2025 年 08 月 24 日 万润股份 (002643) —— Q2 业绩超预期，新材料平台未来可期 报告原因：有业绩公布需要点评 买入（维持） | 市场数据： | 2025 年 08 月 22 日 | | --- | --- | | 收盘价（元） | 13.99 | | 一年内最高/最低（元） | 14.99/7.70 | | 市净率 | 1.8 | | 股息率%（分红/股价） | 0.71 | | 流通 A 股市值（百万元） | 12,721 | | 上证指数/深证成指 | 3,825.76/12,166.06 | | 注："股息率"以最近一年已公布分红计算 | | | 基础数据: | 2025 年 06 月 30 日 | | --- | --- | | 每股净资产（元） | 7.70 | | 资产负债率% | 25.79 | | 总股本/流通 A 股（百万） | 923/909 | | 流通 B 股/H 股（百万） | -/- | 一年内股价与大盘对比走势： 08-22 09-22 10-22 11-22 12-22 01-22 02-22 03-22 04-22 05-22 06-22 07-22 ...

Core Viewpoint - Aolide has shown a mixed financial performance in 2024, with a slight increase in revenue but a significant decline in net profit, while the materials business has turned profitable and the company has secured a major order from BOE for 8.6-generation equipment, indicating potential future growth [2][4][5]. Financial Performance - In 2024, Aolide achieved operating revenue of 533 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 3.0%, but the net profit attributable to shareholders decreased by 26.0% to 90 million yuan [2]. - The gross profit margin for the year was 51.22%, and the net profit margin was 16.97% [2]. - In Q4 2024, the company reported operating revenue of 69 million yuan, down 32.8% year-on-year and 43.3% quarter-on-quarter, with a net profit of -11 million yuan [2]. - For Q1 2025, Aolide's revenue was 153 million yuan, a decrease of 40.7% year-on-year but an increase of 121.8% quarter-on-quarter, with a net profit of 25 million yuan, marking a turnaround [2]. Business Segments - The materials business generated revenue of 363 million yuan in 2024, a growth of 14.31% year-on-year, and has shown consistent revenue growth for five consecutive years since the company went public [3]. - In Q1 2025, the materials segment achieved sales of 136 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 5.33%, setting a record for first-quarter material revenue [3]. - The equipment business reported revenue of 169 million yuan in 2024, with significant projects completed and new orders secured, including a 655 million yuan order from BOE for 8.6-generation equipment [4]. Future Outlook - The company anticipates that new products in the materials segment will begin to gain market traction in 2025, contributing to revenue growth [3]. - Aolide's net profit forecasts for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are projected at 163 million, 343 million, and 565 million yuan, respectively, reflecting an adjustment in expectations due to the recent order from BOE [5].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, with an expected relative return of over 20% within the next six months [6][18]. Core Views - The company achieved a revenue of 533 million yuan in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 3.0%, but the net profit attributable to the parent company decreased by 26.0% to 90 million yuan [1]. - The materials business showed a robust performance with a revenue of 363 million yuan in 2024, marking a growth of 14.31% year-on-year, and is expected to contribute positively to future earnings as new products are launched [2]. - The company successfully won a bid for a 6.55 billion yuan order for 8.6 generation evaporation source equipment from BOE, which is anticipated to enhance revenue growth in the coming years [3]. Financial Performance Summary - In 2024, the company reported total revenue of 533 million yuan, with a gross margin of 51.22% and a net margin of 16.97% [1]. - The first quarter of 2025 saw a revenue of 153 million yuan, a year-on-year decline of 40.7%, but a significant quarter-on-quarter increase of 121.8%, resulting in a net profit of 25 million yuan [1][2]. - The projected net profits for 2025-2027 are 163 million yuan, 343 million yuan, and 565 million yuan respectively, reflecting a significant recovery and growth trajectory [4]. Business Segment Insights - The materials segment has shown consistent growth, achieving a historical high of 136 million yuan in revenue for Q1 2025, with expectations for continued expansion as new products gain market traction [2]. - The equipment segment faced challenges due to industry transitions but has secured significant contracts that are expected to positively impact future performance [3]. Valuation Metrics - The company’s projected earnings per share (EPS) for 2025 is 0.65 yuan, with a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 23.97, indicating a favorable valuation compared to future earnings growth [5]. - The projected revenue growth rates for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 58.94%, 78.24%, and 41.54% respectively, showcasing strong growth potential [5].

