增持（维持） 证券研究报告·北交所公司点评报告·电池 德瑞锂电（833523） 2025 中报点评： 业绩持续稳健增长，逐步加 大国内市场开拓 | [Table_EPS] 盈利预测与估值 | 2023A | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 营业总收入（百万元） | 346.38 | 519.99 | 597.95 | 717.54 | 861.05 | | 同比 | 23.79 | 50.12 | 14.99 | 20.00 | 20.00 | | 归母净利润（百万元） | 53.30 | 150.56 | 173.11 | 202.70 | 236.02 | | 同比 | 20.77 | 182.47 | 14.97 | 17.09 | 16.44 | | EPS-最新摊薄（元/股） | 0.53 | 1.49 | 1.71 | 2.00 | 2.33 | | P/E（现价&最新摊薄） | 52.42 | 18.56 | 16.14 | 13.78 | 11.84 | [Table_Summary ...

Financial Performance - In 2024, the company achieved a revenue of 7.961 billion CNY, an increase of 14.83% compared to the previous year [3] - The net profit attributable to shareholders was -252.46 million CNY, a decline of 685.72% year-on-year [3][5] Market Drivers - The demand for batteries is driven by carbon neutrality goals, leading to growth in energy storage, consumer, and power batteries [3] - Technological advancements have led to breakthroughs in battery platforms, including high energy density technology (>400Wh/kg) and low-temperature technology (-40℃) [3][4] Industry Trends - The global energy storage battery market is expected to see explosive growth, with a shipment scale of 314.7 GWh in 2024, a 60% increase year-on-year [6] - The consumer battery market is projected to grow at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 6.24% from 2024 to 2032 [6] - The power battery market is anticipated to reach 894.4 GWh in installed capacity in 2024, a 27.2% increase year-on-year [6] Sector Performance - The lithium primary battery business generated revenue of 299.52 million CNY in 2024, a growth of 9.91% year-on-year [4] - The electric vehicle market is expanding, with sales of pure electric heavy trucks increasing by 139.4% to over 82,700 units [7]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Accumulate" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The report indicates that the decline in lithium carbonate prices in 2024 will lead to a recovery in profitability, with expectations for stable growth in 2025 [1][7] - The company is projected to achieve significant revenue growth, with total revenue expected to reach 5.2 billion yuan in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 50% [7] - The net profit attributable to the parent company is forecasted to be 150.56 million yuan in 2024, representing a year-on-year increase of 182.47% [7] Financial Projections - Total revenue projections for the company are as follows: - 2023A: 346.38 million yuan - 2024A: 519.99 million yuan - 2025E: 597.95 million yuan - 2026E: 717.55 million yuan - 2027E: 861.05 million yuan - Year-on-year growth rates for total revenue are projected at: - 2024: 50.12% - 2025: 14.99% - 2026: 20.00% - 2027: 20.00% [1][8] - Net profit attributable to the parent company is forecasted as follows: - 2023A: 53.30 million yuan - 2024A: 150.56 million yuan - 2025E: 173.11 million yuan - 2026E: 202.70 million yuan - 2027E: 236.02 million yuan - Year-on-year growth rates for net profit are projected at: - 2024: 182.47% - 2025: 14.97% - 2026: 17.09% - 2027: 16.44% [1][8] Valuation Metrics - The latest diluted EPS (Earnings Per Share) projections are: - 2023A: 0.53 yuan - 2024A: 1.49 yuan - 2025E: 1.71 yuan - 2026E: 2.00 yuan - 2027E: 2.33 yuan - The P/E (Price to Earnings) ratios based on the latest diluted EPS are: - 2024: 17.43 - 2025: 15.16 - 2026: 12.94 - 2027: 11.12 [1][8]

4月24日，鹏辉能源连续披露2024年及2025年一季度业绩情况，两段时期公司营收均实现增长。 具体来看， 2024年， 鹏辉能源实现营收79.61亿元，同比增长14.83% ； 净利润-2.52亿元；扣非净利润-3.22亿元。 2025年一季度， 鹏辉能源实现营收16.9亿元， 同比增长5.83% ； 净利润-4498.31万元； 扣非净利润-8030.16万元。 据鹏辉能源2024年年报显示，目前其业绩来源主要为 锂离子电池产品，广泛应用于消费、储能、动力等多个领域。去年锂离子电池营收 73.63亿元，同比增加15.11%，占营收比重为92.50%。 | | | | | | 单位:元 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | 2024 年 | | 2023 年 | | 同比增减 | | | 金额 | 占营业收入比重 | 金额 | 占营业收入比重 | | | 营业收入合计 | 7,960,507,262.1 | 100% | 6,932,475,479.7 | 100% | 14. 83% | | | 3 | | 5 | | | | 分行业 | | | | | ...