有机构指出，随着政策发力，宏观环境稳中向好，资本市场改革持续深化推动金融行业基本面改善，同时券商信创 稳步推进，也将使金融IT公司收入逐步增长。此外，近期具备"革命性"的稳定币加速推进，重磅金融政策有望陆续发 布，金融IT板块或迎来布局机遇。 每日经济新闻 金融科技概念股走弱，指南针、银之杰跌超3%，同花顺、东方财富、恒生电子跌超2%。 受重仓股调整影响，金融科技相关ETF跌超2%。 | 代码 | 名称 | 现价 | | 涨跌 涨跌幅 ▲ | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 516100 | 金融科技ETF华夏 | 1.431 | -0.038 | -2.59% | | 159851 | 金融科技ETF | 0.871 | -0.021 | -2.35% | | 563670 | 金融科技ETF指数 | 0.939 | -0.023 | -2.39% | | 159103 | 金融科技ETF汇添富 | 0.928 | -0.021 | -2.21% | | 516860 | 金融科技ETF | 1.483 | -0.033 | -2.18% | | 159299 | 金融科 ...

Market Overview - The three major A-share indices experienced a pullback after initially rising, with the Shanghai Composite Index down 0.09%, the Shenzhen Component down 0.19%, and the ChiNext Index down 0.5% at midday [1] - The total trading volume in the Shanghai, Shenzhen, and Beijing markets reached 10,756 billion yuan, an increase of 195 billion yuan compared to the previous day, with over 3,500 stocks declining across the market [1] Sector Performance - AI applications, e-commerce, lithium mining, consumer electronics, stablecoins, solid-state batteries, and computing power sectors showed weakness [1] - In contrast, sectors such as superhard materials, coal, and non-ferrous metals performed strongly [1] ETF Performance - The non-ferrous metals sector led the ETF gains, with Wanji Fund's Industrial Non-Ferrous ETF and Huaxia Fund's Non-Ferrous Metals ETF rising by 2.48% and 1.41% respectively [1] - Cross-border ETFs were all in the green, with Invesco Great Wall Fund's Nasdaq Technology ETF, Huaxia Fund's Brazil ETF, and Huitianfu Fund's Nasdaq 100 ETF increasing by 1.76%, 1.7%, and 1.6% respectively [1] - Cash strategy ETFs were active, with Huaxia Fund's Cash Flow 500 ETF rising by 1.37% [1] Weak Sectors - The AI application sector saw a broad decline, with the Film and Television ETF, Online Consumption ETF, and Media ETF falling by 2.31%, 2.3%, and 1.89% respectively [1] - The gaming sector also declined, with the Gaming ETF down by 1.65% [1] - The financial technology sector showed negative performance, with the Financial Technology ETF from Huitianfu down by 1.63% [1]

Market Overview - Investors face a dilemma of holding stocks or cash during the upcoming National Day holiday, as A-shares will be closed while overseas markets remain open [1] - Historical data indicates a "post-holiday effect" in the A-share market, with a higher probability of a "post-holiday opening red" [1][2] - Over the past decade, the Shanghai Composite Index has generally performed better after holidays compared to before, with post-holiday gains often being more sustained during significant market rallies [1] A-share Performance Data - The table shows the performance of the Shanghai Composite Index before and after the National Day holiday from 2015 to 2024, highlighting the percentage changes [2] - The probability of the index rising post-holiday is 70% for the first trading day and 60% for the first five trading days [2] Hong Kong Market Insights - The Hong Kong market exhibits a "mid-holiday effect," with a tendency to rise during the National Day holiday, although the first trading day after the holiday may be weaker [5] - The Hang Seng Technology Index shows a higher probability of rising post-holiday, especially when the market is in an upward trend [5][6] Sector Performance Expectations - In the A-share market, sectors such as computer, beauty care, environmental protection, pharmaceutical biology, and automotive are expected to show strong performance in the five trading days following the holiday [8] - For the Hong Kong market, all sectors except comprehensive finance have an upward probability of over 60%, with consumer, high-beta, and growth sectors performing relatively well during the holiday [8][9] Investment Strategies - The report suggests focusing on "hard technology" sectors, including technology, chips, computing power, robotics, and artificial intelligence, as they are expected to lead market trends [11][13] - The "anti-involution" theme is highlighted, particularly in the battery and non-ferrous metals sectors, which are anticipated to benefit from policy catalysts and demand [13] - The report also emphasizes the potential of innovative pharmaceuticals, particularly in the Hong Kong market, due to favorable liquidity conditions and low valuations [14] Broader Market Trends - The report indicates that broad-based ETFs are likely to capture market trends effectively, with financial sectors such as brokerage firms expected to lead the charge [11] - The consumer sector is also highlighted as a key area of interest, especially during the holiday season, with significant inflows into consumer-focused ETFs [14]