Investment Rating - The report does not explicitly provide an investment rating for the new materials industry Core Insights - The new materials industry is witnessing significant advancements, with companies like Guoneng New Materials successfully testing their controllable cross-linked polyethylene project, marking a step towards industrial production [1] - The industry is also seeing substantial investment activity, as evidenced by Xinchuan New Materials completing a multi-hundred million yuan Series B financing round, indicating strong investor confidence in innovative materials [1][2] Summary by Sections Industry Development Dynamics - Guoneng New Materials has successfully completed the trial run of its controllable cross-linked polyethylene project, which has an annual production capacity of 11,000 tons, signaling the project's readiness for production [1] - China Chemical Western's 50,000-ton ultra-high molecular weight polyethylene resin project has completed its mid-term acceptance and is set to enter production soon, with a total investment of 830 million yuan [1] Investment and Financing Dynamics - Xinchuan New Materials has raised several hundred million yuan in its Series B financing round, led by Quzhou Industrial Investment, with participation from existing shareholders and other investors [1] - Dehu Coating has completed a multi-million yuan financing round aimed at advancing research and production of perovskite materials, which are critical for the semiconductor and flat panel display sectors [2] Secondary Market Dynamics - The Wande New Materials Index rose by 1.98% during the week of June 3 to June 6, 2025, outperforming the Shanghai and Shenzhen 300 Index, which increased by 0.88% [4]

Group 1 - In May 2025, 17 companies from the Shanghai Jiao Tong University ecosystem secured financing, focusing on fields such as embodied intelligence, new materials, new energy, and integrated circuits [1] - The hottest financing trend in May 2025 was in the embodied intelligence sector, with eight companies completing new rounds of financing, covering key areas like humanoid robots, tactile perception, exoskeleton robots, and AI large models [1] - Five portfolio companies of the Jiao Tong University mother fund received financing, indicating a growing ecological effect and potential for the Jiao Tong University ecosystem to become a leading force in China's hard technology IPOs [1] Group 2 - Zhiyuan Robotics completed a new round of financing in May 2025, with investors including JD.com and the Shanghai Embodied Intelligence Fund, focusing on AI and robotics integration [2][5] - Fourier Intelligence received a strategic investment of up to 300 million yuan, with a pre-investment valuation of 8 billion yuan, positioning it as a unicorn in the humanoid robot sector [7][11] - Magic Atom announced a new round of strategic financing worth hundreds of millions, aimed at advancing core technology iterations and scene-based applications in embodied intelligence [12] Group 3 - UniX AI completed several hundred million yuan in angel round financing, focusing on the collaborative development of multi-modal embodied intelligence models and general-purpose robots [15][17] - Yuanluo Technology received investment from the Beijing Artificial Intelligence Industry Investment Fund, specializing in embodied intelligence technology and humanoid robot products [19] - Qianjue Robotics announced financing in the tens of millions, focusing on multi-modal tactile perception technology for precise robotic operations [21][22] Group 4 - Jia'an Intelligent secured new financing, focusing on industrial embodied intelligence robots and core component development [24] - Jiyuan Power completed several million yuan in financing, aiming to build large-scale production lines for magnesium-based hydrogen storage materials [33] - Aoshark Intelligent announced consecutive rounds of financing, focusing on consumer-grade exoskeleton robots and core technology upgrades [35][36] Group 5 - Siping Technology completed several million yuan in Pre-A+ round financing, focusing on the commercialization of bio-based materials and the construction of a bio-manufacturing platform [39][40] - The company Aiwit completed A round financing, focusing on electric vertical take-off and landing aircraft technology development [47][50] - Gengxin Yue received new financing, focusing on semiconductor measurement and detection equipment [52][53] Group 6 - Boreton Technology successfully listed on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange, raising approximately 234 million HKD, with a market capitalization exceeding 10 billion RMB [55][56]

