有机构指出，随着政策发力，宏观环境稳中向好，资本市场改革持续深化推动金融行业基本面改善，同时券商信创 稳步推进，也将使金融IT公司收入逐步增长。此外，近期具备"革命性"的稳定币加速推进，重磅金融政策有望陆续发 布，金融IT板块或迎来布局机遇。 每日经济新闻 金融科技概念股走弱，指南针、银之杰跌超3%，同花顺、东方财富、恒生电子跌超2%。 受重仓股调整影响，金融科技相关ETF跌超2%。 | 代码 | 名称 | 现价 | | 涨跌 涨跌幅 ▲ | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 516100 | 金融科技ETF华夏 | 1.431 | -0.038 | -2.59% | | 159851 | 金融科技ETF | 0.871 | -0.021 | -2.35% | | 563670 | 金融科技ETF指数 | 0.939 | -0.023 | -2.39% | | 159103 | 金融科技ETF汇添富 | 0.928 | -0.021 | -2.21% | | 516860 | 金融科技ETF | 1.483 | -0.033 | -2.18% | | 159299 | 金融科 ...

周二的行情，继续牛！ 炒股就看金麒麟分析师研报，权威，专业，及时，全面，助您挖掘潜力主题机会！ （来源：木鱼ETF） 蛰伏已久的券商系、金融科技等ETF终于爆发了，加上市场连续两天成交破2.5万亿，"人气牛"有味道了！ 那么，这对行情有何影响、又会走多远？木鱼边复盘边分享，观点仅供参考！ "人气牛"回归，是给我们设定的"三股风"加码。我们分析指出，人民币资产为首的三股风向是市场做多的主要动力。对于非银金融看好，但主要是看保 险。而另外半壁的券商爆发是补上另外半边，"人气牛"有感觉了！ 谁在做多券商股？我们需要用更新的视角观察。 | 指数 | 涨跌幅 (%) | 成交额(亿) | 成交变化(%) | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 中证500 | 2.13 | 5717 | 13.27 | | 上证50 | 1.9 | 1800 | 6.18 | | 中证1000 | 1.43 | 5808 | 7.12 | | 沪深300 | 1.55 | 7254 | 15.04 | | 中证A500 | 1.68 | 10827 | 13.63 | | 国证2000 | 1.35 | 8557 | ...

12月29日，A股三大指数涨跌分化，沪指成功收涨，日线迎来"9连阳"，创下2025年以来最长连阳纪录！深成指、创指分别收跌0.49%、0.66%。市场人气维 持高位，成交2.16万亿元，连续两日突破2万亿元大关。 盘面上，商业航天题材强者恒强，人气居高不下。中国卫星、航天电子、航天发展等3股连续多日挺进A股成交额前十榜单，相关热门ETF——通用航空ETF 华宝（159231）收涨1.72%触及历史高点，军工ETF华宝（512810）上探1.69%再创逾3年新高。 数字货币概念盘中异动，金融科技及银行迅速逆袭，同类流动性最佳的金融科技ETF（159851）午后直线冲高，收涨1.08%四连阳，百亿银行ETF （512800）放量收涨0.98%。消息面，新一代数字人民币计量框架、管理体系、运行机制和生态体系将于2026年1月1日正式启动实施。 科技股大面积冲高回落，双拼"芯片+果链"的电子ETF（515260）、聚焦国产AI产业链的科创人工智能ETF华宝（589520）盘中均涨至2%左右，最终收涨逾 0.6%。不过主力攻势不减，电子及计算机行业主力净流入额分别为74.74亿元、48.35亿元，高居全行业（申万）第2 ...

12月29日，A股三大指数涨跌分化，沪指成功收涨，日线迎来"9连阳"，创下2025年以来最长连阳纪录！深成 指、创指分别收跌0.49%、0.66%。市场人气维持高位，成交2.16万亿元，连续两日突破2万亿元大关。 盘面上，商业航天题材强者恒强，人气居高不下。中国卫星、航天电子、航天发展等3股连续多日挺进A股成 交额前十榜单，相关热门ETF——通用航空ETF华宝（159231）收涨1.72%触及历史高点，军工ETF华宝 （512810）上探1.69%再创逾3年新高。 数字货币概念盘中异动，金融科技及银行迅速逆袭，同类流动性最佳的金融科技ETF（159851）午后直线冲 高，收涨1.08%四连阳，百亿银行ETF（512800）放量收涨0.98%。消息面，新一代数字人民币计量框架、管 理体系、运行机制和生态体系将于2026年1月1日正式启动实施。 科技股大面积冲高回落，双拼"芯片+果链"的电子ETF（515260）、聚焦国产AI产业链的科创人工智能ETF华 宝（589520）盘中均涨至2%左右，最终收涨逾0.6%。不过主力攻势不减，电子及计算机行业主力净流入额分 别为74.74亿元、48.35亿元，高居全行业（申万 ...

