本报讯 （记者金婉霞）12月11日，港股创新药企云顶新耀有限公司（以下简称"云顶新耀"）宣布，其 全资附属公司云顶新耀医药科技有限公司已与海森生物医药有限公司（以下简称"海森生物"）签署两项 战略合作协议：商业化服务协议以及授权许可协议。两项协议将在财务与战略上形成显著协同效应，提 升现有商业化平台的运营效率，加快云顶新耀产品全生命周期、全渠道覆盖的商业化能力建设，同时为 公司在心血管疾病领域打造具有吸引力的业务版图。 目前，云顶新耀已成功建立起"科学及商业洞察驱动的医学、准入、市场、销售一体化协同"的商业化体 系。此次合作是云顶新耀强化全产业链布局的关键步骤，与该公司的长期发展战略高度契合，将进一步 提升核心竞争力，为未来价值持续提升奠定坚实基础。 截至目前，云顶新耀已经成功构建以开发高潜力蓝海市场的大单品商业化平台为基石、以自体生成 CAR-T平台与mRNA肿瘤治疗性疫苗平台的自主研发与临床转化为引擎的价值体系。其商业化大单品耐 赋康在2025年3季度销售额已突破10亿元，并促使公司上调全年营收预期。下一个确定性大单品艾曲莫 德有望于2026年上半年获批上市，共同推动公司盈利能力的跃升。 近阶段，云顶新耀 ...

EVER001：破局原发性膜性肾病，有望填补对因治疗空白EVER001 是一款针对原发性膜性肾病 （PMN）的新一代共价可逆BTK 抑制剂。该药物通过精准抑制B 细胞信号通路，从源头上减少致病性 自身抗体的产生。其疗效与安全性双优：疗效方面，EVER001 24 周时抗PLA2R 抗体降低超过93%，蛋 白尿缓解率达到80%，血清白蛋白提升27.4%；安全性方面，EVER001 治疗相关不良事件发生率可控， 多数为轻中度。整体来看，PMN 对因治疗药物临床尚属空白，EVER001 有望提供新的临床治疗选择。 艾曲莫德：UC 市场口服新星，黏膜愈合赋能潜力best-in-disease艾曲莫德是一款口服S1P 受体调节剂， 核心推进适应症为中重度UC。UC 在我国患者基数庞大，黏膜愈合已成为核心治疗目标。关键III 期研 究显示，艾曲莫德在诱导期起效迅速（12 周临床缓解率达27%），维持期疗效稳固（52 周临床缓解率 32%），并在亚洲人群中展现出卓越的黏膜愈合能力（52 周黏膜愈合率51.9%），具备best-in-disease 潜 力。其安全性良好，不良事件以轻中度为主，整体与安慰剂相当。艾曲莫德有望以 ...

[Table_scodeMsg1] 港股研究丨公司深度丨云顶新耀（01952.HK） [Table_Title] 云顶新耀深度系列报告（一）：自免肾病龙头 Biopharma，耐赋康+维适平塑造双增长极 %% %% %% %% research.95579.com 1 丨证券研究报告丨 报告要点 [Table_Summary] 云顶新耀是一家专注于创新药和疫苗研发、制造及商业化的生物制药公司。近年来逐步形成了 License-in 引进大单品、自研高门槛管线的双轮驱动格局。作为系列报告的第一篇，本篇报告 将聚焦公司引进的肾病、自免领域的大单品（耐赋康、EVER001、艾曲莫德等）。具体来说， 耐赋康在 IgA 肾病领域临床证据全面，或将成为基石疗法之一；EVER001 有望填补原发性膜 性肾病对因治疗空白；艾曲莫德黏膜愈合优势明确，强势切入中重度 UC 小分子口服药市场。 整体来看，公司重磅品种放量趋势显著，远期空间巨大，将持续夯实公司增长基石。 彭英骐 刘长洪 请阅读最后评级说明和重要声明 2 / 46 %% %% %% %% 分析师及联系人 [Table_Author] SAC：S049052403000 ...