Investment Rating - The report does not explicitly provide an investment rating for the new materials industry Core Insights - The new materials industry is witnessing significant advancements, with companies like Guoneng New Materials successfully testing their controllable cross-linked polyethylene project, marking a step towards industrial production [1] - The industry is also seeing substantial financing activities, such as Xinchuan New Materials completing a multi-hundred million yuan Series B financing round, indicating strong investor interest and confidence in innovative material technologies [1][2] Industry Development Dynamics - Guoneng New Materials has completed the trial run of a new functional materials production facility with an annual capacity of 11,000 tons, indicating progress in the commercialization of new materials [1] - China National Chemical's Western New Materials has successfully completed the mid-term acceptance of a 50,000-ton ultra-high molecular weight polyethylene resin project, which is set to become the first large-scale production base in Northwest China [1] - The project has a total investment of 830 million yuan and is expected to commence production by August 2025 [1] Investment and Financing Dynamics - Xinchuan New Materials has raised several hundred million yuan in Series B financing, led by Quzhou Industrial Investment, with participation from existing shareholders and other investors [1] - The company is focused on the research and industrialization of new polyolefin elastomers, with plans to construct a 30,000-ton production facility in Zhejiang [1] - Dehu Coating has also completed a multi-million yuan financing round to enhance its research and development in perovskite materials, aiming to accelerate the commercialization of high-efficiency perovskite batteries [2] Secondary Market Dynamics - The Wande New Materials Index increased by 1.98% during the week of June 3 to June 6, 2025, outperforming the CSI 300 Index, which rose by 0.88% [4]

Core Viewpoint - The new materials industry is a strategic and foundational sector that supports modern industrial development and is crucial for optimizing and upgrading industrial structures, enhancing manufacturing capabilities, and fostering emerging industries. Summary by Sections New Materials Overview - New materials refer to materials with superior performance and special functions that are either newly developed or significantly improved from traditional materials, serving as the foundation for high-tech development and modern industrial advancement [4]. - New materials can be classified based on composition, function, and application, with definitions focusing on technological, process, and application innovations [4]. Importance of New Materials - New materials are essential for national economic construction, social progress, and national defense security, acting as a guarantee for the success of major engineering projects [5]. - The new materials industry is characterized by its foundational, pioneering, and forward-looking nature, driving technological revolutions in various fields such as microelectronics, biotechnology, energy technology, and aerospace [5]. Characteristics of the New Materials Industry - The new materials industry exhibits "three highs and three longs": high difficulty, high investment, high barriers, long life cycles, long application periods, and long R&D cycles [6][7]. - Most new materials companies struggle to achieve profitability within three years due to high upfront costs and uncertain market prospects [6][9]. Global Competition Landscape - Countries are placing high importance on new materials, with developed nations striving to seize technological leadership, while the focus of the industry is gradually shifting towards the Asia-Pacific region [10]. - China lags in the development and production of advanced high-end materials, with only 13 materials being internationally leading and 39 being advanced, highlighting a significant gap compared to countries like the USA [10]. Current Status of China's New Materials Industry - The new materials industry in China has seen substantial growth, with a compound annual growth rate exceeding 20%, and the total output value surpassing 6 trillion yuan by 2021 [13]. - The market size of the new materials industry is projected to reach 7.6 trillion yuan in 2023 and exceed 8 trillion yuan in 2024, with an average annual growth rate of 13.5% from 2020 to 2025 [14]. Key Areas of Development - The industry encompasses a wide range of materials, with a focus on strategic advanced electronic materials, advanced structures and composites, and nanomaterials, among others [15]. - Key new materials include advanced steel, new display materials, high-quality high-temperature alloys, and green energy materials, reflecting the diverse applications and technological advancements in the sector [16]. Regional Distribution - China's new materials industry is developing in clusters, with the Bohai Rim, Yangtze River Delta, and Pearl River Delta being the primary regions for industry concentration [17]. - These regions benefit from dense enterprise distribution, numerous research institutions, and advantages in funding and market access [17]. Investment Trends - The new materials industry is experiencing rapid growth in investment, with significant capital inflow and an increasing number of investment projects [36][37]. - In 2024, the new materials sector recorded 397 investment events, reflecting a 33.2% year-on-year increase, with total investment amounting to 44 billion yuan [37]. Future Development Trends - The industry is expected to accelerate its transformation and upgrade, focusing on high-end materials for emerging sectors such as high-end equipment, automotive manufacturing, and renewable energy [28]. - The trend towards domestic substitution is becoming more urgent, driven by international trade dynamics and the need for national strategic security [29].

