Group 1: Industry Overview - The new materials industry is experiencing a positive trend, with companies entering the supply chains of major downstream customers, indicating an overall improvement in industry sentiment [1][4][5] - Companies such as Tianyi New Materials and Suihua Technology are collaborating with leading enterprises in aerospace and commercial space sectors, enhancing their market presence [1][2] Group 2: Company Developments - Tianyi New Materials is focusing on expanding its composite material production capabilities for aerospace applications, including drones and rockets, and is actively participating in the development of standards for drone operations [1] - Suihua Technology has established deep partnerships with major domestic commercial aerospace companies, enhancing its product offerings in copper alloy components [2] - Jinbo Co., Ltd. has developed low-cost modified resin-based porous carbon products and is now a designated supplier for several mainstream automotive companies [3] Group 3: Market Demand and Future Outlook - The OLED organic materials sector is seeing high demand due to increased penetration in consumer electronics and the upcoming construction of new AMOLED production lines, which is expected to significantly boost material requirements [4][5] - The demand for electronic specialty gases and fluorine-containing new materials is increasing, driven by the needs of the integrated circuit, battery, and pharmaceutical industries [5][6] - Longying Technology is experiencing strong order growth in the optical device sector, driven by advancements in data transmission technologies and the need for high-speed, low-latency solutions [6]

万润股份（002643.SZ）9月18日在投资者互动平台表示，公司结合自身情况与下游需求，正在筹备万润 工业园二期C05项目，该项目包含约700吨的显示用PI成品材料产能，未来建成后将为公司显示用PI成品 材料发展提供产能支撑。 每经AI快讯，有投资者在投资者互动平台提问：公司OLED材料竞争对手奥来德最新定增计划显示将投 入大笔资金在"OLED 显示核心材料 PSPI 材料设备和产能"，请问公司PSPI布局多少吨产能？随着国内 8.6 代 OLED 大尺寸面板产线的建设开启，公司能否抓住此次市场机遇？ （记者 王晓波） ...

格隆汇9月18日丨万润股份(002643.SZ)在投资者互动平台表示，目前公司OLED材料和液晶材料产品价 格未出现重大变化，在上述材料领域公司继续保持业内领先地位。 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a neutral rating for the chemical industry [2]. Core Insights - The current cycle may be nearing its end, with expectations for demand recovery. Infrastructure and export remain robust, while the real estate cycle continues to decline. The chemical industry is expected to see a phase of price and profit level rebound in Q2 2024, but overall performance will remain under pressure throughout the year [4][5]. - The report emphasizes the importance of identifying industries with marginal supply-demand changes, focusing on both domestic and global market dynamics [6][7]. Summary by Relevant Sections Industry Valuation and Economic Indicators - The report tracks various indicators such as the chemical industry's comprehensive prosperity index and industrial added value [3]. - It highlights the importance of price indicators like PPI, PPIRM, and CCPI, along with supply-side metrics including capacity utilization and fixed asset investment [3]. Supply and Demand Dynamics - The report suggests that the domestic supply pressure remains significant, but the pace of capital expenditure is slowing down. Inventory levels are expected to enter a replenishment phase after a year of destocking [4]. - It identifies specific sectors to watch based on supply stability and demand logic, recommending companies such as Juhua Co., Sanmei Co., and Dongyue Group for refrigerants, and Yuntianhua and Chuanheng Co. for phosphate and fertilizers [7]. Global Market Trends - The report notes a shift in global investment and trade patterns due to rising protectionism and geopolitical tensions, leading to a reconfiguration of the global supply chain [7]. - It emphasizes the need for Chinese companies to adapt to these changes by focusing on both internal and external market opportunities [7]. Price Trends and Economic Performance - The report indicates that from January to August 2025, the CCPI has shown a decline of approximately 7.3% from the beginning of the year, with PPI also reflecting negative growth trends [15]. - It provides detailed insights into the price movements of various chemical products, indicating a complex landscape of price fluctuations and historical performance [20][22].