Core Insights - The innovative drug Etrasimod (VELSIPITY) developed by the company for treating moderate to severe active ulcerative colitis (UC) has shown promising results in the ENLIGHT UC Phase III clinical study, published in The Lancet Gastroenterology & Hepatology [1][2] - The study demonstrated a mucosal healing rate of 51.9% and a complete normalization rate of 45.5% after 52 weeks of treatment, significantly higher than the current 24% rate among patients achieving mucosal healing [1][3] - Etrasimod is anticipated to reach peak sales of 5 billion yuan, positioning it as a key product alongside the company's existing offerings in the autoimmune disease sector [1][5] Study Details - The ENLIGHT UC study was a multicenter, randomized, double-blind, placebo-controlled trial involving 340 patients who had previously failed or were intolerant to standard treatments for UC [2][3] - Results indicated statistical significance and clinical relevance across all primary and secondary efficacy endpoints during both the 12-week induction and 40-week maintenance phases [2] Clinical and Market Implications - The increasing prevalence of UC in Asia, with an estimated 800,000 patients in China by 2024 projected to rise to nearly 1.5 million by 2031, highlights the urgent clinical need for effective treatments [3][4] - Etrasimod's mechanism as a high-selectivity oral S1P receptor modulator aligns with the core treatment needs for UC, offering advantages such as rapid onset of action and deep mucosal healing [4][5] - The drug has been recognized in clinical guidelines, being recommended as a first-line treatment for UC by the American Gastroenterological Association and the American College of Gastroenterology [4][5] Commercialization Progress - Etrasimod has received approvals in regions such as Macau, Singapore, and Hong Kong, with new drug applications (NDA) accepted in Taiwan and South Korea [5] - The company has initiated local production in Zhejiang, aiming for an annual capacity of 50 million tablets to ensure supply [5] - The NDA for Etrasimod in mainland China is expected to be approved by mid-2026, which will benefit domestic patients [5]

Group 1 - The company reported a revenue of RMB 446 million for H1 2025, representing a 48% year-on-year increase, with a significant reduction in non-IFRS losses by 31% [1] - The gross margin, excluding non-cash items, was 76.4%, and the cash reserves reached RMB 1.6 billion by the end of June 2025 [1] - Sales of the drug NAI Fukan reached RMB 303 million in H1 2025, an 81% increase year-on-year, with expectations for annual sales to reach RMB 1.2-1.4 billion [1] Group 2 - The drug NAI Fukan is the first targeted therapy for IgA nephropathy, successfully commercialized in mainland China in May 2024 and included in the medical insurance directory in November 2024 [1] - The company anticipates that NAI Fukan will be included in the KDIGO 2025 guidelines and the first IgA nephropathy guidelines in China [1] - Sales of the drug Yijia reached RMB 143 million in H1 2025, a 6% increase year-on-year, with a 37% increase in pure sales from core hospitals [1] Group 3 - The drug EVER001 (Hibutinin) is positioned as a potential best-in-class product, with positive results from ongoing clinical trials presented at the ERA 2025 conference [2] - The drug Aiqumide has completed a significant clinical study in Asia for moderate to severe ulcerative colitis and is expected to receive approval in mainland China by H1 2026 [2] - The company is leveraging its proprietary mRNA technology platform to develop globally competitive products, including personalized cancer vaccines [3] Group 4 - The mRNA-based cancer vaccine EVM16 completed its first patient dosing in March 2025, while EVM14 received FDA IND approval, marking a significant milestone for the company [3] - The company expects to complete preclinical milestones for its CAR-T project based on the mRNA technology platform in the second half of 2025 [3] - The revenue forecast for the company has been raised, with projected total revenues of RMB 1.738 billion, RMB 2.869 billion, and RMB 3.351 billion for 2025-2027 [3]