Core Viewpoint - The new materials industry is a strategic and foundational sector that supports modern industrial development and is crucial for optimizing and upgrading industrial structures, enhancing manufacturing capabilities, and fostering emerging industries [5][6][13]. Group 1: Overview of New Materials - New materials refer to materials with superior performance and special functions that are either newly developed or significantly improved from traditional materials [4]. - New materials can be classified based on composition, function, and application, with three main directions: technological innovation, process improvement, and new applications [4][5]. Group 2: Characteristics of the New Materials Industry - The new materials industry is characterized by "three highs and three longs": high difficulty, high investment, high barriers, long life cycle, long application period, and long R&D cycle [6][9]. - Most new materials companies struggle to achieve profitability within three years due to high upfront costs and uncertain market prospects [6][9]. - The industry emphasizes core technology development rather than individual flagship products, making it foundational across various sectors [7][9]. Group 3: Global Competitive Landscape - Countries are placing significant emphasis on new materials, with developed nations striving to secure technological advantages, leading to a shift in the industry focus towards the Asia-Pacific region [10][11]. - China lags in advanced high-end materials, with only 13 materials being internationally leading and 39 being advanced, while 101 materials are significantly behind, particularly in comparison to the U.S. [10][11]. Group 4: Current Status of China's New Materials Industry - The new materials industry in China has grown rapidly, with a compound annual growth rate exceeding 20%, and the total output value surpassing 6 trillion yuan by 2021 [13][14]. - The market size is projected to reach 7.6 trillion yuan in 2023 and exceed 8 trillion yuan in 2024, with an average annual growth rate of 13.5% from 2020 to 2025 [14][19]. Group 5: Key Areas of Development - The industry encompasses various categories, including advanced electronic materials, composite materials, and nanomaterials, with 42 key development directions identified [9][15]. - Key materials for future development include advanced steel, new display materials, high-performance alloys, and green energy materials [16]. Group 6: Investment Trends and Opportunities - Investment in the new materials sector is increasing, with significant capital flowing into areas such as clean technology, semiconductors, and biotechnology [36][37]. - The industry is witnessing a trend towards consolidation, with companies leveraging capital markets for mergers and acquisitions to enhance market share [30][31]. Group 7: Challenges Facing the Industry - The new materials industry faces challenges such as long project cycles, high capital requirements, and a fragmented market with many small players [22][23]. - There is a significant gap in high-end materials, with foreign companies dominating the market and setting high standards that complicate domestic companies' entry [22][23]. Group 8: Future Development Trends - The industry is expected to accelerate transformation and upgrade, focusing on high-end materials for emerging sectors like aerospace, automotive, and renewable energy [28][29]. - The push for domestic substitution of imported materials is becoming increasingly urgent due to geopolitical shifts and trade tensions [29].

Core Viewpoint - The "Smart Consumption Industry Week" performance briefing highlighted the positive development signals in the smart consumption sector, showcasing the technological innovations and market expansions of participating companies [1] Group 1: Industry Trends - The "Artificial Intelligence +" initiative aims to accelerate the development and application of new technologies in the smart consumption sector, creating high-growth consumption opportunities [2] - The automotive industry's shift towards electrification and intelligence has opened a strategic window for the in-car projection market, with leading companies like XGIMI focusing on smart cockpit and smart lighting projections [3] Group 2: Company Performance - Hengxuan Technology reported a net profit of 191 million yuan in Q1 2025, a 590% increase year-on-year, driven by the rise of smart wearable devices and supportive national policies [2] - Zhuhai Guanyu continues to enhance its competitive edge in consumer batteries while developing sodium-ion and solid-state batteries, aiming for stable and efficient power supply in low-temperature scenarios [4] - Aolaide has maintained steady revenue growth in its materials business for five consecutive years, with ongoing upgrades to its OLED terminal materials and new product developments expected to gain market traction by 2025 [4][6] Group 3: Market Dynamics - Companies are experiencing robust production and sales growth due to consumer confidence recovery and local consumption subsidy policies [5] - Shihua Technology achieved revenues of 795 million yuan and a net profit of 280 million yuan in 2024, with a 442% increase in high-performance optical materials revenue, indicating strong market demand [6] - The maturation of OLED production processes is expected to lower manufacturing costs, facilitating the adoption of OLED displays in mid-range vehicles, thus expanding their market presence [6]