回顾2025年，上证指数、深证成指、创业板指、科创综指年内分别累计上涨18.26%、30.62%、 51.47%、46.08%，中国资本市场一条鲜明的"慢牛"轨迹徐徐展开。（截至2025.12.26） ETF市场随之加速发展。2025年以来，国内ETF市场总规模增超2.29万亿元，规模首超6万亿元大关，达 到6.03万亿元。以创业板人工智能ETF华宝（159363）、有色ETF华宝（159876）、金融科技ETF （159851）为代表的市场热门ETF品种，凭借火热的赚钱效应，成为广大投资者手中参与进攻行情锋利 的矛。（截至2025.12.26） 面对即将到来的2026年，投资者又该如何预判和准备呢？ 回顾2025年：AI、有色齐飞 2025年，全球资本市场普遍走高，以A股、港股为代表的中国资产，表现尤强。2025年前11个月，有色 金属（申万）涨幅高达71.30%，高居31个申万一级行业涨幅榜第一；排名第二的是与算力高度相关的 通信行业，通信（申万）同期涨幅高达64.87%。（数据来源：Wind） 热门ETF品种——有色ETF华宝（159876）近期持续刷新上市新高，其跟踪的中证有色指数持续刷新近 十年新高 ...

- The report mentions an A-share timing model, specifically a "wave model" that turned bullish mid-week, marking the first shift to a higher position since November 14, 2025. This model is used to determine optimal entry points for A-share investments based on market signals [1][29] - A short-term timing model for A-shares also turned bullish on major broad-based indices on Friday, indicating a positive outlook for traditional sectors such as consumption, infrastructure, real estate, and manufacturing [1][29] - The report highlights a "position timing strategy" for the A-share market, which is used to adjust equity exposure based on market conditions. This strategy is supported by historical net value data and performance metrics [11][12] - A "multi-long-short timing strategy" for the A-share market is also discussed, which involves leveraging long and short positions in futures to optimize returns. This strategy is visualized through net value curves and position recommendations [13][14] - The report includes a "dividend growth timing strategy" for A-shares, focusing on stocks with high dividend yields and growth potential. This strategy is designed to capture returns from dividend-paying stocks while managing risk [21] - A "small and micro-cap timing strategy" for A-shares is mentioned, targeting smaller market capitalization stocks for potential higher returns. This strategy is based on specific timing signals for small-cap stocks [17][18] - The report also discusses a "Hong Kong stock position timing strategy," which adjusts exposure to Hong Kong equities based on macroeconomic and market signals. This strategy emphasizes resilience and flexibility in sectors like central enterprises and internet companies [15] - A "gold timing strategy" is included, which maintains a medium position in gold while avoiding silver due to uncertain market conditions. This strategy is based on the U.S. dollar index and other macroeconomic factors [22] - The report outlines "ETF portfolio strategies," including equity-biased and bond-biased portfolios. These strategies are designed to optimize returns through diversified ETF investments, with performance tracked through net value curves [24][26]

Global and A-share Market Overview - The A-share market experienced an overall increase last week, with the CSI 500 index showing the largest gain of 4.03% [12] - The Hang Seng Index in the Hong Kong market rose by 0.50% [12] - The performance of ETFs tracking the new energy sector was notably strong [12] ETF New Issuance Statistics - A total of 18 stock ETFs were reported in the A-share market last week, with 8 new stock ETFs established [17][19] - In the US market, 5 equity ETFs were newly established, including 2 active ETFs [17][23] Fund Flow in A-share Market - The top 10 ETFs with net inflows were primarily those tracking the CSI A500 index, while the top 10 with net outflows included ETFs related to the CSI 300 index, military industry, and TMT sectors [2][24] - The CSI A500 ETF saw a net inflow of approximately 106.75 million yuan, making it the leading ETF in terms of net inflow [28] - Conversely, the CSI 300 ETF experienced a net outflow of 34.08 million yuan [25] Fund Flow in US Market - In the US market, resource management-themed ETFs had the highest net inflows, while multi-tech themed ETFs saw the largest net outflows [3] - A total net outflow of 1.10 million USD was recorded for ETFs investing in A-shares and Hong Kong stocks [3] ETF Strategy Performance - The RRG ETF rotation strategy yielded a return of 3.84%, outperforming the CSI Equal Weight and CSI 300 indices by 1.66% and 1.89% respectively [4] - The 50% base + intraday momentum strategy showed varying returns across different ETFs, with the CSI 1000 ETF achieving a return of 2.05% [4]