Core Viewpoint - The company reported a significant increase in revenue for the first half of 2025, driven by the inclusion of its product in the national medical insurance directory and deepening market penetration, indicating strong growth potential in the healthcare sector [1][2]. Group 1: Financial Performance - In the first half of 2025, the company achieved revenue of 446 million RMB, representing a year-on-year increase of 48% [1]. - The non-deductible net profit attributable to the parent company was -250 million RMB, showing a year-on-year reduction in losses of 59.44% [1]. Group 2: Kidney Disease Sector - The product "耐赋康" has been included in the national medical insurance directory since 2024, covering 29 provinces, with sales reaching 303 million RMB in the first half of 2025, an increase of 81% year-on-year [1]. - The product's sales in August alone reached 520 million RMB, with an expected annual revenue of 1.2 to 1.4 billion RMB, leading to anticipated operational profitability in the second half of 2025 [1]. - The clinical trial data for EVER001, a treatment for membranous nephropathy, shows significant reductions in anti-PLA2R antibodies and proteinuria, with a clinical remission rate exceeding 90% [1]. Group 3: Infection Sector - The product "依嘉" achieved revenue of 143 million RMB in the first half of 2025, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 37% [2]. - The company plans to initiate local production and expects to start medical insurance negotiations in 2026 [2]. - Combined revenue from "耐赋康" and "依嘉" is projected to be between 1.6 to 1.8 billion RMB in 2025 [2]. Group 4: Autoimmune Sector - "艾曲莫德" is positioned to become a key product for ulcerative colitis, having been included in the 2025 ACG clinical guidelines as a strongly recommended first-line treatment [2]. - The product has received approvals in multiple regions, with expectations for domestic approval in the first half of 2026 [2]. Group 5: Strategic Developments - The company has launched an AI+mRNA platform and achieved its first clinical results, with the personalized tumor vaccine EVM16 completing its first administration [3]. - The self-generating CAR-T project EVM18 is set to begin clinical trials by the end of 2025 after successful preclinical studies [3]. - The company invested 30.9 million USD in I-Mab, becoming its largest shareholder, which is a strategic move in the field of tumor immunotherapy [3]. Group 6: Revenue Forecast - The company forecasts revenues of 1.806 billion RMB, 3.396 billion RMB, and 5.380 billion RMB for 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, with growth rates of 155.63%, 87.98%, and 58.43% [3]. - The net profit attributable to the parent company is projected to be -486 million RMB, 146 million RMB, and 744 million RMB for the same years, with growth rates of -1.38%, 0.42%, and 2.12% [3].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company with a target price of HKD 73.6 per share, up from the previous target of HKD 59.15 [7]. Core Insights - The company has significantly raised its guidance for the drug Naisukan, expecting sales to reach RMB 12-14 billion in 2025, with continued high growth projected for 2026 at RMB 24-26 billion [2]. - The company reported a revenue of RMB 4.46 billion for the first half of 2025, marking a 48% year-on-year increase, with a notable reduction in non-IFRS losses by 31% [1]. - The company is focusing on innovative products with differentiated competitive advantages, particularly in the fields of anti-infection and kidney disease treatments [7]. Summary by Sections Naisukan Performance - Naisukan achieved sales revenue of RMB 3.03 billion in H1 2025, representing an 81% year-on-year growth, with August sales reaching RMB 5.20 billion [2]. - The drug was successfully commercialized in mainland China in May 2024 and included in the medical insurance directory in November 2024 [2]. Other Drug Developments - The drug Yijia generated revenue of RMB 1.43 billion in H1 2025, a 6% increase, with a 37% growth in direct sales to hospitals [3]. - EVER001 (Hibutinib) is showing promising clinical trial results, positioning it as a potential best-in-class product for broad-spectrum autoimmune kidney diseases [4]. Clinical Trials and Approvals - The drug Aiqumide has completed a significant clinical study in Asia and is expected to receive approval in mainland China by H1 2026 [5]. - The company is advancing its mRNA technology platform, with the EVM16 personalized cancer vaccine having completed its first patient dosing and EVM14 receiving FDA IND approval [6]. Financial Projections - The company has revised its revenue forecasts for 2025-2027 to RMB 17.38 billion, RMB 28.69 billion, and RMB 33.51 billion respectively, reflecting the strong performance of Naisukan and the anticipated approval of Aiqumide [7].

Group 1: Strategy and Market Outlook - The report suggests a strong allocation towards precious metals, particularly gold, and recommends overweighting Hong Kong stocks benefiting from potential Federal Reserve rate cuts, while maintaining positions in A-shares with a balanced focus on resources and technology growth [1][10] - The report highlights the acceleration of de-dollarization and challenges to the independence of the Federal Reserve, which may lead to increased demand for gold as a safe asset [8][9] Group 2: Motorcycle Industry Insights - The domestic large-displacement motorcycle penetration rate is continuously increasing, with significant growth potential for Chinese motorcycle manufacturers in the global market, particularly in large-displacement segments [2][12] - The report indicates that from 2020 to 2024, the sales of large-displacement motorcycles in China are expected to grow from approximately 140,000 units to 400,000 units, with a CAGR of 30% [13] - Exports are becoming a crucial growth driver for Chinese motorcycle manufacturers, with the export volume of motorcycles expected to increase significantly, particularly in the large-displacement category [14][15] Group 3: Company-Specific Analysis - Tengya Precision (301125.SZ) is expected to achieve a net profit of 44 million, 149 million, and 231 million yuan from 2025 to 2027, with corresponding PE ratios of 64.2, 18.9, and 12.2, indicating strong growth potential [5][22] - Zhongke Shuguang (603019.SH) is projected to have a net profit of 2.712 billion, 3.355 billion, and 3.762 billion yuan from 2025 to 2027, with a year-on-year growth of 41.9%, 23.7%, and 12.2% respectively [6][24] - The report emphasizes the robust growth of the AI and smart inspection business for Zeyu Intelligent (301179.SZ), with expected net profits of 222 million, 266 million, and 322 million yuan from 2025 to 2027 [37][39] Group 4: Investment Recommendations - Key recommendations include focusing on leading motorcycle manufacturers such as Chunfeng Power, Longxin General, and Qianjiang Motorcycle, which are expected to benefit from the growing global demand for large-displacement motorcycles [3][16] - The report suggests maintaining a "buy" rating for Tengya Precision, Zhongke Shuguang, and Zeyu Intelligent based on their growth prospects and market positioning [22][24][39]