Core Insights - The basic chemical industry saw a slight increase in revenue and net profit in the first half of 2025, with total revenue reaching 1.12 trillion yuan, a year-on-year growth of 3.1% [1][2] - The overall gross profit margin for the industry decreased to 13.1%, down 0.4 percentage points year-on-year, while the net profit margin was 7.0%, also down 0.1 percentage points [1][2] - The price index for chemical products showed a downward trend due to weak support from raw materials and overcapacity, with the CCPI dropping by 4.1% in the first half of 2025 [2] Revenue and Profit Analysis - In Q2 2025, the basic chemical industry achieved a revenue of 588.2 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 1.2% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 10.0% [3] - Operating profit for Q2 2025 was 48.7 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year decrease of 4.8% but a quarter-on-quarter increase of 6.2% [3] - The net profit attributable to the parent company was 38.2 billion yuan, down 5.3% year-on-year but up 2.3% quarter-on-quarter [3] Sub-industry Performance - Among 19 sub-industries, significant revenue growth was observed in viscose, fluorine chemicals, and other chemical fibers, with growth rates exceeding 18% [3] - Conversely, sub-industries such as organic silicon, soda ash, and phosphoric chemicals experienced notable revenue declines [3] - In terms of net profit, 20 sub-industries reported growth, with pesticides and other materials showing increases exceeding 100% [3] Capital Expenditure Trends - The growth rate of construction projects in the basic chemical industry has been declining, with Q2 2025 showing a year-on-year decrease of 11.3% [5] - Fixed asset scale increased in Q2 2025, with total fixed assets reaching 14.22 trillion yuan, a year-on-year growth of 14.5% [5] Investment Recommendations - The industry is suggested to focus on sectors with stable demand and marginal supply changes, such as chlorinated sugar and pesticides [6] - Recommendations include companies like Jinhe Industrial and Yangnong Chemical for pesticides, and Wanhua Chemical for MDI [6] - Attention is also drawn to sectors that may recover first, such as organic silicon and spandex [6]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for the OLED industry chain related equipment stocks [5]. Core Insights - The construction of the 8.6 generation OLED production lines is accelerating, with TCL Technology announcing a joint investment of 29.5 billion RMB to build a new production line, expected to start in November 2025 and take 24 months to complete [1][8]. - The demand for OLED panels in automotive and IT applications is expected to drive significant growth, with AMOLED panel shipments projected to exceed 1.33 billion units by 2030, capturing 35% of the market share [3][21]. - The report highlights the competitive landscape, noting that major players like Samsung Display, BOE, and Visionox are also investing heavily in 8.6 generation OLED production lines, with total investments nearing 170 billion RMB [1][11]. Summary by Sections Section 1: Industry Developments - TCL, Samsung Display, BOE, and Visionox are all actively investing in 8.6 generation OLED production lines, with TCL's new line set to produce approximately 22,500 glass substrates per month [1][11]. - The report discusses the three main OLED technologies: FMM OLED, ViP OLED, and printed OLED, each with its advantages and disadvantages [2][20]. Section 2: Market Trends - The report anticipates a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 33% for laptops and 27% for automotive displays by 2030, indicating strong demand for OLED technology in these sectors [3][21]. - Counterpoint Research data shows that Samsung Display held a 37% market share in the global OLED panel market as of Q2 2025, with significant growth in laptop and display panel shipments [22][26]. Section 3: Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on companies within the OLED supply chain, including Aolide, Linde Equipment, Dazhu Laser, and Maiwei Co., which are positioned to benefit from the growth in OLED production [4][31][35][38].

Group 1: Macroeconomic Insights - The core viewpoint emphasizes that the fiscal and tax system reform during the "14th Five-Year Plan" period is essential for addressing current fiscal constraints and advancing national governance modernization. This includes budget system innovation, tax system optimization, restructuring central-local relations, and comprehensive debt management to enhance fiscal efficiency, thereby injecting strong momentum into Chinese modernization [1] - Economic uncertainty has increased, with production, investment, and consumption growth rates declining in August. Factors such as extreme heat and falling prices have contributed to this downturn, while cautious investment decisions by market participants indicate challenges in transitioning from old to new economic drivers [2] - Fixed asset investment growth continues to decline, with significant drops in infrastructure investment in August. Despite a relatively loose funding environment, improvements in the fundamentals are necessary, and the bond market is becoming more attractive, with a projected 10Y government bond yield center at 1.7% [3] Group 2: Real Estate Sector Analysis - In the real estate sector, as of September 14, 2025, new home transactions in 20 cities totaled 545,000 units, a decrease of 5.9%. Notably, Beijing saw a 14% drop, while second-hand home transactions increased by 9.9% across 10 cities, indicating a mixed market performance [4] - China Resources Land (1109.HK) is focusing on core cities for real estate development, with a strong brand reputation and stable cash flow from asset operations. The projected net profit for 2025-2027 is 24.74 billion, 25.27 billion, and 25.53 billion yuan, respectively, with a corresponding PE ratio of 8.5, 8.3, and 8.3 times, maintaining a "buy" rating [5] Group 3: Company-Specific Developments - Aolaide (688378.SH) has signed a strategic cooperation framework agreement with BOE Technology Group, indicating a comprehensive partnership in OLED materials and equipment, which is expected to significantly benefit the company's future performance. The projected net profit for 2025-2027 is 127 million, 244 million, and 354 million yuan, maintaining a "buy" rating [7] - Kangnait Optical (2276.HK), a leading resin lens manufacturer, is expected to see net profits of 570 million, 710 million, and 880 million yuan from 2025 to 2027. The growth is supported by a stable market for lens products and potential in AI glasses, leading to a "buy" rating [8]

