.996 billion yuan, with a year-on-year increase of 8.3%, which aligns with expectations [6] - The adjustment of sewage prices in Chengdu has significantly boosted sewage income, while the water supply and solid waste sectors are developing steadily [6] - The company has improved its cost control, resulting in an increase in gross profit margins across various segments [6] - Operating cash flow has steadily increased, and capital expenditure growth has slowed down [6] - The company maintains a dividend payout ratio of 28%, with an expected dividend yield of 2.62% [6] - The company is positioned as a state-owned platform for water and solid waste management in Chengdu, with potential for capacity expansion and improved free cash flow [6] Financial Data and Profit Forecast - Total revenue forecast for 2025 is 9.996 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 10.5% [5] - Net profit attributable to shareholders is projected to be 2.216 billion yuan for 2025, reflecting an 11.0% year-on-year increase [5] - Earnings per share are expected to be 0.74 yuan in 2025 [5] - The company’s gross profit margin is forecasted to be 41.0% for 2025 [5] - The price-to-earnings ratio is projected to be 10 for 2025 [5]