Core Viewpoint - The company has demonstrated strong sales growth for its product, Naisfukang, following capacity expansion, leading to an upward revision of sales guidance and reflecting confidence in clinical data and commercialization capabilities [1][2] Group 1: Sales Performance - In the first half of 2025, the company's revenue increased by 48% year-on-year to 446 million RMB, with Naisfukang sales growing by 81% to 303 million RMB [1] - After capacity constraints were resolved, Naisfukang's sales surged to 522 million RMB in August, contributing to a total sales figure of 825 million RMB from January to August [1] - The management has raised the annual sales target for Naisfukang to 1.2-1.4 billion RMB, with total product sales expected to reach 1.6-1.8 billion RMB [1] Group 2: Financial Outlook - The company expects to achieve operational breakeven in the second half of 2025, earlier than previously anticipated [1] - The net loss for the first half of 2025 narrowed significantly by 61% to 250 million RMB, attributed to strong sales performance and stable SG&A expense ratios [1] Group 3: Product Pipeline and Future Prospects - The company is set to commercialize its third product, Aicuo Mod, which is anticipated to be approved in the first half of 2026 for ulcerative colitis, with a projected peak sales of 5 billion RMB [2] - The self-developed pipeline includes EVER001, targeting autoimmune kidney diseases, with global sales peak expected to exceed 10 billion RMB [2] - The company has revised its revenue forecasts for 2026-2027 upwards by 16-18%, reflecting optimism in operational expense ratios and potential catalysts in the pipeline [2] Group 4: Valuation and Investment Recommendation - The target price has been raised to 84 HKD from 72.5 HKD, corresponding to a 2.1 times revenue peak sales multiple [2] - The current valuation remains attractive, with multiple catalysts expected in the second half of 2025 and 2026, including product approvals and commercialization efforts [2]

Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating to the company, indicating an expectation of total returns exceeding the relevant industry over the next 12 months [3][12]. Core Insights - The company has experienced rapid sales growth following the resolution of capacity constraints, with sales for the first eight months of 2025 exceeding both the report's and market expectations. The management has raised sales guidance, reflecting strong confidence in clinical data and commercialization capabilities [2][7]. - The target price has been raised to HKD 84.00, representing a potential upside of 32.2% from the current price of HKD 63.55 [1][12]. Financial Performance Summary - Revenue for 2025 is projected at RMB 1,611 million, with a significant increase to RMB 2,951 million in 2026 and RMB 4,408 million in 2027, reflecting a growth trajectory [6][13]. - The company reported a net loss of RMB 160 million for 2025, with expectations of turning profitable by 2026 with a net profit of RMB 325 million [6][13]. - The gross profit margin is expected to stabilize around 70% in 2025, improving to 73% in 2026 and 74.5% in 2027 [6][13]. Sales and Market Dynamics - The company’s flagship product, Nanfukang, has seen sales growth of 81% year-on-year, with total sales expected to reach RMB 12-14 billion for the year, and potentially doubling to RMB 24-26 billion in 2026 [7][8]. - The company is also advancing its pipeline with promising clinical data, particularly for its third commercialized product, which is anticipated to achieve peak sales of RMB 5 billion [7][8]. Valuation and Future Outlook - The report utilizes a DCF model to arrive at a target price of HKD 84.00, based on optimistic revenue forecasts and improved operating expense ratios [8][12]. - The company is expected to achieve operational breakeven in the second half of 2025, earlier than previously anticipated [7][8].