Group 1 - The China Securities Financial Technology Theme Index (930986) has decreased by 5.01% as of September 23, 2025, with major declines in constituent stocks such as Zhongke Jincai (002657) down 9.49% and Hengbao Co., Ltd. (002104) down 8.96% [1] - The Financial Technology ETF Huatai (159103) has also fallen by 5.18%, currently priced at 0.95 yuan, but has seen a weekly increase of 0.70% as of September 22, 2025 [1] - The trading activity for the Financial Technology ETF Huatai is robust, with a turnover rate of 12.34% and a transaction volume of 35.5 million yuan, indicating active market participation [1] Group 2 - The 2025 Yunqi Conference will take place from September 24 to 26 in Hangzhou, focusing on topics such as large models, agent development, AI applications, and AI infrastructure [2] - The Fourth Global Digital Trade Expo will be held from September 25 to 29, 2025, in Hangzhou, showcasing innovations in AI, smart logistics, and digital travel, with AI as a core highlight [2] - Major forums during the conference will gather top technology experts to discuss the latest trends in AI, cloud computing, and industrial applications, along with the release of core technologies and new products [2] Group 3 - Huachuang Securities notes that the global competition in large models has shifted from a unipolar dominance to a multipolar landscape, with significant advancements in AI models like Grok-4 and domestic models such as DeepSeek-V3.1 [3] - The financial technology sector is highlighted for its resilience in a "strong liquidity" environment, benefiting from its technological attributes and the presence of internet brokerage firms, which enhance its elasticity during market fluctuations [3] - The Financial Technology ETF Huatai (159103) is positioned as a key player in the market, covering a wide range of sectors including internet brokerages, financial IT, AI applications, and cross-border payments, driven by both policy and technological advancements [3]

Group 1 - Financial technology concept stocks weakened in early trading, with notable declines including Zhihui Compass and Yinzhijie dropping over 6%, Tonghuashun down over 4%, and Dongfang Caifu and Sifang Jichuang falling over 3% [1] - The ETF tracking the CSI Financial Technology Theme Index fell over 2% due to market influences [1] Group 2 - The CSI Financial Technology Theme Index selects listed companies involved in financial technology products and services to reflect the overall performance of securities in this sector [2] - Institutions have indicated that with policy support, a stable macro environment, and ongoing capital market reforms, the fundamentals of the financial industry are improving, which will gradually increase the revenue of financial IT companies [2] - Recent advancements in "revolutionary" stablecoins and the anticipation of significant financial policies being released are expected to create investment opportunities in the financial IT sector [2]

Core Viewpoint - The analysis indicates that CITIC Securities possesses an excellent competitive moat within the industry, demonstrating good profitability, while its revenue growth is considered average. Overall, the stock price is deemed reasonable based on various fundamental dimensions [1]. Group 1 - The competitive moat of CITIC Securities is rated as excellent, suggesting strong market positioning and resilience against competitors [1]. - The company's profitability is characterized as good, indicating effective cost management and revenue generation strategies [1]. - Revenue growth is described as average, which may imply potential challenges in expanding market share or increasing sales volume [1].