点击注册小程序 特别申明： 您可点击今日推送内容的第1条查看 【石油化工】油气实现重大找矿突破，油服行业有望维持景气——石油化工行业周报第420期（20250908 —20250914） 本订阅号中所涉及的证券研究信息由光大证券研究所编写，仅面向光大证券专业投资者客 户，用作新媒体形势下研究信息和研究观点的沟通交流。非光大证券专业投资者客户，请勿 订阅、接收或使用本订阅号中的任何信息。本订阅号难以设置访问权限，若给您造成不便， 敬请谅解。光大证券研究所不会因关注、收到或阅读本订阅号推送内容而视相关人员为光大 证券的客户。 今 日 聚 焦 【银行】社融遇拐点，货币见活化——2025年8月份金融数据点评 9月12日央行公布了8月金融统计数据，8月贷款投放强度季节性回升，增量同比少增，需求仍是主要压制 因素。结构上，对公中长贷投放强度季节性回升，短贷-票据跷跷板效应再现；零售信贷环比回升幅度不 大，期待财政贴息等促消费政策显效。8月社融增速环比7月下降，预计后续月份社融增速将缓幅下行， 呈"触顶回落"态势，年内社融走势需进一步观测明年政府债券发行前置的强度。 （王一峰/赵晨阳）2025-09-14 9月10日，自然 ...

Core Viewpoint - The release of the iPhone 17 series marks the beginning of the consumer electronics sales peak in the second half of 2025, with expectations for a recovery in global smartphone shipments driven by new product launches [4]. Group 1: Smartphone Market Trends - The iPhone 17 series includes four models, all equipped with 6.3-6.9 inch OLED full screens and ProMotion adaptive refresh rate technology, enhancing display quality [4]. - The global smartphone display panel market saw a mild growth in the first half of 2025, with total shipments reaching approximately 1.09 billion units, a year-on-year increase of 1.6% [5]. - Flexible OLED (FOLED) shipments reached about 298 million units, growing by 4.9% year-on-year, with a penetration rate of 27.4%, up 0.9 percentage points from the previous year [5]. Group 2: Chinese OLED Market Performance - In the first half of 2025, China's OLED smartphone panel shipments totaled around 200 million units, a year-on-year increase of 3.4%, capturing 50.9% of the global market share [5]. - Flexible OLED shipments in China reached approximately 190 million units, accounting for 62.3% of the global share, an increase of about 7.7 percentage points year-on-year [5]. - Major domestic manufacturers such as BOE, Tianma, and TCL Huaxing reported significant shipment increases, with year-on-year growth rates of 10.3%, 15.6%, and 8.6% respectively [5]. Group 3: OLED Materials Market Growth - The revenue of OLED material manufacturers has been steadily increasing, with companies like Aolide and Lite-On reporting year-on-year revenue growth of 22.0% and 30.0% respectively in the first half of 2025 [6]. - The market for organic materials in China's OLED sector is projected to reach 7.4 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 30% [6]. - Domestic material companies are accelerating technology iterations and capacity expansions, indicating a promising growth trajectory in the OLED organic materials market driven by diverse end-use applications [6].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The company reported a recovery in Q2 performance, driven by the continuous growth of new materials [5][6] - In H1 2025, the company achieved total revenue of 1.87 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 4.42%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders was 218 million yuan, an increase of 1.35% year-on-year [5][6] - The company is focusing on capacity expansion and industry collaboration, with significant progress in projects related to photoresists, semiconductors, and OLED materials [7][8] Financial Performance Summary - In Q2 2025, the company achieved total revenue of 1.01 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 0.95% but a quarter-on-quarter increase of 17.12% [5] - The revenue breakdown shows functional materials, life sciences and pharmaceuticals, and other businesses generating revenues of 1.47 billion, 376 million, and 2.5 million yuan respectively, with year-on-year changes of -9.55%, +20.80%, and +19.20% [5] - The gross margin for the functional materials segment was 38.68%, down 1.99% year-on-year, while the life sciences segment saw a gross margin of 38.56%, up 1.36% year-on-year [6] Future Outlook - The company expects net profits attributable to shareholders for 2025, 2026, and 2027 to be 375 million, 499 million, and 514 million yuan respectively, with corresponding P/E ratios of 31, 23, and 23 times [9]