Core Insights - The commercial aerospace sector in China is experiencing significant growth, with a compound annual growth rate of approximately 22% since 2015, and is projected to reach a market size of 7 trillion to 10 trillion yuan by 2030 [17] - The defense and military sector is currently leading the market, with a net buying of 14.2 billion yuan in a single day, indicating strong investor interest [17] - The metals sector has seen a recent pullback after four consecutive days of gains, with the Huabao Metals ETF receiving a net subscription of 46.3 million yuan on December 25 [17] Market Temperature - The long-term signals indicate that the Shanghai Composite Index, Shenzhen Component Index, and ChiNext Index have percentile valuations of 94.94%, 85.93%, and 43.25% respectively, suggesting varying levels of market valuation [13] Sector Performance - The top-performing sectors on December 25 include machinery (+1.59%), defense and military (+2.91%), and light industry manufacturing (+1.51%) [2] - The sectors with the largest capital inflows were automotive (1.158 billion yuan), machinery (504 million yuan), and food and beverage (228 million yuan), while the largest outflows were in electronics (-5.068 billion yuan), non-ferrous metals (-2.780 billion yuan), and computers (-1.933 billion yuan) [2][17] ETF Performance - The Huabao Military ETF and Huabao Metals ETF have shown strong performance, with respective six-month gains of 20.94% and 9.40% [4][15] - The Huabao Smart Manufacturing ETF has also performed well, with a six-month gain of 40.84% [4] Investment Opportunities - The ongoing "super cycle" in non-ferrous metals is expected to continue until 2026, driven by factors such as the recovery of the US dollar, strategic stockpiling, and policy effects [17] - Investors are encouraged to actively seize opportunities in the upcoming spring market, as the combination of a weak dollar, supportive policies, and industrial upgrades may lower opportunity costs and improve risk premiums [17]

2025年最后5个交易日，沪指7连阳向4000点迈进，深证成指、创业板指录得5连涨，两市成交额小幅放量至1.92万亿元，全市场超3700只个股上涨。 | 序号 代码 | | 名称 | 内日图 | 现价 | 涨跌 | 涨跌幅 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 1 | 159231 | 通用航空ETF华宇 | | 0.632 | 0.022 | 3.61% | | 2 | 512810 | 年工ETF华宇 | | 0.763 | 0.022 | 2.97% | | 3 | 159851 | 金融科技ETF | | 0.830 | 0.015 | 1.84% | | 4 | 601778 | 晶科科技 | | 3.79 | 0.05 | 1.34% | | 5 | 512170 | 医疗ETF | | 0.349 | 0.004 | 1.16% | | 6 | 515710 | 食品饮料ETF华宇 | | 0.599 | 0.005 | 0.84% | | 7 | 562030 | 信创ETF基金 | | 0-517 | 0.004 | 0.78% | ...

| 序号 代码 | | 名称 | 两日图 | 现价 | 涨跌 | 涨跌幅 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 1 | 562010 | 绿色能源ETF | | 0.973 | 0.010 | 1.04% | | 2 | 516380 | 智能电动车ETF | | 1.003 | 0.009 | 0.91% | | 3 | 515260 | 电子Ell | | 0.656 | 0.005 | 0.77% | | 4 | 159876 | 有色ETF华宝 | | 0.959 | 0.007 | 0.74% | | 5 | 159596 | A50ETF华宝 | NV | 0.639 | 0.004 | 0.63% | | 6 | 510030 | 价值ETF | | 1.108 | 0.006 | 0.54% | | 7 | 516020 | 化工ETF | | 0.831 | 0.004 | 0.48% | | 8 | 588330 | 双创龙头ETF | | 0.941 | 0.004 | 0.43% | | ਰੇ | 562000 | 中证A100 ...